• 제목/요약/키워드: Average weighted risk

검색결과 56건 처리시간 0.023초

작업환경측정 결과를 활용한 벤젠 노출 매트릭스에 대한 연구 (Benzene Exposure Matrices Using Employees's Exposure Assessment Data)

  • 백경희;박동욱;하권철
    • 한국산업보건학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.146-155
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    • 2015
  • Objectives: The aims of this study were to set up benzene exposure matrices according to industry and process and to assess the risk of those occupational exposure to benzene. Methods: The benzene exposure matrices were assembled depending on industry and process, based on an exposure database provided by KOSHA(the Korean Occupational Safety and Health Agency), which was gathered from a workplace hazards evaluation program in Korea. These exposure matrices were assessed by Hallmark Risk Assessment tool. Results: The benzene was treated 412 industries sector(36%), 2,747 business places, and 471 industrial processes according to database. The arithmetic mean of past decade 8 hours time-weighted average of airborne benzene concentrations in the workplace was 0.10722 ppm. 1.07% of the total sample were greater than OEL, and 59.8% were showed less than the limit of detection. The highest risk values(Danger Value) were seen 36 industries including manufacture of general paints and similar product and 12 processes, such as other painting of manufacture of metal fabricated members. Exposure matrices based on employee exposure data base may provide exposure histories and can be used in epidemiological studies. Conclusions: It was found that more attentions should be paid to 36 among 412 industries and 12 of 471 processes, with a higher risk value.

위험기반검사 프로그램에 의한 화학설비의 정량적 위험성 평가 (Quantitative Risk Assessment of the Chemical Facilities by KS-RBI Program)

  • 김태옥;이헌창;최성규;조지훈;함병호
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제11권4호
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    • pp.23-28
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    • 2007
  • 정량적 원인분석이 가능한 위험기반검사(KS-RBI) 프로그램을 사용하여 화학설비의 사고 피해범위를 산출하고, 일반적인 정량적 위험성 평가를 수행하는 프로그램인 K-CARM에서 얻은 결과와 비교하였다. 그 결과, KS-RBI 프로그램에 의해 산출한 사고피해 크기는 K-CARM의 결과와 비교적 잘 일치하여 KS-RBI 프로그램이 정량적 위험성 평가에 적극 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대된다. 또한 사업장에서는 가중평균에 의한 사고 피해영역을 활용함으로써 현실성 있는 피해완화조치와 비상조치계획을 수립할 수 있을 것으로 생각된다.

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암 환자에게 적용한 심리사회적 중재가 코티졸과 면역기능에 미친 효과: 메타분석 (Effects of Psychosocial Interventions on Cortisol and Immune Parameters in Patients with Cancer: A Meta-analysis)

  • 오복자;장은수
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제44권4호
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    • pp.446-457
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This study was done to evaluate the effects of psychosocial interventions on cortisol and immune response in adult patients with cancer. Methods: MEDLINE via PubMed, Cochrane Library CENTRAL, EMBASE, CINAHL and domestic electronic databases were searched. Twenty controlled trials (11 randomized and 9 non-randomized trials) met the inclusion criteria with a total of 862 participants. Methodological quality was assessed using the Cochrane's Risk of Bias for randomized studies and the Risk of Bias Assessment tool for non randomized studies. Data were analyzed using the RevMan 5.2.11 program of Cochrane library. Results: Overall, study quality was moderate to high. The weighted average effect size across studies was -0.32 (95% CI [-0.56, -0.07], p=.010, $I^2 $=45%) for cortisol concentration, -0.62 (95%CI [-0.96,-0.29], p<.001, $I^2 $=0%) for T lymphocyte (CD3) and -0.45 (95%CI [-0.74, -0.16], p=.003, $I^2 $=0%) for Th lymphocyte (CD4) numbers. Psychosocial interventions were not effective for Tc lymphocyte (CD4), NK cell, monocyte, and cytokine response. Conclusion: Although these results provide only small evidence of successful immune modulation, they support the conclusion that psychosocial interventions can assist cancer patients in reducing emotional distress and improving immune response.

