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A General Semiparametric Additive Risk Model

  • Park, Cheol-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.421-429
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    • 2008
  • We consider a general semiparametric additive risk model that consists of three components. They are parametric, purely and smoothly nonparametric components. In parametric component, time dependent term is known up to proportional constant. In purely nonparametric component, time dependent term is an unknown function, and time dependent term in smoothly nonparametric component is an unknown but smoothly function. As an estimation method of this model, we use the weighted least square estimation by Huffer and McKeague (1991). We provide an illustrative example as well as a simulation study that compares the performance of our method with the ordinary least square method.

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A maximum likelihood approach to infer demographic models

  • Chung, Yujin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.385-395
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    • 2020
  • We present a new maximum likelihood approach to estimate demographic history using genomic data sampled from two populations. A demographic model such as an isolation-with-migration (IM) model explains the genetic divergence of two populations split away from their common ancestral population. The standard probability model for an IM model contains a latent variable called genealogy that represents gene-specific evolutionary paths and links the genetic data to the IM model. Under an IM model, a genealogy consists of two kinds of evolutionary paths of genetic data: vertical inheritance paths (coalescent events) through generations and horizontal paths (migration events) between populations. The computational complexity of the IM model inference is one of the major limitations to analyze genomic data. We propose a fast maximum likelihood approach to estimate IM models from genomic data. The first step analyzes genomic data and maximizes the likelihood of a coalescent tree that contains vertical paths of genealogy. The second step analyzes the estimated coalescent trees and finds the parameter values of an IM model, which maximizes the distribution of the coalescent trees after taking account of possible migration events. We evaluate the performance of the new method by analyses of simulated data and genomic data from two subspecies of common chimpanzees in Africa.

An elastoplastic model for structured clays

  • Chen, Bo;Xu, Qiang;Sun, De'an
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.213-231
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    • 2014
  • An elastoplastic model for structured clays, which is formulated based on the fact that the difference in mechanical behavior of structured and reconstituted clays is caused by the change of fabric in the post-yield deformation range, is present in this paper. This model is developed from an elastoplastic model for overconsolidated reconstituted clays, by considering that the variation in the yield surface of structured clays is similar to that of overconsolidated reconstituted clays. However, in order to describe the mechanical behavior of structured clays with precision, the model takes the bonding and parabolic strength envelope into consideration. Compared with the Cam-clay model, only two new parameters are required in the model for structured clays, which can be determined from isotropic compression and triaxial shear tests at different confining pressures. The comparison of model predictions and results of drained and undrained triaxial shear tests on four different marine clays shows that the model can capture reasonable well the strength and deformation characteristics of structured clays, including negative and positive dilatancy, strain-hardening and softening during shearing.

On a Set Covering Model to Maximize Reliability (신뢰도를 최대화하는 지역담당 모델)

  • Oh, Jae-Sang;Kim, Sung-In
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.53-70
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    • 1982
  • This thesis develops a more realistic and applicable new set covering model that is adjusted and supplied by the existing set covering models, and induces an algorithm for solving the new set covering model, and applies the new model and the algorithm to an actual set covering problems. The new set covering model introduces a probabilistic covering aistance ($0{\eqslantless}p{\eqslantless}1$)or time($0{\eqslantless}p{\eqslantless}1$) instead of a deterministic covering distance(0 or 1) or time (0 or 1) of the existing set covering model. The existing set covering model has not considered the merit of the overcover of customers. But this new set covering model leads a concept of this overcover to a concept of the parallel system reliability. The algorithm has been programmed on the UNIVAC 9030 for solving large-scale covering problems. An application of the new set covering model is presented in order to determine the locations of the air surveillance radars as a set covering problem for a case-study.

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유선 시뮬레이션 기법과 준해석해를 이용한 용질 거동 분석

  • 정대인;최종근;박광원
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2004.04a
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    • pp.57-62
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    • 2004
  • Streamline simulation researches have been extensively accomplished due to the swiftness of computation and the reduction of numerical dispersion. In this study, we developed a streamline simulation model using a semianalytical solution of ID transport equation. To validate accuracy of the developed model, we compared simulation results of contaminant transport, which were acquired by streamline simulation models using an analytical solution, a numerical solution, and a semianalytical solution. The developed model using the semianalytical solution matched well with the model using an analytical solution. However, streamline simulation model using a numerical solution showed numerical dispersion. For an advection-dominant flow, there was little difference in the simulation results between the developed model and tile analytical model, but the differences between the analytical model and the numerical model were cleary shown. From the comparison of computing time we know that the streamline simulation using the semianalytical solution is 2-60 times as fast as the streamline simulation using the numerical solution.

