• 경영과학
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.177-196
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• 2007

For better predictions and classifications in customer recommendation, this study proposes an integrative model that efficiently combines the currently-in-use statistical and artificial intelligence models. In particular, by integrating the models such as Association Rule, Frequency Matrix, and Rule Induction, this study suggests an integrative prediction model. Integrated models consist of four models: ASFM model which combines Association Rule(A) and Frequency Matrix(B), ASRI model which combines Association Rule(A) and Rule Induction(C), FMRI model which combines Frequency Matrix(B) and Rule Induction(C), and ASFMRI model which combines Association Rule(A), Frequency Matrix(B), and Rule Induction(C). The data set for the tests is collected from a convenience store G, which is the number one in its brand in S. Korea. This data set contains sales information on customer transactions from September 1, 2005 to December 7, 2005. About 1,000 transactions are selected for a specific item. Using this data set. it suggests an integrated model predicting whether a customer buys or not buys a specific product for target marketing strategy. The performance of integrated model is compared with that of other models. The results from the experiments show that the performance of integrated model is superior to that of all other models such as Association Rule, Frequency Matrix, and Rule Induction.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제52권11호
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• pp.2565-2571
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• 2020

Background: Understanding the behaviour of nuclear fuel claddings by conducting burst test on single cladding tube under simulated loss-of-coolant accident conditions and developing theoretical cum empirical predictive computer codes have been the focus of several investigations. The developed burst criterion (a) assumes symmetrical deformation of cladding tube in contrast to experimental observation (b) interpolates the properties of Zircaloy-4 cladding in mixed α+β phase (c) does not account for azimuthal temperature variations. In order to overcome all these drawbacks of burst criterion, it is reasoned that artificial intelligence technique may be a better option to predict the burst parameters. Methods: Artificial neural network models based on feedforward backpropagation algorithm with logsig transfer function are developed. Results: Neural network architecture of 2-4-4-3, that is model with two hidden layers having four nodes in each layer is found to be the most suitable. The mean, maximum, and minimum prediction errors for this optimised model are 0.82%, 19.62%, and 0.004%, respectively. Conclusion: The burst stress, burst temperature, and burst strain obtained from burst criterion have average deviation of 19%, 12%, and 53% respectively whereas the developed neural network model predicted these parameters with average deviation of 6%, 2%, and 8%, respectively.

• 한국수학교육학회지시리즈E:수학교육논문집
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• 제37권4호
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• pp.717-736
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• 2023

본 연구는 데이터와 인공지능 예측모델을 활용한 통계프로그램을 개발하여 초등학교 6학년 한 학급에 적용함으로써 학생들의 통계적 소양 신장에 효과가 있는지 확인하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 오늘날 초등학교 통계교육의 문제점을 분석하고, 4차 산업혁명 시대에서 중시되는 데이터와 인공지능 교육을 융합하여 통계적 문제해결의 전 과정을 경험하고 미래에 대한 올바른 예측을 경험해 볼 수 있는 총 15차시의 통계프로그램을 개발하였다. 본 프로그램의 가장 큰 특징은 인공지능 교육의 중점 요소인 데이터의 중요성 인식, 공공데이터플랫폼에서 제공하는 실생활 데이터를 사용하여 맥락을 고려한 자료 수집 및 분석 활동을 포함한다는 것이다. 또한 공학 도구인 엔트리와 이지통계를 활용하고, 인공지능 예측모델을 제작하여 데이터를 기반으로 미래를 예측해 보는 활동으로 구성된다는 점에서 의사소통역량, 정보처리역량, 비판적 사고 역량을 기를 수 있는 역량 중심의 프로그램으로 구성하였다. 본 프로그램의 적용 결과, 프로그램 적용은 초등학생의 통계적 소양에 긍정적 영향을 미쳤을 뿐만 아니라 학생들의 흥미, 주체적이고 비판적 탐구, 통계적 문제해결 전 과정에서의 수학적 의사소통을 관찰할 수 있었다.

