• Title/Summary/Keyword: Accelerated life testing

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Point and interval estimation for a simple step-stress model with Type-I censored data from geometric distribution

  • Arefi, Ahmad;Razmkhah, Mostafa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2017
  • The estimation problem of expected time to failure of units is studied in a discrete set up. A simple step-stress accelerated life testing is considered with a Type-I censored sample from geometric distribution that is a commonly used distribution to model the lifetime of a device in discrete case. Maximum likelihood estimators as well as the associated distributions are derived. Exact, approximate and bootstrap approaches construct confidence intervals that are compared via a simulation study. Optimal confidence intervals are suggested in view of the expected width and coverage probability criteria. An illustrative example is also presented to explain the results of the paper. Finally, some conclusions are stated.

Optimal Designs of Partially Constant-Stress Life Testing For Three-Component Mixed Systems

  • Park, Hee-Chang;Jeng, Kwang-Man;Kim, Min-Hwan
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.06a
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we consider optimal designs of partially constant-stress life testing which is deviced for three-component mixed systems with the considerably long time. Mixed systems are jointed serial system with parallel system. Test items are run at both use condition and accelerated condition until a specified censoring time. The optimal criterion for the sample-proportion allocated to accelerated condition is to minimized asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimators of the acceleration factor and hazard rates.

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The best accelerated method and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors (전해 캐패시터의 최적 가속시험방법과 수명예측)

  • Kim, Ha-Na;Sim, Chan-Ho;Kim, Sung-Jun;Yoon, Jung-Rag;Lee, Hun-Yong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07c
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    • pp.1945-1947
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    • 2005
  • This study considers find out best accelerated life testing and lifetime prediction of electrolytic capacitors. We proved about relation between failure and deterioration mechanism from last thesis. Beside we performed test that temperature and voltage press higher than allowance specification. Failure distribution acquired from those test. And wiebull function and Minitab program applied to accelerated constant and lifetime by means of calculation. At the result, goodness of fit affect to weibull function and acceleration factor therefore fitting is important factor in reliability testing.

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Thermal Reliability Analysis of BLDC Motor in a High Speed Axial Fan by Numerical Method (수치해석에 의한 고속팬용 밀폐구조형 BLDC모터의 열신뢰성 분석)

  • Moon, Sun-Ae;Lee, Jae-Heon
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.130-138
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    • 2010
  • The thermal reliability of the closed-type BLDC motor for the high speed axial fans is analyzed by a numerical method in this paper. Since the module and the motor part are combined in a closed case, the heat generated from a rotor in the motor and the electronic components in the PCB module can not be effectively removed to the outside. Therefore the module will easily fail by high temperature. The accelerated-life testing was accomplished to formulate the life equation and numerical method is used to predict the inside temperature of the PCB module, which is one of the life equation parameter according to the environment. When the environment temperature of BLDC motor is 21, 35 and 50 $^{\circ}C$, the temperature in the PCB space is predicted as 73.4, 87.5 and 102.4 $^{\circ}C$. Then the life time with the temperature are calculated as 2,239, 863 and 328 hours.

Thermal Reliability Analysis of a Closed Type Motor in an Axial Fan for the Large Space Ventilation (대형공간환기용 축류팬에 사용되는 밀폐형 모터의 열신뢰성 분석)

  • Lee, Tae-Gu;Hur, Jin-Huek;Moon, Sun-Ae;Yoo, Ho-Seon;Moon, Seung-Jae;Lee, Jae-Heon
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.494-499
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    • 2007
  • The thermal reliability of the closed-type BLDC motor for the high speed axial fans is analyzed by a numerical method in this dissertation. Since the module and the motor part are combined in a closed case, the heat generated from a rotor in the motor and the electronic components in the PCB module can not be effectively removed to the outside. Therefore the module will easily fail by high temperature. The accelerated-life testing was accomplished to formulate the life equation and numerical method is used to predict the inside temperature of the PCB module, which is one of the life equation parameter according to the environment. The experiment for measuring the surface heat flux of the electronic components is carried out to apply the boundary condition of numerical study. When the environment temperature of BLDC motor is 21, 35 and $50^{\circ}C$, the temperature in the PCB space is predicted as 73.4, 87.5 and $102.4^{\circ}C$. Then the life time with the temperature are calculated as 2,239, 863 and 328.

