• Title/Summary/Keyword: A Real Estate Market

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Real-Estate Price Prediction in South Korea via Machine Learning Modeling (머신러닝 기법을 통한 대한민국 부동산 가격 변동 예측)

  • Nam, Sanghyun;Han, Taeho;Kim, Leeju;Lee, Eunji
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.15-20
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    • 2020
  • Recently, the real estate is of high interest. This is because real estate, which was considered only a residential environment in the past, is recognized as a stable investment target due to the ever-growing demand on it. In particular, in the case of the domestic market, despite the decrease in the number of people, the number of single-person households and the influx of people to large cities are accelerating, and real estate prices are rising sharply around the metropolitan area. Therefore, accurately predicting the prospects of the future real estate market becomes a very important issue not only for individual asset management but also for government policy establishment. In this paper, we developed a program to predict future real estate market prices by learning past real estate sales data using machine learning techniques. The data on the market price of real estate provided by the Korea Appraisal Board and the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport were used, and the average sales price forecast for 2022 by region is presented. The developed program is publicly available so that it could be used in various forms.

A Study on the Design for Contents System of Real Estate based on Web Engineering (웹 공학 기반의 부동산 컨텐츠 시스템 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Young-sun
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.10 no.6 s.38
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2005
  • The design for an real estate system offer reliability information at once which of the information to extensive data collection of real estate and an real estate price decision Real estate policy make reflect to the appear and apply. The taste of an real estate buyer is various today that We have been changed into a buyer center in the market of the while of a salesman center Real estate area range of which brokerage business have been reduced gradually which are charging the task of an real estate intermediation. We take the influence to implementation of an real estate information system which real estate field range of brokerage business with real estate mediation business take charge have been reduced gradually. An Real estate circulation market are leading the change of the environment to be brings the change of the method of an real estate transaction. This paper has the purpose that lead new internet age to the design for contents system of real estate based on Web engineering, accomplish revitalization of real estate information system that offer Web service information.

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A Study on the Taxation Equity between Non-Residential Real Estate and Apartment Houses (비주거용 부동산과 아파트의 과세형평성에 관한 연구)

  • Im, Dong Heok;Choi, Min Seub
    • Korea Real Estate Review
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.87-102
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the taxation equity of non-residential collective real estate based on its standard market prices set by National Tax Service and those for taxation set by the Ministry of Government Administration and Home Affairs with that of the apartment houses in Seoul, South Korea. The study findings were as follows. First, the analysis results of the standard market price rates of non-residential collective real estate pointed to a huge gap in the assessment rate (AR) of the taxation standards among the Gu offices. Second, there was a big coefficient of dispersion (COD) in the standard market prices of non-residential collective real estate, which confirmed the presence of horizontal inequity. Finally, there was regressive vertical inequity, which leads to the undervaluation of high-value assets, in the standard market prices of non-residential collective real estate. The evaluation of the standard market prices of non-residential collective real state should thus reflect the market prices and the addition and assessment of the land and buildings to achieve taxation equity. Based on these findings, it is hoped that this study will make a significant contribution to the improvement of the official announcement system for non-residential real estate based on real transactions during the shift to such system.

Market sentiment and its effect on real estate return: evidence from China Shenzhen

  • LI, ZHUO
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.27 no.9
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    • pp.243-251
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose a phenomenon that analyze the impact of market sentiment on China's real estate market through the perspective of behavioral economics. Previously, real estate market analyzation basically focus on some fundamental principles which include market price, monetary policies and income, etc. However, little research has explored market sentiment and its influence. By using principal components analysis (PCA), this study first creates buyer's sentiment and seller's sentiment to measure the heat of China's real estate market. Different from using traditional estimation method, the vector autoregressive model (VAR) is used to analyze how both sentiments affect real estate return. The overall results show that from unit root test and impulse response analyzation, the impact of seller's sentiment is positive to real estate market while buyer's sentiment is negative. At the same time, the higher seller's sentiment will have different influence on the housing market compared with the higher buyer's sentiment.

The Hedonic Method in Evaluating Apartment Price: A Case of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Ha Minh;PHAN, Hung Quoc;TRAN, Tri Van;TRAN, Thang Kiem Viet
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.6
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    • pp.517-524
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    • 2020
  • The study examines factors affecting apartment prices in the real estate market of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam. The study uses primary data based on surveys of customers who have traded successfully, and collects transaction data from real estate trading companies that are the top investors in Ho Chi Minh City real estate market. The collected data include 384 observations in a total of 24 districts, detailing that each district surveyed on a minimum of four projects, each project carried out a survey on a minimum of four apartments. The survey collected 339 valid questionnaires for analysis and model testing. This study employs multivariate regression with the data of 339 observations. The research results reveal that five significant factors affect positively the price of apartments in Ho Chi Minh City - apartment area, toilet and bedroom, apartment floor, reference price, and apartment interior. Besides, there are three significant factors affecting negatively the price of apartments - next price trend, distance to city center, and potential building. From the results, the research proposes solutions in the pricing of apartments in the real estate market in Ho Chi Minh City - better information system, a real estate transaction index, and stricter management of small brokerage activities.

