• Title/Summary/Keyword: 홍수시나리오

Search Result 414, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Future Projection in Inflow of Major Multi-Purpose Dams in South Korea (기후변화에 따른 국내 주요 다목적댐의 유입량 변화 전망)

  • Lee, Moon Hwan;Im, Eun Soon;Bae, Deg Hyo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.21 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.107-116
    • /
    • 2019
  • Multi-purpose dams in Korea play a very important role in water management such as supplying water for living, industrial water, and discharging instream flow requirement to maintain the functions of river. However, the vulnerability of dam water supply has been increased due to extreme weather events that are possible linked to climate change. This study attempts to project the future dam inflow of six multi-purpose dams by using dynamically downscaled climate change scenarios with high resolution. It is found that the high flows are remarkably increased under global warming, regardless of basins and climate models. In contrast, the low flows for Soyangang dam, Chungju dam, and Andong dam that dam inflow are originated from Taebaek mountains are significantly decreased. On the other hand, while the low flow of Hapcheon dam is shown to increase, those of Daecheong and Sumjingang dams have little changes. But, the low flows for future period have wide ranges and the minimum value of low flows are decreased for all dams except for Hapcheon dam. Therefore, it is necessary to establish new water management policy that can respond to extreme water shortages considering climate change.

The study on Installation Areas of Permeable Pavement for Stormwater Control (우수유출 저감을 위한 투수성 포장의 설치 면적에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Young-su;Shin, Hyun-suk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.18 no.11
    • /
    • pp.104-109
    • /
    • 2017
  • The flooding and deterioration of water quality caused by urbanization and climate change are becoming more serious. In order to respond to this, studies on low impact development (LID) technology, which is designed to restore the hydrological system of the urban basin to its natural state, have been actively pursued all over the world, The announcement of the low carbon green growth law, hydrophilic area special law, etc., highlights the importance of technology such as the LID method. However, whereas various developments have been made in relation to the current LID element technology, there has been little research designed to verify its effectiveness. In this study, we analyzed the optimum spatial distribution of pitcher fire pitcher packing in parking lots using the K - LIDM model to verify the effectiveness of the low impact development (LID) method in the early stages. Using the eight package scenario and the three rain intensity scenarios, it was found that the lower 40% pitcher packaging results in an approximately 90% spill reduction effect, as in the case of the whole pitcher's package. The confirmation of these analyses and experimental verification is expected to ensure that the actual pitcher packaging will be used as a basis for arranging LID facilities such as urban planning and housing development in the future.

Stochastic disaggregation of daily rainfall based on K-Nearest neighbor resampling method (K번째 최근접 표본 재추출 방법에 의한 일 강우량의 추계학적 분해에 대한 연구)

  • Park, HeeSeong;Chung, GunHui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.49 no.4
    • /
    • pp.283-291
    • /
    • 2016
  • As the infrastructures and populations are the condensed in the mega city, urban flood management becomes very important due to the severe loss of lives and properties. For the more accurate calculation of runoff from the urban catchment, hourly or even minute rainfall data have been utilized. However, the time steps of the measured or forecasted data under climate change scenarios are longer than hourly, which causes the difficulty on the application. In this study, daily rainfall data was disaggregated into hourly using the stochastic method. Based on the historical hourly precipitation data, Gram Schmidt orthonormalization process and K-Nearest Neighbor Resampling (KNNR) method were applied to disaggregate daily precipitation into hourly. This method was originally developed to disaggregate yearly runoff data into monthly. Precipitation data has smaller probability density than runoff data, therefore, rainfall patterns considering the previous and next days were proposed as 7 different types. Disaggregated rainfall was resampled from the only same rainfall patterns to improve applicability. The proposed method was applied rainfall data observed at Seoul weather station where has 52 years hourly rainfall data and the disaggregated hourly data were compared to the measured data. The proposed method might be applied to disaggregate the climate change scenarios.

The Impact of Climate Change on Sub-daily Extreme Rainfall of Han River Basin (기후변화가 한강 유역의 시단위 확률강우량에 미치는 영향)

  • Nam, Woosung;Ahn, Hyunjun;Kim, Sunghun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.21-27
    • /
    • 2015
  • Recent researches show that climate change has impact on the rainfall process at different temporal and spatial scales. The present paper is focused on climate change impact on sub-daily rainfall quantile of Han River basin in South Korea. Climate change simulation outputs from ECHO-G GCM under the A2 scenario were used to estimate daily extreme rainfall. Sub-daily extreme rainfall was estimated using the scale invariance concept. In order to assess sub-daily extreme rainfall from climate change simulation outputs, precipitation time series were generated based on NSRPM (Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model) and modified using the ratio of rainfall over projection periods to historical one. Sub-daily extreme rainfall was then estimated from those series. It was found that sub-daily extreme rainfall in the future displayed increasing or decreasing trends for estimation methods and different periods.

