• Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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• v.6 no.3
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• pp.237-254
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• 2019

This paper presents an improved time series based damage detection approach with experimental verifications for detection, localization, and quantification of damage in shear-type structures under varying mass effects using output-only vibration data. The proposed method can be very effective for automated monitoring of buildings to develop proactive maintenance strategies. In this method, Auto-Regressive Moving Average models with eXogenous inputs (ARMAX) are built to represent the dynamic relationship of different sensor clusters. The damage features are extracted based on the relative difference of the ARMAX model coefficients to identify the existence, location and severity of damage of stiffness and mass separately. The results from a laboratory-scale shear type structure show that different damage scenarios are revealed successfully using the approach. At the end of this paper, the methodology limitations are also discussed, especially when simultaneous occurrence of mass and stiffness damage at multiple locations.

• Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.193-200
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• 2004

The Active Constrained Layer Damping(ACLD) combines the simplicity and reliability of passive damping with the low weight and high efficiency of active control to attain high damping characteristics. The proposed ACLD treatment consists of a viscoelastic damping which is sandwiched between an active piezoelectric layer and a host structure. In this manner, the smart ACLD consists of a Passive Constrained Layer Damping(PCLD) which is augmented with an active control in response to the structural vibrations. The arc type shell model is introduced to describe the interactions between the vibrating host structure, piezoelectric actuator and viscoelastic damping. The system is modeled by applying ARMAX model and changing a state-space form through the system identification method. An optimum control law for the piezo actuator is obtain by LQR(Linear Quadratic Regulator) method. The performance of the ACLD system is determined and compared with PCLD in order to demonstrate the effectiveness of the ACLD treatment. Also, the actuation capability of a piezo actuator is examined experimentally by varying thickness of viscoelastic material(VEM).

• Clean Technology
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.119-126
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• 2001

The prediction of ozone formation was studied using the neural network and the stochastic method. Parameter estimation method and artificial neural network(ANN) method were employed in the stochastic scheme. In the parameter estimation method, extended least squares(ELS) method and recursive maximum likelihood(RML) were used to achieve the real time parameter estimation. Autoregressive moving average model with external input(ARMAX) was used as the ozone formation model for the parameter estimation method. ANN with 3 layers was also tested to predict the ozone formation. To demonstrate the performance of the ozone formation prediction schemes used in this work, the prediction results of ozone formation were compared with the real data. From the comparison it was found that the prediction schemes based on the parameter estimation method and ANN method show an acceptable accuracy with limited prediction horizon.

• Asian Journal of Business Environment
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.1-11
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• 2024

Purpose: This study analyzes the impact of weather conditions, holidays, and sporting events on beer sales, providing insights for market strategy and inventory management in the beer industry. Research design, data and methodology: Beer types were classified into Lagers and Ales, with further subcategories. The study utilized weekly retail sales data from January 2018 to August 2020, provided by Nielsen Korea. An ARMAX model was employed for time-series analysis. Results: The analysis revealed that increasing temperatures positively influence sales of Pilsners and Pale Lagers. Conversely, higher precipitation levels negatively affect overall Lager sales. Among Ales, only Stout sales showed a significant decrease with increased rainfall. Sunshine duration did not significantly impact sales for any beer type. Humidity generally had little effect on beer sales, with the exception of Amber Lagers, which showed sensitivity to humidity changes. Holidays and sporting events were found to significantly boost sales across most beer types, although the specific impacts varied by beer category. Conclusions: This study offers a detailed analysis of how weather conditions and specific events influence different beer type sales. The findings provide valuable insights for breweries, beer processors, and retailers to optimize their market strategies and inventory management based on weather forecasts and seasonal events. By understanding the consumption patterns of each beer type in relation to environmental factors, businesses can better anticipate demand fluctuations and tailor their operations accordingly.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1997.10a
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• pp.77-80
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• 1997

In this paper presented is a temperature controller for a semiconductor test handler. Using ARMAX model and least square method, the chamber model for the design of a controller is identified through experiment. With the identified model an LQG/LTR controller is designed. Experiment with a real test handler demonstrated good performance in that its overshoot is small and response time is fast.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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• v.8 no.6
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• pp.156-164
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• 2000

In this study, a discrete time model for a simplified front wheel suspension system which has nonlinear dampling and stiffness property is introduced. The model is estimated from the discrete data which are generated based on the real car parameter. The performance of the proposed method is evaluated through numerical simulation, and the simulation results show that the proposed method can estimate the nonlinear behavior of the suspension system very well.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.7
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• pp.1373-1383
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• 2016

The wind energy industry and wind power generation have increased; consequently, the stable supply of the wind power has become an important issue. It is important to accurately predict the wind power with short-term basis in order to make a reliable planning for the power supply and demand of wind power. In this paper, we first analyzed the speed, power and the directions of the wind. The neural network and the time series models (ARMA, ARMAX, ARMA-GARCH, Holt Winters) for wind power generation forecasting were compared based on mean absolute error (MAE). For one to three hour-ahead forecast, ARMA-GARCH model was outperformed, and the neural network method showed a better performance in the six hour-ahead forecast.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.38 no.3
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• pp.166-172
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• 1989

The model reference adaptive control algorithm (MRAC), which is one of the methods for controlling the speed of a permanent magnet synchronous motor (PMSM), has been developed using the autoregressive (ARMAX) method. Applying this algorithm to a microprocessor which is used in driving PMSM with PI controller, it has been proved that the response speed of the reference input follows closely that of the reference model. It has also been proved by experiments that the quick speed response without over-shoot could be obtained for the motor system with variable parameters.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• v.22 no.5
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• pp.587-609
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• 2018

There is greater significance in identifying the incipient damages in structures at the time of their initiation as timely rectification of these minor incipient cracks can save huge maintenance cost. However, the change in the global dynamic characteristics of a structure due to these subtle damages are insignificant enough to detect using the majority of the current damage diagnostic techniques. Keeping this in view, we propose a hybrid damage diagnostic technique for detection of minor incipient damages in the structures. In the proposed automated hybrid algorithm, the raw dynamic signatures obtained from the structure are decomposed to uni-modal signals and the dynamic signature are reconstructed by identifying and combining only the uni-modal signals altered by the minor incipient damage. We use these reconstructed signals for damage diagnostics using ARMAX model. Numerical simulation studies are carried out to investigate and evaluate the proposed hybrid damage diagnostic algorithm and their capability in identifying minor/incipient damage with noisy measurements. Finally, experimental studies on a beam are also presented to compliment the numerical simulations in order to demonstrate the practical application of the proposed algorithm.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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• v.30 no.8
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• pp.831-838
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• 2013

This paper focused on the design of an efficient temperature controller for a plant with a wide range of operating temperatures. The greater the temperature difference a plant has, the larger the nonlinearity it is exposed to in terms of heat transfer. For this reason, we divided the temperature range into five sections, and each was modeled using ARMAX(auto regressive moving average exogenous). The movement of the dominant poles of the sliced system was analyzed and, based on the variation in the system parameters with temperature, optimal control parameters were obtained through simulation and experiments. From the configurations for each section of the temperature range, a temperature-based gain-scheduled controller (TBGSC) was designed for parameter variation of the plant. Experiments showed that the TBGSC resulted in improved performance compared with an existing proportional integral derivative (PID) controller.