• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accuracy of weather information

Search Result 217, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

The Characteristics of Air Temperature according to the Location of Automatic Weather System (AWS 설치장소에 따른 기온 특성)

  • Joo, Hyong-Don;Lee, Mi-Ja;Ham, In-Wha
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.179-186
    • /
    • 2005
  • Due to several difficulties, a number of Automatic Weather Systems (AWS) operated by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) are located on the rooftop so that the forming of standard observation environment to obtain the accuracy is needed. Therefore, the air temperature of AWSs on the synthetic lawn and the concrete of the rooftop is compared with the standard observation temperature. The hourly mean temperature is obtained by monthly and hourly mean value and the difference of temperature is calculated according to the location, the weather phenomenon, and cloud amount. The maximum and the minimum temperatures are compared by the conditions, such as cloud amount, the existence of precipitation or not. Consequently, the temperature on the synthetic lawn is higher than it on the concrete so that it is difficult to obtain same effect from ASOS, on the contrary the installation of AWS on the synthetic lawn seem to be inadequate due to heat or cold source of the building.

Solar Energy Prediction Based on Artificial neural network Using Weather Data (태양광 에너지 예측을 위한 기상 데이터 기반의 인공 신경망 모델 구현)

  • Jung, Wonseok;Jeong, Young-Hwa;Park, Moon-Ghu;Seo, Jeongwook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2018.05a
    • /
    • pp.457-459
    • /
    • 2018
  • Solar power generation system is a energy generation technology that produces electricity from solar power, and it is growing fastest among renewable energy technologies. It is of utmost importance that the solar power system supply energy to the load stably. However, due to unstable energy production due to weather and weather conditions, accurate prediction of energy production is needed. In this paper, an Artificial Neural Network(ANN) that predicts solar energy using 15 kinds of meteorological data such as precipitation, long and short wave radiation averages and temperature is implemented and its performance is evaluated. The ANN is constructed by adjusting hidden parameters and parameters such as penalty for preventing overfitting. In order to verify the accuracy and validity of the prediction model, we use Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as performance indices. The experimental results show that MAPE = 19.54 and MAE = 2155345.10776 when Hidden Layer $Sizes=^{\prime}16{\times}10^{\prime}$.

  • PDF

Simulation of Heat Health Alert System Using Meteorological Data Observed by Automatic Weather Systems in Seoul, Korea

  • Kim, Ji-Young;Kim, Jung-Ok;Park, Seung-Yong;Yu, Ki-Yun
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
    • /
    • 2007.10a
    • /
    • pp.134-137
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this paper the heat health alert system, which is operated this year by way of showing an example, is a simulator linked to the Geographic Information System (GIS), and it uses meteorological data that are observed at Automatic Weather Systems (AWSs) in Seoul, Korea. Simulation results show that it is possible to use meteorological data observed by AWSs when the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) has issued alerting the public to the threat of heat waves, and to connect meteorological data to spatial data when the KMA offers local forecasts and weather-related information. However, most AWSs that were installed to manage urban disasters do not measure humidity, so general humidity is used in all districts. Therefore, to issue heat wave warnings about different localities on a small scale, we will study how to complement this problem and to examine the accuracy of data observed at AWS in the future.

  • PDF

A spectrum based evaluation algorithm for micro scale weather analysis module with application to time series cluster analysis (스펙트럼분석 기반의 미기상해석모듈 평가알고리즘 제안 및 시계열 군집분석에의 응용)

  • Kim, Hea-Jung;Kwak, Hwa-Ryun;Kim, Yu-Na;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-53
    • /
    • 2015
  • In meteorological field, many researchers have tried to develop micro scale weather analysis modules for providing real-time weather information service in the metropolitan area. This effort enables us to cope with various economic and social harms coming from serious change in the micro meteorology of a metropolitan area due to rapid urbanization such as quantitative expansions in its urban activity, growth of population, and building concentration. The accuracy of the micro scale weather analysis modules (MSWAM) directly related to usefulness and quality of the real-time weather information service in the metropolitan area. This paper design a evaluation system along with verification tools that sufficiently accommodate spatio-temporal characteristics of the outputs of the MSWAM. For this we proposes a test for the equality of mean vectors of the output series of the MSWAM and corresponding observed time series by using a spectral analysis technique. As a byproduct, a time series cluster analysis method, using a function of the test statistic as the distance measure, is developed. A real data application is given to demonstrate the utility of the method.

