• Title/Summary/Keyword: 흐름예측

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Construction of Three Dimensional Soil Cadmium Pollution Map Using Geotechnical Information DB System (국토지반정보시스템을 이용한 3차원 토양오염지도 구축)

  • Hwang, Dae Young;Kang, In Joon;Jang, Yong Gu;Kim, Soo Kyum
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2016
  • This study presented the build-up of three-dimensional soil pollution map for precise analysis. To do this, survey on the existing pollutant region on Dongnae-gu, Busan that is the study subject, showed that it tended to produce 0.72 clusters. So, this study suggested to investigate center of $1km{\times}1km $ grid and, as the results of comparing the pollution map that input pollution figure values based on the actually investigation point showed precise results. And, it divided the standard of pollution into 5 levels in surface and underground space and the map was built up using IDW interpolation against the amount of polluted substance. The pollution of ground surface, flow of polluted substance, coefficient of permeability and ground water level that are 504 geotechnical informations were selected as the influential parameters in pollution analysis of underground space, and it calculated that to 0~20 points by dividing the characteristics. It enables the build-up of pollution map of ground surface-underground with depth that considers the characteristics of soil layers and it is considered that it is possible to analyze the general infiltration. And, it was considered that it enables more accurate forecast about influential analysis per depth and pollution of underground water.

A Study on the Liquid-Liquid Extraction by Use of Hydrophobic Hollow Fiber Module (소수성 중공사 모듈에 의한 액-액 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-II;Park, Dong-Won
    • Applied Chemistry for Engineering
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 1996
  • Liquid-liquid extractions by use of microporous hollow fiber modules are fast compared with conventional extraction equipment because of the large surface area per volume. In these modules, the extractant and feed can be contacted at high speed and two flows are completely independent, so there are no problems with loading and channeling. In this paper, it was investigated the extraction selectivities for liquid-liquid extraction of Fe(II) and Ni(II) from dilute aqueous solution into TOA (tri-n-octylamine) and EHPNA (bis(2-ethylhexyle)hydrogenphosphite) as organic extractants by using the hydrophobic hollow fiber module. To determine the rate controlling step for mass transfer in hollow fibers, we also examined the effect of inside and outside flow rates of the hollow fiber module. From these experiments, we identified for the extraction of system with high partition coefficient in hydrophobic hollow fibers, mass transfer in the inside aqueous feed dominated the overall mass transfer, and in this paper, correlation between $K_w$ and $v_t$ was obtained as $K_w{\frac{d}{D}}=6.22\(\frac{d^2v_t}{LD}\)^{1/3}$ On the other hand, for the system with low partition coefficient, the resistance in the inside of hollow fibers was much less than membrane resistance because the extraction was not simple in the micropore. Thus, for systems with high partition coefficients, hydrophobic hollow fibers would be a better choice.

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A Study of Potential Application of the Analytic Hierarchy Process in Nursing; Predicting the Future of Nursing Education in the U.S. (계층분석과정의 간호적용에 관한 연구 -미국의 미래 간호교육의 예견-)