• Computers and Concrete
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.533-547
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• 2021

Calculating the shear capacity of slender reinforced concrete beams without shear reinforcement was the subject of numerous studies, where the eternal problem of developing a single relationship that will be able to predict the expected shear capacity is still present. Using experimental results to extrapolate formulae was so far the main approach for solving this problem, whereas in the last two decades different research studies attempted to use artificial intelligence algorithms and available data sets of experimentally tested beams to develop new models that would demonstrate improved prediction capabilities. Given the limited number of available experimental databases, these studies were numerically restrained, unable to holistically address this problem. In this manuscript, a new approach is proposed where a numerically generated database is used to train machine-learning algorithms and develop an improved model for predicting the shear capacity of slender concrete beams reinforced only with longitudinal rebars. Finally, the proposed predictive model was validated through the use of an available ACI database that was developed by using experimental results on physical reinforced concrete beam specimens without shear and compressive reinforcement. For the first time, a numerically generated database was used to train a model for computing the shear capacity of slender concrete beams without stirrups and was found to have improved predictive abilities compared to the corresponding ACI equations. According to the analysis performed in this research work, it is deemed necessary to further enrich the current numerically generated database with additional data to further improve the dataset used for training and extrapolation. Finally, future research work foresees the study of beams with stirrups and deep beams for the development of improved predictive models.

• 정보처리학회논문지:소프트웨어 및 데이터공학
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• 제12권8호
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• pp.333-340
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• 2023

기업 부도의 효율적인 예측은 금융기관의 적절한 대출 결정과 여신 부실률 감소 측면에서 중요한 부분이다. 많은 연구에서 인공지능 기술을 활용한 분류모델 연구를 진행하였다. 금융 산업 특성상 새로운 예측 모델의 성능이 우수하더라도 어떤 근거로 결과를 출력했는지 직관적인 설명이 수반되어야 한다. 최근 미국, EU, 한국 등 에서는 공통적으로 알고리즘의 설명요구권을 제시하고 있어 금융권 AI 활용에 투명성을 확보하여야 한다. 본 논문에서는 외부에 오픈된 기업부도 데이터를 활용하여 인공지능 기반의 해석 가능한 분류 예측 모델을 제안하였다. 먼저 데이터 전처리 작업, 5겹 교차검증 등을 수행하고 로지스틱 회귀, SVM, XGBoost, LightGBM 등 10가지 지도학습 분류모델 최적화를 통해 분류 성능을 비교하였다. 그 결과 LightGBM이 가장 우수한 모델로 확인되었고, 설명 가능한 인공지능 기법인 SHAP을 적용하여 부도예측 과정에 대한 사후 설명을 제공하였다.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제53권10호
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• pp.3275-3285
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• 2021

A Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) is a complex dynamic system-of-systems with highly nonlinear behaviors. In order to control the plant operation under both normal and abnormal conditions, the different systems in NPPs (e.g., the reactor core components, primary and secondary coolant systems) are usually monitored continuously, resulting in very large amounts of data. This situation makes it possible to integrate relevant qualitative and quantitative knowledge with artificial intelligence techniques to provide faster and more accurate behavior predictions, leading to more rapid decisions, based on actual NPP operation data. Data-driven models (DDM) rely on artificial intelligence to learn autonomously based on patterns in data, and they represent alternatives to physics-based models that typically require significant computational resources and might not fully represent the actual operation conditions of an NPP. In this study, a feed-forward backpropagation artificial neural network (ANN) model was trained to simulate the interaction between the reactor core and the primary and secondary coolant systems in a pressurized water reactor. The transients used for model training included perturbations in reactivity, steam valve coefficient, reactor core inlet temperature, and steam generator inlet temperature. Uncertainties of the plant physical parameters and operating conditions were also incorporated in these transients. Eight training functions were adopted during the training stage to develop the most efficient network. The developed ANN model predictions were subsequently tested successfully considering different new transients. Overall, through prompt prediction of NPP behavior under different transients, the study aims at demonstrating the potential of artificial intelligence to empower rapid emergency response planning and risk mitigation strategies.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 1997년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 홍익대학교, 서울; 1 Nov. 1997
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• pp.105-108
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• 1997

