• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.6 no.7
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• pp.297-306
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• 2017

Citizens want more accurate forecast information using Bus Information System. However, most bus information systems that use an average based short-term prediction algorithm include many errors because they do not consider the effects of the traffic flow, signal period, and halting time. In this paper, we try to improve the precision of forecast information by analyzing the influencing factors of the error, thereby making the convenience of the citizens. We analyzed the influence factors of the error using BIS data. It is shown in the analyzed data that the effects of the time characteristics and geographical conditions are mixed, and that effects on halting time and passes speed is different. Therefore, the halt time is constructed using Generalized Additive Model with explanatory variable such as hour, GPS coordinate and number of routes, and we used Hidden Markov Model to construct a pattern considering the influence of traffic flow on the unit section. As a result of the pattern construction, accurate real-time forecasting and long-term prediction of route travel time were possible. Finally, it is shown that this model is suitable for travel time prediction through statistical test between observed data and predicted data. As a result of this paper, we can provide more precise forecast information to the citizens, and we think that long-term forecasting can play an important role in decision making such as route scheduling.

• Tunnel and Underground Space
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• v.23 no.5
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• pp.353-361
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• 2013

Previous studies for analyzing optimal haulage routes of dump trucks in open pit mines mostly used raster data. However, the raster data has several problems in performing optimal route analyses: (1) the jagged appearance of haulage roads according the cell resolution often causes overestimation of the travel cost; (2) it difficult to trace the topological relationships among haulage roads. These problems can be eliminated by using vector network data, however a new method is required to reflect the performance characteristics of a dump truck according to terrain gradient changes. This study presents a new method to create vector network data with the consideration of terrain gradient for analyzing optimal haulage routes of dump trucks in open pit mines. It consists of four procedures: (a) creating digital elevation models, (b) digitizing haulage road networks, (c) calculating the terrain gradient of haulage roads, and (d) calculating the average speed and travel time of a dump truck along haulage roads. A simple case study at the Roto South pit in the Pasir open pit coal mine, Indonesia is also presented to provide proof that the proposed method is easily compatible to ArcGIS Network Analyst software and is effective in finding optimal haulage routes of dump trucks with considering terrain gradient in open pit mines.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.13 no.3
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• pp.78-88
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• 2014

Now, UTIS collects and provides traffic information by building RSE 1,150(unit) and OBE about 51,000(vehicle). it's inevitable to enlarge traffic information sources which use to improve quality of UTIS traffic information for Stabilizing UTIS's service. but there are missing data sections. And, In this study as a way to overcome these problems, based on BIS(Bus information system) installed and operating in the capital area to develop normal vehicle's link transit time estimation model which is used realtime collecting BMS data, we'll utilize the model to provide missing data section's information. For these problem, we selected partial section of suwon-city, anyang-city followed by drive only way or not and conducted model estimating and verification each of BMS data and UTIS traffic information. Consequently, Case2,4,6,8 presented highly credibility between UTIS communication data and estimated value but In the Case 3,5 we determined to replace communication data of UTIS' missing data section too hard for large error. So we need to apply high credibility model formula adjusting road managing condition and the situation of object section.

• Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.335-349
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• 2018

This study analyzes the effect of the changes in traffic environments such as transportation speeds on the time-distance accessibility for the public transportation passengers. To do this, we use passenger transaction databases of the Seoul metropolitan public transportation system: one week for each of the three years (2011, 2013, and 2015). These big data contain the information about time and space on the traffic trajectories of every passenger. In this study, the time-distances of links between subway stations and bus stops of the public transportation system at each time are calculated based on the actual travel time extracted from the traffic-card transaction database. The changes in the time-distance accessibility of the integrated transportation network from the experimental results can be summarized in two aspects. First, the accessibility tends to decline as the year goes by. This is because the transportation network becomes more complicated and then the average moving speed of the vehicles is lowered. Second, the accessibility tends to increase on the weekend in the analysis of accessibility changes by day. This tendency is because the bus speeds on bus routes on the weekend are faster than other days. In order to analyze the accessibility changes, we illustrate graphs of the vehicle speeds and the numbers of passengers by year and day.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.77-82
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• 2012

To share the lanes with conventional vehicles, traffic operation strategy is needed for NEV (Neighborhood Electric Vehicle). Because NEV cannot accelerate sharply as fast as common car include gasoline, diesel and LPG cars, they may interrupt traffic conditions and make traffic delay. After green lights turn on, all vehicles run through the street including NEV, but NEV have a maximum speed which is 50km/h. It can be an obstacle for following vehicles and will make traffic delay of the intersection. In this reason, we need to organize traffic systems like queue jump with priority traffic signal. To analyze the necessity for NEV road operations, we simulate three scenarios in congested and non-congested conditions. First is that we examine the condition which is mixed NEV and cars on the road, the second one is that we set up lane only NEV can accepted in simulation and last one is making queue jump lane and providing priority signal for NEV. In conclusion, we can conclude that making lane only for NEV is effective to improve travel speed when rate of NEVs is over 20%. Also queue jump lane and priority signal cannot make good effect to intersection delay and average speed.