  • Han, Kyung-Ahe
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.89-104
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    • 1986
  • 복잡한 사회문제해결에 유용한 접근방법의 하나인 계층분석과정은 수학자인 사티(Saaty)가 개발한 것으로서 이미 사회과학의 여러 분야에 적용되고 있다. 본 논문의 목적은 이 계층분석과정을 간호교육과 관련된 문제에 적용해 봄으로써 이 방법이 실제 문제해결을 위한 유용한 접근방법이 될 수 있는가를 고찰해 보는데 있다. .현대사회문제들은 다양한 관련요소, 그 요소들간이나 다른 문제들과의 복잡한 상호관계, 다수의 의사결정자의 참여, 무한한 대안, 문제의 결과에 대한 불확실성 등으로 인하여 단순한 모델이나 간단한 논리적 혹은 직관적인 판단에 준하여 일시에 해결하기 어려운 경우가 많다. 이러한 상황 하에서 문제와 관련된 요소들을 찾아내고 그 요소들을 계층적으로 분석하여 단계적으로 문제해결에 접근하는 계층분석과정을 활용함으로써 사회과학분야의 문제해결에 유용한 수단이 될 수 있다. 또한 문제와 관련된 요소를 규명하고 계층적으로 분화하는 과정에서 그 문제에 대한 보다 명확한 이해, 분석 및 현상의 흐름을 더 잘 인해하게 된다. 계층분석과정은 1) 계층구조의 설정 2) 구성요소들의 중요도 측정 3) 중요도에 따른 우선 순위의 산정 4) 우선 순위의 일관성 검토과정으로 요약된다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 과정을 통하여 미국 간호계에서 심각한 문제로 대두되어온 기본교육제도상의 쟁점(Issue of Entry into Practice)에 대한 문제 해결책이 마련되는지를 시도하였다. 즉, 기본교육 제도에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 요인들을 규명하여 계층화하고 계층내에 위치하는 구성요소들의 수평적 관계와 계층간의 수직적 관계를 체계적으로 검토하여 간호교육의 미래를 예측해 보았다. 간호교육제도에 영향을 미칠 수 있는 주요 요인들의 계층화는 거시적 환경차원(factors), 관련 이해자 집단차원(actors), 이해자 집단의 목표차원(objectives), 목표달성을 위한 정책차원(Policies), 그리고 간호교육제도의 미래를 예견한 시나리오(scenario)로 이루어졌다. 각 계층을 따라 단계적으로 중요도를 비교하여 최종적으로 각 시나리오의 우선순위 중요도(priority weight)를 구하였다. 각 시나리오의 우선순위 중요도를 간호교육과 관련된 4가지 차원들(학생, 교수, 교육기관, 직업)을 구성하고 있는 특성들에 가중하여 결과를 해석 하였다. 간호교육의 미래에 정치적(55%)과 경제적(25%) 요인이 가장 강한 영향을 미치고, 관련자중에서는 병원(38%) 의사(33%) 그리고 정부(23%)의 순으로 영향을 미친다고 분석되었다. 의외로 간호원 자신들은 큰 영향력이 없는 것으로 보여졌다. 4개의 시나리오 중에서는 그 우선순위 중요도가 현상유지(33%) 자발적4년제(32%), 강제 4년제(19%), 그리고 2~3년제의 우위(18%) 순으로 나타났다. 최종 시나리오 결과를 요약하면 1) 전체 학생수는 감소하나 양질의 간호학생수는 증가하며 2) 박사학위를 소지한 간호학 교수 및 전체 교수의 수가 증가할 것이다. 3) 전체 간호교육기여의 수는 약간 줄 것이며 그중 4년제 기관이 증가하고 반면에 2~3년제의 기관은 감소할 것이다. 4) 전문간호원이 되기 위한 입학용이도에는 별차이가 없겠으나 간호원들의 보수, 지위 및 자율성이 증가하면서 전반적인 간호의 질이 향상될 것이다. 계층분석과정의 적용으로 미국 간호교육계의 가까운 미래를 위와 같이 예견하여 보았으나 이 과정은 예견 뿐 만 아니라 일반적인 의사결정이나 문제 해결의 도구이외에도 복잡한 사회문제의 본질을 분석, 이해함으로써 보다 정화한 정책문제를 규정하는 데에도 유용할 것이다.

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Analysis of River Disturbance using a GIS(II) (GIS기법을 이용한 하천 교란 실태의 분석(II))

  • Park, Eun-Ji;Kim, Kye-Hyun;Jang, Chang-Lae
    • Journal of Korea Spatial Information System Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.27-35
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    • 2008
  • Current re-arrangement of rivers and waterways have been made uniformly ignoring characteristics of individual rivers thereby aggravating artificial river restructuring. On the contrary, quantitative techniques to evaluate the aftermath of artificial river disturbance such as uprising of river bed, intrusion of foreign fisheries, and changes of ecological habitats are not available. To establish such quantitative techniques, analysis of the river changes to evaluate the major causes of the river disturbance and its impacts is essential. Therefore, research for proposing a method which can be applied for the development of techniques to investigate river disturbance according to the major factors for the domestic rivers using airphotos and GIS techniques was preceded. In this study, the study area on the downstream of the river was selected and analysis of river disturbance using preceding method was done to confirm the benefit of analyzing river disturbance using GIS techniques. Trend analysis of the waterway sinuosity and changes of the flow path leaded to detailed verification of the river disturbance for specific location or time period, and this enabled to generate relatively accurate numbers representing sinuosity of the waterway and relevant changes. Also, it is possible to predict the effect on the current re-arrangement of the river and waterway to river flow using the analysis of past river change. It is necessary to establish GIS based proper measures for environmental river restoration using the results from this study and future works.

