• Title/Summary/Keyword: Approaches to Learning

Search Result 994, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

Comparison of ANN model's prediction performance according to the level of data uncertainty in water distribution network (상수도관망 내 데이터 불확실성에 따른 절점 압력 예측 ANN 모델 수행 성능 비교)

  • Jang, Hyewoon;Jung, Donghwi;Jun, Sanghoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.spc1
    • /
    • pp.1295-1303
    • /
    • 2022
  • As the role of water distribution networks (WDNs) becomes more important, identifying abnormal events (e.g., pipe burst) rapidly and accurately is required. Since existing approaches such as field equipment-based detection methods have several limitations, model-based methods (e.g., machine learning based detection model) that identify abnormal events using hydraulic simulation models have been developed. However, no previous work has examined the impact of data uncertainties on the results. Thus, this study compares the effects of measurement error-induced pressure data uncertainty in WDNs. An artificial neural network (ANN) is used to predict nodal pressures and measurement errors are generated by using cumulative density function inverse sampling method that follows Gaussian distribution. Total of nine conditions (3 input datasets × 3 output datasets) are considered in the ANN model to investigate the impact of measurement error size on the prediction results. The results have shown that higher data uncertainty decreased ANN model's prediction accuracy. Also, the measurement error of output data had more impact on the model performance than input data that for a same measurement error size on the input and output data, the prediction accuracy was 72.25% and 38.61%, respectively. Thus, to increase ANN models prediction performance, reducing the magnitude of measurement errors of the output pressure node is considered to be more important than input node.

Learning from the UK Disaster Management and Risk Assessment Systems (영국의 재난관리체계 및 재난위험성 평가제도의 도입 및 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hak-Kyong;Kang, Wook
    • Korean Security Journal
    • /
    • no.50
    • /
    • pp.11-32
    • /
    • 2017
  • The Civil Contingencies Act 2004 in the United Kingdom provides a comprehensive definition of "Emergency", calling upon the Uk's emergency management to deal with any disaster risk regardless of cause or source. Old contingency plans for civil defense and peacetime emergencies have been integrated into current integrated emergency management. In the UK, emergencies are managed by emergency services and other responders at the local level without direct involvement of central government. On top of this, a classified assessment of the risks of civil emergencies is also conducted on a regular basis, not only at the local level but also at the national level. This research looks into the Uk's emergency management system, including recent changes, and its risk assessment systems. Finally, the research draws policy implications for the development of Korea's disaster management mechanism as follows: 1) Korea should adopt an integrated emergency management system and combine civil defense with peacetime emergency planning, 2) it should create inter-operability between emergency responding organizations such as police, fire and ambulance, and finally 3) it must develop risk evaluating tools, such as a Community Risk Register and National Risk Register, both at the local and the national level. Last but not least, the UK emergency management system cannot be directly lifted from the UK and applied to risks and hazards faced by South Korea. Therefore, cross-cultural synthesis of many national approaches to emergency management is further required particularly for customizing policy to the particular needs of Korea.

  • PDF

Spark based Scalable RDFS Ontology Reasoning over Big Triples with Confidence Values (신뢰값 기반 대용량 트리플 처리를 위한 스파크 환경에서의 RDFS 온톨로지 추론)

  • Park, Hyun-Kyu;Lee, Wan-Gon;Jagvaral, Batselem;Park, Young-Tack
    • Journal of KIISE
    • /
    • v.43 no.1
    • /
    • pp.87-95
    • /
    • 2016
  • Recently, due to the development of the Internet and electronic devices, there has been an enormous increase in the amount of available knowledge and information. As this growth has proceeded, studies on large-scale ontological reasoning have been actively carried out. In general, a machine learning program or knowledge engineer measures and provides a degree of confidence for each triple in a large ontology. Yet, the collected ontology data contains specific uncertainty and reasoning such data can cause vagueness in reasoning results. In order to solve the uncertainty issue, we propose an RDFS reasoning approach that utilizes confidence values indicating degrees of uncertainty in the collected data. Unlike conventional reasoning approaches that have not taken into account data uncertainty, by using the in-memory based cluster computing framework Spark, our approach computes confidence values in the data inferred through RDFS-based reasoning by applying methods for uncertainty estimating. As a result, the computed confidence values represent the uncertainty in the inferred data. To evaluate our approach, ontology reasoning was carried out over the LUBM standard benchmark data set with addition arbitrary confidence values to ontology triples. Experimental results indicated that the proposed system is capable of running over the largest data set LUBM3000 in 1179 seconds inferring 350K triples.

