• Title/Summary/Keyword: 회귀식 개선

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A Study on Estimation of Rainfall Erosivity in RUSLE by Using Minute Unit Rainfall Data (1분 강우자료를 이용한 RUSLE의 강우침식도 추정 연구)

  • Jung, Chung Gil;Won, Won Jin;Lee, Ji Wan;Ahn, So Ra;Kim, Seong Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.114-114
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    • 2016
  • 토양유실에 영향을 미치는 기후 인자로는 강우, 기온, 바람, 습도 및 태양열 복사 등이 있다. 이들 중 강우는 토양침식에 직접적인 영향을 미치는 인자로 토립장의 이탈로 인한 토양침식을 유발한다. 토양침식을 예측하는데 있어 강우의 영향을 나타내는 지표의 설정은 매우 중요하다. 이러한 강우침식인자는 각 강우사상에 대한 강우에너지와 30분 최대 강우강도의 곱의 합으로 정의된다. 강우침식도를 정확하게 계산하기 위해서는 다년간 측정된 분단위 강우자료가 필요하며, 강우자료 획득의 제한과 강우의 분류 및 계산과정 등이 복잡하여 실무적으로 산정하기 어려운 점이 있다. 본 연구에서는 1분 상세강우자료를 이용하여 개정범용토양유실공식(RUSLE)의 강우침식도 R의 추정을 위해 2001년부터 2015년까지 15년간 전국 61개 기상청 관측소의 강우 자료를 수집하여 지점별로 새롭게 계산한 연 강우침식도 및 경험식을 산정하였으며 남한전체($99,720km^2$)를 대상으로 연 강우침식량의 공간분포맵을 작성하였다. 지점별 산정된 경험식은 연평균 강우량과 1분 강우자료로부터 산정된 강우침식도와의 상관관계로 회귀식을 도출하였다. 1분 강우자료로 계산된 강우침식도와 연평균 강우량의 상관관계로부터 도출된 경험식과의 결정계수($R^2$, determination coefficient)는 0.70 ~ 0.98로 높은 상관관계를 나타냈으며 또한, 기존의 국내에서 적용된 경험식과 비교하여 평균 $R^2$가 0.59에서 0.80로 실측값과의 정확성이 높게 개선됨을 알 수 있다.

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Improvement of Low Water Level Rating Curve in Tidal River Taehwa (태화강 갑조부의 저수위 수위-유량곡선 개선)

  • Jo, Hong-Je;Hwang, Jae-Ho;Mun, Seong-Jun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.635-645
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    • 2000
  • In tidal rivers, the river level, discharge and tide are interrelated. Therefore, the stage-discharge relation that takes no account of tidal effects is inaccurate. For the calculation of river discharge in low water level, this paper attempts to formulate a multiple regression equation of stage-discharge curve to calculate the river discharge in low water level with variables as river level and differences between sea level and river level. Numerical application were perfonned on Ulsan gaging station in Taehwa river, and the comparison with existing rating curve equation showed good applicability of this multiple regression equation.uation.

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A study of statistical analysis method of monitoring data for freshwater lake water quality management (담수호 수질관리를 위한 측정자료의 통계적 분석방법 연구)

  • Chegal, Sundong;Kim, Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.1
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    • pp.9-19
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    • 2024
  • As using public monitoring data, analysing a trends of water quality change, establishing a criteria to determine abnormal status and constructing a regression model that can predict Chlorophyll-a, an indicator of eutrophication, was studied. Accordingly, the three freshwater lakes were selected, approximately 20 years of water quality monitoring data were analyzed for periodic changes in water quality each year using regression analysis, and a method for determining abnormalities was presented by the standard deviation at confidence level 95%. By calculating the temporal change rate of Chlorophyll-a from irregular observed data, analyzing correlations between the rate and other water quality items, and constructing regression models, a method to predict changes in Chlorophyll-a was presented. The results of this study are expected to contribute to freshwater lake water quality management as an approximate water quality prediction method using the statistical model.

A development of rating-curve using Bayesian Multi-Segmented model (Bayesian 기반 Multi-Segmented 곡선식을 활용한 수위-유량 곡선의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Jin-Young;Kim, Jin-Guk;Lee, Jae Chul;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.253-262
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    • 2016
  • A Rating curve is a regression equation of discharge versus stage for a given point on a stream where the stream discharge is measured across the stream channel with a stage and discharge measurement. The curve is generally used to calculate discharge based on the stage. However, the existing approach showed problems in terms of estimating uncertainty associated with regression parameters including the separation parameter for low and high flow. In this regard, this study aimed to develop a new method for the aforementioned problems based on Bayesian approach, which can better estimate the parameter and its uncertainty. In addition, this study used a Bayesian Multi-Segmented (Bayesian M-S) model which is provided a comparison between the existing and proposed scheme. The proposed model showed better results for the parameter estimation than the existing approach, and provided better performance in terms of estimating uncertainty range.