Previous studies in stock market predictions using artificial intelligence techniques such as artificial neural networks and case-based reasoning, have focused mainly on spot market prediction. Korea launched trading in index futures market (KOSPI 200) on May 3, 1996, then more people became attracted to this market. Thus, this research intends to predict the daily up/down fluctuant direction of the price for KOSPI 200 index futures to meet this recent surge of interest. The forecasting methodologies employed in this research are the integration of genetic algorithm and artificial neural network (GAANN) and the integration of genetic algorithm and case-based reasoning (GACBR). Genetic algorithm was mainly used to select relevant input variables. This study adopts the categorical data preprocessing based on expert's knowledge as well as traditional data preprocessing. The experimental results of each forecasting method with each data preprocessing method are compared and statistically tested. Artificial neural network and case-based reasoning methods with best performance are integrated. Out-of-the Model Integration and In-Model Integration are presented as the integration methodology. The research outcomes are as follows; First, genetic algorithms are useful and effective method to select input variables for Al techniques. Second, the results of the experiment with categorical data preprocessing significantly outperform that with traditional data preprocessing in forecasting up/down fluctuant direction of index futures price. Third, the integration of genetic algorithm and case-based reasoning (GACBR) outperforms the integration of genetic algorithm and artificial neural network (GAANN). Forth, the integration of genetic algorithm, case-based reasoning and artificial neural network (GAANN-GACBR, GACBRNN and GANNCBR) provide worse results than GACBR.

• 전기전자학회논문지
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• 제26권3호
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• pp.355-363
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• 2022

우리나라는 2050년 탄소중립을 목표로 신재생에너지 중심으로 에너지 공급원을 전환하고 확대하는 계획을 추진 중이다. 신재생에너지의 간헐적 특성으로 에너지 공급이 불안정성이 커짐에 따라 정확한 신재생에너지 발전량 예측의 중요성이 함께 커지고 있다. 이에 따라 정부는 신재생에너지를 집합화하여 관리하기 위한 소규모 전력중개시장을 개설하였고, 재생에너지 발전량 예측제도를 도입하여 예측정확도에 따라 정산금을 지급하는 제도를 시행 중이다. 본 논문에서는 우리나라 신재생에너지 전원의 대부분을 차지하는 태양광 발전에 대하여 통계적 및 인공지능 모형을 이용하여 예측모델을 구현하였으며, 각 모형의 예측정확도 결과를 비교 분석하였다. 비교 모델 중에서 CNN-LSTM(Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory Neural Networks) 모형이 가장 높은 성능을 가짐을 확인하였다. 예측정확도에 따른 예측제도 정산금 수익을 추정해보았고, 예측보유 기술 수준에 따라 수익 편차가 24% 정도 커질 수 있음을 확인하였다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.111-126
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• 2023

Highly reliable and versatile methods artificial intelligence (AI) have found multiple application in the different fields of science, engineering and health care system. In the present study, we aim to utilize AI method to investigated vibrations in the human leg bone. In this regard, the bone geometry is simplified as a thick cylindrical shell structure. The deep neural network (DNN) is selected for prediction of natural frequency and critical buckling load of the bone cylindrical model. Training of the network is conducted with results of the numerical solution of the governing equations of the bone structure. A suitable optimization algorithm is selected for minimizing the loss function of the DNN. Generalized differential quadrature method (GDQM), and Hamilton's principle are used for solving and obtaining the governing equations of the system. As well as this, in the results section, with the aid of AI some predictions for improving the behaviors of the various sport systems will be given in detail.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.95-95
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• 2023

Common hydrological problems of developing countries include poor data management, insufficient measuring devices and ungauged watersheds, leading to small or unreliable data availability. This has greatly affected the adoption of artificial intelligence techniques for flood risk mitigation and damage control in several developing countries. While climate datasets have recorded resounding applications, but they exhibit more uncertainties than ground-based measurements. To encourage AI adoption in developing countries with small ground-based dataset, we propose data augmentation for regression tasks and compare performance evaluation of different AI models with and without data augmentation. More focus is placed on simple models that offer lesser computational cost and higher accuracy than deeper models that train longer and consume computer resources, which may be insufficient in developing countries. To implement this approach, we modelled and predicted streamflow data of the Asa River Watershed located in Ilorin, Kwara State Nigeria. Results revealed that adequate hyperparameter tuning and proper model selection improve streamflow prediction on small water dataset. This approach can be implemented in data-scarce regions to ensure timely flood intervention and early warning systems are adopted in developing countries.