• Title/Summary/Keyword: 홍수 빈도 분석

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A Study on Determination of Capacity for Pump and Detention Pond in Small Basins for Flood Control (소유역에서 홍수조절용 펌프 및 유수지 규모의 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Tae-Jin;Park, Jong-Yoon;Lyu, Heui-Jeong;Kim, Joong-Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.3 s.134
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    • pp.385-398
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    • 2003
  • The concept of the effective storage ratio has been suggested to determine the size of detention pond by the previous researchers. The 11 pump - pond facilities in Dongdu-chun city were selected to analyze the critical duration for design rainfall and the storage ratio for each rainfall duration in this study It has been then found that the criteria of the maximum storage ratio is not reasonable for determining the size of detention pond because the difference of storage ratio with respect to each rainfall duration is too small. Moreover, since the size of pond compared with the pump capacity is not always big enough, the pump should be frequently operated, which may result in pump failure. Thus, the pond should be sufficiently sized to prevent the possibility of the pump failure due to frequent operation. According to the analyses for changing pump capacity, it has been found that if the function of the pond compared with the pump is concentrated, determining the size of pond based on the storage ratio is operationally feasible for even small basin. Thus, an improved procedure based on the storage ratio for determining the size of detention pond in small basin has been suggested. The results by the proposed procedure considering pump switching frequency may lead to reasonable pump operation. A simple linear programming model has been also adopted to figure out the relationship between pump capacity and pond size. It has been shown that the determination lot the size of detention pond based on conventional hydrologic flood routing in pond is feasible for only urban districts not rural areas.

Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Extreme Rainfall and I-D-F Analysis (기후변화가 극한강우와 I-D-F 분석에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung;Kyung, Min-Soo;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.379-394
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    • 2008
  • Recently, extreme precipitation events beyond design capacity of hydraulic system have been occurred and this is the causes of failure of hydraulic structure for flood prevention and of severe flood damage. Therefore it is very important to understand temporal and spatial characteristics of extreme precipitation events as well as expected changes in extreme precipitation events and distributional characteristics during design period under future climate change. In this paper, climate change scenarios were used to assess the impacts of future climate change on extreme precipitation. Furthermore, analysis of future extreme precipitation characteristics and I-D-F analysis were carried out. This study used SRES B2 greenhouse gas scenario and YONU CGCM to simulate climatic conditions from 2031 to 2050 and statistical downscaling method was applied to establish weather data from each of observation sites operated by the Korean Meteorological Administration. Then quantile mapping of bias correction methods was carried out by comparing the simulated data with observations for bias correction. In addition Modified Bartlett Lewis Rectangular Pulse(MBLRP) model (Onof and Wheater, 1993; Onof 2000) and adjust method were applied to transform daily precipitation time series data into hourly time series data. Finally, rainfall intensity, duration, and frequency were calculated to draw I-D-F curve. Although there are 66 observation sites in Korea, we consider here the results from only Seoul, Daegu, Jeonju, and Gwangju sites in this paper. From the results we found that the rainfall intensity will be increased and the bigger intensity will be occurred for longer rainfall duration when we compare the climate conditions of 2030s with present conditions.

A Study on Special Quality of Hourly Precipitation of Typhoon happened in Korea (우리나라에 발생한 태풍의 시간 강우량 특성에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.9
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    • pp.709-722
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    • 2007
  • The floods of Korea happens periodically during summer. The cause of heavy rain that provokes floods can be classified into typhoon and localized downpour. The typhoon happens in the tropical region. It causes one of the worst damage to Korea by extreme rainfall and strong wind. Usually, it is known that the flood damage by the typhoon is larger than that by the localized downpour. Therefore, this study classified rainfall events into typhoon events and localized downpour events based on the cause. Through statistical analyses of the rainfall data, this study investigated special quality of the rainfall during the time of typhoon. In analysis results, probability Precipitation calculated by the typhoon events were exposed bigger than that calculated by all rainfall events.

Performance Evaluation of Water Supply Potential in Agricultural Reservoirs Considering Reevaluation of Design Frequency of Drought (농업용 저수지 이수안전도 변화에 따른 물 공급의 잠재능 평가)

