• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률론적 모사

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Stochastic Model Comparison for the Breakup and Atomization of a Liquid Jet using LES (LES 해석에서 액체제트의 분열에 대한 확률론적 분열 모델링 비교)

  • Yoo, YoungLin;Sung, Hong-Gye
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.447-454
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    • 2017
  • A three-dimensional two-phase large eddy simulation(LES) has been conducted to investigate the breakup and atomization of liquid jets such as a diesel jet in parallel flow and water jet in cross flow. Gas-liquid two-phase flow was solved by a combined model of Eulerian for gas flow and Lagrangian for a liquid jet. Two stochastic breakup models were implemented to simulate the liquid column and droplet breakup process. The penetration depth and SMD(Sauter Mean Diameter) were analyzed, which was comparable with the experimental data.

Performance Moment Integration (PMI) for Prediction Performance Changes of a Loudspeaker Model Due to the Uncertainty of Design Variables (성능 모멘트 적분법을 이용한 설계 변수의 불확실성에 기인한 스피커 모델의 성능 변동 예측)

  • Kang, Byung-Su;Lee, Sang-kyun;Kim, Dong-Wook;Kim, Dong-Hun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2015.07a
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    • pp.766-767
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    • 2015
  • 전자기 관련 제품에서 제작공차에 의한 성능변동의 확률론적 분포특성을 효율적으로 예측하기 위해 성능 모멘트 적분법을 도입하였다. 제안된 기법을 검증하기 위해 간단한 수학예제와 스피커 모델의 폴피스 사이 공극의 평균자속 밀도에 대한 확률론적 분포특성 예측을 수행하고, 이를 기존 확률론적 분포특성 예측 기법과 비교하였다. 또한 몬테카를로 수치모사법을 이용하여 도출된 성능의 확률론적 분포특성 예측 값을 재계산 후 비교함으로써 제안된 기법의 정밀도를 검증하였다.

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Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation to Estimate Material Properties of a Layered Half-space (층상 반무한 지반의 물성치 추정을 위한 마르코프 연쇄 몬테카를로 모사 기법)

  • Jin Ho Lee;Hieu Van Nguyen;Se Hyeok Lee
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.203-211
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    • 2023
  • A Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation is proposed for probabilistic full waveform inversion (FWI) in a layered half-space. Dynamic responses on the half-space surface are estimated using the thin-layer method when a harmonic vertical force is applied. Subsequently, a posterior probability distribution function and the corresponding objective function are formulated to minimize the difference between estimations and observed data as well as that of model parameters from prior information. Based on the gradient of the objective function, a proposal distribution and an acceptance probability for MCMC samples are proposed. The proposed MCMC simulation is applied to several layered half-space examples. It is demonstrated that the proposed MCMC simulation for probabilistic FWI can estimate probabilistic material properties such as the shear-wave velocities of a layered half-space.

Analysis on random vibration of a non-linear system in flying vehicle due to stochastic disturbances (불규칙 교란을 받는 비행체에 장착된 비선형 시스템의 난진동 해석)

  • 구제선
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.1426-1435
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    • 1990
  • Dynamic behaviour of point tracking system mounted on flying vehicle shaking in a random manner is investigated and the system dynamic is represented by nonlinear stochastic equations. 2-D.O.F. nonlinear stochastic equations are successfully transformed to linear stochastic equations via equivalent linearization procedure in stochastic sense. Newly developed hybrid technique is used to obtain response statistics of the system under non-white random excitation, which is proved to be remarkably accurate one by performing stochastic simulation.

