• Title/Summary/Keyword: 2-period model

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Prediction of changes in fine dust concentration using LSTM model

  • Lee, Gi-Seok;Lee, Sang-Hyun
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.30-37
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    • 2022
  • Because fine dust (PM10) has a close effect on the environment, fine dust generated in the climate and living environment has a bad effect on the human body. In this study, the LSTM model was applied to predict and analyze the effect of fine dust on Gwangju Metropolitan City in Korea. This paper uses prediction values of input variables selected through correlation analysis to confirm fine dust prediction performance. In this paper, data from the Gwangju Metropolitan City area were collected to measure fine dust. The collection period is one year's worth of data was used from january to December of 2021, and the test data was conducted using three-month data from January to March of 2022. As a result of this study, in the as a result of predicting fine dust (PH10) and ultrafine dust (PH2.5) using the LSTM model, the RMSE was 4.61 and the test result value was as low as 4.37. This reason is judged to be the result of the contents of the one-year sample.

Combination Prediction for Nonlinear Time Series Data with Intervention (개입 분석 모형 예측력의 비교분석)

  • 김덕기;김인규;이성덕
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2003
  • Under the case that we know the period and the reason of external events, we reviewed the method of model identification, parameter estimation and model diagnosis with the former papers that have been studied about the linear time series model with intervention, and compared with nonlinear time series model such as ARCH, GARCH model that it has been used widely in economic models, and also we compared with the combination prediction method that Tong(1990) introduced.

Sreamflow, Nutirnets loading estimation for KEUMGANG estrury using SWAT2000 model (SWAT2000 모형을 이용한 금강하구호의 유출량 및 영양염류 부하량 산정)

  • Moon, Jong-Pil;Kim, Tai-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.496-501
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    • 2005
  • SWAT2000 model directly estimate the loading of water, and nutrients from land areas in a watershed. it allows to add nutrient loading from the point sourece like a sewage treatment plant and it also has a GIS interface which can easily see the spatial relationship between subbasins. For better assessment of nutrients loading to KEUMGANG estuary, SWAT2000 model applied to KEUMGANG estuary watershed. Model calibration and verification was firstly poerformed at Gongju site duing the period $1999{\sim}2003$. $R^2$ value was 0.96 for streamflow, 0.94 for T-N load and 0.52 for T-P load. The accuracy of the model at Gongju site suggest that the SWAT2000 can be available to estimate streamflow, Nutrients loading to the KEUMGANG estuary.

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An Application of Idea Generation Methods to Kano Quality Model (Kano 품질분석을 위한 아이디어 발상법 적용에 관한 역구)

  • Kim, Tai-Young;Park, Young-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.305-312
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    • 2011
  • Kano model has been widely used to identify and classify customer attributes of a product or a service. The first step of Kano model application is the derivation of customer attributes, and brainstorming has been used conventionally for the purpose. A typical advantage of brainstorming is to get many ideas in a relatively short period, but the practicability of the derived ideas are known to be not so good. The derivation of good and practical ideas is important for the successful use of Kano model. Wish list, bug list and forced connection method as well as brainstorming were applied to PMP(Portable Multimedia Player) in order to derive customer attributes. To compare the idea generation methods, the derived attributes are classified and compared using Kano model.

Acceleration Behavior of Rock Slope by Shaking Table Test (진동대 실험을 이용한 암반비탈면의 가속도 특성)

  • Kang, Jong-Chul;Yoon, Won-Sub;Park, Yeon-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.24 no.6_2
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    • pp.841-848
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    • 2021
  • This study investigated the acceleration characteristics of rock slopes when earthquakes, which have not been studied much in Korea, occur. The rock slope was modeled with a similar raw of 1/20 in consideration of the height(10m), roughness, strength, and the joint dips(20°). After the completion of the model, a shaking table tests was conducted according to the magnitude of the acceleration and the type of seismic wave. The maximum acceleration was greater in the short-period seismic wave than in the long-period seismic wave, and the maximum acceleration was larger in the small acceleration. The rock slope was close to a rigid block and a structure more vulnerable to the long period wave than to the short period wave. In the event of an earthquake smaller than the domestic earthquake-resistant maximum design acceleration(0.154g), safety management of the rock slope was required.

Real-time seismic structural response prediction system based on support vector machine

  • Lin, Kuang Yi;Lin, Tzu Kang;Lin, Yo
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.163-170
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    • 2020
  • Floor acceleration plays a major role in the seismic design of nonstructural components and equipment supported by structures. Large floor acceleration may cause structural damage to or even collapse of buildings. For precision instruments in high-tech factories, even small floor accelerations can cause considerable damage in this study. Six P-wave parameters, namely the peak measurement of acceleration, peak measurement of velocity, peak measurement of displacement, effective predominant period, integral of squared velocity, and cumulative absolute velocity, were estimated from the first 3 s of a vertical ground acceleration time history. Subsequently, a new predictive algorithm was developed, which utilizes the aforementioned parameters with the floor height and fundamental period of the structure as the new inputs of a support vector regression model. Representative earthquakes, which were recorded by the Structure Strong Earthquake Monitoring System of the Central Weather Bureau in Taiwan from 1992 to 2016, were used to construct the support vector regression model for predicting the peak floor acceleration (PFA) of each floor. The results indicated that the accuracy of the predicted PFA, which was defined as a PFA within a one-level difference from the measured PFA on Taiwan's seismic intensity scale, was 96.96%. The proposed system can be integrated into the existing earthquake early warning system to provide complete protection to life and the economy.

