• Title/Summary/Keyword: Actual Load

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A New Approach to Short-term Price Forecast Strategy with an Artificial Neural Network Approach: Application to the Nord Pool

  • Kim, Mun-Kyeom
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.1480-1491
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    • 2015
  • In new deregulated electricity market, short-term price forecasting is key information for all market players. A better forecast of market-clearing price (MCP) helps market participants to strategically set up their bidding strategies for energy markets in the short-term. This paper presents a new prediction strategy to improve the need for more accurate short-term price forecasting tool at spot market using an artificial neural networks (ANNs). To build the forecasting ANN model, a three-layered feedforward neural network trained by the improved Levenberg-marquardt (LM) algorithm is used to forecast the locational marginal prices (LMPs). To accurately predict LMPs, actual power generation and load are considered as the input sets, and then the difference is used to predict price differences in the spot market. The proposed ANN model generalizes the relationship between the LMP in each area and the unconstrained MCP during the same period of time. The LMP calculation is iterated so that the capacity between the areas is maximized and the mechanism itself helps to relieve grid congestion. The addition of flow between the areas gives the LMPs a new equilibrium point, which is balanced when taking the transfer capacity into account, LMP forecasting is then possible. The proposed forecasting strategy is tested on the spot market of the Nord Pool. The validity, the efficiency, and effectiveness of the proposed approach are shown by comparing with time-series models

Reliability-Based Shape Optimization Under the Displacement Constraints (변위 제한 조건하에서의 신뢰성 기반 형상 최적화)

  • Oh, Young-Kyu;Park, Jae-Yong;Im, Min-Gyu;Park, Jae-Yong;Han, Seog-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.589-595
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a reliability-based shape optimization (RBSO) using the evolutionary structural optimization (ESO). An actual design involves uncertain conditions such as material property, operational load, poisson's ratio and dimensional variation. The deterministic optimization (DO) is obtained without considering of uncertainties related to the uncertainty parameters. However, the RBSO can consider the uncertainty variables because it has the probabilistic constraints. In order to determine whether the probabilistic constraint is satisfied or not, simulation techniques and approximation methods are developed. In this paper, the reliability-based shape design optimization method is proposed by utilization the reliability index approach (RIA), performance measure approach (PMA), single-loop single-vector (SLSV), adaptive-loop (ADL) are adopted to evaluate the probabilistic constraint. In order to apply the ESO method to the RBSO, a sensitivity number is defined as the change of strain energy in the displacement constraint. Numerical examples are presented to compare the DO with the RBSO. The results of design example show that the RBSO model is more reliable than deterministic optimization.

Reliability-based Shape Optimization Using Growth Strain Method (성장-변형률법을 이용한 신뢰성 기반 형상 최적화)

  • Oh, Young-Kyu;Park, Jae-Yong;Im, Min-Gyu;Park, Jae-Yong;Han, Seog-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Technology Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.637-644
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a reliability-based shape optimization (RBSO) using the growth-strain method. An actual design involves uncertain conditions such as material property, operational load, Poisson's ratio and dimensional variation. The purpose of the RBSO is to consider the variations of probabilistic constraint and performances caused by uncertainties. In this study, the growth-strain method was applied to shape optimization of reliability analysis. Even though many papers for reliability-based shape optimization in mathematical programming method and ESO (Evolutionary Structural Optimization) were published, the paper for the reliability-based shape optimization using the growth-strain method has not been applied yet. Growth-strain method is applied to performance measure approach (PMA), which has probabilistic constraints that are formulated in terms of the reliability index, is adopted to evaluate the probabilistic constraints in the change of average mises stress. Numerical examples are presented to compare the DO with the RBSO. The results of design example show that the RBSO model is more reliable than deterministic optimization. It was verified that the reliability-based shape optimization using growth-strain method are very effective for general structure. The purpose of this study is to improve structure's safety considering probabilistic variable.