Amber Information Design for Supporting Safe-Driving Under Local Road in Small-scale Area (국지지역에서의 안전운전 지원을 위한 경보정보 설계)

  • Moon, Hak-Yong;Ryu, Seung-Ki
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.9 no.5
    • /
    • pp.38-48
    • /
    • 2010
  • Adverse weather (e.g. strong winds, snow and ice) will probably appear as a more serious and frequent threat to road traffic than in clear climate. Another consequence of climate change with a natural disastrous on road traffic is respond to traffic accident more the large and high-rise bridge zone, tunnel zone, inclined plane zone and de-icing zone than any other zone, which in turn calls for continuous adaption of monitoring procedures. Accident mitigating measures against this accident category may consist of intense winter maintenance, the use of road weather information systems for data collection and early warnings, road surveillance and traffic control. While hazard from reduced road friction due to snow and ice may be eliminated by snow removal and de-icing measures, the effect of strong winds on road traffic are not easily avoided. The purpose of the study described here, was to design of amber information the relationship between traffic safety, weather, user information on road weather and driving conditions in local-scale Geographic. The most applications are the optimization of the amber information definition, improvements to road surveillance, road weather monitoring and improved accuracy of user information delivery. Also, statistics on wind gust, surface condition, vehicle category and other relevant parameters for wind induced accidents provide basis for traffic control, early warning policies and driver education for improved road safety at bad weather-exposed locations.

Development of Radar-Based Multi-Sensor Quantitative Precipitation Estimation Technique (레이더기반 다중센서활용 강수추정기술의 개발)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Kim, Ji-Hyeon;Park, Hye-Sook;Suk, Mi-Kyung
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.24 no.3
    • /
    • pp.433-444
    • /
    • 2014
  • Although the Radar-AWS Rainrate (RAR) calculation system operated by Korea Meteorological Administration estimated precipitation using 2-dimensional composite components of single polarization radars, this system has several limitations in estimating the precipitation accurately. To to overcome limitations of the RAR system, the Korea Meteorological Administration developed and operated the RMQ (Radar-based Multi-sensor Quantitative Precipitation Estimation) system, the improved version of NMQ (National Mosaic and Multi-sensor Quantitative Precipitation Estimation) system of NSSL (National Severe Storms Laboratory) for the Korean Peninsula. This study introduced the RMQ system domestically for the first time and verified the precipitation estimation performance of the RMQ system. The RMQ system consists of 4 main parts as the process of handling the single radar data, merging 3D reflectivity, QPE, and displaying result images. The first process (handling of the single radar data) has the pre-process of a radar data (transformation of data format and quality control), the production of a vertical profile of reflectivity and the correction of bright-band, and the conduction of hydrid scan reflectivity. The next process (merger of 3D reflectivity) produces the 3D composite reflectivity field after correcting the quality controlled single radar reflectivity. The QPE process classifies the precipitation types using multi-sensor information and estimates quantitative precipitation using several Z-R relationships which are proper for precipitation types. This process also corrects the precipitation using the AWS position with local gauge correction technique. The last process displays the final results transformed into images in the web-site. This study also estimated the accuracy of the RMQ system with five events in 2012 summer season and compared the results of the RAR (Radar-AWS Rainrate) and RMQ systems. The RMQ system ($2.36mm\;hr^{-1}$ in RMSE on average) is superior to the RAR system ($8.33mm\;hr^{-1}$ in RMSE) and improved by 73.25% in RMSE and 25.56% in correlation coefficient on average. The precipitation composite field images produced by the RMQ system are almost identical to the AWS (Automatic Weather Statioin) images. Therefore, the RMQ system has contributed to improve the accuracy of precipitation estimation using weather radars and operation of the RMQ system in the work field in future enables to cope with the extreme weather conditions actively.

