• Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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• v.5 no.3
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• pp.230-238
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• 2017

Carbonation is a representative deterioration for underground structure, which causes additional repair for service life. This study proposes a simplified equation for optimum repair timing without complicated probability calculation, considering initial and repair conditions For the work, initial service life, extended service life through repair, and their COVs(Coefficient of Variation) are considered, and the periods which can reduce number of repair are evaluated. Assuming the two service lives to be independent, the repair timings are derived from 10 to 50 years based on the probabilistic method, and the regression analysis technique for optimum repairing timing is proposed. Decreasing COV has insignificant effect on reducing repairing number but shows a governing effect on changes in probability near the critical repairing stage. The extension of service life through repairing is evaluated to be a critical parameter for reducing repairing number. The proposed technique can be efficiently used for maintenance strategy with actual COV of initial and additional service life due to repairing.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.129-136
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• 2020

In this study, we develop a sampling-based seismic probabilistic risk assessment (SPRA) quantification technique that can accurately consider a partially dependent condition of component seismic fragility information. Specifically, the SPRA quantification method is proposed by combining the advantages of two representative methodologies: EPRI seismic fragility and JAERI seismic fragility input-based quantification. The most important feature of the proposed method is that it performs a SPRA using a sampling technique by transforming the EPRI seismic fragility input into JAERI seismic fragility input. When the proposed sampling-based approach was applied to an example of simple system and to a SPRA problem of a nuclear power plant, it was observed that the proposed method yields approximately similar system seismic fragility and seismic risk results as those of the exact solution. Therefore, it is believed that the approach proposed in this study can be used as a useful tool for accurately assessing seismic risks, considering the partial seismic dependence among the components; the existing SPRA method cannot handle such partial dependencies.

• Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.39-46
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• 2020

Carbonation is a deterioration which degrades structural and material performance by permitting CO₂ and corrosion of embedded steel. Service life evaluation through deterministic method is conventional, however the researches with probabilistic approach on service life considering loading and cold joint effect on carbonation have been performed very limitedly. In this study, probabilistic service life evaluation was carried out through MCS (Monte Carlo Simulation) which adopted random variables such as cover depth, CO₂ diffusion coefficient, exterior CO₂ concentration, and internal carbonatable materials. Probabilistic service life was derived by changing mean value and COV (Coefficient of variation) from 100 % to 300 % and 0.1 ~ 0.2, respectively. From the analysis, maximum reduction ratio (47.7%) and minimum reduction ratio (11.4%) of service life were obtained in cover depth and diffusion coefficient, respectively. In the loading conditions of 30~60% for compressive and tensile stress, GGBFS concrete was effective to reduce cold joint effect on carbonation. In the tensile condition, service life decreased linearly regardless of material types. Additionally service life rapidly decreased due to micro crack propagation in the all cases when 60% loading was considered in compressive condition.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.159-167
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• 2007

In this study, the concepts of integrated VE analysis assessment is introduced in order to achieve "Design for Deterioration performance" in design VE phase. For this purpose, a framework for fuzzy reliability based LCC and value analysis model using fuzzy logic based approach for breakwaters Projects is suggested. It is anticipated that the methodology Proposed in this paper can also be utilized in the design and maintenance phase of other facilities where decision making is made for the fuzzy reliability based life cycle cost and value analysis.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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• 2023.11a
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• pp.303-304
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• 2023

확률론적 위험성 평가는 하중, 재료특성 등과 같은 불확실성 인자를 고려하여 구조물의 안전성을 평가하는 기법이지만 모든 불확실성을 고려하는 것은 현실적으로 불가능하다. 또한 원전 격납건물은 콘크리트, 철근, 라이너, 텐던이 복잡하게 결합되어 있다. 따라서 전역민감도 분석을 통해 격납건물의 불확실성 인자 검토하고 선정하는 작업은 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구는 대리모델을 기반으로 축소규모 원전 격납건물의 전역 민감도 분석을 수행하고 격납건물의 주요 영향인자를 분석하고자 한다. 유한요소 해석 모델을 기반으로 대리모델의 학습데이터를 생성하였으며 구축된 대리모델의 성능지표를 분석하였을 때 높은 회귀성능을 갖는 것으로 판단된다. 대리모델을 기반으로 전역 민감도 분석을 수행한 결과 콘크리트의 인장균열이 발생하는 내압수준에서 민감도 지수는 콘크리트의 압축강도가 높지만, 전체적인 내압 구간에서 민감도 지수는 텐던의 탄성계수 및 항복강도가 높은 것으로 나타났다.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.445-452
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• 2010

In this paper an assessment of the internal pressure fragility of the CANDU type containment buildings is performed. The uncertainties of the performance of the containment buildings, material properties and tendon characteristics are referred from the in-service reports of Wolsung Unit 1. The containment buildings are modeled as a three-dimensional finite elements with considering the major opening and penetrations. A new method to evaluate the probabilistic fragility of the massive structural system is developed. The fragility curves of the target containment building are presented with repect to the failure modes and reliability levels. The center of wall is reveled as the most weak structural component of the containment building in the sense of the rupture and catastrophic rupture failure modes.

• Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.295-305
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• 2011

In this study, a seismic behavior of electrical cabinet system in Nuclear Power Plants(NPPs) was evaluated by the shaking table test. A 480V Motor Control Centers(MCCs) was selected for the shaking table test, and a real MCC cabinet for the Korea Nuclear Power Plant site was rented by manufactured company. For the shaking table tests, three kinds of seismic input motions were used, which were a US NRC Reg. guide 1.60 design spectrum, a UHS spectrum and PAB 165' floor response spectrum(FRS). Especially, the UHS input motion was selected for an evaluation of structural seismic amplification effects, three directional accelerations were measured at three points outside on the cabinet system and also that of the incabinet response amplification, accelerations were measure at two points which were mounted in electrical equipment such as relay. Seismic amplification effect is determined at the outside and inside of a cabinet as input seismic motion, and compared to the results which are calculated by analytical method based on NUREG/CR-5203.

• Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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• v.47 no.6
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• pp.315-323
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• 2023

Marine accidents due to loss of stability of small ships have continued to increase over the past decade. In particular, since sudden winds have been pointed out as main causes of most small ship accidents, safety measures have been established to prevent them. In this regard, to prevent accidents caused by sudden winds, a systematic analysis technique is required. The aim of the present study was to develop a probabilistic approach to estimate extreme value and evaluate effects of wind on motion characteristics of ships. The present study included studies of motion analysis, extraction of extreme values, and motion characteristics. A series analysis was conducted for three conditions: wave only, wave with uniform wind speed, and wave with the NPD wind model. Hysteresis filtering and Peak-Valley filtering techniques were applied to time-domain motion analysis results for extreme value extraction. Using extracted extreme values, the goodness of fit test was performed on four distribution functions to select the optimal distribution-function that best expressed extreme values. Motion characteristics of a fishing boat were evaluated for three periodic motion conditions (Heave, Roll, and Pitch) and results were compared. Numerical analysis was performed using a commercial solver, ANSYS-AQWA.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.29 no.2A
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• pp.119-130
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• 2009

Seismic fragility curves of a structure represent the probability of exceeding the prescribed structural damage state for a given various levels of ground motion intensity such as peak ground acceleration (PGA), spectral acceleration ($S_a$) and spectral displacement ($S_d$). So those are very essential to evaluate the structural seismic performance and seismic risk. The purpose of this paper is to develop seismic fragility curves for PSC box girder bridges. In order to construct numerical fragility curve of bridge structure using nonlinear time history analysis, a set of ground motions corresponding to design spectrum are artificially generated. Assuming a lognormal distribution, the fragility curve is estimated by using the methodology proposed by Shinozuka et al. PGA is simple and generally used parameter in fragility curve as ground motion intensity. However, the PGA has not good relationship with the inelastic structural behavior. So, $S_a$ and $S_d$ with more direct relationship for structural damage are used in fragility analysis as more useful intensity measures instead of PGA. The numerical fragility curves based on nonlinear time history analysis are compared with those obtained from simple method suggested in HAZUS program.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2015.07a
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• pp.1505-1506
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• 2015

본 논문은 신뢰성 평가의 핵심을 이루는 고장률 계산을 통하여, 배전변압기의 정량적인 신뢰성 척도 산출에 대한 것이다. 배전변압기는 사용시간의 경과와 더불어 환경 조건 등 여러 가지 요인으로 그 성능이 서서히 열화되고 마침내 고장에 이르게 된다. 따라서 배전변압기의 신뢰성에 대한 적절한 평가 도구가 없으면 배전변압기 설비 운영에 대한 피드백이 체계적으로 이루어지지 못하게 된다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 신뢰성 평가에 대한 정량적인 척도 산출이 필요하며, 이를 위해 본 연구에서는 배전변압기의 신뢰성 모형 설계를 수행하였다. 고장률 계산을 위해 일반적으로 널리 이용되는 확률론적 모델을 가정하였으며, 실제 운전 및 고장실적 데이터를 기반으로 한 배전변압기의 고장률을 산출하고, 이를 바탕으로 배전변압기의 수명 및 신뢰성 척도를 확보하였다.