• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.11-23
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• 1998

A Bayes criterion for testing the equality of covariance matrices of two multivariate normal distributions is proposed and studied. Development of the criterion invloves calculation of Bayes factor using the imaginary sample method introduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). The criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test criterion, so that it provides an alternative test criterion to those based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as Box's M test criterion). For the constructed criterion, numerical studies demonstrate routine application and give comparisons with the traditional test criteria.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.6 no.1
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• pp.193-205
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• 1999

An approximate Bayes criterion for Behrens-Fisher problem (testing equality of means of two normal populations with unequal variances) is proposed and examined. Development of the criterion involves derivation of approximate Bayes factor using the imaginary training sample approachintroduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). The proposed criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test criterion having a closed form, so that it provides an alternative test to those based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as Welch's t test). For the suggested Bayes criterion, numerical study gives comparisons with a couple of asymptotic classical test criteria.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.92-101
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• 1987

Our interest is to access in some way teh relative odds or probability that a multivariate observation Z belongs to one of k multivariate normal populations with unequal covariance matrices. We derived the empirical Bayes posterior odds ratio for the classification rule when population parameters are unknown. It is a generalization of the posterior odds ratio suggested by Gelsser (1964). The classification rule does not have complicated distribution theory which a large variety of techniques from the sampling viewpoint have. The proposed posterior odds ratio is compared to the Gelsser's posterior odds ratio through a Monte Carlo study. The results show that the empiricla Bayes posterior odds ratio, in general, performs better than the Gelsser's. Especially, for large dimension of Z and small training sample, the performance is prominent.

• Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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• v.2 no.12
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• pp.1581-1590
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• 2001

This paper asserted more developmental model of WSD(word sense disambiguation) than J. Hur(2000)'s WSD model. This model suggested an improved statistical homonym disambiguation Model based on Bayes Theory. This paper using semantic information(co-occurrence data) obtained from definitions of part of speech(POS) tagged UMRD-S(Ulsan university Machine Readable Dictionary(Semantic Tagged)). we extracted semantic features in the context as nouns, predicates and adverbs from the definitions in the korean dictionary. In this research, we make an experiment with the accuracy of WSD system about major nine homonym nouns and new seven homonym predicates supplementary. The inner experimental result showed average accuracy of 98.32% with regard to the most Nine homonym nouns and 99.53% for the Seven homonym predicates. An Addition, we save test on Korean Information Base and ETRI's POS tagged corpus. This external experimental result showed average accuracy of 84.42% with regard to the most Nine nouns over unsupervised learning sentences from Korean Information Base and ETRI Corpus, 70.81 ％ accuracy rate for the Seven predicates from Sejong Project phrase part tagging corpus (3.5 million phrases) too.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.144-149
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• 2009

The safety assessment for facility industry is now being periodically performed in Korea. For the purpose of scientific safety management, QRA(Quantitative Risk Assessment) is also being performed, and reliability data of the facilities is essential to perform the assessment. The necessary reliability data for QRA have been generally announced the values in other process industries, which results in the drop of risk reliability. The most appropriate method is to perform a direct reliability analysis towards the facilities undergoing safety assessment. In this study, the distinction between homogeneous sample estimation and multi-sample estimation of reliability data clarify using 2-Bayes theory.

• Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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• 1998.05a
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• pp.273-278
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• 1998

Belief network(or Bayesian network) based on Bayes' rule in probabilistic theory can be applied to the reasoning of diagnostic systems. This paper describes the basic theory of concept and feasibility of using the network for diagnosis of nuclear power plants. An example shows that the probabilities of root causes of a failure are calculated from the measured or believed evidences.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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• v.18 no.8
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• pp.31-37
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• 2019

The inter-development of FMECA is very important to assess the effect of potential failures during system operation on mission, safety and performance. Among these, criticality analysis is a core task that identifies items with high risk and selects the analyzed objects as the key management targets and reflects their effects to the design optimization. In this paper, we analyze the theory related to criticality analysis following US military standard, and propose a method to quantify the failure effect probability for objective criticality analysis. The criticality analysis according to the US military standard depends on the subjective judgment of the failure probability. The methodology for quantifying the failure effect probability is presented by using the reliability theory and the Bayes theorem. The failure rate is calculated by applying the method to quantify failure effect probability.

• Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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• 2014.11a
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• pp.1136-1138
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• 2014

Recently, predicting personality with the help of smartphone usage is become very interesting and attention grabbing topic in the field of research. At present there are some approaches towards detecting a user's personality which uses the smartphones usage data, such as call detail records (CDRs), the usage of short message services (SMSs) and the usage of social networking services application. In this paper, we focus on the predicting user attitude based on MBTI theory by using their smartphone usage data. We used Naïve Bayes and SVM classifier for classifying user personalities by extracting some features from smartphone usage data. From analysis it is observed that, SVM classifier works well as compared to Naïve Bayes.

• Journal of Information Technology Services
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• v.11 no.1
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• pp.211-221
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• 2012

Many metric-based classification models have been proposed to predict fault-proneness of software module. This paper presents two prediction models using Bayesian classifier which is one of the most popular modern classification algorithms. Bayesian model based on Bayesian probability theory can be a promising technique for software quality prediction. This is due to the ability to represent uncertainty using probabilities and the ability to partly incorporate expert's knowledge into training data. The two models, Na$\ddot{i}$veBayes(NB) and Bayesian Belief Network(BBN), are constructed and dimensionality reduction of training data and test data are performed before model evaluation. Prediction accuracy of the model is evaluated using two prediction error measures, Type I error and Type II error, and compared with well-known prediction models, backpropagation neural network model and support vector machine model. The results show that the prediction performance of BBN model is slightly better than that of NB. For the data set with ambiguity, although the BBN model's prediction accuracy is not as good as the compared models, it achieves better performance than the compared models for the data set without ambiguity.

• Journal of Communications and Networks
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.75-83
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• 2015

In mobile ad-hoc networks (MANETs), nodes are mobile in nature. Collaboration between mobile nodes is more significant in MANETs, which have as their greatest challenges vulnerabilities to various security attacks and an inability to operate securely while preserving its resources and performing secure routing among nodes. Therefore, it is essential to develop an effective secure routing protocol to protect the nodes from anonymous behaviors. Currently, game theory is a tool that analyzes, formulates and solves selfishness issues. It is seldom applied to detect malicious behavior in networks. It deals, instead, with the strategic and rational behavior of each node. In our study,we used the dynamic Bayesian signaling game to analyze the strategy profile for regular and malicious nodes. This game also revealed the best actions of individual strategies for each node. Perfect Bayesian equilibrium (PBE) provides a prominent solution for signaling games to solve incomplete information by combining strategies and payoff of players that constitute equilibrium. Using PBE strategies of nodes are private information of regular and malicious nodes. Regular nodes should be cooperative during routing and update their payoff, while malicious nodes take sophisticated risks by evaluating their risk of being identified to decide when to decline. This approach minimizes the utility of malicious nodes and it motivates better cooperation between nodes by using the reputation system. Regular nodes monitor continuously to evaluate their neighbors using belief updating systems of the Bayes rule.