• 미생물학회지
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• 제37권2호
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• pp.101-108
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• 2001

환경에서 병원성 미생물의 발생에 관련된 자료를 분석하는 일은 잠재적 보건 위해성을 판단하고 그에 따른 적절한 조치를 취하는데 종종 결정적인 역할을 한다. 이러한 일들은 과거에는 주로 정성적이고, 주관적인 방법으로 이루어 졌지만, 최근에는 정량적 위해성 평가(Quantitative Risk Assessment: QRA)로 이루어지는데, 이러한 QRA는 병원성 미생물로부터의 감염이나 발병, 또는 치사율 등의 위해성을 정량적인 방법으로 표현하는 접근법이다. 따라서, 이와 같은 정보는 정책 결정권자가 위해성의 확대와 비용부담, 그리고 적절한 조치를 취했을 때 기대할 수 있는 이점을 결정하는데 보다 더 잘 이용할 수 있다. 본 문에서는 위해성 분석의 과제에 대한 일반적인 배경을 살펴보고 문제해결 과정에서 미생물 위해성 평가가 어떻게 활용 가능한지를 살펴보았다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제31권3호
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• pp.295-303
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• 2015

In Korea, Total Maximum Daily Loads(TMDLs) has been enforced to restore and manage water quality in the watersheds. However, some assesment of implementation plan of TMDLs showed that the achievement of the target water quality is not related to the proper allocation loads because difference of flow duration interval. In the United States, the discharge loads are determined by water quality modeling considering standard flow conditions according to purpose. Therefore, this study tried to develop the allocation method considering economical efficiency using water quality model. For this purpose, several allocation methods being used in the management of TMDLs is investigated and develope an allocation criteria considering regional equality and uniformity. Since WARMF(Watershed Analysis Risk Management Framework) model can simulate the time varying behavior of a system and the various water quality variables, it was selected for a decision support system in this study. This model showed fairly good performance by adequately simulating observed discharge and water quality in Miho watershed. Furthermore, the scenario simulation results showed that the effect of annual average water quality improvement to remove 1kg BOD is more than 25 times, even if point pollutants treatment facility is six times more expensive to operate than non-point pollutants treatment facility.

• Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.15-25
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• 2017

The existence of material price volatility in construction projects puts forward substantial risks for all parties involved. Depending on the parties involved in the project, type of contracts, and state of the market various risk management strategies are practiced by contracting parties to manage project risks related to price volatility. Unfortunately, in many cases companies fail to select an adequate approach to better manage volatilities of material prices due to the lack of a decision support system to aid in the selection of an appropriate strategy based on the project characteristics. The aim of this study is to identify critical project factors and align them to documented strategies to manage price volatility based on an extensive literature review and industry interviews. This study found Integrated Project Delivery (IPD) as the ideal strategy with respect to project duration; quantitative risk management methods with respect to the cost; and Price Adjustment Clauses (PAC) with respect to the risk allocation, as the top price volatility management strategies.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제40권5호
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• pp.327-348
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• 2008

A risk-informed regulatory approach implies that risk insights be used as supplement of deterministic information for safety decision-making purposes. In this view, the use of risk assessment techniques is expected to lead to improved safety and a more rational allocation of the limited resources available. On the other hand, it is recognized that uncertainties affect both the deterministic safety analyses and the risk assessments. In order for the risk-informed decision making process to be effective, the adequate representation and treatment of such uncertainties is mandatory. In this paper, the risk-informed regulatory framework is considered under the focus of the uncertainty issue. Traditionally, probability theory has provided the language and mathematics for the representation and treatment of uncertainty. More recently, other mathematical structures have been introduced. In particular, the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is here illustrated as a generalized framework encompassing probability theory and possibility theory. The special case of probability theory is only addressed as term of comparison, given that it is a well known subject. On the other hand, the special case of possibility theory is amply illustrated. An example of the combination of probability and possibility for treating the uncertainty in the parameters of an event tree is illustrated.

• 대한암한의학회지
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.51-61
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• 2016

Background : Chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN) is a common adverse effect in cancer patients who were exposed to chemotherapy. CIPN impacts on the quality of life and could delay chemotherapy. The aim of this review was to assess the therapeutic effectiveness of herbal medicine in CIPN patients. Methods : Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were included in this review. We searched MEDLINE, Cochrane database, EMBASE, CNKI, Wanfang and four Korean databases without restrictions on time or language. The risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane risk of bias tool. Results : Eleven RCTs involving 706 patients met the inclusion criteria. Eleven different herbal medicines were examined in the included trials. Almost RCTs showed insufficiency in the reporting randomization method and allocation concealment. One trial used allocation concealment and a double-blinding method. Five studies reported that participants dropped out of RCTs and conducted an 'as-treated analysis'. One trials reported adverse effects of herbal medicine. In ten of the eleven trials, the use of herbal medicine had shown significant differences in clinical symptoms or nerve conduction velocity. Conclusions : The use of herbal medicines for CIPN showed significant improvements in the management of CIPN. However, conclusions cannot be drawn because of the generally low quality of methodology and low quantity of data for each single herbal medicine. Further rigorous trials are needed.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.27-41
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• 2005