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A Study on the Predictability of Hospital's Future Cash Flow Information (병원의 미래 현금흐름 정보예측)

  • Moon, Young-Jeon;Yang, Dong-Hyun
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-41
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    • 2006
  • The Objective of this study was to design the model which predict the future cash flow of hospitals and on the basis of designed model to support sound hospital management by the prediction of future cash flow. The five cash flow measurement variables discussed in financial accrual part were used as variables and these variables were defined as NI, NIDPR, CFO, CFAI, CC. To measure the cash flow B/S related variables, P/L related variables and financial ratio related variables were utilized in this study. To measure cash flow models were designed and to estimate the prediction ability of five cash flow models, the martingale model and the market model were utilized. To estimate relative prediction outcome of cash flow prediction model and simple market model, MAE and MER were used to compare and analyze relative prediction ability of the cash flow model and the market model and to prove superiority of the model of the cash flow prediction model, 32 Regional Public Hospital's cross-section data and 4 year time series data were combined and pooled cross-sectional time series regression model was used for GLS-analysis. To analyze this data, Firstly, each cash flow prediction model, martingale model and market model were made and MAE and MER were estimated. Secondly difference-test was conducted to find the difference between MAE and MER of cash flow prediction model. Thirdly after ranking by size the prediction of cash flow model, martingale model and market model, Friedman-test was evaluated to find prediction ability. The results of this study were as follows: when t-test was conducted to find prediction ability among each model, the error of prediction of cash flow model was smaller than that of martingale and market model, and the difference of prediction error cash flow was significant, so cash flow model was analyzed as excellent compare with other models. This research results can be considered conductive in that present the suitable prediction model of future cash flow to the hospital. This research can provide valuable information in policy-making of hospital's policy decision. This research provide effects as follows; (1) the research is useful to estimate the benefit of hospital, solvency and capital supply ability for substitution of fixed equipment. (2) the research is useful to estimate hospital's liqudity, solvency and financial ability. (3) the research is useful to estimate evaluation ability in hospital management. Furthermore, the research should be continued by sampling all hospitals and constructed advanced cash flow model in dimension, established type and continued by studying unified model which is related each cash flow model.

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A Study on the Effect of Forest Resources Management Policies on the Domestic Timber Supply in the Republic of Korea (산림자원관리정책(山林資源管理政策)이 국내재공급(國內材供給)에 미치는 영향(影響)에 관한 연구(硏究))

  • Youn, Yeo Chang;Yum, Sang Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.81 no.4
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    • pp.383-392
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    • 1992
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the impacts on the domestic timber supply potential of forest resources management policies such as the extention of forest management infrastruture and setting aside more forest lands for the provision of environmental goods. To this end, the domestic timber supply functions were estimated using time series data for the period 1970-1990 and were used to predict the future trends in timber production in the Republic of Korea. For this purpose, a set of scenarios based on the forest road density and forest inventory growth were designed for the next 40 years. The timber supply behavior in Korea was found to be different by species group : domestic supply of softwood roundwood is inelastic with respect to its ovum price while that of hardwood elastic. The effect of forest road construction on the domestic timber production seems to be insignificant yet. The model simulation aided by policy scenarios revealed that the future timber supply potential will be largely restricted if the policy option with emphasis on the provision of environmental goods from the forest resources were adopted.