Diversified Investment of Commercial Real Estate Assets - Focused on Office Building and Retail Real Estate Markets in Seoul - (상업용 부동산 시장의 분산투자에 관한 연구 - 서울지역의 오피스 빌딩 및 소매용 부동산 시장을 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Jongkwon;Jun, Jaebum
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.144-155
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    • 2015
  • This paper is to understand investment's efficiency and performance of commercial real estate assets diversified by use and district. To do so, this paper divides two different commercial real estate markets(office build market and retail real estate market) in Seoul city by district into "GBD(Gangnam Business District), YBD(Yeouido Business District), and CBD(Central Business District)" and "GBD(Gangnam Business District), SBD(Shinchon Business District), and CBD(Central Business District)" respectively, configures these districts each other to structure portfolios as its portion varies based on Markowitz's Mean-Variance principle, and looks at risk-return relationship of portfolios to find out efficiency, performance, and optimal investment chosen based upon Sharpe's Performance Index. As a result, the portfolio configured by "10 to 30% of office building asset at CBD" and "70 to 90% of retail real estate asset at CBD" is shown to be the most optimal, suggesting the highest quarterly Sharpe's performance index of 2.7118~2.7776 with quarterly rate of return of 1.826%~1.838% and quarterly standard deviation of 0.573~0.589. Furthermore, it is obvious that diversified portfolio configured by use(office-retail) shows better investment performance than that by district with same type of asset(office-office or retail-retail). Finally, results driven from this research will play an important role to stimulate real estate and construction markets through enlarging ideas as to diversified investment by use and district on real estate indirect investment products.

Development of a Model to Predict the Volatility of Housing Prices Using Artificial Intelligence

  • Jeonghyun LEE;Sangwon LEE
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2023
  • We designed to employ an Artificial Intelligence learning model to predict real estate prices and determine the reasons behind their changes, with the goal of using the results as a guide for policy. Numerous studies have already been conducted in an effort to develop a real estate price prediction model. The price prediction power of conventional time series analysis techniques (such as the widely-used ARIMA and VAR models for univariate time series analysis) and the more recently-discussed LSTM techniques is compared and analyzed in this study in order to forecast real estate prices. There is currently a period of rising volatility in the real estate market as a result of both internal and external factors. Predicting the movement of real estate values during times of heightened volatility is more challenging than it is during times of persistent general trends. According to the real estate market cycle, this study focuses on the three times of extreme volatility. It was established that the LSTM, VAR, and ARIMA models have strong predictive capacity by successfully forecasting the trading price index during a period of unusually high volatility. We explores potential synergies between the hybrid artificial intelligence learning model and the conventional statistical prediction model.

The Development of a Real Estate Multi-Attribute Integrated Search System (부동산 다속성 통합 검색 시스템 개발)

  • Cho, Jae-Hyung
    • The Journal of Society for e-Business Studies
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.15-37
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    • 2009
  • This study presents a new retrieval system developed to consider various preferential requirements for buyers in the real estate market. The paper analyses essential factors affecting the price of real estate and then a set of factors are classified by region-related factor and individual-related factor. After endowing the buyer's selected factors with weights in the retrieval system, the optimal solutions have been drawn by comparing with the others through an entropy measure of Multi-attribute Decision Making. This retrieval system is applied to the Busan real estate market to estimate the solutions of retrieval. Evaluation results indicate that the retrieval system can provide useful information to analyse the price determination factors of real estate, as well as to save the searching cost of the buyers.

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Performance and Asset Management System of Listed Property Trusts in Australia: Implications for Korean Real Estate Indirect Investment Market (호주 Listed Property Trusts의 성과와 자산관리 특성 분석: 우리나라 부동산간접투자에의 시사점)

  • Park, Won-Seok
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.245-262
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    • 2007
  • This paper aims at analyzing the characteristics of performance and asset management system of listed property trusts(LPT) in Australia, and elucidating the implications for Korean real estate indirect investment market. The main results of this paper are as follows. Firstly, LPT have a leading position among the real estate indirect investment systems in Australia, through the rapid growth of market capitalization. Secondly, LPT achieved superior risk adjustment performance than other financial products, and had valid portfolio diversification effect. Thirdly, many LPT have used stapled securities structure as a asset management system, and stapled LPT revealed superior risk adjustment performance than unit LPT. Finally, implications and policy measures such as using the stapled structure and activating the development activities were examined for the development of Korean real estate indirect investment market.

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Analysis of Real Estate Market Trend Using Text Mining and Big Data (빅데이터와 텍스트마이닝을 이용한 부동산시장 동향분석)

  • Chun, Hae-Jung
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2019
  • This study is on the trend of real estate market using text mining and big data. The data were collected through internet news posted on Naver from August 2016 to August 2017. As a result of TF-IDF analysis, the frequency was high in the order of housing, sale, household, real estate market, and region. Many words related to policies such as loan, government, countermeasures, and regulations were extracted, and the region - related words appeared the most frequently in Seoul. The combination of the words related to the region showed that the frequencies of 'Seoul - Gangnam', 'Seoul - Metropolitan area', 'Gangnam - reconstruction' and 'Seoul - reconstruction' appeared frequently. It can be seen that the people's interest and expectation about the reconstruction of Gangnam area is high.