• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayes method

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On the Parcel Loading System of Naive Bayes-LSTM Model Based Predictive Maintenance Platform for Operational Safety and Reliability (Naive Bayes-LSTM 기반 예지정비 플랫폼 적용을 통한 화물 상차 시스템의 운영 안전성 및 신뢰성 확보 연구)

  • Sunwoo Hwang;Jinoh Kim;Junwoo Choi;Youngmin Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.141-151
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    • 2023
  • Recently, due to the expansion of the logistics industry, demand for logistics automation equipment is increasing. The modern logistics industry is a high-tech industry that combines various technologies. In general, as various technologies are grafted, the complexity of the system increases, and the occurrence rate of defects and failures also increases. As such, it is time for a predictive maintenance model specialized for logistics automation equipment. In this paper, in order to secure the operational safety and reliability of the parcel loading system, a predictive maintenance platform was implemented based on the Naive Bayes-LSTM(Long Short Term Memory) model. The predictive maintenance platform presented in this paper works by collecting data and receiving data based on a RabbitMQ, loading data in an InMemory method using a Redis, and managing snapshot DB in real time. Also, in this paper, as a verification of the Naive Bayes-LSTM predictive maintenance platform, the function of measuring the time for data collection/storage/processing and determining outliers/normal values was confirmed. The predictive maintenance platform can contribute to securing reliability and safety by identifying potential failures and defects that may occur in the operation of the parcel loading system in the future.

A Distance Approach for Open Information Extraction Based on Word Vector

  • Liu, Peiqian;Wang, Xiaojie
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.2470-2491
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    • 2018
  • Web-scale open information extraction (Open IE) plays an important role in NLP tasks like acquiring common-sense knowledge, learning selectional preferences and automatic text understanding. A large number of Open IE approaches have been proposed in the last decade, and the majority of these approaches are based on supervised learning or dependency parsing. In this paper, we present a novel method for web scale open information extraction, which employs cosine distance based on Google word vector as the confidence score of the extraction. The proposed method is a purely unsupervised learning algorithm without requiring any hand-labeled training data or dependency parse features. We also present the mathematically rigorous proof for the new method with Bayes Inference and Artificial Neural Network theory. It turns out that the proposed algorithm is equivalent to Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the joint probability distribution over the elements of the candidate extraction. The proof itself also theoretically suggests a typical usage of word vector for other NLP tasks. Experiments show that the distance-based method leads to further improvements over the newly presented Open IE systems on three benchmark datasets, in terms of effectiveness and efficiency.

A Bayesian Test for First Order Autocorrelation in Regression Errors : An Application to SPC Approach (회귀모형 오차항의 1차 자기상관에 대한 베이즈 검정법 : SPC 분야에의 응용)

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Han, Sung-Sil
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.190-206
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    • 1996
  • In case measurements are made on units of production in time order, it is reasonable to expect that the measurement errors will sometimes be first order autocorrelated, and a technique to test such autocorrelation is required to give good control of the productive process. Tool-wear process provide an example for which regression model can sometimes be useful in modeling and controlling the process. For the control of such process, we present a simple method for testing first order autocorrelation in regression errors. The method is based on Bayesian test method via Bayes factor and derived by observing that in general, a Bayes factor can be written as the product of a quantity called the Savage-Dickey density ratio and a correction factor ; both terms are easily estimated from Gibbs sampling technique. Performance of the method is examined by means of Monte Carlo simulation. It is noted that the test not only achieves satisfactory power but eliminates the inconvenience occurred in using the well-known Durbin-Watson test.

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Ensemble learning of Regional Experts (지역 전문가의 앙상블 학습)

  • Lee, Byung-Woo;Yang, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Seon-Ho
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.135-139
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    • 2009
  • We present a new ensemble learning method that employs the set of region experts, each of which learns to handle a subset of the training data. We split the training data and generate experts for different regions in the feature space. When classifying a data, we apply a weighted voting among the experts that include the data in their region. We used ten datasets to compare the performance of our new ensemble method with that of single classifiers as well as other ensemble methods such as Bagging and Adaboost. We used SMO, Naive Bayes and C4.5 as base learning algorithms. As a result, we found that the performance of our method is comparable to that of Adaboost and Bagging when the base learner is C4.5. In the remaining cases, our method outperformed the benchmark methods.

A Comparison of Artificial Neural Networks and Statistical Pattern Recognition Methods for Rotation Machine Condition Classification (회전기계 고장 진단에 적용한 인공 신경회로망과 통계적 패턴 인식 기법의 비교 연구)

  • Kim, Chang-Gu;Park, Kwang-Ho;Kee, Chang-Doo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 1999
  • This paper gives an overview of the various approaches to designing statistical pattern recognition scheme based on Bayes discrimination rule and the artificial neural networks for rotating machine condition classification. Concerning to Bayes discrimination rule, this paper contains the linear discrimination rule applied to classification into several multivariate normal distributions with common covariance matrices, the quadratic discrimination rule under different covariance matrices. Also we discribes k-nearest neighbor method to directly estimate a posterior probability of each class. Five features are extracted in time domain vibration signals. Employing these five features, statistical pattern classifier and neural networks have been established to detect defects on rotating machine. Four different cases of rotation machine were observed. The effects of k number and neural networks structures on monitoring performance have also been investigated. For the comparison of diagnosis performance of these two method, their recognition success rates are calculated form the test data. The result of experiment which classifies the rotating machine conditions using each method presents that the neural networks shows the highest recognition rate.