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.179-188
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• 2017

It is very challenging to analyze the traffic flow in the city because there are lots of traffic accidents, intersections, and pedestrians etc. Now, even in mid-size cities Bus Information Systems(BIS) have been deployed, which have offered the forecast of arriving times at the stations to passengers. BIS also provides more informations such as the current locations, departure-arrival times of buses. In this paper, we perform the time-series analysis of the traffic flow using the data of the average trvel time and the average speed between stations extracted from the BIS. In the mid size cities, the data from BIS will have a important role on prediction and analysis of the traffic flow. We used the Dynamic Linear Model(DLM) for how to make the time series forecasting model to analyze and predict the average speeds at the given locations, which seem to show the representative of traffics in the city. Especially, we analysis travel times for weekdays and weekends separately. We think this study can help forecast the traffic jams, congestion areas and more accurate arrival times of buses.

• KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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• v.6 no.4
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• pp.189-196
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• 2017

BIS(Bus Information System) provides the different information related to buses including predictions of arriving times at stations. BIS have been deployed almost all cities in our country and played active roles to improve the convenience of public transportation systems. Moving average filters, Kalman filter and regression models have been representative in forecasting the arriving times of buses in current BIS. The accuracy in prediction of arriving times depends largely on the forecasting algorithms and traffic conditions considered when forecasting in BIS. In present BIS, the simple prediction algorithms are used only considering the passage times and distances between stations. The forecasting of arrivals, however, have been influenced by the traffic conditions such as traffic signals, traffic accidents and pedestrians ets., and missing data. To improve the accuracy of bus arriving estimates, there are big troubles in building models including the above problems. Hidden Markov Models have been effective algorithms considering various restrictions above. So, we have built the HMM forecasting models for bus arriving times in the current BIS. When building models, the data collected from Sunchean City at 2015 have been utilized. There are about 2298 stations and 217 routes in Suncheon city. The models are developed differently week days and weekend. And then the models are conformed with the data from different districts and times. We find that our HMM models can provide more accurate forecasting than other existing methods like moving average filters, Kalmam filters, or regression models. In this paper, we propose Hidden Markov Model to obtain more precise and accurate model better than Moving Average Filter, Kalman Filter and regression model. With the help of Hidden Markov Model, two different sections were used to find the pattern and verified using Bootstrap process.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.14 no.1
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• pp.22-30
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• 2015

Recently ITS have been increasingly applied on the roads to resolve traffic problems. Especially, Variable Message Sign (VMS), which is the one of ITS for traffic management and traffic safety, can be used for providing information about road conditions, climate conditions. In this study, data acquisition and statistical analysis were conducted for estimating safety impacts of providing traffic information through VMS. As a result of analyzing traffic characteristics before and after providing traffic information through VMS, average travel speed was decreased and vehicles tended to drive on centerline of lanes in 1st and 2nd lane after providing traffic information through VMS. Also, in order to analyze safety impacts of provided VMS traffic information, traffic safety hazard zone was established in each lane and probability distributions of passing traffic on the study area was estimated through Anderson-Darling Test. As a result of this, safety impacts of VMS traffic information in 1st lane could, on average, increase in left and right side of the lane by 0.69% and 7.07%, respectively. In case of 2nd lane, safety impacts could, on average, increase in left and right side of the lane by 2.71% and 0.02%, respectively.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.25 no.6
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• pp.33-42
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• 2007

This research proposes strategies about providing detour route information and traffic management for flood disasters. Suggested strategies are based on prevention and preparation concepts including prediction, optimization, and simulation in order to minimize damage. Specifically, this study shows the possibility that average travel speed is increased by proper signal progression during downpours or heavy snowfalls. In addition, in order to protect the drivers and vehicles from dangerous situations, this study proposes a route guidance strategy based on variational inequalities such as flooding. However, other roads can have traffic congestion by the suggested strategies. Thus, this study also shows the possibility to solve traffic congestion of other roads in networks with emergency signal modes.

• Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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• v.29 no.6
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• pp.745-756
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• 2013

The purpose of this study is to evaluate representativeness of fuel-based emission factors. Twelve light-duty diesel vehicles which meet Euro-3 to 5 legislative emission limits were selected for emission tests. Second-by-second modal emission rates of vehicles were measured on a standard laboratory chassis dynamometer system. An off-cycle driving cycle was developed as a representative Korean real-world on-road driving cycle. Fuel-based emission factors were developed for short trip segments that involved in the selected driving cycle. Each segment was defined to have unit travel distance, which is 1 km, and characterized by its average speed and Relative Positive Acceleration (RPA). Fuel-based $NO_x$ emission factors demonstrate relatively good representativeness in terms of vehicle operation conditions. $NO_x$ emission factors are estimated to be within ${\pm}20%$ of area-wide emission factor under more than 40% of total driving situations. This result implies that the fuel-based $NO_x$ emission factor could be practically implemented into the on-road emission management strategies, such as a remote sensing device (RSD). High emitting vehicles as well as high emitting operating conditions heavily affect on the mean values and distributions of CO and THC emission factors. Few high emitting conditions are pulling up the mean value and biasing the distributions, which weaken representativeness of fuel-based CO and THC emission factors.