• Title/Summary/Keyword: 행운

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창업 기회 역량에 관한 연구 - 행운 신념과 우연기술을 중심으로

  • Kim, Hong-Tae;Hwang, Bo-Yun
    • 한국벤처창업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2017.04a
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    • pp.30-30
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    • 2017
  • 성공한 창업가들이나 저명인사들에게 성공의 요인을 물어보면 운이 좋았다고 이야기를 한다. 새해가 되면 신년 운세를 보거나 중요한 사업에 대한 의사결정을 앞두고 운세를 알아보는 사람도 많다. 우리나라뿐만 아니라 토머스 J. 스탠리가 20년간 백만장자 733명을 분석하여 저술한 <부자들의 선택>을 보더라도, 백만장자의 12%가 자신들의 경제적 성공요인으로 '운'을 뽑았다. 하지만 현실적으로 지배적인 개념임에도 불구하고 그동안 행운에 대한 과학적 검증이 많지 않았다. 운에 대한 전통적인 관점은 운을 외부 요인으로 보고 무작위하고 통제 불가능하다고 보았기 때문이다. 통제가 불가능하기 때문에 미래를 예측 하는 데에 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 간주하고 있었다. 행운은 운명처럼 정해져있는 것일까? 왜 운이 좋은 사람들은 자신에게 유리한 기회를 잘 인지하고 포착하는 것일까? 현실 속에 운이라는 개념이 존재한다면 이런 현상이 벌어지는 이유에 대해 과학적 탐구가 필요할 것이다. 본 연구에서는 행운은 외부 환경에 의해서 무작위로 정해지는 것이 아니라 개인의 내적 속성으로 운을 통제 할 수 있다는 것으로 보았다. 행운에 대한 신념이 있는 사람은 우연한 사건에 대해 우연기술을 통하여 기회역량을 높일 수 있다는 것을 검증하고자 한다. 이를 검증하기 위하여 총 332명을 대상으로 설문조사를 실시하였고 행운의 신념이 우연기술의 매개역할로 창업 기회 역량에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 분석결과 첫째, 행운의 신념은 기회 역량에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 행운의 신념은 우연기술의 하위요인인 호기심, 인내성, 유연성, 낙관성, 위험감수 모두에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 우연기술의 하위요인 중 인내성, 낙관성, 위험감수만이 기회역량에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것을 나타났다. 넷째, 우연기술의 하위요인인 인내성, 낙관성, 위험감수는 행운신념과 기회역량의 관계에서 매개효과가 있다고 판단할 수 있었다. 본 연구는 행운에 대한 높은 신념을 갖고 우연 기술을 더 개발한다면 창업 기회 역량을 더 높일 수 있음을 시사한다.

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The Effects of Luck in Belief and Positive Cognitive Bias on Entrepreneurial Self-Efficacy (행운신념이 긍정적 인지편향과 창업효능감에 미치는 영향)

  • Ha, Hwan Ho;Byun, Chung Gyu
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.33-44
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    • 2023
  • Entrepreneurial self-efficacy is an important variable that explains people's attitudes and behaviors toward start-ups. In this study, we focused on individual psychological characteristics variables such as luck in belief and positive cognitive bias that affect entrepreneurial self-efficacy. Among these variables, we paid particular attention to luck in belief. The belief that business success depends on luck is widespread, but scientific verification about it has not been much. The reason for the academic indifference is that luck is a kind of superstition, related to precognition or extrasensory perception, and randomly caused by the external environment. The study of luck began in earnest as a measure to measure luck as an individual characteristic variable such as personality was developed. The purpose of this study is to examine the existing studies on luck in belief and to examine the effect of this luck in belief on positive cognitive bias and entrepreneurial self-efficacy through empirical analysis. For empirical analysis, this study conducted an on-line survey of 400 ordinary people and conducted a structural equation model analysis using AMOS 21.0 to verify the hypothesis. As a result of hypothesis testing, all hypotheses that luck in belief would have a positive effect on positive cognitive bias(self-enhancement bias, illusion of control bias, unrealism optimistic bias) were adopted. The hypothesis that positive cognitive bias(self-enhancement bias, illusion of control bias, unrealistic optimism bias) will have a positive effect on entrepreneurial self-efficacy was also adopted. Additional analysis was conducted to examine the mediating role of positive cognitive bias in the relationship between luck in belief and entrepreneurial self-efficacy, which showed that 'luck in belief→positive cognitive bias →entrepreneurial self-efficacy' were statistically significant. Through this, we confirmed the mediating effect of positive cognitive bias in the relationship between luck in belief and entrepreneurial self-efficacy. In the conclusion, the implications and limitations of the study were presented based on the results of this study.

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The Effect of Good and Bad Luck on Reasoning (행운과 불운이 추론에 미치는 효과)

  • Lee, Byung-Kwan;Lee, Guk-Hee
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.39-48
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    • 2014
  • Good and bad luck is an important factor that frequently affects human information processing. However, in spite of its significance, few studies have been done to examine how good and bad luck influences information processing and reasoning. The current research was performed to explore the effect of good and bad luck on reasoning and, for this, two experiments were conducted. In experiment 1, participants were primed with good or bad luck and were asked to make an inference for a given murder case and include as many as clues for it, while in experiment 2, participants were asked to exclude as many as clues for the same murder case. Results show that, in experiment 1, participants who were primed with good luck included more clues than those who were primed with bad luck. However, in Experiment 2, it was found that participants who were primed with bad luck excluded more clues than those who were primed with good luck. Findings from this study indicate that priming good luck enhances holistic thinking which leads to including more and excluding less clues whereas priming bad luck increases analytic thinking which leads to including less and excluding more clues. Implications of this study for inference and decision making, consumer behavior, and addict psychology are discussed.