차원축소를 통한 다변량 시계열의 변동성 분석 및 응용 (Volatility Analysis for Multivariate Time Series via Dimension Reduction)

  • 송유진;최문선;황선영
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.825-835
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    • 2008
  • 계량경제학 분야에서 널리 쓰이는 MGARCH(multivariate GARCH)모형은 여러개의 시계열자료들의 변동성을 함께 모형화한다. 그러나 변수가 많아질수록 추정해야 할 모수의 수가 급격하게 늘어나는 문제점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 인자 모형을 통해 자료의 차원을 축소시킴로써 이러한 문제를 해결하고자 하였다. 국내의 주가수익률 자료에 통계적 인자 모형과 fundamental factor model을 적용하여 각각의 의미 있는 인자들을 얻은 후 이를 MGARCH모형에 적합시켰다. 또한 두 인자모형을 바탕으로 얻어진 최종 모형들의 MSE, MAD와 VaR(Value at Risk)를 계산하여 예측력을 비교하고자 한다.

지식자산위험을 고려한 기술가치평가 할인율 적산모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Build-up Model for the Discount Rate of Technology Valuation including Intellectual Property Risk)

  • 성웅현
    • 기술혁신학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.241-263
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    • 2008
  • 기술가치평가에서 적절한 할인율의 적용은 가치평가의 신뢰성을 확보하는데 중요한 요소이다. 개별 기술가치평가 할인율은 개별 지식자산에 내재된 위험과 기회를 반영하는 것이기 때문에, 기업가치평가 표준 할인율인 WACC 과 상당히 다르다고 판단된다. 본 연구의 목적은 기술가치평가 할인율 적산모형의 위험구조와 위험프리미엄 추정방법을 제안하는 것이다. 적산모형의 성분은 무위험이자율, 전반적 시장위험프리미엄과 베타, 지식자산위험프리미엄 등 세 가지로 구성하였다. 특히, 본 연구에서 할인율 구성의 핵심인 지식자산위험 수준을 평가할 수 있는 10개 항목을 제안하였고, 위험수준 결과를 위험프리미엄으로 변환하기 위한 추정함수인 선형함수, 자연로그함수, 지수함수 등을 적용하였다. 상기 논리와 결과는 기술가치평가 할인율 추정의 객관성을 개선할 수 있는 실무적 대안이 될 수 있을 것이다.

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Monte-Carlo 모의실험을 통한 부분 인구집단별 이산화질소와 오존의 노출 및 위해성 평가 (Exposure and Risk Assessment of Nitrogen Dioxide and Ozone for Sub-population Groups using Monte-Carlo Simulations)

  • 박진현;류현수;양소영;박윤경;허정;김은채;최영태;조만수;양원호
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: Although the risk assessments for nitrogen dioxide ($NO_2$) and ozone ($O_3$) have been extensively studied, most of the existing risk assessments were limited mainly to indoor environments such as workplaces, schools, and multi-use facilities. Therefore, integrated risk assessment is needed to consider exposure in all microenvironments, including outdoors. The purpose of this study was to assess the differences in risk among sub-population groups according to time-activity patterns and reported concentrations, as well as the lifetime risk of Koreans. Methods: In this study, we estimated time-weighted average exposure concentrations of $NO_2$ and $O_3$ for preschool children, students, housewives, workers, and seniors using residential time and indoor concentrations (house, school or workplace, other), outdoors, and transport by meta-analysis method. The risk for $NO_2$ and $O_3$ were assessed by hazard quotient using reference concentrations 30 and 60 ppb, respectively. The risk assessments were conducted through 1,000,000 Monte-Carlo simulations for probabilistic analysis. Results: Preschool children, students, housewives, workers, and seniors spent 91.9, 86.0, 79.8, 82.2, and 77.3% of their day in a house, school, or workplace, respectively. The risk assessment for the lifetime of a housewife and a worker showed that 33.8 and 28.4% of hazard quotients of $NO_2$ exceed 1, respectively, and more than 99% of hazard quotient of $O_3$ were less than 1. Conclusions: The risk of $NO_2$ and $O_3$ by sub-population group and for the lifetime of housewives and workers were assessed. The risk for $NO_2$ was higher than for $O_3$ and showed a different risk by sub-population group. Both $NO_2$ and $O_3$ showed a higher risk for housewives than for workers. This study can be used as a basis for lifetime exposure and risk assessment for $NO_2$ and $O_3$.