Probabilistic Integrity Assessment of CANDU Pressure Tube for the Consideration of Flaw Generation Time (결함발생 시점을 고려한 CANDU 압력관 결함의 확률론적 건전성평가)

  • Kwak, Sang-Log;Lee, Joon-Seong;Kim, Young-Jin;Park, Youn-Won
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.11a
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes a probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) analysis based on Monte Carlo (MC) simulation. In the analysis of CANDU pressure tube, it is necessary to perform the PFM analyses based on statistical consideration of flaw generation time. A depth and an aspect ratio of initial semi-elliptical surface crack, a fracture toughness value, delayed hydride cracking (DHC) velocity, and flaw generation time are assumed to be probabilistic variables. In all the analyses, degradation of fracture toughness due to neutron irradiation is considered. Also, the failure criteria considered are plastic collapse, unstable fracture and crack penetration. For the crack growth by DHC, the failure probability was evaluated in due consideration of flaw generation time.

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Probabilistic Evaluation Methodology for Nuclear Components (원전 주요기기의 확률론적 평가 기법)

  • Lee, Joon-Seong;Kwak, Sang-Log;Kim, Young-Jin;Park, Youn-Won
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06a
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    • pp.459-464
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    • 2001
  • For major nuclear power plant components periodic inspections and integrity assessments are needed for the safety. But many flaws are undetectable due to sampling inspection. Probabilistic integrity assessment is applied to take into consideration of uncertainty and variance of input parameters arise due to material properties, applied load and undetectable flaws. This paper describes a Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics(PFM) analysis based on Monte Carlo(MC) algorithms. Taking important parameters as probabilistic variables such as fracture toughness, crack growth rate and flaw shape, failure probability of major nuclear power plant components is archived as a results of MC simulation. For the verification of these analysis, a comparison study of the PFM analysis using other commercial code, mathematical method is carried out and a good agreement was observed between those results.

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Application of Probabilistic Technique for the Development of Fire Accident Scenarios in Railway Tunnel (확률론적 기법을 활용한 철도터널의 화재사고 시나리오의 구성)

  • 곽상록;홍선호;왕종배;조연옥
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.302-306
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    • 2004
  • Many long railway tunnels without emergency evacuation system or ventilation system are under construction or in-use in Korea. In the case of tunnel-fire, many fatalities are occur in current condition. Current safety level is estimated in this study, for the efficient investment on safety. But so many uncertainties in major input parameters make the safety estimation difficult. In this study, probabilistic techniques are applied for the consideration of uncertainties in major input parameters. As results of this study, accident scenarios and survival ratio under tunnel fire accident are determined for various conditions.

Nonlinear Stochastic Stability for Steam Generator Water Level Control System (증기발생기 수위제어의 확률론적 안정성)

  • Park, You-Cho;Chung, Chang-Hyun;Oh, Je-Kyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.155-164
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    • 1995
  • The steam generator water level control system is studied as a class of randomly sampled nonlinear control systems. The sampling interval and the loop amplification factor are considered as random variables in order to take the operator behavior in account. Stochastic stability using Lyapunov method is used without determining such Lyapunov function. The derived stability criterion is verified with time-domain simulation using the data of CANDU type nuclear power plant, Wolsung 1.

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암반균열폭 분포 모사를 위한 수학적 방법론 개발

  • 박정균;한필수
    • Proceedings of the Korean Nuclear Society Conference
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    • 1996.05c
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    • pp.571-576
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    • 1996
  • 지하암반층에 처분한 방사성핵종들의 이동방식을 이해하기 위한 방법의 일환으로 다차원 불균일장에대한 모사기법에 대해 다루었다. 이차원 암반균열평면을 설정하고 균열틈 값이 공간적으로 다양한 형태를 가질 때 지하수가 흐르는 유형과 핵종들이 이동하는 특성을 이해하기 위해, 공간적으로 다양하게 변해 가는 균열틈을 가진 암반층을 모사한 다음, 여기서 지하수와 방사성핵종들의 흐름특성을 파악하고 물질이동에 영향을 미치는 중요한 수리학적 매개변수들에 대해 논의하였다. 암반 균열폭 값은 추계적 방식으로 설정한 확률밀도분포와 공간상호간섭길이를 함수로하여 통계적방식으로 계산하였다. 각 매개변수들의 값의 차이에 따라 달라지는 분포상태변화를 그림으로 표현하여 설명하였다.

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