• Title/Summary/Keyword: Annual Maximum Series

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A Study on the Channel forming Discharge Estimation and the Hydraulic Geometry Characteristics of the Alluvial Stream (충적하천의 하도형성유량 산정과 수리기하특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hee-Chul;Lee, Eun-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.823-838
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    • 2003
  • For many rivers and streams, it has been observed that a single representative discharge may be used to determine the hydraulic geometry of a stable channel. This representative channel forming discharge has been given several names by different researchers, including bankfull, specified recurrence interval, and effective discharge. Therefore, The purpose of this study is to estimate channel forming discharge for study areas using the hydrological characteristic parameters and recording data, and to determine the hydraulic geometry relationships for the relating bankfull dimensions to bankfull discharge. In the Munmak and Seomyun gauging stations, the estimated bankfull discharges are found to have a return period of 1.8 and 1.5 years on the maximum annual series, respectively. The estimated effective discharges at those stations are largely different from bankfull discharges. The hydraulic geometry relationships between bankfull discharge and bankfull width, bankfull depth, velocity, bed slope are established. But the statistical parameters, such as R2, are calculated lower.

Study for Construction of Annual Maximum Storm Event Series from Chukwooki Rainfall Records (측우기자료의 연최대 호우사상 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Park, Min-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.274-278
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    • 2008
  • 현대 강우관측 자료를 빈도분석할 때 나타나는 가장 큰 문제는 관측기간이 짧기 때문에 고빈도 확률강우량 추정이나 장기간의 경향성 예측시 신뢰성 부족하다는 점이다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 현대 강우자료의 문제점를 보완하기 위한 방법으로 측우기 관측기록을 활용하기 위한 방안을 검토하였다. 빈도해석을 통한 확률강우량의 결정을 위해서는 연최대치 계열의 작성이 선행되어야 한다. 측우기 강우자료는 강우시작시점과 종료시점 그리고 그 사이의 강우량으로 구성된 펄스 형태로 기록되어 있기 때문에 이를 이용하여 빈도해석을 하려면 전통적인 빈도해석 방법과는 다르게 독립호우사상을 적절하게 정의하는 것이 필요하다. 독립호우사상에 대한 기존 연구결과에 기초하여 무강우지속기간 10시간을 기준으로 측우기 관측기록과 현대 관측기록으로부터 이를 추출한 후 총강우량과 강우강도 두 가지를 대상으로 이변량 지수분포를 적용하였다. 그리고 각 호우사상의 재현기간을 산정하고, 연도별로 최대 재현기간을 가지는 호우사상을 연최대 호우사상으로 결정하였다. 이변량 지수분포의 매개변수 산정시 전기간에 대해 매개변수를 산정하는 경우보다 연도별로 매개변수를 산정하는 경우가 강우발생의 변동양상 및 수문학적인 극한호우의 정의를 반영하기에 적합한 것으로 검토되었고 또한 그로 인해 얻어진 연최대 호우사상이 이변량 극치분포를 보다 잘 따르는 것으로 나타났다. 연도별 매개변수 추정결과를 우기해와 건기해로 나누어 살펴보면 우기해에는 강우강도가 재현기간 산정에서 상대적으로 영향이 크고, 건기해에는 총강우량과 관련된 영향이 큰 것으로 나타났다. 연최대 호우사상의 변동성을 살펴보면 현대자료에서 강우지속기간은 점점 증가하고 강우강도는 감소하며 이에 따른 호우사상의 총강우량은 증가하는 특징을 보였다. 그러나 측우기 자료에서는 이러한 변화양상이 반복순환하는 것으로 나타났으며 이와 관련된 별도의 연구가 필요할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구의 결과는 측우기 자료를 이용한 빈도해석의 선행작업으로서 연최대 호우사상 계열의 결정 과정을 살펴보았으며 이렇게 얻어진 연최대 호우사상은 현대자료와 어우러져 보다 신뢰성 높은 설계호우사상을 결정하는데 도움이 될 것으로 기대된다.

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Classification of Land Cover over the Korean Peninsula Using Polar Orbiting Meteorological Satellite Data (극궤도 기상위성 자료를 이용한 한반도의 지면피복 분류)

  • Suh, Myoung-Seok;Kwak, Chong-Heum;Kim, Hee-Soo;Kim, Maeng-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.138-146
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    • 2001
  • The land cover over Korean peninsula was classified using a multi-temporal NOAA/AVHRR (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) data. Four types of phenological data derived from the 10-day composited NDVI (Normalized Differences Vegetation Index), maximum and annual mean land surface temperature, and topographical data were used not only reducing the data volume but also increasing the accuracy of classification. Self organizing feature map (SOFM), a kind of neural network technique, was used for the clustering of satellite data. We used a decision tree for the classification of the clusters. When we compared the classification results with the time series of NDVI and some other available ground truth data, the urban, agricultural area, deciduous tree and evergreen tree were clearly classified.