Development of Ultrasonic Machine with Force Controlled Position Servo System (가공력 제어 위치 서보 시스템을 이용한 초음파 가공기의 개발)

  • 장인배;이승범;전병희
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2004
  • The machining technology for the brittle materials such as ceramics are applied to the fields of MEMS(micro electromechanical system) by the progress of new machining technologies such as Etching, Diamond machining, Micro drilling, EDM(Electro discharge machining), ECDM(Electro discharge machining), USM(Ultrasonic machining), LBM(Laser beam machining), EBM(Electron beam machining). Especially, the USM technology can be applied to the dieletric brittle materials such as silicon, borosilicate glass, silicon nitride, quartz and ceramics with high aspect ratio. The micro machining system with machining force controlled position servo is developed in this paper and the optimized ultrasonic machining algorithm is constructed by the force controlled position servo control. The load cell is adapted in the force measuring and the servo control algorithm, suit for the ultrasonic machining characteristics, is estabilished with using the PID auto-tunning functions at the PMAC system which is generally adapted in the field of robot industries. The precision force signal amplifier is constructed with high precision operational amplifier AD524. The vacuum adsorption chuck which is made of titanum and internal flow line is engraved, is used in the workpiece fixing. The mahining results by USM shows that there are some deviation between the force command and the actual machining force that the servo control algorithm should be applied in the machining procedures. Therefore, the constant force controlled position servo system is developed for the micro USM system and by the examination machining process in USM, the stable USM system is realized by tracking the average value of machining force.

Path Planning for AGVs with Path Tracking (경로 추적 방식의 AGV를 위한 경로 계획)

  • Do, Joo-Cheol;Kim, Jung-Min;Jung, Kyung-Hoon;Woo, Seung-Beom;Kim, Sung-Shin
    • The Journal of Korea Robotics Society
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.332-338
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a study of path-planning method for AGV(automated guided vehicle) based on path-tracking. It is important to find an optimized path among the AGV techniques. This is due to the fact that the AGV is conditioned to follow the predetermined path. Consequently, the path-planning method is implemented directly affects the whole AGV operation in terms of its performance efficiency. In many existing methods are used optimization algorithms to find optimized path. However, such methods are often prone with problems in handling the issue of inefficiency that exists in system's operation due to inherent undue time delay created by heavy load of complex computation. To solve such problems, we offer path-planning method using modified binary tree. For the purpose of our experiment, we initially designed a AGV that is equiped with laser navigation, two encoders, a gyro sensor that is meant to be operated within actual environment with given set of constrictions and layout for the AGV testing. The result of our study reflects the fact that within such environments, the proposed method showed improvement in its efficiency in finding optimized path.

Evaluation on Displacement Property of Ceramic Belt by Using FEM (FEM을 이용한 세라믹벨트 변위특성 평가)

  • Yang, Sung-Mo;Yu, Hyo-Sun;Kang, Hee-Yong;Hwang, Young-Min;Song, Joon-Hyuk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 2012
  • Ceramics are becoming one of the most important materials due to its good mechanical properties such as high strength, hardness, chemical safety, and high modulus of elasticity. Ceramics have been used widely as a material not only for construction, but also for vehicles, planes, and bones for the human body. Despite these advantages, ceramics have some limitations in actual use due to its brittle fracture characteristic. In order to develop ceramic belt in this study, the data regarding stiffness and strain is necessary. For this purpose, the sensitivities of maximum stress value and displacement are analyzed by applying the load change on ceramic belt with finite element method program.