Design and Implementation of BNN based Human Identification and Motion Classification System Using CW Radar (연속파 레이다를 활용한 이진 신경망 기반 사람 식별 및 동작 분류 시스템 설계 및 구현)

  • Kim, Kyeong-min;Kim, Seong-jin;NamKoong, Ho-jung;Jung, Yun-ho
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
    • /
    • v.26 no.4
    • /
    • pp.211-218
    • /
    • 2022
  • Continuous wave (CW) radar has the advantage of reliability and accuracy compared to other sensors such as camera and lidar. In addition, binarized neural network (BNN) has a characteristic that dramatically reduces memory usage and complexity compared to other deep learning networks. Therefore, this paper proposes binarized neural network based human identification and motion classification system using CW radar. After receiving a signal from CW radar, a spectrogram is generated through a short-time Fourier transform (STFT). Based on this spectrogram, we propose an algorithm that detects whether a person approaches a radar. Also, we designed an optimized BNN model that can support the accuracy of 90.0% for human identification and 98.3% for motion classification. In order to accelerate BNN operation, we designed BNN hardware accelerator on field programmable gate array (FPGA). The accelerator was implemented with 1,030 logics, 836 registers, and 334.904 Kbit block memory, and it was confirmed that the real-time operation was possible with a total calculation time of 6 ms from inference to transferring result.

Development of Hands-on Online Lesson for Adults of Making Drink Bags by Upcycling Old Umbrella Fabrics (성인 대상 폐우산 업사이클링 드링크백 만들기 온라인 실습 수업 개발)

  • Kang, Bo Kyung;Lee, Yhe-Young
    • Journal of Korean Home Economics Education Association
    • /
    • v.35 no.2
    • /
    • pp.133-144
    • /
    • 2023
  • The goal of this study was to improve environmental awareness by systematically developing a hands-on online lesson for adults on making drink bags by upcycling discarded umbrella cloth. The lesson was developed using an ADDIE model. During the analysis stage, the instructional design direction was established based on the findings of previous studies. In the design stage, the operation of practical classes in the online environment was specifically planned. The contents of education and the training time were also determined. The materials developed during the development stage included a kit and theoretical information containing images to raise awareness of environmental pollution and the significance of upcycling, as well as videos and photos. During the implementation stage, two sessions were held three months apart. A total of 36 adults participated, with 18 participants in each session. In the evaluation stage, the first session participants provided feedback on class satisfaction, which led to improvements. Positive feedbacks were received from the second session participants, who expressed satisfaction with the smooth communication and easy approaches to the learning materials. In both instances, the surveys on environmental consciousness and attitudes yielded an overall average score of 4.27, indicating a generally positive evaluation.

Bankruptcy Type Prediction Using A Hybrid Artificial Neural Networks Model (하이브리드 인공신경망 모형을 이용한 부도 유형 예측)