Water Quality Analysis of Hongcheon River Basin Under Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 홍천강 유역의 수질 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Duckhwan;Hong, Seung Jin;Kim, Jungwook;Han, Daegun;Hong, Ilpyo;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.348-358
    • /
    • 2015
  • Impacts of climate change are being observed in the globe as well as the Korean peninsula. In the past 100 years, the average temperature of the earth rose about 0.75 degree in celsius, while that of Korean peninsula rose about 1.5 degree in celsius. The fifth Assessment Report of IPCC(Intergovermental Panel on Climate Change) predicts that the water pollution will be aggravated by change of hydrologic extremes such as floods and droughts and increase of water temperature (KMA and MOLIT, 2009). In this study, future runoff was calculated by applying climate change scenario to analyze the future water quality for each targe period (Obs : 2001 ~ 2010, Target I : 2011 ~ 2040, Target II : 2041 ~ 2070, Target III : 2071 ~ 2100) in Hongcheon river basin, Korea. In addition, The future water quality was analyzed by using multiple linear regression analysis and artificial neural networks after flow-duration curve analysis. As the results of future water quality prediction in Hongcheon river basin, we have known that BOD, COD and SS will be increased at the end of 21 century. Therefore, we need consider long-term water and water quality management planning and monitoring for the improvement of water quality in the future. For the prediction of more reliable future water quality, we may need consider various social factors with climate components.

Simulation of Turbidity Flow in the Andon-Imha Linked Reservoir System (안동-임하호 연결 시스템의 탁수유동 모의)

  • Park, Hyung Seok;Chung, Se Woong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2015.05a
    • /
    • pp.46-46
    • /
    • 2015
  • 강우가 지역별 계절별로 편중되어 있는 우리나라는 수자원의 안정적인 확보와 이용을 위해 다양한 형태의 댐을 건설하여 운영하고 있다. 그러나 대부분의 댐건설을 통해 형성된 저수지들은 탁수 장기화 및 녹조 발생 등의 환경, 생태적인 문제를 겪고 있으며, 그에 따른 사회적 우려로 인해 신규댐 건설을 통한 수자원확보는 더 이상 어려운 실정이다. 이러한 문제에 대응하기 위한 대안으로 기존 댐 저수지들(안동호-임하호)의 구조적 연계운영방안이 진행되고 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 2차원 CE-QUAL-W2모형을 활용하여 안동호와 임하호의 구조적 연결에 따른 탁수의 이동과 각 저수지 내에서의 유동 변화를 해석하는데 있다. 저수지 연계 시나리오는 EL. 138 m 위치에 길이 2 km, 직경 5.5 m 의 콘크리트관(마찰계수 0.05)이 안동호 좌안인 임동면 마리와 임하호 우안 망천리를 연결하는 것으로 가정하였다. 모델의 보정은 실측자료가 풍부한 2006년도 수문사상을 대상으로, 개별 저수지에 대해 수행하였고, 탁수 유동 시나리오 해석은 임하호에 심각한 탁수장기화 문제가 발생했던 2002년을 대상으로 댐 연계 탁수모의를 수행하였다. 안동호와 임하호의 댐 앞에서 모의값과 실측값을 오차를 분석한 결과 탁수예측오차는 AME 0.5~24 mg/L, RMSE 0.7~30.2mg/L의 범위로 비교적 실측값을 잘 반영한 것으로 나타났다. 임하댐의 경우 탁수층의 위치와 두께, 그리고 최고 탁도값을 적절히 재현 하였지만, 안동댐은 최고 탁도값 예측에서 다소 오차가 발생하는 것으로 나타났다. 안동호와 임하호 단독 운영시와 연계 운영시의 탁수변화 파악을 위해 초기 홍수사상이 발생한 8월 이후부터 저수지내의 TSS농도 분포를 비교하였다. 안동호의 경우 댐앞지점의 탁수분포는 수온성층구조에 영향을 받아, 단독 운영시(EL. 130 m)보다 연계운영시(EL. 140 m)에 탁수의 중심이 높은 위치에 형성되었다. 단독 운영시 10월 이후에 전도현상으로 인해 침강되지 않은 잔류 탁수층이 저수지 하부로 확산되었지만, 연계 운영시에는 재부상 되어 상층으로 확산되는 것으로 모의되었다. 또한 연계운영시 유량이동으로 인해 안동호의 탁수 댐앞 도달시간이 짧아지는 것으로 나타났다. 반면 임하호는 연계 운영시 안동댐으로 유출이 생기면서 중층에서 탁수량이 저감되는 것으로 모의되었다. 저수지 내 탁수량 분석을 위해 SS 15 mg/L 이상의 잔류 탁수량을 분석한 결과, 연계운영시 안동호의 평균 잔류탁수량 비율은 11.8% 증가, 임하호의 경우 11.7% 감소하였다. 또한, 탁수의 댐하류 방류일수도 SS 15 mg/L 기준 임하호 9일 저감, 안동호는 70일 증가하여 임하호의 탁수가 안동호의 탁수 장기화에 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다.