  • Bang, Na-Kyoung;Nam, Won-Ho;Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.65-65
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    • 2020
  • 기후변화에 관한 IPCC 제5차 평가보고서에 따르면 최근 나타난 기후 관련 극한 현상인 폭염, 홍수, 가뭄 등의 영향에 대해 생태계가 현재의 기후 변동성에 상당히 취약하게 반응하며, 기후변화를 위험에 초점을 맞추어 평가함으로써 대응책을 마련해야 한다고 강조하였다. 기후변화에 따라 강수량 패턴과 수문학적 시스템이 변하면서 수자원의 미치는 영향과 취약성, 적응에 대한 연구의 필요성이 요구되고 있으며, 농업용수를 비롯한 수자원 관리 기술 및 적응역량을 강화하는 것이 필요하다. 수리답 면적에 대한 농업용수 공급의 61%를 차지하는 농업용 저수지의 경우 과거 10년 한발빈도로 설계되어 최근의 연속적인 가뭄 사상으로 인한 낮은 저수율을 나타내어 가용 수자원의 부족이 발생하였다. 이에 따라 저수지 설계 당시와 상이한 환경 및 기후의 변화로 농업용수 공급체계의 상황변화에 따른 용수공급능력 및 이수안전도의 재평가가 요구된다. 일부 가뭄대책지구에 대하여 기후변화에 따른 현장여건 변화 (논면적, 영농패턴, 작부시기 등)를 반영한 이수안전도를 재평가함으로써 농업용 저수지의 용수공급에 대한 정량적 분석이 수행되었다. 저수지별로 기후변화 및 현장여건 변화에 따른 영향이 다르므로 전국 농업용 저수지를 대상으로 확대, 적용하기 위해서는 저수지 특성을 분석하여 비슷한 패턴을 갖는 저수지로 유형화하기 위한 작업이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 농어촌공사 관할 3,394개의 농업용 저수지를 대상으로 지역에 따라 인자별 군집분석을 실시하여 국내 농업용 저수지의 이수안전도 변화에 따른 물 공급 잠재능을 재평가하고자 한다. 본 연구의 결과는 기후와 영농방식, 지역별 특성 등 상호간의 관계를 고려한 농업용수관리와 유사한 특성을 갖는 지역계획의 추진단위를 결정하거나 지역간의 비교우위를 고려한 한해 대책 등과 같은 농촌지역개발계획 등에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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A Comparison and Analysis of the Levee Height Determination Methods in Korea and the USA (우리나라와 미국의 제방고 산정 기법에 대한 비교 분석)

  • Kang, Tae-Uk;Lee, Sang-Ho;Yu, Kwon-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.6
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    • pp.497-510
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    • 2011
  • A levee height is determined by adding a deterministic freeboard to a flood water level in Korea. In the USA, a levee height is determined by choosing a value conditionally among the freeboard criteria and the levels resulted from a probabilistic method. The probabilistic method adopts a conditional non-exceedance probability (CNP) which is the probability that the target stage will not be exceeded given a specific flood event. The purpose of the study is to compare Korean criterion for levee height estimation with that of the USA. Levee heights were determined according to the above two criteria at twenty-five cross sections in five streams. The results show that Korean criterion on average yields levee heights 20 cm higher than those calculated by the criterion of the USA. The larger the flood discharges become, the higher the levee height differences are usually. It is caused by the freeboard estimation criterion of Korea that the larger design flood is, the higher freeboard is given. Korean criterion, however, resulted in lower levee heights for smaller streams than those by the criterion of the USA. To sum it up, the Korean levee height criteria can result in overestimation or underestimation depending on flood discharge amount, being compared with the criteria of the USA. The Korean freeboard especially needs to be increased for smaller flood discharges.

Prospects of future extreme precipitation in South-North Korea shared river basin according to RCP climate change scenarios (RCP 기후변화 시나리오를 활용한 남북공유하천유역 미래 극한강수량 변화 전망)

  • Yeom, Woongsun;Park, Dong-Hyeok;Kown, Minsung;Ahn, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.647-655
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    • 2019
  • Although problems such as river management and flood control have occurred continuously in the Imjin and Bukhan river basin, which are shared by South and North Korea, efforts to manage the basin have not been carried out consistently due to limited cooperation. As the magnitude and frequency of hydrologic phenomena are changing due to global climate change, it is necessary to prepare countermeasures for the rainfall variation in the shared river basin area. Therefore, this study was aimed to project future changes in extreme precipitation in South-North Korea shared river basin by applying 13 Global Climate Models (GCM). Results showed that the probability rainfall compared to the reference period (1981-2005) of the shared river basin increased in the future periods of 2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP)4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. In addition, the rainfall frequency over the 20-year return period was increased in all periods except for the future periods of 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 under the RCP4.5 scenario. The extreme precipitation in the shared river basin has increased both in magnitude and frequency, and it is expected that the region will have a significant impact from climate change.