『전국 장내 기생충 감염실태조사』를 위해 새로운 표본설계를 하였다. 2000년 인구 주택총조사의 10% 표본조사자료를 조사모집단으로 사용하였고, 조사의 특성상 각종 기생충의 감염율이 아주 낮은 관계로 통상적인 분석방법 대신에 상대위험도과 오즈비를 사용하였다. 표본배정은 네이만 배정의 절충형을 사용하였다. 또한 전국 단위와 특성별 추정이 가능하도록 하였고 추정의 정확성을 측정하기 위해 추정량의 분산식을 유도하였다.

• 무역상무연구
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• 제18권
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• pp.189-218
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• 2002

The EPC/Turnkey Contract goes to the extreme in allocating risks to the contractor and depending on the types of project, this may be regarded as unacceptable. It has also gone to the extreme in the extent to which the contractor is responsible for the specification and design of the Works. The employer is not responsible for correctness of any information provided by him nor for correctness of any specification or other matter included in the Employer's Requirements, except the definition of the intended purpose and criteria for testing and performance. With such conditions it is surprising that the employer is entitled to interfere in the contractors performance to an extent that is close to what is norm for a construction contract with employer design and with normal risk allocation. The combination of risk allocation and inappropriate administrative provisions makes the EPC/Turnkey Contract a document that will meet severe resistance from contractors. It is also likely that employers will see the risks and difficulties from their own perspective. It is a fiction that the EPC/Turnkey Contract will give the employer a contact with a certainty of final price and completion date. It is not a fiction that the EPC/Turnkey Contract carries many seeds for disputes between the parties. The Orange Book has become an accepted document even if it clearly contains some weaknesses. Some of these have been corrected in the Plant Contract. In my opinion FIDIC should let users become more familiar with the Plant Contract as a follow up to the Orange Book.

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.155-160
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• 2007

본 연구는 ANP법을 이용하여 수색 구조선의 할당순위를 평가하였다. 이러한 평가를 위해서 본 연구에서는 퍼지추론 및 계층분석법을 이용하여 인명피해, 선박피해, 환경오염피해에 대해 위험성을 평가하였다. 또한 DEA법 및 리커트 척도법을 이용하여 수색 구조선의 정량적, 정성적 운영효율성을 평가하였다. 마지막으로는 위험성평가와 운영효율성 평가를 ANP법을 이용하여 종합 평가치를 산출하였다. 그 결과 MP, YS RCC/RSC 구역이 수색 구조선의 할당순위가 비교적 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• 해양환경안전학회:학술대회논문집
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• 해양환경안전학회 2006년도 추계학술발표회
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• pp.245-251
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• 2006

본 연구는 ANP법을 이용하여 수색구조선의 우선 배치순위를 평가하였다. 이러한 평가를 위해서 본 연구에서는 퍼지추론 및 계층분석법을 이용하여 인명피해, 선박피해, 환경오염피해에 대해 위험성을 평가하였다. 또한 DEA 법 및 리커트 척도법을 이용하여 수색구조선의 정량적, 정성적 운영효율성을 평가하였다. 마지막으로는 위험성 평가와 운영효율성 평가를 ANP법을 이용하여 종합 평가치를 산출하였다. 그 결 과 MP, YS RCC/RSC 구역이 수색구조선의 우선 배치순위가 비교적 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제34권2호
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• pp.17-40
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• 2012

본 논문은 불완전한 금융계약하에서 발생하는 자본투자의 외부성에 대하여 연구하였다. 계약이행의 불완전한 경우의 제약된 효율적 자원배분(constrained efficient allocation)의 문제를 풀었고, 완전 위험분담(full risk-sharing)이 가능하지 못한 경제상황에서는 자본투자가 양의 외부성을 갖는 것을 보였다. 경쟁균형에서 자본투자 한 단위의 증가는 경제주체의 파산가치(autarky value)를 증가시켜 경제 내에서 외부성을 발생시키는데, 이러한 외부성은 양의 자본소득과세에 대한 이론적 근거를 제시할 수 있으며, 정부는 이러한 외부성을 내생화시키기 위하여 양의 값의 선형자본세(linear capital tax rate)를 사용할 수 있다.