• Title/Summary/Keyword: Average mean square error

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A Study on the Characteristics of Software Reliability Model Using Exponential-Exponential Life Distribution (수명분포가 지수화-지수분포를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰모형 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee Cheul;Moon, Song Chul
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, we applied the shape parameters of the exponentialized exponential life distribution widely used in the field of software reliability, and compared the reliability properties of the software using the non-homogeneous Poisson process in finite failure. In addition, the average value function is also a non-decreasing form. In the case of the larger the shape parameter, the smaller the estimated error in predicting the predicted value in comparison with the true value, so it can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of relative accuracy. Also, in the larger the shape parameter, the larger the estimated value of the coefficient of determination, which can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of suitability. So. the larger the shape parameter model can be regarded as an efficient model in terms of goodness-of-fit. In the form of the reliability function, it gradually appears as a non-increasing pattern and the higher the shape parameter, the lower it is as the mission time elapses. Through this study, software operators can use the pattern of mean square error, mean value, and hazard function as a basic guideline for exploring software failures.

Distributed Fusion Moving Average Prediction for Linear Stochastic Systems

  • Song, Il Young;Song, Jin Mo;Jeong, Woong Ji;Gong, Myoung Sool
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.88-93
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    • 2019
  • This paper is concerned with distributed fusion moving average prediction for continuous-time linear stochastic systems with multiple sensors. A distributed fusion with the weighted sum structure is applied to the optimal local moving average predictors. The distributed fusion prediction algorithm represents the optimal linear fusion by weighting matrices under the minimum mean square criterion. The derivation of equations for error cross-covariances between the local predictors is the key of this paper. Example demonstrates effectiveness of the distributed fusion moving average predictor.

Asymptotic Performance of MIMO-MC-CDMA Systems in Multi-cell Environments (다중셀 환경에서 MIMO-MC-CDMA시스템의 점근적 성능)

  • Kim, Kyeong-Yeon;Ham, Jae-Sang;Lee, Chung-Yong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.44 no.7 s.361
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2007
  • This paper analyzes the output signal-to-interference-plus-noise ratio (SINR) for a multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) multicarrier code division multiple access (MC-CDMA) system with minium mean square error receivers in multi-cell environments. A previous work in single cell environments is extended into analysis in multi-cell environments. The use of Haar unitary code matrix for asymptotic analysis causes other cell interferences expressed with a diagonal matrix haying different diagonal values. This paper shows that other cell interferences converge to an identity matrix whose gain is expressed by only other cell interference power in mean square sense and finds asymptotic deterministic SINRs for a given other cell interference. Under the assumption that the sum of lognormal fading components is distributed by other lognormal function, we show the comparison between theoretical performances and simulations from the view point of bit error rate and present average throughput performance according to the cell radius.

Movie Recommendation System based on Latent Factor Model (잠재요인 모델 기반 영화 추천 시스템)

  • Ma, Chen;Kim, Kang-Chul
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.125-134
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    • 2021
  • With the rapid development of the film industry, the number of films is significantly increasing and movie recommendation system can help user to predict the preferences of users based on their past behavior or feedback. This paper proposes a movie recommendation system based on the latent factor model with the adjustment of mean and bias in rating. Singular value decomposition is used to decompose the rating matrix and stochastic gradient descent is used to optimize the parameters for least-square loss function. And root mean square error is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed system. We implement the proposed system with Surprise package. The simulation results shows that root mean square error is 0.671 and the proposed system has good performance compared to other papers.

Global Hourly Solar Irradiation Estimation using Cloud Cover and Sunshine Duration in South Korea (운량 및 일조시간을 이용한 우리나라의 시간당 전일사량의 평가)

  • Lee, Kwan-Ho
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2011
  • Computer simulation of buildings and solar energy systems is being used increasingly in energy assessments and design. For the six locations (Seoul, Incheon, Daejeon, Deagu, Gwangju and Busan) in South Korea where the global hourly solar irradiation (GHSI) is currently measured, GHSI was calculated using a comparatively simple cloud cover radiation model (CRM) and sunshine fraction radiation model (SFRM). The result was that the measured and calculated values of GHSI were similar for the six regions. Results of cloud cover and sunshine fraction models have been compared with the measured data using the coefficient of determination (R2), root-mean-square error (RMSE) and mean bias error (MBE). The strength of correlation R2 varied within similar ranges: 0.886-0.914 for CRM and 0.908-0.934 for SFRM. Average MBE for the CRM and SFRM were 6.67 and 14.02 W/m2, respectively, and average RMSE 104.36 and 92.15 W/m2. This showed that SFRM was slightly accurate and used many regions as compared to CRM for prediction of GHSI.

Real-time SCR-HP(Selective catalytic reduction - high pressure) valve temperature collection and failure prediction using ARIMA (ARIMA를 활용한 실시간 SCR-HP 밸브 온도 수집 및 고장 예측)

  • Lee, Suhwan;Hong, Hyeonji;Park, Jisoo;Yeom, Eunseop
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Visualization
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.62-67
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    • 2021
  • Selective catalytic reduction(SCR) is an exhaust gas reduction device to remove nitro oxides (NOx). SCR operation of ship can be controlled through valves for minimizing economic loss from SCR. Valve in SCR-high pressure (HP) system is directly connected to engine exhaust and operates in high temperature and high pressure. Long-term thermal deformation induced by engine heat weakens the sealing of the valve, which can lead to unexpected failures during ship sailing. In order to prevent the unexpected failures due to long-term valve thermal deformation, a failure prediction system using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) was proposed. Based on the heating experiment, virtual data mimicking temperature range around the SCR-HP valve were produced. By detecting abnormal temperature rise and fall based on the short-term ARIMA prediction, an algorithm determines whether present temperature data is required for failure prediction. The signal processed by the data collection algorithm was interpolated for the failure prediction. By comparing mean average error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE), ARIMA model and suitable prediction instant were determined.

