• 제목/요약/키워드: Artificial Intelligence Prediction Model

검색결과 423건 처리시간 0.023초

포인트 클라우드를 이용한 블록체인 기반 설명 가능한 인공지능 연구 (Explanable Artificial Intelligence Study based on Blockchain Using Point Cloud)

  • 홍성혁
    • 융합정보논문지
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    • 제11권8호
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    • pp.36-41
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    • 2021
  • 인공지능을 이용하여 예측이나 분석하는 기술은 지속적으로 발전하고 있지만, 의사결정 과정을 명확히 해석하지 못하는 블랙박스 문제가 존재한다. 따라서 인공지능 모델의 의사결정 과정에서 사용자의 입장에서 해석이 불가능하여 결과를 신뢰할 수 없는 문제가 발생한다. 본 연구에서는 인공지능의 문제점과 이를 해결하기 위한 블록체인을 활용한 설명 가능한 인공지능에 대해 연구를 진행하였다. 블록체인을 이용해서 설명 가능한 인공지능 모델의 의사결정 과정에서의 데이터를 타임스탬프 등을 이용하여 부분별로 블록체인에 저장한다. 블록체인을 이용하여 저장된 데이터의 위변조 방지를 제공하고 블록체인의 특성상 사용자는 블록에 저장된 의사결정 과정등의 데이터를 자유롭게 접근할 수 있다. 설명 가능한 인공지능 모델의 구축이 힘든 것은 기존 모델의 복잡성이 큰 부분을 차지한다. 따라서 포인트 클라우드를 활용해서 3차원 데이터 처리와 가공과정의 효율성을 높여서 의사결정 과정을 단축해 설명 가능한 인공지능 모델의 구축을 원활하게 한다. 블록체인에 데이터 저장과정에서 데이터 위변조가 발생할 수 있는 오라클 문제를 해결하기 위해 저장과정에 중간자를 거치는 블록체인 기반의 설명 가능한 인공지능 모델을 제안하여 인공지능의 블랙박스 문제를 해결하였다.

A Study on a car Insurance purchase Prediction Using Two-Class Logistic Regression and Two-Class Boosted Decision Tree

  • AN, Su Hyun;YEO, Seong Hee;KANG, Minsoo
    • 한국인공지능학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2021
  • This paper predicted a model that indicates whether to buy a car based on primary health insurance customer data. Currently, automobiles are being used to land transportation and living, and the scope of use and equipment is expanding. This rapid increase in automobiles has caused automobile insurance to emerge as an essential business target for insurance companies. Therefore, if the car insurance sales are predicted and sold using the information of existing health insurance customers, it can generate continuous profits in the insurance company's operating performance. Therefore, this paper aims to analyze existing customer characteristics and implement a predictive model to activate advertisements for customers interested in such auto insurance. The goal of this study is to maximize the profits of insurance companies by devising communication strategies that can optimize business models and profits for customers. This study was conducted through the Microsoft Azure program, and an automobile insurance purchase prediction model was implemented using Health Insurance Cross-sell Prediction data. The program algorithm uses Two-Class Logistic Regression and Two-Class Boosted Decision Tree at the same time to compare two models and predict and compare the results. According to the results of this study, when the Threshold is 0.3, the AUC is 0.837, and the accuracy is 0.833, which has high accuracy. Therefore, the result was that customers with health insurance could induce a positive reaction to auto insurance purchases.

시계열 분석 모델을 이용한 조선 산업 주요물가의 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Major Prices in the Shipbuilding Industry Using Time Series Analysis Model)

  • 함주혁
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제58권5호
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    • pp.281-293
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    • 2021
  • Oil and steel prices, which are major pricescosts in the shipbuilding industry, were predicted. Firstly, the error of the moving average line (N=3-5) was examined, and in all three error analyses, the moving average line (N=3) was small. Secondly, in the linear prediction of data through existing theory, oil prices rise slightly, and steel prices rise sharply, but in reality, linear prediction using existing data was not satisfactory. Thirdly, we identified the limitations of linear prediction methods and confirmed that oil and steel price prediction was somewhat similar to actual moving average line prediction methods. Due to the high volatility of major price flows, large errors were inevitable in the forecast section. Through the time series analysis method at the end of this paper, we were able to achieve not bad results in all analysis items relative to artificial intelligence (Prophet). Predictive data through predictive analysis using eight predictive models are expected to serve as a good research foundation for developing unique tools or establishing evaluation systems in the future. This study compares the basic settings of artificial intelligence programs with the results of core price prediction in the shipbuilding industry through time series prediction theory, and further studies the various hyper-parameters and event effects of Prophet in the future, leaving room for improvement of predictability.

