• Title/Summary/Keyword: 허스트 지수

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A Hurst Exponent as the Measure for a Sinusoid Pattern Recognition (Sinusoid 패턴 인식을 위한 측도로서의 허스트 지수)

  • 차경준;황선호
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.85-96
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    • 2004
  • The Resealed range statistical analysis and Hurst exponent which are standard methods to test the chaotic model are used to examine sinusoid pattern. We notice that the Hurst exponent can be used as a measure to examine the time series data that show semi-cyclic trend with noise.

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On the Estimation Techniques of Hurst exponent (허스트 지수 산정 방법에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Hung-Soo;Seoh, Byung-Ha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.993-1007
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    • 2004
  • There are many different techniques for the estimation of the Hurst exponent. However, the techniques can produce different characteristics for the persistence of a time series each other. This study uses several techniques such as adjusted range, resealed range(RR) analysis, modified restated range(MRR) analysis, 1/f power spectral density analysis, Maximum Likelihood Estimation(MLE), detrended fluctuations analysis(DFA), and aggregated variance time(AVT)method for the Hurst exponent estimation. The generated time series from chaos and stochastic systems are analyzed for the comparative study of the techniques. Then this study discusses the advantages and disadvantages of the techniques and also the limitations of them.

세 국가(國歌)의 복잡도 및 장기기억 속성의 비교

  • Park, Yeong-Seon;Cha, Gyeong-Jun;Park, Hong-Gu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.221-226
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    • 2005
  • 우리나라의 애국가(愛國歌), 일본(Kimigayo) 그리고 미국국가(The star-spangled Banner) 등에 대해서 악보가 갖는 고유정보를 카오스적 접근 방법인 근사엔트로피(approximate entropy)와 허스트(Hurst) 지수를 이용하여 각각 음계(scale)의 복잡도(複雜度)와 장기기억속성(長期 記憶 屬性)을 계산하여 비교하였던 바, 애국가가 상대적으로 복잡도에서 가장 높았으며, 세 국가 모두 장기 기억효과가 있는 것으로 나타났는데, 지속적인(persistent) 성향은 일본국가가 가장 컸다.

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Stress status classification based on EEG signals (뇌파 신호 기반 스트레스 상태 분류)

  • Kang, Jun-Su;Jang, Giljin;Lee, Minho
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2016
  • In daily life, humans get stress very often. Stress is one of the important factors of healthy life and closely related to the quality of life. Too much stress is known to cause hormone imbalance of our body, and it is observed by the brain and bio signals. Based on this, the relationship between brain signal and stress is explored, and brain signal based stress index is proposed in our work. In this study, an EEG measurement device with 32 channels is adopted. However, only two channels (FP1, FP2) are used to this study considering the applicability of the proposed method in real enveironment, and to compare it with the commercial 2 channel EEG device. Frequency domain features are power of each frequency bands, subtraction, addition, or division by each frequency bands. Features in time domain are hurst exponent, correlation dimension, lyapunov exponent, etc. Total 6 subjects are participated in this experiment with English sentence reading task given. Among several candidate features, ${\frac{{\theta}\;power}{mid\;{\beta}\;power}}$ shows the best test performance (70.8%). For future work, we will confirm the results is consistent in low price EEG device.

Stochastic Simulation for Reservoir inflows to Improve Drought Mitigation Policies of Water Supply Infrastructures (물 공급 시설의 향상된 가뭄 대응전략을 위한 댐 유입량 모의 기법 제시)

  • Ji, Sukwnag;Ahn, Kuk-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.172-172
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    • 2021
  • 주된 물관리 시설의 신뢰성 있는 운영 계획의 수립을 위하여 충분한 길이의 유입량을 확보하는 것은 중요하나 현실적으로 제한된 관측 자료만 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 충분한 길이의 유입량을 생성하기 위하여 유입량의 모의 방법론을 제안하고자 한다. 제안하는 모형은 크게 3가지의 방법론을 기반으로 한다. 첫 번째는 연 유입량과 월 유입량의 생성단계로 Wavelet 기반으로 Autoregressive-moving-average(ARMA)을 적용할 것이다. 다음으로 일 유입량의 생성에 있어서 과거 관측값을 기반으로 한 Z-Score-based jittering 방법론을 적용할 것이다. 이렇게 각각 생성된 연 유입량, 월 유입량 그리고 일 유입량을 K-Nearest Nedighbors (K-NN) 방법론을 이용하여 최종 유입량을 결정하고자 한다. 생성된 유입량의 유용성을 판단하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 단기와 장기에서의 시계열의 지속성을 허스트 지수와 상관계수를 사용하여 검증할 것이며 이를 과거 관측치와 비교하고자 한다. 또한 각각의 연, 월, 일별의 기준으로 주요 통계치인 평균과 표준편차를 과거 관측 시계열의 통계치와 비교하여 그 유용성을 판단할 것이다.

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Eddy Diffusion in Coastal Seas: Observation and Fractal Diffusion Modelling (연안역와동확산: 관측 및 프랙탈 확산 모델링)

  • 이문진;강용균
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 1997
  • We measured the variance of eddy diffusion and associated ‘diffusion coefficients’ in coastal regions of Korea by observing the separation distances among multiple drifters deployed simultaneously at the same initial position. The variance of eddy diffusion was found to be proportional to $t^m$, where t is the time and m is a non-integer scaling exponent between 1.5 and 3.5. The observed scaling exponent of eddy diffusion cannot be reproduced by diffusion models employing constant eddy diffusivity. In this study, we applied fractal theory in simulating exponential increase of variance of eddy diffusion. We employed the fGn(fractional Gaussian noise) as a ‘modified’ random walks corresponding to the oceanic eddy diffusion. The variance of eddy diffusion, which corresponds to the fBm(fractional Brown motion) of our diffusion model, is proportional to $t^{2H}$, where H is Hurst scaling exponent. The temporal increase of the variance. with scaling exponent between 1 and 2, was successfully reproduced by our fractal diffusion model. However, our model cannot reproduce scaling exponent greater than 2. The scaling exponents greater than 2 are associated with the velocity shear of the mean flow.