  • PDF

The Effect of Low Impact Development Techniques on Urban Runoff (저영향개발기법이 도시 유출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Heesoo;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.23 no.4
    • /
    • pp.307-316
    • /
    • 2021
  • Due to rapidly increased urbanization, impervious area has been extended and concerns about urban flooding has been increased as well. A lot of effort has been made to restore the urban water circulation. Low Impact Development (LID) technology that consist of retention, infiltration, and evapotranspiration has begun to attract attention to simulate the hydrologic phenomenon before and after development. Many researches on the technique is being actively conducted. In this study, the effect on reducing runoff in urban catchment was analyzed and evaluated by applying LID techniques using SWMM and six scenarios. A SWMM-LID model was built for the Gasan 1 rainwater pumping station basin, and Green Roof and Permeable Pavement were selected as LID techniques to be applied. As a result, the reduction effect of the permeable pavement was larger than green roof. In the future, the results could be used to design a LID facility using the characteristics of the watershed, and other urban water resource factors such as river and groundwater levels that affect each other should be considered, so that the entire system can be considered.

An Analysis of the Outflow reduction effect of Bio-retention in Small watershed during Short-term rainfall (단기 강우 시 소규모유역에서 생태저류지의 유출 저감효과 분석)

  • Cheon, Jong-hyeon;Kim, Jae-moon;Jang, Young-su;Shin, Hyun-suk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.434-442
    • /
    • 2019
  • Low Impact Development(LID) techniques has been attracting attention as a countermeasure to solve frequent flood damage in urban areas. LID is a techniques for returning to the natural hydrological cycle system by infiltrating the runoff from the impervious surface into the soil. The Bio-retention, one of the LID element technology has outflow reduction effect by reserving and infiltrating storm water runoff from watersheds. Recently, a number of studies have been carried out as interest in the reduction of storm water runoff and non-point pollutants in Bio-retention has increased. However, quantitative analysis on the outflow reduction of Bio-retention applied to small watershed is insufficient. In this study, Bio-retention model was constructed in a small watershed using K-LIDM which is capable of hydrologic analysis. When the storage capacity was increased or dividing the Bio-retention and watershed, the outflow reduction effect was 20% according to the storage capacity increase and 5~15% in the distributed Bio-retention system. The results of this analysis will be used as the basic data of future Bio-retention research related to watershed characteristics, vegetation type and soil condition.

A study on estimation of optimal reserves for multi-purpose reservoirs considering climate change (기후변화를 고려한 다목적댐의 적정 예비율 산정 연구)

  • Chae, Heechan;Ji, Jungwon;Yi, Jaeeung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.51 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.1127-1134
    • /
    • 2018
  • According to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), climate change increases the frequency of abnormal weather phenomenon. As the frequency of abnormal weather phenomenon increases, frequency of disasters related to water resources such as floods and droughts also increases. Drought is the main factor that directly affects water supply. Recently, the intensity of drought and the frequency of drought occurrence have increased in Korea. So, there is a need for water resource securing technology for stable water supply. Korean Water Plan mentioned that water reserves concept is necessary for stable water supply. Most multi-purpose reservoirs in Korea have emergency storage in addition to conservation storage used for water supply. However, there is no clear use standard for emergency storage. This study investigated the use of reservoir reserves for stable water supply. In order to consider the climate change impact, the AR5-based hydrological scenario was used as inflow data for the reservoir simulation model. Reservoir simulations were carried out in accordance with the utilization conditions of emergency storage and water supply adjustment standard. The optimal reserves for each multi-purpose reservoirs was estimated using simulation results.

Evaluation of water quality in the Sangsa Lake under climate change by combined application of HSPF and AEM3D (HSPF 와 AEM3D를 이용한 기후변화에 따른 상사호 유역의 수질오염 부하 및 댐 내 수질 변화 특성 분석)

  • Goh, Nayeon;Kim, Jaeyoung;Seo, Dongil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.11
    • /
    • pp.877-886
    • /
    • 2022
  • This study was carried out to analyze how the flow and water quality of the Sangsa Lake (juam control basin) change according to future climate change and what countermeasures are needed. Aquatic Ecosystem Model) was used in conjunction. As climate change scenarios, RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios of AR5 (5th Assessment Report) according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) were used. For the climate change scenario, detailed data on the Sangsa Lake basin were used by the Korea Meteorological Administration, and after being evaluated as a correction and verification process for the 10-year period from 2012 to 2021, the present, 2025-2036, 2045- The summer period from June to August and the winter period from December to February were analyzed separately for each year by dividing it into 2056 and 2075-2086. RCP 8.5 was higher than RCP 4.5 as an arithmetic mean for the flow rate of the watershed of the superior lake for the entire simulation period, and TN and TP also showed a tendency to be higher at RCP 4.5. However, in RCP 8.5, the outflow of pollutants decreased during the dry season and the outflow of pollutants increased during the summer, indicating that the annual pollutant outflow was concentrated during the flood season, and it is analyzed that countermeasures are needed.