A TabNet - Based System for Water Quality Prediction in Aquaculture

  • Nguyen, Trong–Nghia;Kim, Soo Hyung;Do, Nhu-Tai;Hong, Thai-Thi Ngoc;Yang, Hyung Jeong;Lee, Guee Sang
    • 스마트미디어저널
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.39-52
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    • 2022
  • In the context of the evolution of automation and intelligence, deep learning and machine learning algorithms have been widely applied in aquaculture in recent years, providing new opportunities for the digital realization of aquaculture. Especially, water quality management deserves attention thanks to its importance to food organisms. In this study, we proposed an end-to-end deep learning-based TabNet model for water quality prediction. From major indexes of water quality assessment, we applied novel deep learning techniques and machine learning algorithms in innovative fish aquaculture to predict the number of water cells counting. Furthermore, the application of deep learning in aquaculture is outlined, and the obtained results are analyzed. The experiment on in-house data showed an optimistic impact on the application of artificial intelligence in aquaculture, helping to reduce costs and time and increase efficiency in the farming process.

당뇨병 예측을 위한 신경망 모델 개발에 관한연구 (Development of Diabetes Mellitus prediction model using artificial neural network)

  • 서혜숙;최진욱;김희식
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1998년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
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    • pp.67-70
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    • 1998
  • There were many cases to apply artificial intelligence to medicine. In this paper, we present the prediction model of the development of the NIDDM(noninsulin-dependent diabetes mellitus). It is not difficult that doctor diagnose patient as DM(diabetes mellitus). However NIDDM is usually developmented later on 40 years old and symptom appeares gradually. So screening test or prediction model is needed absolutely. Our model predicts development of NIDDM with still normal data 2 year ago. Prediction models developed are both MLP(multilayer perceptron) with backpropagation training and RBFN(radial basis function network). Performance of both models were evaluated with likelihood ratio. MLP was about two and RBFN was about three. We expect that models developed can prevent development of DM and utilize normal data.

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Prediction Model of Real Estate Transaction Price with the LSTM Model based on AI and Bigdata

  • Lee, Jeong-hyun;Kim, Hoo-bin;Shim, Gyo-eon
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.274-283
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    • 2022
  • Korea is facing a number difficulties arising from rising housing prices. As 'housing' takes the lion's share in personal assets, many difficulties are expected to arise from fluctuating housing prices. The purpose of this study is creating housing price prediction model to prevent such risks and induce reasonable real estate purchases. This study made many attempts for understanding real estate instability and creating appropriate housing price prediction model. This study predicted and validated housing prices by using the LSTM technique - a type of Artificial Intelligence deep learning technology. LSTM is a network in which cell state and hidden state are recursively calculated in a structure which added cell state, which is conveyor belt role, to the existing RNN's hidden state. The real sale prices of apartments in autonomous districts ranging from January 2006 to December 2019 were collected through the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport's real sale price open system and basic apartment and commercial district information were collected through the Public Data Portal and the Seoul Metropolitan City Data. The collected real sale price data were scaled based on monthly average sale price and a total of 168 data were organized by preprocessing respective data based on address. In order to predict prices, the LSTM implementation process was conducted by setting training period as 29 months (April 2015 to August 2017), validation period as 13 months (September 2017 to September 2018), and test period as 13 months (December 2018 to December 2019) according to time series data set. As a result of this study for predicting 'prices', there have been the following results. Firstly, this study obtained 76 percent of prediction similarity. We tried to design a prediction model of real estate transaction price with the LSTM Model based on AI and Bigdata. The final prediction model was created by collecting time series data, which identified the fact that 76 percent model can be made. This validated that predicting rate of return through the LSTM method can gain reliability.