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MVC model design for an Authorization Tool of UML Class Diagram (UML 클래스 도해의 저작도구를 위한 MVC모델의 설계)

  • Kim, Jae-Hoon;Kim, Yun-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2010.10a
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    • pp.634-637
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    • 2010
  • This paper suggests the design of MVC model for an authorization tool of UML class diagram. In the design of MVC model, it is designed to define view, controller and model and perform the individual role of each component. The View represents GUI and the Controller is responsible for data input and output and the Model is to handle the business logic. The MVC model design for an authorization tool of class diagram gives the role independently and tries to be flexible with system by dividing into the suitable features of each component.

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A Study on Turbulent Flame Propagation Model of S. I. Engines (스파크 점화기관의 난류 화염전파모델에 관한 연구)

  • 유욱재;최인용;전광민
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.2787-2796
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    • 1994
  • The modeling of combustion process is an important part in an engine simulation program. In this study, calculated results using a conventional B-K model and the other model which is called GESIM were compared with experimentally measured data of a three-cylinder spark-ignition engine under wide range of operating conditions. The burn rates calculated from the combustion models were compared with the burn rate calculated from the one-zone heat release analysis that uses measured pressure data as an input data. As a result of the two models' comparison, the GESIM combustion model conformed to be closer to the data acquired from the experiment in wide operating ranges. The GESIM model has been improved by introducing a variable that considers the flame size, the area of flame conacting the piston surface into the model, based on the comparison between the experimental result and the calculated results. The improved combustion model predicts experimental results more precisely than that of GESIM combustion model.

Improved Social Force Model based on Navigation Points for Crowd Emergent Evacuation

  • Li, Jun;Zhang, Haoxiang;Ni, Zhongrui
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.1309-1323
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    • 2020
  • Crowd evacuation simulation is an important research issue for designing reasonable building layouts and planning more effective evacuation routes. The social force model (SFM) is an important pedestrian movement model, and is widely used in crowd evacuation simulations. The model can effectively simulate crowd evacuation behaviors in a simple scene, but for a multi-obstacle scene, the model could result in some undesirable problems, such as pedestrian evacuation trajectory oscillation, pedestrian stagnation and poor evacuation routing. This paper analyzes the causes of these problems and proposes an improved SFM for complex multi-obstacle scenes. The new model adds navigation points and walking shortest route principles to the SFM. Based on the proposed model, a crowd evacuation simulation system is developed, and the crowd evacuation simulation was carried out in various scenes, including some with simple obstacles, as well as those with multi-obstacles. Experiments show that the pedestrians in the proposed model can effectively bypass obstacles and plan reasonable evacuation routes.

Network traffic prediction model based on linear and nonlinear model combination

  • Lian Lian
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.461-472
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    • 2024
  • We propose a network traffic prediction model based on linear and nonlinear model combination. Network traffic is modeled by an autoregressive moving average model, and the error between the measured and predicted network traffic values is obtained. Then, an echo state network is used to fit the prediction error with nonlinear components. In addition, an improved slime mold algorithm is proposed for reservoir parameter optimization of the echo state network, further improving the regression performance. The predictions of the linear (autoregressive moving average) and nonlinear (echo state network) models are added to obtain the final prediction. Compared with other prediction models, test results on two network traffic datasets from mobile and fixed networks show that the proposed prediction model has a smaller error and difference measures. In addition, the coefficient of determination and index of agreement is close to 1, indicating a better data fitting performance. Although the proposed prediction model has a slight increase in time complexity for training and prediction compared with some models, it shows practical applicability.

Feedforward actuator controller development using the backward-difference method for real-time hybrid simulation

  • Phillips, Brian M.;Takada, Shuta;Spencer, B.F. Jr.;Fujino, Yozo
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1081-1103
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    • 2014
  • Real-time hybrid simulation (RTHS) has emerged as an important tool for testing large and complex structures with a focus on rate-dependent specimen behavior. Due to the real-time constraints, accurate dynamic control of servo-hydraulic actuators is required. These actuators are necessary to realize the desired displacements of the specimen, however they introduce unwanted dynamics into the RTHS loop. Model-based actuator control strategies are based on linearized models of the servo-hydraulic system, where the controller is taken as the model inverse to effectively cancel out the servo-hydraulic dynamics (i.e., model-based feedforward control). An accurate model of a servo-hydraulic system generally contains more poles than zeros, leading to an improper inverse (i.e., more zeros than poles). Rather than introduce additional poles to create a proper inverse controller, the higher order derivatives necessary for implementing the improper inverse can be calculated from available information. The backward-difference method is proposed as an alternative to discretize an improper continuous time model for use as a feedforward controller in RTHS. This method is flexible in that derivatives of any order can be explicitly calculated such that controllers can be developed for models of any order. Using model-based feedforward control with the backward-difference method, accurate actuator control and stable RTHS are demonstrated using a nine-story steel building model implemented with an MR damper.