• Title/Summary/Keyword: 3-parameter weibull

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Analysis of Allowable Stresses of Machine Graded Lumber in Korea (국내 기계등급구조재의 허용응력 분석)

  • Hong, Jung-Pyo;Oh, Jung-Kwon;Park, Joo-Saeng;Han, Yeon Jung;Pang, Sung-Jun;Kim, Chul-Ki;Lee, Jun-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Wood Science and Technology
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.456-462
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    • 2015
  • 365 pieces of domestic $38{\times}140{\times}3600mm$ Red pine structural lumber were machine graded conforming to a softwood structural lumber standard (KS F 3020). The allowable bending stresses calculated for each grade were compared with the values currently tabulated in the standard. Four calculation methods for lower $5^{th}$ percentile bending stress were non-parametric estimation with 75% confidence level, 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution fit, and bending modulus of rupture (MOR)-modulus of elasticity (MOE) regression based method. Only the data set of Grades E8, E9, and E10 were statistically eligible for the $5^{th}$ percentile calculation. The MOR-MOE regression based method only was able to estimate the lower $5^{th}$ percentile values theoretically for the full range of grades. The results showed that all allowable bending stresses calculated were lower than the design values tabulated in the standard. This implies that the current machine grading system has the pitfall of structural safety. Improvement in current machine grading system could be achieved by introducing the bending strength and stiffness combination grade system.

A Study on the Prediction of Fatigue Life by use of Probability Density Function (확률밀도함수를 이용한 피로균열 발생수명 예측에 관한 연구)

  • 김종호
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.453-461
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    • 1999
  • The estimation of fatigue life at the design stage is very important in order to arrive at feasible and cost effective solutions considering the total lifetime of the structure and machinery compo-nents. In this study the practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors based on Miner-Palmgren hypothesis and probability density function is shown with a $135,000m^3$ LNG tank being used as an example. In particular the parameters of Weibull distribution taht determine the stress spectrum are dis-cussed. At the end some of uncertainties associated with fatigue life prediction are discussed. The main results obtained from this study are as follows: 1. The practical procedure of prediction of fatigue life by use of cumulative damage factors expressed in combination of probability density function and S-N data is proposed. 2. The calculated fatigue life is influenced by the shape parameter and stress block. The conser-vative fatigue design can be achieved when using higher value of shape parameter and the stress blocks divded into more stress blocks.

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Effect of Homogeneous Mixing of Sintering Additives by Coprecipitation Method on Mechanical Properties of Pressureless-Sintered $Si_3N_4$ (공침법에 의한 소결첨가제의 균일혼합이 $Si_3N_4$ 상압소결체의 기계적 특성에 미치는 영향)

  • 김지순
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.265-272
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    • 1993
  • Effect of mixing homogeneity in powder mixtures of Si3N4 and sintering additive (10mol% YAG) prepared by coprecipitation on the mechanical properties of pressureless-sintered body was investigated. Sintering was performed in a graphtie furnace at 1850℃ for 0.5h under 0.15MPa N2 atmosphere using Si3N4 powder bed. Results from the measurement of Young's modulus, Vickers hardness, 4-point-bending strength, and KIC for the coprecipitation-treated (CP) and the mechanically-mixed specimens(MM) showed that a remarkable improvement in flexural strength and Weibull parameter can be achieved for the CPspecimens: (677±68MPa, 12.0) for CP samples and (539±108MPa, 5.5) for MM. Other properties were almost same irrespective of preparation methods.

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Temperature-dependent Development and Its Model of the Melon Aphid, Aphis gossypii Glover (Homoptera: Aphididae) (목화진딧물(Aphis gossypii Glover)의 온도발육과 발육모형)

  • 김지수;김용헌;김태흥;김정환;변영웅;김광호
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2004
  • The development of Aphis gossypii was studied at various constant temperatures ranging from 15 to 35$^{\circ}C$, with 60-70% RH, and photoperiod of 16:8 (L:D h). Mortality of A. gossypii was high in the early developmental stages, and at high temperatures. The total immature developmental period ranged from 4.6 to 11.5 days. The lower developmental threshold temperature and effective cumulated temperature for all immature stages were 5.0$^{\circ}C$ and 106.8 degree-day, respective. The nonlinear shape of temperature-dependent development was well described by the modified Sharpe and DeMichele model. The normalized cumulative frequency distributions of developmental period for each life stage were fitted to the three-parameter Weibull function.

A Simulation Model for the Intermittent Hydrologic Process (II) - Markov Chain and Continuous Probability Distribution - (간헐(間歇) 수문과정(水文過程)의 모의발생(模擬發生) 모형(模型)(II) - Markov 연쇄와 연속확률분포(連續確率分布) -)

  • Lee, Jae Joon;Lee, Jung Sik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.523-534
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    • 1994
  • The purpose of this study is to develop computer simulation model that produce precipitation patterns from stochastic model. In the paper(I) of this study, the alternate renewal process(ARP) is used for the daily precipitation series. In this paper(Il), stochastic simulation models for the daily precipitation series are developed by combining Markov chain for the precipitation occurrence process and continuous probability distribution for the precipitation amounts on the wet days. The precipitation occurrence is determined by first order Markov chain with two states(dry and wet). The amounts of precipitation, given that precipitation has occurred, are described by a Gamma, Pearson Type-III, Extremal Type-III, and 3 parameter Weibull distribution. Since the daily precipitation series shows seasonal variation, models are identified for each month of the year separately. To illustrate the application of the simulation models, daily precipitation data were taken from records at the seven locations of the Nakdong and Seomjin river basin. Simulated data were similar to actual data in terms of distribution for wet and dry spells, seasonal variability, and precipitation amounts.