Earthquake Simulation Tests of a 1 :5 Scale 3-Story Masonry-Infilled Reinforced Concrete Frame

  • Lee, Han-Seon;Woo, Sung-Woo;Heo, Yun-Sup
    • KCI Concrete Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.153-164
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    • 1999
  • The objective of this research is to observe the actual response of a low-rise nonseismic moment-resisting masonry-infilled reinforced concrete frame subjected to varied levels of earthquake ground motions. The reduction scale for the model was determined as 1 : 5 considering the capacity of the shaking table to be used. This model was, then, subjected to the shaking table motions simulating Taft N2IE component earthquake ground motion, whose peak ground acceleration(PGA) was modified to 0.12g, 0.2g, 0.3g, and 0.4g. The g1oba1 behavior and failure mode were observed. The lateral accelerations and displacements at each story and local deformations at the critical portions of the structure were measured. Before and after each earthquake simulation test, free vibration tests and white noise tests were performed to find the changes in the natural period of the model. When the results of the masonry-infilled frame are compared with those of the bare frame, it can be recognized that masonry infills contribute to the large increase in the stiffness and strength of the g1oba1 structure whereas it also accompanies the increase of earthquake inertia forces. However, it is judged that masonry infills may be beneficial to the performance of the structure since the rate of increase in strength appears to be greater than that of the induced earthquake inertia forces.

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Momentum Effect in the Oman Stock Market Over the Period of 2005-2018

  • GHARAIBEH, Omar Khlaif;AL-KHAZALI, Ahmad;AL-QURAN, Ali Zkariya
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.711-724
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this paper is to investigate the profitability of the momentum effects on the Oman Stock Market (OSM). This study uses the monthly returns of all stocks listed on the OSM, with a total of 107 companies used in the study for the period from 2005 to 2018. According to the methodology developed by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), this study builds momentum portfolios based on various sizes. Moreover, the January effect is also examined to recognize if this effect is related to the momentum effect. The results find that there is evidence of momentum returns and these returns are statistically and economically significant. The sub-periods confirmed the profitability of the momentum strategy. This paper shows that momentum returns are evident at different sizes; big, medium, and small-sized portfolios. Besides, the result shows that the classic January effect does not play an important role in the momentum returns. Thus, the implication is that the momentum should not take into account the annual, seasonal, and size returns. The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) or the three-factor model cannot explain momentum returns generated by individual stocks in the Oman Stock Market. These results are useful to academia and investors alike.

Analysis of Trends in Research on Instruction Models for ICT Teaching and Learning (ICT 교수·학습 측면에서 본 국내 수업모형 연구동향 분석)

  • Song, Yeon-Ok
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.539-548
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    • 2014
  • This study categorized the literature on instruction models by research period, theme, teaching model, class, and subject to identify research trends. The sampling period was from 1977 to March 2013, and 586 research papers were analyzed. Changes in the studies on instruction models were divided into three stages: Stage 1 (1977-1996), Stage 2 (1997-2006), and Stage 3 (2006-2007). Research papers increased rapidly from 8% in Stage 1 to 51% in Stage 2, showing a rapid increase in Stage 2. "Design and development" was the most researched theme throughout the three stages, and the most researched instruction model type was "curriculum-oriented."By subjects, it was found that studies on "cross-curriculum" were being conducted more actively than other subjects. Based on these results, this study proposes directions for future domestic research on instruction models.

Evaluation of Applicability of SWAT-CUP Program for Hydrologic Parameter Calibration in Hardware Watershed (Hardware 유역의 수문매개변수 보정을 위한 SWAT-CUP 프로그램의 적용성 평가)

  • Sang Min, Kim
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to calibrate the hydrologic parameters of SWAT model and analyze the daily runoff for the study watershed using SWAT-CUP. The Hardware watershed is located in Virginia, USA. The watershed area is $356.15km^2$, and the land use accounts for 73.4 % of forest and 23.2 % of pasture. Input data for the SWAT model were obtained from the digital elevation map, landuse map, soil map and others. Water flow data from 1990 to 1994 was used for calibration and from 1997 to 2005 was for validation. The SUFI-2 module of the SWAT-CUP program was used to calibrate the hydrologic parameters. The parameters were calibrated for the highly sensitive parameters presented in previous studies. The P-factor, R-factor, $R^2$, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NS), and average flow were used for the goodness-of-fit measures. The applicability of the model was evaluated by sequentially increasing the number of applied parameters from 4 to 11. In this study, 10-parameter set was accepted for calibration in consideration of goodness-of-fit measures. For the calibration period, P-factor was 0.85, R-factor was 1.76, $R^2$ was 0.51 and NS was 0.49. The model was validated using the adjusted ranges of selected parameters. For the validation period, P-factor was 0.78, R-factor was 1.60, $R^2$ was 0.60 and NS was 0.57.