  • Jo, Nam-ok;Kim, Hyun-jung;Shin, Kyung-shik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.21 no.3
    • /
    • pp.79-99
    • /
    • 2015
  • The prediction of bankruptcy has been extensively studied in the accounting and finance field. It can have an important impact on lending decisions and the profitability of financial institutions in terms of risk management. Many researchers have focused on constructing a more robust bankruptcy prediction model. Early studies primarily used statistical techniques such as multiple discriminant analysis (MDA) and logit analysis for bankruptcy prediction. However, many studies have demonstrated that artificial intelligence (AI) approaches, such as artificial neural networks (ANN), decision trees, case-based reasoning (CBR), and support vector machine (SVM), have been outperforming statistical techniques since 1990s for business classification problems because statistical methods have some rigid assumptions in their application. In previous studies on corporate bankruptcy, many researchers have focused on developing a bankruptcy prediction model using financial ratios. However, there are few studies that suggest the specific types of bankruptcy. Previous bankruptcy prediction models have generally been interested in predicting whether or not firms will become bankrupt. Most of the studies on bankruptcy types have focused on reviewing the previous literature or performing a case study. Thus, this study develops a model using data mining techniques for predicting the specific types of bankruptcy as well as the occurrence of bankruptcy in Korean small- and medium-sized construction firms in terms of profitability, stability, and activity index. Thus, firms will be able to prevent it from occurring in advance. We propose a hybrid approach using two artificial neural networks (ANNs) for the prediction of bankruptcy types. The first is a back-propagation neural network (BPN) model using supervised learning for bankruptcy prediction and the second is a self-organizing map (SOM) model using unsupervised learning to classify bankruptcy data into several types. Based on the constructed model, we predict the bankruptcy of companies by applying the BPN model to a validation set that was not utilized in the development of the model. This allows for identifying the specific types of bankruptcy by using bankruptcy data predicted by the BPN model. We calculated the average of selected input variables through statistical test for each cluster to interpret characteristics of the derived clusters in the SOM model. Each cluster represents bankruptcy type classified through data of bankruptcy firms, and input variables indicate financial ratios in interpreting the meaning of each cluster. The experimental result shows that each of five bankruptcy types has different characteristics according to financial ratios. Type 1 (severe bankruptcy) has inferior financial statements except for EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) to sales based on the clustering results. Type 2 (lack of stability) has a low quick ratio, low stockholder's equity to total assets, and high total borrowings to total assets. Type 3 (lack of activity) has a slightly low total asset turnover and fixed asset turnover. Type 4 (lack of profitability) has low retained earnings to total assets and EBITDA to sales which represent the indices of profitability. Type 5 (recoverable bankruptcy) includes firms that have a relatively good financial condition as compared to other bankruptcy types even though they are bankrupt. Based on the findings, researchers and practitioners engaged in the credit evaluation field can obtain more useful information about the types of corporate bankruptcy. In this paper, we utilized the financial ratios of firms to classify bankruptcy types. It is important to select the input variables that correctly predict bankruptcy and meaningfully classify the type of bankruptcy. In a further study, we will include non-financial factors such as size, industry, and age of the firms. Thus, we can obtain realistic clustering results for bankruptcy types by combining qualitative factors and reflecting the domain knowledge of experts.

Analysis of Anti-Bias Education Activities in Early Childhood Education (유아교육분야에서의 반편견 교육활동 연구 분석)

  • Jeong, Yu-Ri;Kwon, Kyee-Yum
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.19 no.1
    • /
    • pp.321-330
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study aims to analyze anti-bias education activities for young children in Korea by reviewing related research. Focusing on the themes of biases and teaching medium/methods applied in the research, it tends to enhance general understanding about anti-bias education activities for young children. For this purpose, a total of 125 research papers published from 1995- 2017 dealing with anti-bias activities/programs for young children were analyzed. The results of this study were as follows: In terms of the period of research, almost half of the studies (53 studies) were conducted from 2000- 2004. Regarding the themes of biases covered in the education activities, single bias related activities included 64.8% of the total studies reviewed, and the main themes of bias included disability and gender. In studies that included multiple bias themes, more than half investigated from three to five different bias themes, including appearance, family, disability, gender, race, and culture. The most common teaching medium/method applied in activities was children's story, accounting for 60.8% of all activities. The following was utilizing inclusive environment, which was 14.4% of the activities. Based on these findings, this study would help systematize the contents of anti-bias education and develop diverse teaching-learning approaches.