Association between dietary fiber intake and kidney stones: results from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2011-2018)

  • Weinan Chen;Yang Hong;Sailimai Man; Tao Xu
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제18권4호
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    • pp.534-543
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    • 2024
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Studies on the impact of dietary fiber intake on kidney stones are few, and their results were controversial. This study aimed to explore the association between dietary fiber intake and kidney stones in the nationally representative population of the USA. SUBJECTS/METHODS: This cross-sectional research included 8,588 participants from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 2011 to 2018. Information regarding dietary fiber intake was obtained from a 24-h recall survey. Participants were categorized into different dietary fiber intake tertiles according to the average of 2 days of dietary recall data. The outcome was self-reported kidney stones. After adjusting for the traditional risk factors, a multivariate logistic regression model was used to examine the association between dietary fiber intake and kidney stones. RESULTS: Eight hundred seventy-two participants had kidney stones. The weighted prevalence (SE) of kidney stones in the lowest tertile, medium tertile, and highest tertile of dietary fiber intake was 11.8% (0.8%), 10.3% (0.8%), and 9.1% (0.8%), respectively. After adjusting for age, sex, race and ethnicity, education level, smoking status, alcohol consumption, physical activity, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, daily water intake, chronic kidney disease stage 3-5, and total energy intake, participants with the highest tertile of fiber intake had a significantly lower risk of kidney stones (odds ratio [OR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.48-0.95) compared to those in the lowest tertile. Every 5 g/day increment in dietary fiber intake was associated with a significant decrease in risk of kidney stones (OR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.83-0.98). CONCLUSION: An increase in dietary fiber intake was associated with a lower risk of kidney stones, suggesting adults should be encouraged to maintain an adequate dietary fiber intake to prevent the development of kidney stones. Our results provide evidence to formulate nutrition management strategies for the prevention of kidney stones.

Hazardous Alcohol Consumption and the Risk of Hearing Impairment in Adults Based on the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey: A Retrospective Study

  • Park, Jin-A;Suh, Michelle J.
    • Journal of Audiology & Otology
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2019
  • Background and Objectives: To investigate the relationship between hearing impairment and alcohol drinking patterns in South Korean adults. Subjects and Methods: Data collection was performed by Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey from January 1 to December 31, 2012. Data analyses were performed from February 20 to March 3, 2018. Data from 3,860 adults 20 years of age or older without a history of malignancy or chronic otitis media in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey 2012 database who participated in the health questionnaires, and who had available results from otologic examinations that included pure tone audiogram, were included. Pure-tone average hearing thresholds were calculated at 500, 1,000, 2,000, and 4,000 Hz. Hearing loss was defined as a pure-tone average >40 dB in one or both ears. The Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test was used to evaluate drinking statuses of subjects. Data were analyzed using the complex-sample χ2-test of independence and a complex-sample logistic regression analysis. Results: Of the 29,954,319 individuals in the weighted cross-sectional study population, 15,106,040 (50.4%) were men and 14,848,098 (49.6%) were women. A total of 8.1% of men and 7% of women had hearing impairment. The degrees of drinking with appropriate, risky, and hazardous drinking habits were 58.2, 32.1, and 9.7% among men; and 76.4, 12.5, and 11.1% among women, respectively. Among men, the odds ratio of hearing loss increased by 2.506 times when comparing hazardous and appropriate drinking (confidence interval, 1.083 to 5.800, p=0.002). Moderate alcohol consumption (≤2 drinks per day) was not protective for hearing in either group. Conclusions: As hazardous drinking tends to coexist with hearing impairment in men, appropriate prevention and intervention strategies should be emphasized. A longitudinal study to investigate harmful drinking and the mechanism of hearing loss should be performed.

