• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률론적 유지관리

Search Result 67, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Repair Cost Analysis for Chloride Ingress on RC Wall Considering Log and Normal Distribution of Service Life (로그 및 정규분포 수명함수를 고려한 콘크리트 벽체의 염해 보수비용 산정)

  • Yoon, Yong-Sik;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.10-19
    • /
    • 2019
  • Management plan with repairing is essential for RC structures exposed to chloride attack since durability problems occur with extended service life. Conventionally deterministic method is adopted for evaluation of service life and repair cost, however more reasonable repair cost can be obtained through continuous repair cost from probabilistic maintenance technique. Unlike the previous researches considering only normal distribution of life time, PLTFs (Probabilistic Life Time Function) which can be capable of handling log and normal distributions are attempted for initial and repair service life, and repair cost is evaluated for OPC and GGBFS concrete. PLTF with log distributions in initial service life is more effective to save repair cost since it is more dominant after average than normal distribution. Repair cost in GGBFS concrete decreases to 30% of OPC concrete due to longer initial service life and lower repairing event. The proposed PLTF from the work can handle not only normal distributions but also log distributions for initial and repair service life, so that it can provide more reasonable repair cost evaluation.

Repair Cost Analysis for RC Structure Exposed to Carbonation Considering Log and Normal Distributions of Life Time (탄산화에 노출된 철근콘크리트 구조물의 로그 및 정규 수명분포를 고려한 보수비용 해석)

  • Woo, Sang-In;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
    • /
    • v.6 no.3
    • /
    • pp.153-159
    • /
    • 2018
  • Many researches have been carried out on carbonation, a representative deterioration in underground structure. The carbonation of RC (Reinforced Concrete) structure can cause steel corrosion through pH drop in concrete pore water. However extension of service life in RC structures can be obtained through simple surface protection. Unlike the conventional deterministic maintenance technique, probabilistic technique can consider a variation of service life but it deals with only normal distributions. In the work, life time-probability distributions considering not only normal but also log distributions are induced, and repair cost estimation technique is proposed based on the induced model. The proposed technique can evaluate the repair cost through probabilistic manner regardless of normal or log distribution from initial service life and extended service life with repair. When the extended service life through repair has log distribution, repair cost is effectively reduced. The more reasonable maintenance strategy can be set up though actual determination of life-probability distribution based on long term tests and field investigations.

Optimum Service Life Management Based on Probabilistic Life-Cycle Cost-Benefit Analysis (확률론적 생애주기비용-이익분석 기반 수명관리 최적화 기법)

  • Kim, Sunyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.19-25
    • /
    • 2016
  • Engineering structures including civil infrastructures require a life-cycle cost and benefit during their service lives. The service life of a structure can be extended through appropriate inspection and maintenance actions. In general, this service life extension requires more life-cycle cost and cumulative benefit. For this reason, structure managers need to make a rational decision regarding the service life management considering both the cost and benefit simultaneously. In this paper, the probabilistic decision tool to determine the optimal service life based on cost-benefit analysis is presented. This decision tool requires an estimation of the time-dependent effective cost-benefit under uncertainty to formulate the optimization problem. The effective cost-benefit is expressed by the difference between the cumulative benefit and life-cycle cost of a deteriorating structure over time. The objective of the optimization problem is maximizing the effective cost-benefit, and the associated solutions are the optimal service life and maintenance interventions. The decision tool presented in this paper can be applied to any deteriorating engineering structure.

Probabilistic Analysis of Repairing Cost Considering Random Variables of Durability Design Parameters for Chloride Attack (염해-내구성 설계 변수에 변동성에 따른 확률론적 보수비용 산정 분석)

  • Lee, Han-Seung;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.22 no.1
    • /
    • pp.32-39
    • /
    • 2018
  • Repairing timing and the extended service life with repairing are very important for cost estimation during operation. Conventionally used model for repair cost shows a step-shaped cost elevation without consideration of variability of extended service life due to repairing. In the work, RC(Reinforced Concrete) Column is considered for probabilistic evaluation of repairing number and cost. Two mix proportions are prepared and chloride behavior is evaluated with quantitative exterior conditions. The repairing frequency and cost are investigated with varying service life and the extended service life with repairing which were derived from the chloride behavior analysis. The effect of COV(Coefficient of Variation) on repairing frequency is small but the 1st repairing timing is shown to be major parameter. The probabilistic model for repairing cost is capable of reducing the number of repairing with changing the intended service life unlike deterministic model of repairing cost since it can provide continuous repair cost with time.

Analysis Technique on Time-dependent PDF (Probability of Durability Failure) Considering Equivalent Surface Chloride Content (균등 표면 염화물량을 고려한 시간 의존적 내구적 파괴확률 해석기법)

  • Lee, Hack-Soo;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.21 no.2
    • /
    • pp.46-52
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recently durability design based on deterministic or probabilistic method has been attempted since service life evaluation in RC(Reinforced Concrete) structure exposed to chloride attack is important. The deterministic durability design contains a reasonable method with time effect on surface chloride content and diffusion coefficient, however the probabilistic design procedure has no consideration of time effect on both. In the paper, a technique on PDF(Probability of Durability Failure) evaluation is proposed considering time effect on diffusion and surface chloride content through equivalent surface chloride content which has same induced chloride content within a given period and cover depth. With varying period to built-up from 10 to 30 years and maximum surface chloride content from $5.0kg/m^3$ to $10.0kg/m^3$, the changing PDF and the related service life are derived. The proposed method can be reasonably applied to actual durability design with preventing conservative design parameters and considering the same analysis conditions of the deterministic method.