An Improved Frequency Modeling Corresponding to the Location of the Anjok of the Gayageum (가야금 안족의 위치에 따른 개선된 주파수 모델링)

  • Kwon, Sundeok;Cho, Sangjin
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.146-151
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    • 2014
  • This paper analyzes the previous Anjok model of the Gayageum and describes a method to improve the frequency modeling based on previous model. In the previous work, relation between the fundamental frequency and Anjok's location on the body is assumed as an exponential function and these frequencies are integrated by a first-order leaky integrator. Finally, a parameter of the formula to calculate the fundamental frequency is obtained by applying integrated frequencies to the linear regression. This model shows 2.5 Hz absolute deviation on average and has maximum error 7.75 Hz for the low fundamental frequencies. In order to overcome this problem, this paper proposes that the Anjok's locations are grouped according to the rate of error increase and linear regression is applied to each group. To find the optimal parameter, the RMSE(Root Mean Square Error) between measured and calculated fundamental frequencies is used. The proposed model shows substantial reduction in errors, especially maximum three times.

Isobaric Vapor-Liquid Equilibrium of 1-propanol and Benzene System at Subatmospheric Pressures (일정압력하에서 1-propanol/benzene 계의 기-액 상평형)

  • Rho, Seon-Gyun;Kang, Choon-Hyoung
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.56 no.2
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    • pp.222-228
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    • 2018
  • Benzene is one of the most widely used basic materials in the petrochemical industry. Generally, benzene exists as a mixture with alcohols rather than as a pure substance. Further, the alcohols-added mixtures usually exhibit an azeotropic composition. In this context, knowledge of the phase equilibrium behavior of the mixture is essential for its separation and purification. In this study, the vapor-liquid equilibrium data were measured in favor of a recirculating VLE apparatus under constant pressure for the 1 - propanol / benzene system. The measured vapor - liquid equilibrium data were also correlated by using the UNIQUAC and WILSON models and the thermodynamic consistency test based on the Gibbs/Duhem equation was followed. The results of the phase equilibrium experiment revealed RMSEs (Root Mean Square Error) and AADs (Average Absolute Deviation) of less than 0.05 for both models, indicating a good agreement between the experimental value and the calculated value. The results of the thermodynamic consistency test also confirmed through the residual term within ${\pm}0.2$.

Novel LTE based Channel Estimation Scheme for V2V Environment (LTE 기반 V2V 환경에서 새로운 채널 추정 기법)

  • Chu, Myeonghun;Moon, Sangmi;Kwon, Soonho;Lee, Jihye;Bae, Sara;Kim, Hanjong;Kim, Cheolsung;Kim, Daejin;Hwang, Intae
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.3-9
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    • 2017
  • Recently, in 3rd Generation Partnership Project(3GPP), there is a study of the Long Term Evolution(LTE) based vehicle communication which has been actively conducted to provide a transport efficiency, telematics and infortainment. Because the vehicle communication is closely related to the safety, it requires a reliable communication. Because vehicle speed is very fast, unlike the movement of the user, radio channel is rapidly changed and generate a number of problems such as transmission quality degradation. Therefore, we have to continuously updates the channel estimates. There are five types of conventional channel estimation scheme. Least Square(LS) is obtained by pilot symbol which is known to transmitter and receiver. Decision Directed Channel Estimation(DDCE) scheme uses the data signal for channel estimation. Constructed Data Pilot(CDP) scheme uses the correlation characteristic between adjacent two data symbols. Spectral Temporal Averaging(STA) scheme uses the frequency-time domain average of the channel. Smoothing scheme reduces the peak error value of data decision. In this paper, we propose the novel channel estimation scheme in LTE based Vehicle-to-Vehicle(V2V) environment. In our Hybrid Reliable Channel Estimation(HRCE) scheme, DDCE and Smoothing schemes are combined and finally the Linear Minimum Mean Square Error(LMMSE) scheme is applied to minimize the channel estimation error. Therefore it is possible to detect the reliable data. In simulation results, overall performance can be improved in terms of Normalized Mean Square Error(NMSE) and Bit Error Rate(BER).

Modified Partial Sample Average Algorithm for Noise Variance Estimation (잡음 분산 추정을 위한 개선된 Partial Sample Average 알고리즘)

  • Park, Jung-Jun;Lee, Jinyong;Lim, Taemin;Kim, Younglok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Broadcast Engineers Conference
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.167-170
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    • 2010
  • 잡음 분산 값은 SNR(signal-to-noise ratio) 추정이나 MMSE(minimum mean square error) 계산, 채널 임펄스 응답의 추정 등에 사용되는 중요한 파라미터이다. 채널이 시간에 따라 변하는 무선 통신 환경에서, 신호와 섞여 있는 잡음과 간섭 신호의 정확한 추정에는 그 한계가 있으며 이로 인해 발생하는 추정 오차는 수신기의 데이터 검출 성능을 저하시킨다. 훈련열을 이용하여 채널을 추정하였을 경우 추정된 채널 임펄스 응답 신호 중 다중 경로 신호는 소수에 불과하고 나머지 대부분의 계수는 잡음 성분만을 포함하는 신호이다. 이러한 특징을 이용하여 채널의 추정 계수로 잡음 분산을 추정하는 방법이 기존에 제시되어 있다. 여기서 제안하는 알고리즘은 기존 알고리즘인 PSA(partial sample average)와 비교해 연산량에서 차이가 거의 없이 구현되며, 3GPP TDD[1]에서의 모의 실험을 통하여 기존 알고리즘보다 더 정확한 분산 값을 찾아냄을 확인하였다.

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