Application of the Radar Rainfall Estimates Using the Hybrid Scan Reflectivity Technique to the Hydrologic Model (Hybrid Scan Reflectivity 기법을 이용한 레이더 강우량의 수문모형 적용)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Lee, Min-Ho;Suk, Mi-Kyung;Park, Hye-Sook
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.47 no.10
    • /
    • pp.867-878
    • /
    • 2014
  • Due to the nature of weather radar, blank areas occur due to impediments to observation, such as the ground clutter. Radar beam blockages have resulted in the underestimation rainfall amounts. To overcome these limitations, this study developed the Hybrid Scan Reflectivity (HSR) technique and compared the HSR results with existing methods. As a result, the HSR technique was able to estimate rainfalls in areas from which no reflectivity information was observable using existing methods. In case of estimating rainfalls depending on reflectivity scan techniques and beam-blockage/non beam-blockage, the HSR accuracy is superior. Furthermore, rainfall amounts derived from each method was inputted to the HEC-HMS to examine the accuracy of the flood simulations. The accuracy of the results using the HSR technique in contrast to the RAR calculation system and M-P relation was improved by 7% and 10%(based on correlation coefficients), and 18% and 34%(based on Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency), on average, respectively. Therefore, it is advised that the HSR technique be utilized in the hydrology field to estimate flood discharge more accurately.

Dynamic Thermal Rating of Overhead Transmission Lines Based on GRAPES Numerical Weather Forecast

  • Yan, Hongbo;Wang, Yanling;Zhou, Xiaofeng;Liang, Likai;Yin, Zhijun;Wang, Wei
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
    • /
    • v.15 no.4
    • /
    • pp.724-736
    • /
    • 2019
  • Dynamic thermal rating technology can effectively improve the thermal load capacity of transmission lines. However, its availability is limited by the quantity and high cost of the hardware facilities. This paper proposes a new dynamic thermal rating technology based on global/regional assimilation and prediction system (GRAPES) and geographic information system (GIS). The paper will also explore the method of obtaining any point meteorological data along the transmission line by using GRAPES and GIS, and provide the strategy of extracting and decoding meteorological data. In this paper, the accuracy of numerical weather prediction was verified from the perspective of time and space. Also, the 750-kV transmission line in Shaanxi Province is considered as an example to analyze. The results of the study indicate that dynamic thermal rating based on GRAPES and GIS can fully excavate the line power potential without additional cost on hardware, which saves a lot of investment.

A Study on Economic Value Analysis Model of Meteorological Information (기상정보의 경제적 가치 분석모형 연구)

  • Kim, Sung Tai
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.11
    • /
    • pp.103-109
    • /
    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to examine various existing models that analyze the economic value of meteorological information, to present a new analysis model, a market model, and to quantitatively analyze the economic value of meteorological information in the Korean service industry using the market model. The research method of this paper will basically use empirical analysis along with the theoretical approach to critically examine the existing analytical model of economic value of meteorological information and to suggest a new analytical model. The analysis results are as follows. Theoretically, the marginal cost of firms is reduced by providing the amount of weather information, and social welfare is increased by the increase of consumer and producer surplus. In this paper, the marginal cost of 1% increase in the amount of weather information decreases by 0.101% and the increase in social welfare increases by 1,247billion Won in 2017. On the other hand, in the accommodation and restaurant sectors, the marginal cost due to a 1% increase in weather information decreased by 0.218%, and the social welfare increase increased by 308billion Won in 2017.

A Study on Accuracy of Meteorological Information for Low Altitude Aerospace around the Airport on the West Coast (서해안 인접공항의 저고도 항공기상 정확도 연구)

  • Cho, Young-Jin;Yoo, Kwang Eui
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
    • /
    • v.28 no.2
    • /
    • pp.53-62
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study is to evaluate the accuracy of the meteorological information provided for the aircraft operating at low altitude. At first, it is necessary to identify crucial elements of weather information closely related to flight safety during low altitude flights. The study conducted a survey of pilots of low altitude aircraft, divided into pre-flight and in-flight phases, and reached an opinion that wind direction, wind speed, cloud coverage and ceiling and visibility are important items. Related to these items, we compared and calculated the accuracy of TAFs and METARs from Taean Airfield, Seosan Airport and Gunsan Airport because of their high number of domestic low-altitude flights. Accuracy analysis evaluated the accuracy of two numerical variables, Mean Absolute Error(MAE) and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE), and the cloud coverage which is categorical variable was calculated and compared by accuracy. For numeric variables, one-way ANOVA, which is a parameter-test, was approached to identify differences between actual forecast values and observations based on absolute errors for each item derived from the results of MAE and RMSE accuracy analyses. To determine the satisfaction of both normality assumptions and equivalence variability assumptions, the Shapiro-Wilk test was performed to verify that they do not have a normality distribution for numerical variables, and for the non-parametric test, Kruscal-Wallis test was conducted to determine whether or not they are satisfied.