Domain Knowledge Incorporated Counterfactual Example-Based Explanation for Bankruptcy Prediction Model (부도예측모형에서 도메인 지식을 통합한 반사실적 예시 기반 설명력 증진 방법)

  • Cho, Soo Hyun;Shin, Kyung-shik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.307-332
    • /
    • 2022
  • One of the most intensively conducted research areas in business application study is a bankruptcy prediction model, a representative classification problem related to loan lending, investment decision making, and profitability to financial institutions. Many research demonstrated outstanding performance for bankruptcy prediction models using artificial intelligence techniques. However, since most machine learning algorithms are "black-box," AI has been identified as a prominent research topic for providing users with an explanation. Although there are many different approaches for explanations, this study focuses on explaining a bankruptcy prediction model using a counterfactual example. Users can obtain desired output from the model by using a counterfactual-based explanation, which provides an alternative case. This study introduces a counterfactual generation technique based on a genetic algorithm (GA) that leverages both domain knowledge (i.e., causal feasibility) and feature importance from a black-box model along with other critical counterfactual variables, including proximity, distribution, and sparsity. The proposed method was evaluated quantitatively and qualitatively to measure the quality and the validity.

Performance Comparison of Anomaly Detection Algorithms: in terms of Anomaly Type and Data Properties (이상탐지 알고리즘 성능 비교: 이상치 유형과 데이터 속성 관점에서)

  • Jaeung Kim;Seung Ryul Jeong;Namgyu Kim
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
    • /
    • v.29 no.3
    • /
    • pp.229-247
    • /
    • 2023
  • With the increasing emphasis on anomaly detection across various fields, diverse anomaly detection algorithms have been developed for various data types and anomaly patterns. However, the performance of anomaly detection algorithms is generally evaluated on publicly available datasets, and the specific performance of each algorithm on anomalies of particular types remains unexplored. Consequently, selecting an appropriate anomaly detection algorithm for specific analytical contexts poses challenges. Therefore, in this paper, we aim to investigate the types of anomalies and various attributes of data. Subsequently, we intend to propose approaches that can assist in the selection of appropriate anomaly detection algorithms based on this understanding. Specifically, this study compares the performance of anomaly detection algorithms for four types of anomalies: local, global, contextual, and clustered anomalies. Through further analysis, the impact of label availability, data quantity, and dimensionality on algorithm performance is examined. Experimental results demonstrate that the most effective algorithm varies depending on the type of anomaly, and certain algorithms exhibit stable performance even in the absence of anomaly-specific information. Furthermore, in some types of anomalies, the performance of unsupervised anomaly detection algorithms was observed to be lower than that of supervised and semi-supervised learning algorithms. Lastly, we found that the performance of most algorithms is more strongly influenced by the type of anomalies when the data quantity is relatively scarce or abundant. Additionally, in cases of higher dimensionality, it was noted that excellent performance was exhibited in detecting local and global anomalies, while lower performance was observed for clustered anomaly types.

A Case Study of Middle School Students' Abductive Inference during a Geological Field Excursion (야외 지질 학습에서 나타난 중학생들의 귀추적 추론 사례 연구)

  • Maeng, Seung-Ho;Park, Myeong-Sook;Lee, Jeong-A;Kim, Chan-Jong
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
    • /
    • v.27 no.9
    • /
    • pp.818-831
    • /
    • 2007
  • Recognizing the importance of abductive inquiry in Earth science, some theoretical approaches that deploy abduction have been researched. And, it is necessary that the abductive inquiry in a geological field excursion as a vivid locale of Earth science inquiry should be researched. We developed a geological field trip based on the abductive learning model, and investigated students' abductive inference, thinking strategies used in those inferences, and the impact of a teacher's pedagogical intervention on students' abductive inference. Results showed that students, during the field excursion, could accomplish abductive inference about rock identification, process of different rock generation, joints generation in metamorpa?ic rocks, and terrains at the field trip area. They also used various thinking strategies in finding appropriate rules to construe the facts observed at outcrops. This means that it is significant for the enhancement of abductive reasoning skills that students experience such inquiries as scientists do. In addition, a teacher's pedagogical interventions didn't ensure the content of students' inference while they helped students perform abductive reasoning and guided their use of specific thinking strategies. Students had found reasoning rules to explain the 01: served facts from their wrong prior knowledge. Therefore, during a geological field excursion, teachers need to provide students with proper background knowledge and information in order that students can reason rues for persuasive abductive inference, and construe the geological features of the field trip area by the establishment of appropriate hypotheses.