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Estimation of Design Flood by the Determination of Best Fitting Order of LH-Moments(II) (LH-모멘트의 적정 차수 결정에 의한 설계홍수량 추정(II))

  • 맹승진;이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design flood by the determination of best fitting order for LH-moments of the annual maximum series at fifteen watersheds. Using the LH-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the optimal regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) in the first report of this project. Parameters of GEV distribution and flood flows of return period n years were derived by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments. Frequency analysis of flood flow data generated by Monte Carlo simulation was performed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments using GEV distribution. Relative Root Mean Square Error. (RRMSE), Relative Bias (RBIAS) and Relative Efficiency (RE.) using methods of L, Ll , L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution were computed and compared with those resulting from Monte Carlo simulation. At almost all of the watersheds, the more the order of LH-moments and the return periods increased, the more RE became, while the less RRMSE and RBIAS became. The Absolute Relative Reduction (ARR) for the design flood was computed. The more the order of LH-moments increased, the less ARR of all applied watershed became It was confirmed that confidence efficiency of estimated design flood was increased as the order of LH-moments increased. Consequently, design floods for the appled watersheds were derived by the methods of L3 and L4-moments among LH-moments in view of high confidence efficiency.

Development of Hierarchical Bayesian Spatial Regional Frequency Analysis Model Considering Geographical Characteristics (지형특성을 활용한 계층적 Bayesian Spatial 지역빈도해석)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Lim, Jeong-Yeul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.5
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    • pp.469-482
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    • 2014
  • This study developed a Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis, which aimed to analyze spatial patterns of design rainfall by incorporating geographical information (e.g. latitude, longitude and altitude) and climate characteristics (e.g. annual maximum series) within a Bayesian framework. There are disadvantages to considering geographical characteristics and to increasing uncertainties associated with areal rainfall estimation on the existing regional frequency analysis. In this sense, this study estimated the parameters of Gumbel distribution which is a function of geographical and climate characteristics, and the estimated parameters were spatially interpolated to derive design rainfall over the entire Han-river watershed. The proposed Bayesian spatial regional frequency analysis model showed similar results compared to L-moment based regional frequency analysis, and even better performance in terms of quantifying uncertainty of design rainfall and considering geographical information as a predictor.

A Study on Development Potential of Shallow Geothermal Energy as Space Heating and Cooling Sources in Mongolia (몽골의 천부 지열에너지(냉난방 에너지)개발 가능성에 관한 연구)

  • Hahn, Jeong-Sang;Yoon, Yun-Sang;Yoon, Kern-Sin;Lee, Tae-Yul;Kim, Hyong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.36-47
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    • 2012
  • Time-series variation of groundwater temperature in Mongolia shows that maximum temperature is occured from end of October to the first of February(winter time) and minimum temperature is observed from end of April to the first of May(summer time). Therefore ground temperature is s a good source for space heating in winter and cooling in summer. Groundwater temperatures monitored from 3 alluvial wells in Ulaabaatar at depth between 20 and 24 m are $(4.43{\pm}0.8)^{\circ}C$ with average of $4.21^{\circ}C$ but mean annual ground temperature(MAGT) at the depth of 100 m in Ulaanbaatar was about $3.5{\sim}6.0^{\circ}C$. Bore hole length required to extract 1 RT's heat energy from ground in heating time and to reject 1 RT's heat energy to ground in summer time are estimated about 130 m and 98 m respectively. But in case that thermally enhanced backfill and U tube pipe placement along the wall are used, the length can be reduced about 25%. Due to low MAGT of Ulaabaatar such as $6^{\circ}C$, the required length of GHX in summer cooling time is less than the one of winter heating time. Mongolia has enough available property, therefore the most cost effective option for supplying a heating energy in winter will be horizontal GHX which absorbs solar energy during summer time. It can supply 1 RT's ground heat energy by 570 m long horizontally installed GHX.