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A Study on the Reliability Prediction and Lifetime of the Electrolytic Condenser for EMU Inverter (전동차 인버터 구동용 전해콘덴서의 신뢰도예측과 수명 연구)

  • Han, Jae-Hyun;Bae, Chang-Han;Koo, Jeong-Seo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2014
  • Inverter module, which feeds the converted power to the traction motor for EMU. Consists of the power semiconductors with their gate drive unit(GDU)s and the control computer for driving, voltage, current and speed controls. Electrolytic condenser, connected to the gate drive unit and a core component to drive the power semiconductor, has problems such as reduction in lifetime and malfunction caused by electrical and mechanical characteristic changes from heat generation during high speed switching for generation of stable power. In this study, To check the service life of electrolytic condenser, the test was carried out in two ways. First, In the case of accelerated life testing of condenser, the Arrhenius model is a way of life testing. Another way is to analyze the reliability of the failure data by the method of parametric data analysis. Eventually, life time by accelerated life test than a method of failure data analysis(Weibull distribution) was found to be slightly larger output.

A Review on Ammunition Shelf-life Prediction Research for Preventing Accidents Caused by Defective Ammunition (불량탄 안전사고 예방을 위한 탄약 수명 예측 연구 리뷰)

  • Young-Jin Jung;Ji-Soo Hong;Sol-Ip Kim;Sung-Woo Kang
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2024
  • In order to prevent accidents via defective ammunition, this paper analyzes recent research on ammunition life prediction methodology. This workanalyzes current shelf-life prediction approaches by comparing the pros and cons of physical modeling, accelerated testing, and statistical analysis-based prediction techniques. Physical modeling-based prediction demonstrates its usefulness in understanding the physical properties and interactions of ammunition. Accelerated testing-based prediction is useful in quickly verifying the reliability and safety of ammunition. Additionally, statistical analysis-based prediction is emphasized for its ability to make decisions based on data. This paper aims to contribute to the early detection of defective ammunition by analyzing ammunition life prediction methodology hereby reducing defective ammunition accidents. In order to prepare not only Korean domestic war situation but also the international affairs from Eastern Europe and Mid East countries, it is very important to enhance the stability of organizations using ammunition and reduce costs of potential accidents.

Life Estimation of Elevator Wire Ropes Using Accelerated Degradation Test Data (가속열화시험 데이터를 활용한 엘리베이터 와이어로프 수명 예측)

  • Kim, Seung Ho;Kim, Sang Boo;Kim, Sung Ho;Ham, Sung Hoon
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.997-1004
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    • 2017
  • The life of elevator wire ropes is one of the most important characteristics of an elevator, which is closely related to the safety of users and its maintenance policy. It is not cost effective to measure the lifetime of elevator wire ropes during their use. In this study, the life estimation of elevator wire ropes (8x19W-IWRC) is considered using accelerated degradation test data. A bending fatigue tester is used to perform the accelerated degradation tests, incorporating the acceleration factor of tensile force. Assuming that the life of wire ropes is log-normally distributed, two life estimation methods are suggested and their results are compared. The first method estimates the life of wire ropes utilizing the accelerated life model with pseudo lives obtained from a linear regression model. The second method estimates the life using a logistic model based on failure probability.

Component and Bench Tests of Polyurethane Hydraulic Reciprocating Seal for Accelerated Life Testing (부품 및 벤치 실험을 통한 폴리우레탄 유압 왕복 실의 가속 실험)

  • Je, Youngwan;Kim, Hansol;Kim, Lyu-Woon;Chung, Koo-Hyun;An, Joong-Hyok;Jeon, Hong-Gyu
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.271-277
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    • 2014
  • Hydraulic reciprocating seals have been widely used to prevent fluid leakage and to provide lubricant film on counter surface in various hydraulic system. The degradation of the seal may cause the catastrophic failure of the hydraulic system. To assess the durability of the seals and the compatibility with counter surface, accelerated life testing (ALT) has been typically employed from industry. However, ALT often takes up to a few months to cause a failure of the seals, and therefore, there is a need to develop more efficient ALT methods. In this work, the degradation characteristics of polyurethane (PU) seals from field test are investigated and they are compared to those from the component and bench tests, with an aim to contribute to the development of ALT method. From the comparison of the cross-sectional profiles of the sealing surface of the PU specimens before and after the tests, both wear and compression set are found to be responsible for degradation of the PU seals. It is also shown that the major wear mechanisms of the PU seals from the field is abrasive wear and formation of pits. The component and bench tests performed in this work are shown to reproduce such wear mechanisms, and therefore, those test methods can be used as an ALT method for PU seals. In particular, the bench test proposed in this work may be effectively utilized to assess the durability and the compatibility of the seals with the counter surface. The results of this work are expected to aid in the design of ALT for PU seal.