XAI 기법을 이용한 리뷰 유용성 예측 결과 설명에 관한 연구 (Explainable Artificial Intelligence Applied in Deep Learning for Review Helpfulness Prediction)

  • 류동엽;이흠철;김재경
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.35-56
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    • 2023
  • 정보통신 기술의 발전에 따라 웹 사이트에는 수많은 리뷰가 지속적으로 게시되고 있다. 이로 인해 정보 과부하 문제가 발생하여 사용자들은 본인이 원하는 리뷰를 탐색하는데 어려움을 겪고 있다. 따라서, 이러한 문제를 해결하여 사용자에게 유용하고 신뢰성 있는 리뷰를 제공하기 위해 리뷰 유용성 예측에 관한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 기존 연구는 주로 리뷰에 포함된 특성을 기반으로 리뷰 유용성을 예측하였다. 그러나, 예측한 리뷰가 왜 유용한지 근거를 제시할 수 없다는 한계점이 존재한다. 따라서 본 연구는 이러한 한계점을 해결하기 위해 리뷰 유용성 예측 모델에 eXplainable Artificial Intelligence(XAI) 기법을 적용하는 방법론을 제안하였다. 본 연구는 Yelp.com에서 수집한 레스토랑 리뷰를 사용하여 리뷰 유용성 예측에 관한 연구에서 널리 사용되는 6개의 모델을 통해 예측 성능을 비교하였다. 그 다음, 예측 성능이 가장 우수한 모델에 XAI 기법을 적용하여 설명 가능한 리뷰 유용성 예측 모델을 제안하였다. 따라서 본 연구에서 제안한 방법론은 사용자의 구매 의사결정 과정에서 유용한 리뷰를 추천할 수 있는 동시에 해당 리뷰가 왜 유용한지에 대한 해석을 제공할 수 있다.

인공지능(AI) 기반 직업 훈련 평가 데이터 분석 및 취업 예측 프로그램 구현 (Implementation of a Job Prediction Program and Analysis of Vocational Training Evaluation Data Based on Artificial Intelligence)

  • 천재성;문일영
    • 실천공학교육논문지
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.409-414
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    • 2024
  • 본 논문은 인공지능(AI)을 활용하여 장애인 직업 훈련 평가 데이터를 분석하고, 다양한 머신러닝 알고리즘을 통해 최적의 예측 모델을 선정하는 연구를 수행한다. 훈련생의 성별, 나이, 학력, 장애 유형, 기초 학습 능력 등의 데이터를 분석하여 취업 가능성이 높은 직종을 예측하고, 이를 바탕으로 맞춤형 훈련 프로그램을 설계하여 훈련 효율성과 취업 성공률을 높이는 것을 목표로 한다.

Prediction of calcium leaching resistance of fly ash blended cement composites using artificial neural network

  • Yujin Lee;Seunghoon Seo;Ilhwan You;Tae Sup Yun;Goangseup Zi
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.315-325
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    • 2023
  • Calcium leaching is one of the main deterioration factors in concrete structures contact with water, such as dams, water treatment structures, and radioactive waste structures. It causes a porous microstructure and may be coupled with various harmful factors resulting in mechanical degradation of concrete. Several numerical modeling studies focused on the calcium leaching depth prediction. However, these required a lot of cost and time for many experiments and analyses. This study presents an artificial neural network (ANN) approach to predict the leaching depth quickly and accurately. Totally 132 experimental data are collected for model training and validation. An optimal ANN model was proposed by ANN topology. Results indicate that the model can be applied to estimate the calcium leaching depth, showing the determination coefficient of 0.91. It might be used as a simulation tool for engineering problems focused on durability.

Prediction of uplift capacity of suction caisson in clay using extreme learning machine

  • Muduli, Pradyut Kumar;Das, Sarat Kumar;Samui, Pijush;Sahoo, Rupashree
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2015
  • This study presents the development of predictive models for uplift capacity of suction caisson in clay using an artificial intelligence technique, extreme learning machine (ELM). Other artificial intelligence models like artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), relevance vector machine (RVM) models are also developed to compare the ELM model with above models and available numerical models in terms of different statistical criteria. A ranking system is presented to evaluate present models in identifying the 'best' model. Sensitivity analyses are made to identify important inputs contributing to the developed models.