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An Analysis of Bed Change Characteristics by Bed Protection Work (바닥보호공 설치에 따른 하상변동 특성 분석)

  • Son, Ah Long;Kim, Byung Hyun;Moon, Bo Ram;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.821-834
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    • 2015
  • This study presents the analysis of flow and bed change characteristics considering bed protection work built on the immediate downstream of weir to protect river bed from scouring. The study area is 37km reach from Hyunpoong station to Masuwon station including Hapcheon- Changryoung multi-function weir in the Nakdong river. CCHE2D model is calibrated and validated for evaluating the flow and bed change characteristics during Typhoon Kompasu in 2010. Three simulation conditions are set up: Case 1 is a natural channel without installation of weir. Case 2 involves an installation of weir in the natural channel. Case 3 involves an installation of weir with bed protection in the natural channel. Flood frequency (50, 100 and 200yr) is applied to each scenario to analyze the effects of bed protection work. While the sediment rate is increased in the downstream of fixed gate and sluice-type gate, river bed scouring rate is increased in the downstream of lift-type gate in Case 2 comparing with the results of Case 1. The river bed scouring is not occurred in the immediate downstream of weir (~30m) due to the effect of bed protection, but larger amount of sediment is occurred in the downstream of weir (60m~) which the bed protection is not installed comparing with the results Case 1. Through the results of simulation considering bed protection work, this study would be helpful to expect bed change and operate the weir as well as manage.

Heat-Transfer Performance Analysis of a Multi-Channel Volumetric Air Receiver for Solar Power Tower (타워형 태양열 발전용 공기흡수기의 열전달 성능해석)

  • Jung, Eui-Guk
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2012
  • In this study, a heat-transfer performance analysis is carried out for a multi-channel volumetric air receiver for a solar power tower. On the basis of a series of reviews regarding the relevant literature, a calculation process is proposed for the prediction of the wall- and air- temperature distributions of a single channel at given geometric and input conditions. Furthermore, a unique mathematical model of the receiver effectiveness is presented through analysis of the temperature profile. The receiver is made of silicon carbide. A total of 225 square straight channels per module are molded to induce the air flow, and each channel has the dimensions of $2mm(W){\times}2mm(H){\times}0.2mm(t){\times}320mm(L)$. The heat-transfer rate, temperature distribution and effectiveness are presented according to the variation of the channel and module number under uniform irradiation and mass flow rate. The available air outlet temperature applied to the solar power tower should be over $700^{\circ}C$. This numerical model was actually used in the design of a 200 kW-level commercial solar air receiver, and the required number of modules satisfying the thermal performance could be obtained for the specified geometric and input conditions.

Dynamic Forecasting of Market Growth according to Portable Internet Carrier Licensing Policy (휴대인터넷 사업자 선정 정책에 따른 동태적 시장 예측과 함의)