Derivation of Frequency Relationship Curve in Urban Watershed (도시유역의 빈도 관계곡선 유도)

  • Seo, ju-seok;Park, man-kyo;Woo, seung-sik;Lee, tae-woo;Jeong, chan-wook;Lee, jong-seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Contents Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.285-288
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to rout optimized design flood discharge through prediction of the frequency-based precipitation from the frequency analysis with density of rainfall gage networks in urban watershed. Frequency analysis was examined for the measured rainfall depth with low density of a point and high density of the sub-basin divided into 13 points in watershed. The used rainfall data in order to analyze consists of two groups based on measured rainfall depth for a day duration with 39years of a point and 6years of 13 points by an extending as annual exceedance series, respectively. Selected rainfall data in this analysis show that low-network has maximum rainfall depth with duration 1hr-79.1mm and 24hrs-329.1mm, and high-networks have ones with duration of 1hr-93.0 mm and 24 hrs-245.0 mm, respectively. As the result, probability of the best in this study determined the Gumbel method from the goodness of fit test and the method of prime 6 probability distributions.

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Estimation for Reclamation of Public Waters Demand Using Time-series Analysis (시계열 분석을 통한 공유수면 매립 수요 예측)

  • Shin, Chul-Oh;Choi, Eun Chul;Yoon, Sung-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.27 no.7
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    • pp.918-923
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    • 2021
  • The Korean government is developing a 10-year master plan pertaining to the Public Waters Management and Reclamation Act. However, it was observed that implementation of the reclamation project through frequent changes would occupy a significant proportion. Thus, questions are being raised about the effectiveness of the master plan. In view of this, the need for a trend analysis on long-term reclamation demand is growing. Accordingly, in this study, a trend analysis of reclamation demand was carried out using the annual reclamation performance data. The results of the analysis indicate that the demand for reclamation of public waters continued to decline, and the trend has been particularly evident since the 1990s, when it was converted into a reclamation master plan. In addition, the total demand for reclamation during 2021-2030 was calculated to be at a maximum of 13.8 km2 and minimum of 1.7 km2.

Analysis of long-term water level change of Dongrae hot spring using time series methods (시계열 방법을 이용한 동래온천 수위의 장기적인 변화 분석)

  • Jeon, Hang-Tak;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;Lee, Cheol-Woo;Lee, Jong-Tae;Lim, Woo-Ri
    • Journal of the Geological Society of Korea
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.529-544
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    • 2018
  • Dongrae hot spring belongs to the residual magma type and has a long history of bathing since the Silla dynasty in Korea. Due to long development of hot spring water, it is expected that the amount of hot spring water in Dongrae hot spring has been changed. In this study, long-trem water level data of Dongrae hot spring were examined for recognizing the change of the hot spring. By the fluctuation analysis of the hot spring water level from January 1992 to July 2018, the maximum and minimum annual drawdowns of no. 27 well were 137.70 and 71.60 meters, respectively, with an average drawdown of 103.39 m. On the other hand, the maximum and minimum annual drawdowns of no. 29 well were 137.80 and 71.70 meters, with an average drawdown of 103.49 m. Besides, drawdown rate became bigger in recent years. As a result of analyzing autocorrelation of the two wells, the correlation coefficient ranged from 0.919 to 0.991, showing seasonal groundwater level fluctuation. The cross correlation analysis between water level and precipitation as well as water level and hot spring discharge resulted in the correlation coefficients of -0.280 ~ 0.256 and 0.428 ~ 0.553, respectively. Therefore, using Dongnae hot-spring water level data from 1992 to 2018, the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's test showed that the continuous decline of water level was mainly caused by the pumping of the hot spring water among various reasons.

Regional Frequency Analysis for Rainfall using L-Moment (L-모멘트법에 의한 강우의 지역빈도분석)

  • Koh, Deuk-Koo;Choo, Tai-Ho;Maeng, Seung-Jin;Trivedi, Chanda
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.252-263
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    • 2008
  • This study was conducted to derive the optimal regionalization of the precipitation data which can be classified on the basis of climatologically and geographically homogeneous regions all over the regions except Cheju and Ulreung islands in Korea. A total of 65 rain gauges were used to regional analysis of precipitation. Annual maximum series for the consecutive durations of 1, 3, 6, 12, 24, 36, 48 and 72hr were used for various statistical analyses. K-means clustering mettled is used to identify homogeneous regions all over the regions. Five homogeneous regions for the precipitation were classified by the K-means clustering. Using the L-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the underlying regional probability distribution was identified to be the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution among applied distributions. The regional and at-site parameters of the generalized extreme value distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the probability weighted moments, L-moment. The regional and at-site analysis for the design rainfall were tested by Monte Carlo simulation. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE were computed and compared with those resulting from at-site Monte Carlo simulation. All show that the regional analysis procedure can substantially reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE in the prediction of design rainfall. Consequently, optimal design rainfalls following the regions and consecutive durations were derived by the regional frequency analysis.