Meditating effect of Planned Happenstance Skills between the Belief in Good luck and Entrepreneurial Opportunity (행운에 대한 신념과 창업 기회 역량과의 관계에서 우연기술의 매개효과에 관한 연구)

  • Hwangbo, Yun;Kim, YoungJun;Kim, Hong-Tae
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.79-92
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    • 2019
  • When asked about the success factors of successful entrepreneurs and celebrities, he says he was lucky. The remarkable fact is that the attitude about luck is different. However, despite the fact that the belief that we believe is lucky is actually a dominant concept, there has not been much scientific verification of luck. In this study, we saw good luck not being determined randomly by the external environment, but by being able to control luck through the internal attributes of individuals. This study is significant that we have empirically elucidated what kind of efforts have gained good luck, whereas previous research has largely ended in vague logic where luck ends up with an internal locus of control among internal entrepreneurial qualities and efforts can make a successful entrepreneur. We introduced the concept of good luck belief to avoid confirmation bias, which is, to interpret my experience in a direction that matches what I want to believe, and used a good luck belief questionnaire in previous studies and tried to verify that those who have a good belief can increase entrepreneurial opportunity capability through planned happenstance skills. The reason for choosing the entrepreneurial opportunity capacity as a dependent variable was based on the conventional research, that is, the process of recognizing and exploiting the entrepreneurial opportunity is an important part of the entrepreneurship research For empirical research, we conducted a questionnaire survey of a total of 332 people, and the results of the analysis turned out that the belief of good luck has all the positive impacts of planned happenstance skills' sub-factors: curiosity, patience, flexibility, optimism and risk tolerance. Second, we have shown that only the perseverance, optimism, and risk tolerance of planned happenstance skills' sub-factors have a positive impact on this opportunity capability. Thirdly, it was possible to judge that the sub-factors of planned happenstance skills, patience, optimism, and risk tolerance, had a meditating effect between belief in luck and entrepreneurial opportunity capability. This study is highly significant in logically elucidating that people in charge of business incubation and education can get the specific direction when planning a training program for successful entrepreneur to further enhance the entrepreneurial opportunity ability, which is an important ability for the entrepreneur's success.

The Effect of Good and Bad Luck on Attention to Background versus Object: An Exploratory Study (행운과 불운이 배경 대 대상에 대한 주의에 미치는 효과: 탐색적 연구)

  • Lee, Byung-Kwan;Lee, Guk-Hee
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.35-48
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    • 2015
  • It is frequently found in daily life that people who experience good luck as lottery winners try to improve their background (e.g., home, car) but it has not been empirically validated why they do that. Present research attempts to explore the prediction that people who experience good luck expand the scope of attention to background and those who undergo bad luck shrink the scope of attention to adjacent objects. Findings from Experiment 1a indicate that participants who experienced good luck (won the rock-paper-scissors game) paid more attention to background and performed worse in the "find the hidden picture" (below FHP) task while those who underwent bad luck (lost the rock-paper-scissors game) paid more attention to objects, leading to better performance in the FHP task. It is also found in Experiment 1a that, if people washed their hands after experiencing good or bad luck, the opposite result occurred. Experiment 1b confirmed that the rock-paper-scissor game manipulated good and bad luck successfully and did not influence self-control. Experiment 2 shows that people who strongly believe in good luck performed poorly in FHP task while those who do not believe in good luck performed well in FHP task. Overall, three experiments support the proposed research hypotheses. Implications of the study findings for cognitive psychology and related fields including consumer and sports psychology are discussed.

The Interaction Effect of Luck Experience and Hand Washing on Variety Seeking Behavior (운 경험과 손 씻기의 상호작용이 다양성 추구 행동에 미치는 효과)

  • Yang, Deok-Mo;Lee, Guk-Hee;Lee, Byung-Kwan
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2017
  • Although previous studies have emphasized factors affecting people's variety-seeking behavior, research has not been performed to examine the interaction effect of good-bad luck and embodied cognition (hand washing) on variety-seeking behavior. Experience of good and bad luck affects consumer information processing and hand washing is known to reverse the experience of luck. Understanding the interaction effect of good/bad luck and hand washing on variety seeking behavior will shed important light on consumer behavior including choice and product purchase. To do this, a study was performed to investigate the effects of good/bad luck priming and hand washing on variety seeking behavior. Participants were primed with good or bad luck and then were asked to either wash their hands or not. After that, they were led to choose yogurt for the next seven days and the dependent measure was the number of different tastes of yogurt participants picked up. An interaction effect of luck priming and hand washing was found. Results indicate that, in good luck condition, there was no difference in variety seeking behavior between hand washing participants and non-hand washing participants. However, in bad luck condition, hand washing participants chose less diverse tastes of yogurt than non-hand washing participants. Implications of the study findings for the field of consumer psychology and marketing are discussed.

The Exploratory Study for the Effect of Good and Bad Luck on Risky Decision: Perspective of Probabilistic Framing Effect (행운과 불운이 모험적 의사결정에 미치는 효과에 대한 탐색적 연구: 확률적 틀 효과의 관점에서)

  • Lee, Byung-Kwan;Lee, Guk-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.279-300
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    • 2015
  • Present research was carried out on the level of exploration to verify that good luck increases probabilistic framing effect but bad luck decrease the effect. And we organized an experiment that designed experience of luck (good luck vs. bad luck vs. control) ${\times}$ probabilistic frame (high vs. low) and observed whether people response based on probabilistic frame or not. As a result, we observed the two-way interaction where experience of good luck increased probabilistic framing effect, while experience of bad luck decreased the effect (Figure 1). We expect to see more studies of contextual framing effect besides probabilistic frame (e.g., positive vs. negative; loss related to context vs. loss irrelevant to context).