  • 김종태;박상현;오명륜;김상욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.87-107
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    • 2004
  • 우리나라에 이동통신이 처음 소개된 이래로 눈부신 발전을 거듭하여 왔으며, 급기야. 무선통신 서비스를 중심으로 새로운 성장력과 패러다임 전환의 가능성에 대한 전망을 논할 수 있는 수준이 되었다. 이러한 추세에 맞추어 휴대인터넷 시장에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있으며 국민경제적 효과변화나 시장 경쟁환경의 변화에 가장 영향을 미칠 수 있는 요인들 중, 사업자 수를 어떻게 선정할 것인가에 대해 다양한 접근이 시도되고 있다. 기존의 연구들은 휴대인터넷 시장을 분석하는데 있어 시장규모가 일방향으로 사업자 수에 영향을 미친다는 측면에서 이루어지고 있으며, 대부분 휴대인터넷 시장을 단일시장으로 범위를 한정하고 성장중인 시장을 정적으로 가정하여 시장성장 추이 분석 등에 주안점을 두는 단편적 연구가 수행되어져 왔다. 휴대인터넷 시장의 단편적 분석이 아닌 '모바일인터넷' , '초고속유선인터넷', '무선인터넷', '휴대인터넷' 등 네 가지 영역을 동시에 고려함으로써 영역간 복잡성과 동적인 관계 속에서 시장이 성장해 나아간다는 가정을 바탕으로, 시장에 내재되어 있는 관련요소간 상호영향과 신규정책 및 제도적 변화 수용에 있어 발생하는 시간적 공간적 지연 등을 고려한 동태적 분석을 수행하였다. 연구를 수행하기 위해 다양한 변수간의 인과관계, 피드백 구조와 시간흐름에 따른 시스템의 변화를 파악하는데 매우 유용한 도구인 시스템다이내믹스 기법을 활용하여 휴대 인터넷 시장의 동적인 구조를 알아보고 사업자 선정정책의 시행을 앞두고 있는 현재시점에서 의미있는 시사점을 제공하였다.시하고자 한다.채취하여 임신진단키트(제네디아프로테 트, 녹십자)를 이용하여 임신여부를 1차적으로 확인하였다. 과배란을 유기한 13두의 공란우중 9두(69.2%)가 과배란 반응을 나타내었으며, 회수된 수정란 51개중 이식가능수정란은 38개(74.5%) 였다. 발정동기화를 유도한 수란우 40두중에서 35두(87.5%)가 발정이 동기화되었으며, 그 중 황체검사를 통하여 30두의 수란우에 수정란을 이식하였다. 수정란이식후 13일(발정주기 21일)에 혈액을 이용한 임신진단에서 농가별 수태율은 각각 37.5%, 70.0%, 60.0% 및 71.4% 로서 평균 60.0%를 나타내었다.서 39$^{\circ}C$, 5% $CO_2$ 배양기에 48시간 배양하면서 생존여부를 판단하였다. 실험 2에서 확장배반포배 수정란이 25.3%의 생존율을 나타내었으며, 실험 1과 실험 3에서는 수정란의 형태와 관계없이 생존성을 확인할 수 없었다. 이상의 결과로 보아 glycerol 완만동결에서는 확장배반포기 수정란 이상이 보존가능한 것으로 추정되나 더 추가적인 연구가 요구된다.c kinase 활성의 변동은 정소 내 간충조직, 세정관 상피의 증식 및 기능적 분화 과정을 매개하는 생리적 활성분자 수용체 하위의 신호전달 과정에 Src-Csk loop에 의한 조절가능성을 확인할 수 있었다.rugrene의 향기성분이 주요 성분군으로 확인되었다. 2. 생강나무에서 생강의 향기를 발산하는 성분으로는 $\beta$-myrcene, o-terpinolene, phellandrone, ι-limonene, $\b

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Decentralization from Al-Qaida central among Salafi-jihadist groups, Boko Haram and the Islamic States (살라피 지하디스트의 탈-알카에다 중심화와 보코하람, IS에 대한 분석연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Young
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.41
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    • pp.185-212
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    • 2014
  • This research examines the decentralization of al-Qaida and other Salafi-jihadist terrorist groups, which is a subject of intense debate in the West. Especially, this study focused on investigating the status and evolution of al Qa'ida and other two Salafi-jihadist groups, Boko Haram and the Islamic States. These terrorist groups are currently considered as the most active Salafi-jihadist terrorist groups leading today's decentralization from Al-Qaida central terrorism network. This study also aims to examine the contemporary threats posed by the two extremely violent jihadist terrorist groups and these groups's terrorist networks. In order to achieve the purpose of this study, this study conducted content analyses with a wide range of documents reporting about Salafi-jihadist terrorists groups. Also this study utilized GTD data set drwan from START centner to provide descriptive analyses regarding IS and Boko Haram's activities and threats. On the basis of analyses, this study argues that recently the threats posed by core al Qaida has been severely weakened. Further, the broader Salafi-jihadist movement has become more decentralized among four tiers: first, core al Qaida in Pakistan; second, formal al Qa'ida affiliated groups that have sworn allegiance to core al Qaida; a number of Salafi-jihadist groups that have committed to establishing an extremist Islamic emirate without sworn allegiance to al Qaida; third, individual followers and networks inspired by al Qaida and other Salafi-jihadist groups. In concusion and discussion, this study highlights the need for a long-term engagement counter terrorism strategy against Salifi-jihadist terrorists groups on behalf of the peace and security of the world society.

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