Physical and Operational Supply Margin Evaluation of KOREA Power System (우리나라 전력계통의 물리적 및 운영 측면에서의 공급 여유력 평가)

  • Kwon, Jung-Ji;Jeong, Sang-Heon;Shi, Bo;Tran, TrungTinh;Choi, Jae-Seok;Cha, Jun-Min;Yoon, Yong-Tae
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.56 no.1
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2007
  • Successful operation of power system under regulated as well as deregulated electricity markets is very important. This paper presents marginal power flow evaluation of KEPCO system in view point of physical and operation mode by using Physical and Operational Margins (POM Ver.2.2), which is developed by V&R Energy System Research. This paper introduces feature and operation mode of POM Ver.2.2 and then evaluates scenarios of 6 lines contingencies of 765kv of KEPCO system at peak load time on summer in 2006 you. The case study for actual 2006 year KEPCO system shows that this POM program is applicable sufficiently to KEPCO system. Futhermore, it demonstrates that it is helpful for operator's operating the system successfully by evaluating physical and operational margins quickly for various contingencies occurred in KEPCO system. Eventually, it will assist operators to operate more reliably the KEPCO system in future.

Parallel processing in structural reliability

  • Pellissetti, M.F.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.95-126
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    • 2009
  • The present contribution addresses the parallelization of advanced simulation methods for structural reliability analysis, which have recently been developed for large-scale structures with a high number of uncertain parameters. In particular, the Line Sampling method and the Subset Simulation method are considered. The proposed parallel algorithms exploit the parallelism associated with the possibility to simultaneously perform independent FE analyses. For the Line Sampling method a parallelization scheme is proposed both for the actual sampling process, and for the statistical gradient estimation method used to identify the so-called important direction of the Line Sampling scheme. Two parallelization strategies are investigated for the Subset Simulation method: the first one consists in the embarrassingly parallel advancement of distinct Markov chains; in this case the speedup is bounded by the number of chains advanced simultaneously. The second parallel Subset Simulation algorithm utilizes the concept of speculative computing. Speedup measurements in context with the FE model of a multistory building (24,000 DOFs) show the reduction of the wall-clock time to a very viable amount (<10 minutes for Line Sampling and ${\approx}$ 1 hour for Subset Simulation). The measurements, conducted on clusters of multi-core nodes, also indicate a strong sensitivity of the parallel performance to the load level of the nodes, in terms of the number of simultaneously used cores. This performance degradation is related to memory bottlenecks during the modal analysis required during each FE analysis.

Ballasting plan optimization for operation of a 2D floating dry dock

  • Yoon, Kyungho;Kim, Hyo-Jin;Yeo, Seungkyun;Hong, Younghwa;Cha, Jihye;Chung, Hyun
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.74 no.4
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    • pp.521-532
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    • 2020
  • A floating dry dock is an advanced structure that can provide a solution for dry dock space shortages. The critical point in floating dock operation is compensating the deflection caused by a heavy payload by adjusting the water level in the ballast system. An appropriate ballasting plan warrants safe and precise construction on a floating dock. Particularly, in the case of a 2D floating dock, ballasting plan evaluation is crucial due to complex deformation modes. In this paper, we developed a method to calculate the optimal ballasting plan for accurate and precise construction on a 2D floating dock. The finite element method was used for considering the flexibility of the floating dock as well as the construction blocks. Through a gradient-based optimization algorithm, the optimal ballasting plan for the given load condition was calculated in semi-real time (5 min). The present method was successfully used for the actual construction of an offshore structure on the 2D floating dock.

Study of the Temperature Difference between the Top and Bottom Web of Steel Box Girder without Concrete Slab by using Gauge Measurement (계측에 의한 콘크리트 슬래브가 없는 강박스거더의 상하 온도차 연구)

  • Lee, Seong-Haeng
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.7350-7356
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    • 2014
  • To study the reasonable design thermal loads, a steel box girder bridge specimen, which has no concrete slab, was manufactured with real size dimensions. The temperature data was obtained at the web and diaphragm using thermo gauges that were attached according to height. In the hottest day, the temperature differences between the top and bottom of the bridge model were calculated. The temperatures in the actual bridge were measured and the temperature of the bridge specimen was compared. The temperature gradient models were proposed in both the web and the diaphragm. The proposed models showed a correlation of approximately 95.8% compared to the Euro code. This study can provide basis data for temperature-load design in the nation.