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Determination of No-Failure Test Times for the Life Test of Hydraulic System Components (유압시스템 구성품의 수명시험을 위한 무고장 시험시간의 산출)

  • Lee, S.R.;Kim, H.E.
    • Transactions of The Korea Fluid Power Systems Society
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.8-13
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    • 2006
  • It is very important for the manufacturers to predict the life of hydraulic system components according to the results of life tests. Since it takes too much time to test the hydraulic system components until failure, the no-failure test method is applied for the life test of them. If the shape parameter of Weibull distribution, the number of samples, the confidence level, and the assurance life are given, the no-failure test times of hydraulic system components can be calculated by given equation. Here, the procedures to obtain the no-failure test times of the hydraulic system components such as hydraulic motors and pumps, hydraulic cylinders, hydraulic valves, hydraulic accumulators, hydraulic hoses, and hydraulic filters are described briefly.

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Reliability Analysis of Statistical Failure Probabillity in Sin/Hip $Si_3N_4$(II) (통계적 파괴확률에 의한 Sin/Hip 질화규소의 신뢰도 분석(II))

  • 송진수;김영욱;이재석;이준근
    • Journal of the Korean Ceramic Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.321-328
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    • 1990
  • For the reliability analysis of Sin/Hip silicon nitride, such as Weibull modulus m, scale parameter $\sigma$0, and Batdorf crack density coefficient kB were obtained by 4-point MOR test. And its theoretical failure probabilities under arbitrary stress state were predicted using finite element analysis and KARA II reliability analysis program, which was programmed for both surface adn volume flaws. For the verification of this theoretical results, the experimental failure probabilities were measured using ring-to-ring tests at room temperature as well as 4-point MOR tests at 100$0^{\circ}C$, and were compared with theoretical failure probabilities.

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Delamination behaviors of GdBCO CC tapes under different transverse loading conditions

  • Gorospe, Alking B.;Bautista, Zhierwinjay M.;Shin, Hyung-Seop
    • Progress in Superconductivity and Cryogenics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.13-17
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    • 2015
  • In superconducting coil applications particularly in wet wound coils, coated conductor (CC) tapes are subjected to different type of stresses. These include hoop stress acting along the length of the CC tape and the Lorentz force acting perpendicular to the CC tape's surface. Since the latter is commonly associated with delamination problem of multi-layered CC tapes, more understanding and attention on the delamination phenomena induced in the case of coil applications are needed. Difference on the coefficient of thermal expansion (CTE) of each constituent layer of the CC tape, the bobbin, and the impregnating materials is the main causes of delamination in CC tapes when subjected to thermal cycling. The CC tape might also experience cyclic loading due to the energizing scheme (on - off) during operation. In the design of degradation-free superconducting coils, therefore, characterization of the delamination behaviors including mechanism and strength in REBCO CC tapes becomes critical. In this study, transverse tensile tests were conducted under different loading conditions using different size of upper anvils on the GdBCO CC tapes. The mechanical and electromechanical delamination strength behaviors of the CC tapes under transverse tensile loading were examined and a two-parameter Weibull distribution analysis was conducted in statistical aspects. As a result, the CC tape showed similar range of mechanical delamination strength regardless of cross-head speed adopted. On the other hand, cyclic loading might have affected the CC tape in both upper anvil sizes adopted.

A Comparison of Statistical Prediction Models in Household Water End-Uses (가정용수의 수요량 예측을 위한 통계적 모형 비교)

  • Myoung, Sung-Min;Lee, Doo-Jin;Kim, Hwa-Soo;Jo, Jin-Nam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.567-573
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    • 2011
  • This study develops a predictive model for household water end-uses based on data that have measured household characteristics, housing characteristics and other items, surveyed over 3 years in Korea. However, the measured data was left-skewed and it was not fitted to normal distribution. The parameter estimate were biased when using a multiple regression model. In addition, the results of the testing for the model were usually of significance due to the tiny residual from a large number of observations. In order to solve the problem, we suggested log-normal regression model and Weibull regression model as alternatives. The results of this study can be utilized in the planning stages of water and waste water facilities.

Saemangeum feasibility study for offshore wind in yeongeunhae Remote monitoring pungryeokgecheuk (새만금 연근해의 해상풍력 타당성 조사를 위한 원격감시 풍력계측)

  • Choi, Yeon-Sung;Choi, Yong-Won;Jeon, Chil-Hwan
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.3-8
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    • 2009
  • Environmental pollution caused by fossil fuel use and energy sources, the big concern is the rise of the current situation, one of the ways to overcome the interest in renewable energy is Gozo. Located on the west coast, especially the Saemangeum area and the northwest wind, the big advantage of the vast area that's got quite a number of wind turbines is expected. This study affirms that these expectations can be a wind energy resource survey sea area of the average wind speed of Kunsan 5 ~ 7m / s is enough, books are linked to the local marine wind farms can safely say that none of choejeokji said. In addition, the emergence of the wind resource to determine the density of the Weibull distribution is calculated using the number 1, the shape factor as a parameter to calculate the density of the wind a result, Gunsan Province was able to predict the emergence of the wind. In addition, by controlling the remote monitoring through the measurement exceeded the convenience and reliability at the same time you can achieve great results.

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