Probabilistic Service Life Evaluation for OPC Concrete under Carbonation Considering Cold Joint and Induced Stress Level (콜드조인트 및 재하 응력을 고려한 탄산화에 노출된 OPC 콘크리트의 확률론적 내구수명평가)

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.23 no.6
    • /
    • pp.45-52
    • /
    • 2019
  • Steel corrosion due to carbonation in RC (Reinforced Concrete) structures easily occurs in urban cities with high CO2 concentration. RC structures are always subjected to external loading with various boundary conditions. The induced stress level causes changes in diffusion of harmful ion like CO2. In this work, a quantification of carbonation progress with stress level is carried out and carbonation prediction is derived through the relations. Determining the design parameters like cover depth, CO2 diffusion coefficient, carbonatable materials, and exterior CO2 concentration as random variables, service lifes under carbonation with design parameter's variation are obtained through MCS(Monte Carlo Simulation). Additionally the service life with different stress level is derived and the results are compared with those from deterministic method. Cover depth and cement hydrates are evaluated to be very effective to resist carbonation, and the proposed method which can consider the effect of stress on service life can be applied to maintenance priority determination.

Simulation on Optimum Repairing Number of Carbonated RC Structure Based on Probabilistic Approach (확률론을 고려한 탄산화된 RC 구조물의 최적 보수시기 해석)

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.230-238
    • /
    • 2017
  • Carbonation is a representative deterioration for underground structure, which causes additional repair for service life. This study proposes a simplified equation for optimum repair timing without complicated probability calculation, considering initial and repair conditions For the work, initial service life, extended service life through repair, and their COVs(Coefficient of Variation) are considered, and the periods which can reduce number of repair are evaluated. Assuming the two service lives to be independent, the repair timings are derived from 10 to 50 years based on the probabilistic method, and the regression analysis technique for optimum repairing timing is proposed. Decreasing COV has insignificant effect on reducing repairing number but shows a governing effect on changes in probability near the critical repairing stage. The extension of service life through repairing is evaluated to be a critical parameter for reducing repairing number. The proposed technique can be efficiently used for maintenance strategy with actual COV of initial and additional service life due to repairing.

Probability-Based LCCO2 Evaluation for Undergroung Structture with Repairing Timings Exposed to Carbonation (탄산화에 노출된 지하구조물의 보수횟수에 따른 LCCO2 평가)

  • Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
    • /
    • v.5 no.3
    • /
    • pp.239-246
    • /
    • 2017
  • RC(Reinforced Concrete) structures can keep their performance during intended service life through initial service life and extension of the life through repairs. In the deterministic repairing method, cost and the related $CO_2$ emission increase with step-shaped escalation, however continuous results can be obtained through probabilistic repairing technique, and this is capable of reducing $CO_2$ emission through $CO_2$ absorption. In the work, repairing timing and $CO_2$ emission/absorption are evaluated based on the different methods like deterministic and probabilistic manner. The probabilistic technique considering $CO_2$ absorption with carbonation progress is evaluated to be very effective to reduction of $CO_2$ emission through extension of initial and additional service life due to repairs. When the variations of the service life from initial construction and repair material can be determined, the proposed technique can contribute to reduction of cost and $CO_2$ with decreasing repairing number.

Analysis of Consolidation considering Uncertainties of Geotechnical Parameters and Reliability method (지반특성의 불확실성과 신뢰성 기법을 고려한 압밀해석)

  • Lee, Kyu-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.138-146
    • /
    • 2007
  • Geotechnical performance at the soft ground is strongly dependent on the properties of the soil beneath and adjacent to the structure of interest. These soil properties can be described using deterministic and/or probabilistic models. Deterministic models typically use a single discrete descriptor for the parameter of interest. Probabilistic models describe parameters by using discrete statistical descriptors or probability distribution density functions. The consolidation process depends on several uncertain parameters including the coefficients of consolidation and coefficients of permeability in vertical and horizontal directions. The implication of this uncertain parameter in the design of prefabricated vertical drains for soil improvement is discussed. A sensitivity analysis of the degree of consolidation and calculation of settlements to these uncertain parameters is presented for clayey deposits.

Studies on Probabilistic Nonlinear First Ply Failure Loads and Buckling Loads of Laminated Composite Panels (적층복합재료 패널의 확률론적 비선형 초기파단하중 및 좌굴하중에 관한 연구)

  • Bang, Je-Sung
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.17 no.6
    • /
    • pp.1-10
    • /
    • 2013
  • Probabilistic nonlinear first ply failure loads of flat composite panels and nonlinear buckling loads of curved composite panels with cutouts are estimated to provide the more reliable main load carrying structure in the renewable energy industry and offshore structures. The response surface method approximates limit state surface to a second order polynomial form of random variables with the results of deterministic finite element analyses at given sampling design points. Furthermore, the iterative linear interpolation scheme is used to obtain a more accurate approximation of the limit state surface near the most probable failure point (MPFP). The advanced first order second moment method and the Monte Carlo method are performed on an approximated limit state surface to evaluate the probability of failure. Finally, the sensitivity of the reliability index with respect to transformed random variables is investigated to figure out the main random variables that have an effect on failures.