Improvement of the storage coefficient estimating mehod for the clark model (Clark 단위도의 저류상수산정방법의 개선)

  • 윤태훈;박진원
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2002.05b
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    • pp.1334-1339
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    • 2002
  • The objective of this study is to help practicing engineers easily use the Clark model which is used for estimating the magnitude of design flood for small stream. A representative unit hydrograph was derived on the basis of the past rainfall-runoff data and unit hydrographs, and the storage coefficient of Clark model was estimated by using hydrograph recession analysis. Since the storage coefficient(K) is a dominating factor among the parameters of Clark method, a mulitple regression formula, which has the drainage area, main channel length and slope as parameters, is propsed to estimate K value of a basin where measured data are missing. The result of regression analysis showed that there is a correlation between a storage coefficient(K) and aforemetioned three parameters in homogenious basins. A regression formular for K was derived using these correlations in a basin of Han River, Nakdong River, Young River, Kum River and Sumjin River

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Estimating the Monthly Precipitation Distribution of North Korea Using the PRISM Model and Enhanced Detailed Terrain Information (PRISM과 개선된 상세 지형정보를 이용한 월별 북한지역 강수량 분포 추정)

  • Kim, Dae-jun;Kim, Jin-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.366-372
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    • 2019
  • The PRISM model has been used to estimate precipitation in South Korea where observation data are readily available at a large number of weather station. However, it is likely that the PRISM model would result in relatively low reliability of precipitation estimates in North Korea where weather data are available at a relatively small number of weather stations. Alternatively, a hybrid method has been developed to estimate the precipitation distribution in area where availability of climate data is relatively low. In the hybrid method, Regression coefficients between the precipitation-terrain relationships are applied to a low-resolution precipitation map produced using the PRISM. In the present study, a hybrid approach was applied to North Korea for estimation of precipitation distribution at a high spatial resolution. At first, the precipitation distribution map was produced at a low-resolution (2,430m) using the PRISM model. Secondly, a deviation map was prepared calculating difference between altitudes of synoptic stations and virtual terrains produced using 270m-resolution digital elevation map (DEM). Lastly, another deviation map of precipitation was obtained from the maps of virtual precipitation produced using observation data from the synoptic weather stations and both synoptic and automated weather station (AWS), respectively. The regression equation between precipitation and terrain was determined using these deviation maps. The high resolution map of precipitation distribution was obtained applying the regression equation to the low-resolution map. It was found that the hybrid approach resulted in better representation of the effects of the terrain. The precipitation distribution map for the hybrid approach had similar spatial pattern to that for the existing method. It was estimated that the mean annual cumulative precipitation of entire territory of North Korea was 1,195mm with a standard deviation of 253mm.

Development of Software for Measuring Suspended Sediment Concentration Using Acoustic Backscatter Data from Automatic Flow Monitoring Station (자동유량관측소 초음파산란도를 활용한 부유사농도 측정을 위한 소프트웨어 개발)

  • Geunsoo Son;Youngsin Roh;Dongsu Kim;Suin Choi
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.489-489
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    • 2023
  • 최근 유량 측정을 위해 사용되는 ADCP를 통해 부가적으로 측정되는 초음파산란도 자료를 활용하여 부유사농도를 측정하는 연구가 수행되고 있다. 이에 국내에서는 국가하천에 설치되어 있는 자동유량관측소의 초음파산란도를 활용하여 연속적인 부유사농도를 측정하는 연구가 수행되고 있다. 이를 통해 10분 단위로 연속적인 유사량 자료를 생산할 수 있을 것으로 기대되며, 현재 유사량 측정결과의 제공을 위해 사용되는 유량-유사량 관계곡선의 산포로 인한 신뢰도 문제를 개선할 수 있을 것으로 기대되고 있다. 그러나, 이미 설치된 자동유량관측소의 H-ADCP 원시데이터를 활용하여 다지점에서 부유사농도를 측정에 대한 분석을 수행하기 위해서는 초음파산란도의 보정, 관계식 개발, 관계식 적용을 통한 유사량 측정 결과의 분석을 위한 소프트웨어 개발이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 초음파산란도 자료를 이용하여 부유사농도를 분석할 수 있는 소프트웨어 개발하고자 하였다. 개발된 소프트웨어는 Microsoft Visual Studio를 이용하여 C# 언어를 사용하여 개발하였으며, ComponentOne 라이브러리를 활용하여 그래픽 사용자 인터페이스(GUI)를 구현하였다. 소프트웨어의 구성은 H-ADCP 원시자료와 실측 부유사농도 자료와의 시간동기화를 통해 동일시간에서 측정된 자료를 획득, 초음파산란도의 보정과 지표로 활용할 초음파산란도의 측정영역 분석, 초음파산란도-부유사농도와의 다중 회귀를 통한 관계식 개발 및 통계 분석결과 도출, 관계식을 활용한 부유사농도 계산을 수행할 수 있도록 구성하였다. 본 연구를 통해 개발된 소프트웨어를 통해 추후에 시범적용 예정인 자동유량관측소의 초음파산란도를 활용 부유사농도 측정 방법에 대한 분석 효율성을 향상시키고, 지속적인 개선을 통해서 실제 실무에서 활용이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

