• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.2 no.1
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• pp.13-21
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• 1995

선형모형에서 오차가 대칭인 분포를 따르는지 또는 한쪽으로 치우친(skewed distribution)분포를 따르는지 검정하는 문제를 다루었다. 또 이러한 검정과정을 분석의 예비단계로 하는 회귀계수의 추정방법에 대해서 연구하고, 모의실험을 통해서 회귀계수 추정법들의 효율을 비교하였다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.20 no.7
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• pp.197-204
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• 2002

교통사고예측 및 예방을 위해서는 실제적으로 도로설계과정에서 제어가 가능한 도로 기하구조요소에 대한 사고관계를 파악함이 타당하다. 즉, 도로의 설계자는 도로건설에 앞서 기하구조요소와 사고와의 관계를 현장자료를 통해 정확히 밝혀 도로설계에 반영해야 한다. 이를 위해, 교통사고의 빈도분포를 박히는 것은 가장 기본이 되는 일이며, 교통사고 예측모형개발에 선행되어야 한다. 일반적으로 교통사고건수의 경우 분산이 평균보다 큰 과분산(overdispersion)의 특징을 가지고 있어 음이항 분포를 따른다고 알려져 있다. 따라서 본 논문은 사고모형의 개발에 앞서, 사고발생지점에 대한 도로설계요소와 기타 잠재적인 사고발생 관련요인이 비교적 잘 파악되어있는 호남고속도로를 중심으로 평면 선형상 곡선부에 대하여 교통사고의 분포를 적합도 검정을 통해 알아보고자 하였다. 사고자료는 한국도로송사의 호남고속도로 5년(1996∼2000)간 자료를 분석에 맞게 정리하였으며, 강민욱과 송봉수(2002)에서 제시한 평면선형에 있어서의 구간분할법을 이용하여 배향곡선구간과 단일곡선구간에 대한 사고분석을 하였다. 적합도 분석결과, 예상대로 음이항분포가 사고건수를 설명하기에 가장 적합한 확률분포로 제시되었으며, 이를 통해 최우추정법을 이용한 음이항회귀모형을 개발하였다. 구간분할법을 적용한 음이항회귀모형의 경우, 기존의 확률회귀토형에 비하여 높은 결정계수를 갖았으며, 모형에서 적용된 기하구조요소로는 차량 노출계수, 곡선반경, 단위거리 당 편경사변화값 등이다.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.157-169
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• 2016

We compare four methods to estimate a regression coefficient under linear regression models with serially correlated errors. We assume that regression errors are generated with nonlinear autoregressive models. The four methods are: ordinary least square estimator, general least square estimator, parametric regression error correction method, and nonparametric regression error correction method. We also discuss some properties of nonlinear autoregressive models by presenting numerical studies with typical examples. Our numerical study suggests that no method dominates; however, the nonparametric regression error correction method works quite well.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.27 no.9
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• pp.13-20
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• 2022

It's proposed and analyzed ML(Machine Learning) models to predict vehicle FC(Fuel Consumption) in real-time. The test driving was done for a car to measure vehicle speed, acceleration, road gradient and FC for training dataset. The various ML models were trained with feature data of speed, acceleration and road-gradient for target FC. There are two kind of ML models and one is regression type of linear regression and k-nearest neighbors regression and the other is classification type of k-nearest neighbors classifier, logistic regression, decision tree, random forest and gradient boosting in the study. The prediction accuracy is low in range of 0.5 ~ 0.6 for real-time FC and the classification type is more accurate than the regression ones. The prediction error for total FC has very low value of about 0.2 ~ 2.0% and regression models are more accurate than classification ones. It's for the coefficient of determination (R²) of accuracy score distributing predicted values along mean of targets as the coefficient decreases. Therefore regression models are good for total FC and classification ones are proper for real-time FC prediction.

• Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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• 2001.04a
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• pp.73-86
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• 2001

In this paper, we conducted an empirical study to investigate the design and weighting effects on descriptive and analytic statistics. We compared the regression models using the design-based approach and the generalized estimating equations(GEEs) approach with the model-based approach through the design and weighting effects analysis.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.27 no.5
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• pp.1133-1146
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• 2016

Counts or averages over arbitrary regions are often analyzed using conditionally autoregressive (CAR) models. The spatial neighborhoods within CAR model are generally formed using only the inter-distance or boundaries between the sub-regions. Kyung and Ghosh (2009) proposed a new class of models to accommodate spatial variations that may depend on directions, using different weights given to neighbors in different directions. The proposed model, directional conditionally autoregressive (DCAR) model, generalized the usual CAR model by accounting for spatial anisotropy. Bayesian inference method is discussed based on efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of the posterior distributions of the parameters. The method is illustrated using a data set of median property prices across Greater Glasgow, Scotland, in 2008.

• Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.112-118
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• 1994

In this paper, statistical approach to prediction of A-weighted noise level in ship cabins. based on multiple linear regression analysis, is conducted. The best regression formula is composed of seven parameters of the deadweight, the type of ship, the location of engines and cabins, the type of deckhouse and the propeller skew angle. Verification work was carried out with other 210 cabins' data in 6 ships. As a result, the formula ensures the accuracy of 3 dB(A) in 77 % of cases.

• Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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• v.53 no.9
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• pp.77-81
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• 2016

Logistic regression (LR) has been widely used for predicting the relationships among variables in various fields. We propose a new logistic regression model with a fine-grained weighting method, called value weighted logistic regression, by assigning different weights to each feature value. A gradient approach is utilized to obtain the optimal weights of feature values. We conduct experiments on several data sets and the experimental results show that the proposed method shows meaningful improvement in prediction accuracy.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.5
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• pp.697-710
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• 2021

Relative error prediction is preferred over ordinary prediction methods when relative/percentile errors are regarded as important, especially in econometrics, software engineering and government official statistics. The relative error prediction techniques have been developed in linear/nonlinear regression, nonparametric regression using kernel regression smoother, and stationary time series models. However, random effect models have not been used in relative error prediction. The purpose of this article is to extend relative error prediction to some of generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) with panel data, which is the random effect models based on gamma, lognormal, or inverse gaussian distribution. For better understanding, the real auto insurance data is used to predict the claim size, and the best predictor and the best relative error predictor are comparatively illustrated.

• Proceedings of the KSMRM Conference
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• 2001.11a
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• pp.173-173
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• 2001

목적： 1.5T 생체용 자기공명영상기기를 이용한 수소자기공명분광법으로 용액 내 물질의 정량분석에 대한 가능성을 알아보고자 하였다. 대상 및 방법： 0.01％에서 50％까지의 여러 농도를 갖는 포도당+증류수 혼합액의 모델용액을 만들어 생체용 자기공명영상기기와 시험관 nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) 분광기에서 각각 수소 자기공명분광법을 시행하여 스펙트럼을 얻었다. 또한 12명의 당뇨환자에서 방광내의 소변에 대해 생체용 자기공명영상기기에서 스펙트럼을 얻고 소변을 추출하여 시험관 NMR 분광기에서 수소자기공명분광법을 시행하였다 각각의 방법으로 얻은 스펙트럼 상에서 포도당 농도에 따른 포도당/물 피크의 면적 비의 변화를 구하였고, 통계처리는 상관분석과 단순선형회귀분석을 시행하였고 회귀식을 산출하였다. 또한 생체용 자기공명영상기기를 이용하여 얻은 결과가 객관적인지 알아보기 위해 시험관 NMR 분광기에서 얻은 결과와의 상관관계를 분석하였다.