Analysis on Rainwater Harvesting System as a Source of Non-Potable Water for Flood Mitigation in Metro Manila (마닐라의 홍수저감을 위한 잡용수 대체자원으로서의 가정용우수저류시설 분석)

  • Necesito, Imee V.;Felix, Micah Lourdes A.;Kim, Lee-Hyung;Cheong, Tae Sung;Jeong, Sangman
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2013
  • Excessive precipitation, drought, heat waves, strong typhoons and rising sea levels are just some of the common indicators of climate change. In the Philippines, excessive precipitation never failed to devastate and drown the streets of Metro Manila, a highly urbanized and flood-prone area; such problems are expected to occur frequently. Moreover, the water supply of Metro Manila is dependent only to Angat Reservoir. Rainwater harvesting can serve as an alternative source of raw water and it can mitigate the effects of flooding. The harvested rainwater can be used for: potable consumption if filtered and disinfected; and non-potable consumptions (e.g., irrigation, flushing toilets, carwash, gardening, etc.) if used untreated. The rainfall data were gathered from all 5 rainfall stations located in Metro Manila namely: Science Garden, Port Area, Polo, Nangka and Napindan rain gauge stations. To be able to determine the potential volume of rainwater harvested and the potentiality of rainwater harvesting system as an alternate source of raw water; in this study, three different climatic conditions were considered, the dry, median and wet rainfall years. The frequent occurrence of cyclonic events in the Philippines brought significant amount of rainwater that causes flooding in the highly urbanized region of Metro Manila. Based from the results of this study, the utilization of rainwater harvesting system can serve as an alternative source of non-potable water for the community; and could also reduce the amount of surface runoff that could result to extreme flooding.

Study of flood prevention alternative priorities using MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) (MCDM을 이용한 홍수방어대안 우선순위 정립에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Donghwa;Jeong, Soonchan;Lee, Eunkyung;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.169-179
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    • 2017
  • Recently, due to global warming and climate change in Korea, local heavy storm occurs frequently. In this study, the risky areas for flooding in urban areas are analyzed for flood inundation based on two-dimensional urban flood runoff model (XP-SWMM) focusing on coastal high flood-risk urban areas. In addition, the MCDM (Multi-Criteria Decision Making) technique is utilized in order to establish the flood defense structural measures. The alternative flood reduction method are compared and the optimum flood defense measures are selected. A simulation model was used with three structural flood prevention measures (drainage pipe construction, water detention, flood pumping station). In order to decrease the flooding area, flood assessment criteria are suggested (flooded area, maximum inundation depth, damaged residential area, construction cost). Priorities of alternatives are determined by using compromise programming. As a result, the optimal flood defence alternative suggested for Janghang Zone 1 is flood pumping station and for Janghang Zone 2, 3 are drainage pipe construction.

Effect of Areal Mean Rainfall Estimation Technique and Rainfall-Runoff Models on Flood Simulation in Samcheok Osipcheon(Riv.) Basin (면적 강우량 산정 기법과 강우-유출 모형이 삼척오십천 유역의 홍수 모의에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hyeonji;Shin, Youngsub;Kang, Dongho;Kim, Byungsik
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.775-784
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    • 2023
  • In terms of flood management, it is necessary to analyze quantitative rainfall and runoff from a spatial and temporal perspective and to analyze runoff for heavy rainfall events that are concentrated within a short period of time. The simulation and analysis results of rainfall-runoff models vary depending on the type and input data. In particular, rainfall data is an important factor, so calculating areal mean rainfall is very important. In this study, the areal mean rainfall of the Samcheok Osipcheon(Riv.) watersheds located in the mountainous terrain was calculated using the Arithmetic Mean Method, Thiessen's Weighting Method, and the Isohyetal Method, and the rainfall-runoff results were compared by applying the distributional model S-RAT and the lumped model HEC-HMS. The results of the temporal transferability study showed that the combination of the distributional model and the Isohyetal Method had the best statistical performance with MAE of 64.62 m3/s, RMSE of 82.47 m3/s, and R2 and NSE of 0.9383 and 0.8547, respectively. It is considered that this study was properly analyzed because the peak flood volume occurrence time of the observed and simulated flows is within 1 hour. Therefore, the results of this study can be used for frequency analysis in the future, which can be used to improve the accuracy of simulating peak flood volume and peak flood occurrence time in mountainous watersheds with steep slopes.

A Study on Variation of Land-use in River Area caused by Levee Construction (제방 축조에 따른 하천공간 토지이용 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hyoung Sub;Hong, Il;Kim, Ji-Sung;Kim, Kyu Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.2419-2427
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    • 2014
  • This paper defines the hydro-geomorphological river area to estimate the change of the river function before/after levee construction, and proposes the methodology that calculates the river area by using GIS. The boundary of river area is determined by the 100-year potential flood inundation area without the levee effect of the flood protection. Firstly, 1918' land-use map was digitized and the changes were analyzed by comparing with 2007' digitized map. The result shows that urban/farmland zone in Mankyung river area were increased by 0.4%/11.6% and bare ground was decreased by 10.0% so that the effective use of floodplain due to levee construction leaded to better productivity, but the decrease of the environment function of the river was predicted as result of the reduction of the river area.