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A Study on Desired Signal Estimation in Correlation Signal of Array Antennas (배열 안테나의 상관성 신호에서 원하는 신호 추정 방법에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Min-Soo
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.275-280
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we studied for modified MUSIC algorithm of direction of arrival (DOA)estimation. Modified MUSIC algorithm search optimal covariance matrix using singular value decomposition and Bayes method, and desired signals are estimated by updating weight. In order to estimation of desired signals, we used sub spatial method of MUSIC algorithm. General MUSIC algorithm can estimate a desired signal in case of non-correlation signal. But, general MUSIC algorithm in case of correlation signal can not estimate a desired signals and resolution is decreased. Though simulation in case of correlation signal, we analyze to compare proposed MUSIC algorithm with general MUSIC algorithm.

Malware Detection Method using Opcode and windows API Calls (Opcode와 Windows API를 사용한 멀웨어 탐지)

  • Ahn, Tae-Hyun;Oh, Sang-Jin;Kwon, Young-Man
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2017
  • We proposed malware detection method, which use the feature vector that consist of Opcode(operation code) and Windows API Calls extracted from executable files. And, we implemented our feature vector and measured the performance of it by using Bernoulli Naïve Bayes and K-Nearest Neighbor classifier. In experimental result, when using the K-NN classifier with the proposed method, we obtain 95.21% malware detection accuracy. It was better than existing methods using only either Opcode or Windows API Calls.

IMPLEMENTATION OF DATA ASSIMILATION METHODOLOGY FOR PHYSICAL MODEL UNCERTAINTY EVALUATION USING POST-CHF EXPERIMENTAL DATA

  • Heo, Jaeseok;Lee, Seung-Wook;Kim, Kyung Doo
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.619-632
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    • 2014
  • The Best Estimate Plus Uncertainty (BEPU) method has been widely used to evaluate the uncertainty of a best-estimate thermal hydraulic system code against a figure of merit. This uncertainty is typically evaluated based on the physical model's uncertainties determined by expert judgment. This paper introduces the application of data assimilation methodology to determine the uncertainty bands of the physical models, e.g., the mean value and standard deviation of the parameters, based upon the statistical approach rather than expert judgment. Data assimilation suggests a mathematical methodology for the best estimate bias and the uncertainties of the physical models which optimize the system response following the calibration of model parameters and responses. The mathematical approaches include deterministic and probabilistic methods of data assimilation to solve both linear and nonlinear problems with the a posteriori distribution of parameters derived based on Bayes' theorem. The inverse problem was solved analytically to obtain the mean value and standard deviation of the parameters assuming Gaussian distributions for the parameters and responses, and a sampling method was utilized to illustrate the non-Gaussian a posteriori distributions of parameters. SPACE is used to demonstrate the data assimilation method by determining the bias and the uncertainty bands of the physical models employing Bennett's heated tube test data and Becker's post critical heat flux experimental data. Based on the results of the data assimilation process, the major sources of the modeling uncertainties were identified for further model development.

Estimation Methods for Population Pharmacokinetic Models using Stochastic Sampling Approach (확률적 표본추출 방법을 이용한 집단 약동학 모형의 추정과 검증에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Kwang-Hee;Yoon, Jeong-Hwa;Lee, Eun-Kyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.175-188
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    • 2015
  • This study is about estimation methods for the population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodymic model. This is a nonlinear mixed effect model, and it is difficult to find estimates of parameters because of nonlinearity. In this study, we examined theoretical background of various estimation methods provided by NONMEM, which is the most widely used software in the pharmacometrics area. We focused on estimation methods using a stochastic sampling approach - IMP, IMPMAP, SAEM and BAYES. The SAEM method showed the best performance among methods, and IMPMAP and BAYES methods showed slightly less performance than SAEM. The major obstacle to a stochastic sampling approach is the running time to find solution. We propose new approach to find more precise initial values using an ITS method to shorten the running time.

Accident Reduction Effects by year After Installation of Red Light Cameras (무인신호위반단속장비 설치 후의 연도별 사고감소 효과)

  • Kim, Tae-Young;Park, Byung-Ho
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2010
  • Because ROTA(road traffic authority) analyzes the effects of accident reduction based on the data of 1-year after installation of RLC(red light camera), study of accident reduction effects over year after the installation of RLC is very short. This study deals with the traffic accident reduction during 3 years after the installation of RLC. The objective is to analyze the effects of accident reduction by year using EB method. In pursuing the above, the study uses the 951 accident data occurred at the 20 intersections which RLC are installed. The main results analyzed are as follows. First, the safety performance function (SPF) has been developed by the Poisson regression models which are statistically significant. Second, the results of an Empirical Bayes(EB) analyses showed that the accidents were reduced by the range from 2.73 to 38.75% after 1 year, from 6.85 to 47.36% after 2 year, and from 6.04 to 39.31% after 3 year from the installation of RLC.