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Effect of SPR Chip with Nano-structured Surface on Sensitivity in SPR Sensor (나노형상을 가진 표면플라즈몬공명 센서칩의 감도 개선 효과)

  • Cho, Yong-Jin;Kim, Chul-Jin;Kim, Namsoo;Kim, Chong-Tai;Kim, Tae-Eun;Kim, Hyo-Sop;Kim, Jae-Ho
    • Food Engineering Progress
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.49-53
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    • 2010
  • Surface plasmon resonance (SPR) which is utilized in thin film refractometry-based sensors has been concerned on measurement of physical, chemical and biological quantities because of its high sensitivity and label-free feature. In this paper, an application of SPR to detection of alcohol content in wine and liquor was investigated. The result showed that SPR sensor had high potential to evaluate alcohol content. Nevertheless, food industry may need SPR sensor with higher sensitivity. Herein, we introduced a nano-technique into fabrication of SPR chip to enhance SPR sensitivity. Using Langmuir-Blodgett (LB) method, gold film with nano-structured surface was devised. In order to make a new SPR chip, firstly, a single layer of nano-scaled silica particles adhered to plain surface of gold film. Thereafter, gold was deposited on the template by an e-beam evaporator. Finally, the nano-structured surface with basin-like shape was obtained after removing the silica particles by sonication. In this study, two types of silica particles, or 130 nm and 300 nm, were used as template beads and sensitivity of the new SPR chip was tested with ethanol solution, respectively. Applying the new developed SPR sensor to a model food of alcoholic beverage, the sensitivity showed improvement of 95% over the conventional one.

Retrieval of Land SurfaceTemperature based on High Resolution Landsat 8 Satellite Data (고해상도 Landsat 8 위성자료기반의 지표면 온도 산출)

  • Jee, Joon-Bum;Kim, Bu-Yo;Zo, Il-Sung;Lee, Kyu-Tae;Choi, Young-Jean
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.171-183
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    • 2016
  • Land Surface Temperature (LST) retrieved from Landsat 8 measured from 2013 to 2014 and it is corrected by surface temperature observed from ground. LST maps are retrieved from Landsat 8 calculate using the linear regression function between raw Landsat 8 LST and ground surface temperature. Seasonal and annual LST maps developed an average LST from season to annual, respectively. While the higher LSTs distribute on the industrial and commercial area in urban, lower LSTs locate in surrounding rural, sea, river and high altitude mountain area over Seoul and surrounding area. In order to correct the LST, linear regression function calculate between Landsat 8 LST and ground surface temperature observed 3 Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) synoptic stations (Seoul(ID: 108), Incheon(ID: 112) and Suwon(ID: 119)) on the Seoul and surrounding area. The slopes of regression function are 0.78 with all data and 0.88 with clear sky except 5 cloudy pixel data. And the original Landsat 8 LST have a correlation coefficient with 0.88 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) with $5.33^{\circ}C$. After LST correction, the LST have correlation coefficient with 0.98 and RMSE with $2.34^{\circ}C$ and the slope of regression equation improve the 0.95. Seasonal and annual LST maps represent from urban to rural area and from commercial to industrial region clearly. As a result, the Landsat 8 LST is more similar to the real state when corrected by surface temperature observed ground.

A Reservoir Operation Plan Coupled with Storage Forecasting Models in Existing Agricultural Reservoir (농업용 저수지에서 저수량 예측 모형과 연계한 저수지 운영 개선 방안의 모색)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Lee, Jae-Young;Lee, Jae-Young;Yi, Jae-Eung;Yoon, Yang-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a reservoir operation plan coupled with storage forecasting model to maintain a target storage and a critical storage. The observed storage data from 1990 to 2001 in the Geum-Gang agricultural reservoir in Korea have been applied to the low flow frequency analysis, which yields storage for each return period. Two year return period drought storage is then designated as the target storage and ten year return period drought storage as the critical storage. Storage in reservoir should be forecasted to perform reasonable reservoir operation. The predicted storage can be effectively utilized to establish a reservoir operation plan. In this study the autoregressive error (ARE) model and the ARIMA model are adopted to predict storage of reservoir. The ARIMA model poorly generated reservoir storage in series because only observed storage data were used, but the autoregressive error model made to enhance the reliability of the forecasted storage by applying the explanation variables to the model. Since storages of agricultural reservoir with respect to time have been affected by irrigation area, high or mean temperature, precipitation, previous storage and wind velocity, the autoregressive error model has been adopted to analyze the relationship between storage at a period and affecting factors for storage at the period. Since the equation for predicting storage at a period by the autoregressive error model is similar to the continuity equation, the predicting storage equation may be practical. The results from compared the actual storage in 2002 and the predicted storage in the Geum-Gang reservoir show that forecasted storage by the autoregressive error model is reasonable.