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Analysis of Intrinsic Patterns of Time Series Based on Chaos Theory: Focusing on Roulette and KOSPI200 Index Future (카오스 이론 기반 시계열의 내재적 패턴분석: 룰렛과 KOSPI200 지수선물 데이터 대상)

  • Lee, HeeChul;Kim, HongGon;Kim, Hee-Woong
    • Knowledge Management Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.119-133
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    • 2021
  • As a large amount of data is produced in each industry, a number of time series pattern prediction studies are being conducted to make quick business decisions. However, there is a limit to predicting specific patterns in nonlinear time series data due to the uncertainty inherent in the data, and there are difficulties in making strategic decisions in corporate management. In addition, in recent decades, various studies have been conducted on data such as demand/supply and financial markets that are suitable for industrial purposes to predict time series data of irregular random walk models, but predict specific rules and achieve sustainable corporate objectives There are difficulties. In this study, the prediction results were compared and analyzed using the Chaos analysis method for roulette data and financial market data, and meaningful results were derived. And, this study confirmed that chaos analysis is useful for finding a new method in analyzing time series data. By comparing and analyzing the characteristics of roulette games with the time series of Korean stock index future, it was derived that predictive power can be improved if the trend is confirmed, and it is meaningful in determining whether nonlinear time series data with high uncertainty have a specific pattern.

Seismic Modeling for Inhomogeneous Medium (불균질 매질에서 탄성파 모델링)

  • Kim, Young-Wan;Jang, Seong-Hyung;Yoon, Wang-Jung
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.739-749
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    • 2007
  • The seismic velocity at the formation varies widely with physical properties in the layers. These features on seismic shot gathers are not capable of reproducing normally by numerical modeling of homogeneous medium, so that we need that of random inhomogeneous medium instead. In this study, we conducted Gaussian autocorrelation function (ACF), exponential autocorrelation function and von Karman autocorrelation function for getting inhomogeneous velocity model and applied a simple geological model. According to the results, von Karman autocorrelation function showed short wavelength to the inhomogeneous velocity medium. For numerical modeling for a gas hydrate, we determined a geological model based on field data set gathered in the East sea. The numerical modeling results showed that the von Karman autocorrelation function could properly describe scattering phenomena in the gas hydrate velocity model which contains an inhomogeneous layer. Besides, bottom-simulating-reflectors and scattered waves which appear at seismic shot gather of the field data showed properly in the inhomogeneous numerical modeling.

Hurst's memory for SOI and tree-ring series (남방진동지수, 나이테 자료에 대한 허스트 기억)

  • Kim Byung Sik;Kim Hung Soo;Seoh Byung Ha;Yoon Kang Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.792-796
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    • 2005
  • The methods of times series analysis have been recognized as important tools for assisting in solving problems related to the management of water resources. Especially, After more than 40 years the so-called Hurst effect remains an open problem in stochastic hydrology. Until now, its existence has been explained fly R/S analysis that roots in early work of the British hydrologist H.E. Hurst(1951). Today, the Hurst analysis is mostly used for the hydrological studies for memory and characteristics of time series and many methodologies have been developed for the analysis. So, there are many different techniques for the estimation of the Hurst exponent(H). However, the techniques can produce different characteristics for the persistence of a time series each other. We found that DFA is the most appropriate technique for the Hurst exponent estimation for both the shot term memory and long term memory. We analyze the SOI(Southern Oscillations Index) and 6 tree-ring series for USA sites by means of DFA and the BDS statistic is used for nonlinearity test of the series. From the results, we found that SOI series is nonlinear time series which has a long term memory of H=0.92. Contrary to earlier work of Rao(1999), all the tree- ring series are not random from our analysis. A certain tree ring series show a long term memory of H=0.97 and nonlinear property. Therefore, we can say that the SOI and tree-ring series may show long memory and nonlinearity.

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Application and Effect of the Five Dimensional Education -Focusing on Freshmen Student of College of Nursing- (5차원 전면교육 프로그램의 적용 및 효과 -간호대학 신입생을 대상으로-)

  • BAE, Ik-Lyul;Heo, Myoung-Lyun;Ahn, Eun-kyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 2016
  • This study was conducted to apply five dimensional education to help nursing students adjust to college life, decease study stress and to raise personal characters, and to check its effects on DQ, self-esteem, and self-efficacy. This study was designed with a single group and pre-and-post test. The program was designed to evenly improve the five dimensions of mental ability, physical ability, intellectual ability, self-management, and personal guide. The program was then run for a total of 28 sessions, twice a week. The program was applied from March to December 2014 and data were collected before the program and after its completion. The participants were 288 students who agreed to participate in the study among freshmen at a nursing college located in K city. The collected data were evaluated by frequency analysis, t-test, and ANOVA. The results revealed that self-esteem, self-efficacy and intellectual ability among DQ increased significantly. These findings suggest that the five dimensional education program enhances self-esteem and self-efficacy, thereby helping nursing students adjust to college life and to decrease study stress. To enhance the five dimensional education program to improve personal characteristics, it is necessary to increase sessions and supplement management inducing participation.