Hazardous Alcohol Consumption and the Risk of Hearing Impairment in Adults Based on the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey: A Retrospective Study

  • Park, Jin-A;Suh, Michelle J.
    • 대한청각학회지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2019
  • Background and Objectives: To investigate the relationship between hearing impairment and alcohol drinking patterns in South Korean adults. Subjects and Methods: Data collection was performed by Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey from January 1 to December 31, 2012. Data analyses were performed from February 20 to March 3, 2018. Data from 3,860 adults 20 years of age or older without a history of malignancy or chronic otitis media in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Survey 2012 database who participated in the health questionnaires, and who had available results from otologic examinations that included pure tone audiogram, were included. Pure-tone average hearing thresholds were calculated at 500, 1,000, 2,000, and 4,000 Hz. Hearing loss was defined as a pure-tone average >40 dB in one or both ears. The Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test was used to evaluate drinking statuses of subjects. Data were analyzed using the complex-sample χ2-test of independence and a complex-sample logistic regression analysis. Results: Of the 29,954,319 individuals in the weighted cross-sectional study population, 15,106,040 (50.4%) were men and 14,848,098 (49.6%) were women. A total of 8.1% of men and 7% of women had hearing impairment. The degrees of drinking with appropriate, risky, and hazardous drinking habits were 58.2, 32.1, and 9.7% among men; and 76.4, 12.5, and 11.1% among women, respectively. Among men, the odds ratio of hearing loss increased by 2.506 times when comparing hazardous and appropriate drinking (confidence interval, 1.083 to 5.800, p=0.002). Moderate alcohol consumption (≤2 drinks per day) was not protective for hearing in either group. Conclusions: As hazardous drinking tends to coexist with hearing impairment in men, appropriate prevention and intervention strategies should be emphasized. A longitudinal study to investigate harmful drinking and the mechanism of hearing loss should be performed.

Monte-Carlo 모의실험을 통한 부분 인구집단별 벤젠 및 PM10의 노출 및 위해성 평가 (Exposure and Risk Assessment of Benzene and PM10 for Sub-populations using Monte-Carlo Simulations)

  • 박진현;양소영;박윤경;류현수;김은채;최영태;허정;조만수;양원호
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.247-257
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: The Korea Ministry of Environment regulates concentrations of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) through Atmosphere Environmental Standards to protect public health from HAPs. However, simply determining the exceedance of HAP concentrations has several limitations and more comprehensive assessment is required. In addition, integrated risk assessment is needed considering exposure in all microenvironments, including outdoor as well as indoor environments. The purpose of this study was to assess the differences in risk by sub-population groups according to time-activity patterns and reported concentrations, as well as the lifetime risk for Koreans. Methods: In this study, we calculated time-weighted average exposure concentrations for benzene and $PM_{10}$ among preschool-age children, students, housewifes, workers, and the elderly using residential time and concentrations for indoor (house, school or workplace, other), outdoor, and transport by the meta-analysis method. The risk assessments were conducted by excess cancer risk and disease death risk using 1,000,000 Monte-Carlo simulations for probabilistic analysis. Results: Preschool-age children, students, housewifes, workers, and the elderly spent 91.9, 86.0, 79.8, 82.2, and 77.3% of their day in their house, workplace, or school, respectively. The more than 99% excess cancer risk for benzene exceed 1.0E-06 in all sub-populations and lifetime. The acute disease death risk for $PM_{10}$ for housewifes and workers for lifetime were 3.35E-04 and 3.18E-04, and chronic disease death risks were 2.84E-03 and 2.70E-03, respectively. Conclusions: The risk of benzene and $PM_{10}$ by sub-population group and for the lifetime of housewifes and workers were assessed. Benzene showed risky results for this study. All disease death risks of $PM_{10}$ were higher than 1.0E-04 and showed different risks by sub-population. This study can be used as a basis for lifetime exposure and risk assessment to benzene and $PM_{10}$.