• Title/Summary/Keyword: 해수면 변화

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Study for Estimation of Maximum Precipitation using Numerical Weather Model (수치 기상 모형을 이용한 최대 강수량 산정에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Jeonghoon;Kim, Sangdan
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.235-235
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    • 2016
  • 댐이나 홍수방지시설과 같은 대규모 수공구조물의 설계 및 평가에는 주로 가능최대강수량(Probable Maximum Precipitation, PMP)가 적용되고 있다. 이러한 PMP의 산정은 관측자료의 정상성 가정을 기반으로 하기 때문에 기후변화와 같은 비정상성을 고려할 수 없다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 극복하기 위해 대기 프로세스의 비정상성 효과를 반영할 수 있는 물리적 기반의 수치 기상 모형(Numerical Weather Model)을 이용하여 최대강수량(Maximum Precipitation, MP)을 산정하는 접근법을 제시하고자 한다. 사례 연구로 대상 극한 강우사상을 식별하고, 식별된 사상들은 지역 대기 모형 중 하나인 WRF를 이용하여 재현된다. 이때, 한국 내의 약 650개의 AWS 자료와 NCEP에서 제공하는 전세계 기상관측자료 및 해수면 온도 자료를 사용하여 초기조건과 경계조건을 개선하고, 총 강수량과 강우의 공간적인 분포를 재현하기 위한 최적 물리옵션을 찾기 위해 다양한 수치실험이 수행된다. 최종적으로 재현된 극한 강우사상은 모형의 경계조건과 수분 최대화의 통해 최대화되어 물리적으로 가능한 최대 강수량을 산정하게 된다. 본 연구는 제한된 강우사상을 대상으로 최대 강수량을 산정하였기 때문에 추후 다양한 강우사상에 대한 연구와 강우의 최대화에 대한 보완이 필요하지만, 정상성 가정에 의존하지 않는 극한 강우사상 산정에 잠재적인 대안이 될 것이라 기대된다.

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Development of River Water Level Prediction Model Based on Artificial Intelligence for Independent Flood Alert (독립적 하천홍수경보를 위한 인공지능기반 하천수위예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Sooyoung;Kim, Hyung-Jun;Kim, Boram;Yoon, Kwang Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.328-328
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    • 2021
  • 최근 전 지구적인 기후변화의 영향은 강우량의 집중을 야기하며 홍수피해의 규모를 증가시키는 영향을 끼친다. 특히, 아세안 국가들은 해수면 상승, 태풍 및 집중호우에 의한 침수피해 빈발로 최소 2,000만명이 영향을 받고 있다. 국내의 홍수예보모형을 수출하여 아세안 국가에 구축하고 있으나 통신 시설이 불안정하여 중앙제어 방식의 기존의 홍수예보시스템만으로는 긴급상황에 대한 대처가 부족할 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 하나의 관측소에서 수위, 강우의 관측과 홍수예측, 경보까지 한번에 가능한 관측소를 개발하기 위해 관측된 수위와 강우자료를 활용하여 인공지능기반의 하천수위예측 모형을 개발하였다. 목표 리드타임은 30분에서 6시간으로 설정하였으며 모형은 Tensorflow로 구축하였다. 시계열 자료의 예측에 적합한 LSTM 기법을 적용하였다. 연구의 대상지역은 건설연의 계측시험유역인 설마천유역으로 하였으며 학습에는 2009년부터 2020년까지의 10분 단위 수위 및 강우량자료를 활용하였다. 연구결과 설마천 유역은 규모가 작고 도달시간이 짧아 1시간 후 예측까지는 높은 정확도를 나타냈으나 3시간 이상의 예측결과는 다소 낮게 평가되었다. 다만, 비상상황에서 통신이 두절된 상황에서 위급하게 대피를 위해 홍수경보를 발령하는데는 활용이 가능 할 것으로 판단된다.

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'EcoMoneyna' Community Platform that induces Eco-Friendly Practices (친환경 실천을 유도하는 커뮤니티 플랫폼 : '에코머니나')

  • Kyong Ah Kim;Ji Sim Kim;You Jung Ahn;Dong Hwan Kim;Yeong Jin Yoon;Jae Won Lee;Hyun A Hwang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2023.07a
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    • pp.655-656
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    • 2023
  • 지구 환경 위기가 날이 갈수록 가시화되어가고 있다. 국가 차원의 노력에도 불구하고 지구의 온도는 지속해서 오르고 있고, 해수면 상승 속도 또한 가속화되고 있다. 환경 보호의 중요성은 과거에도 중요했지만, 최근 생태계와 기후의 변화가 급속도로 진행되면서 훨씬 더 무게를 가지게 되었다. 본 논문은 이러한 환경 위기를 극복하기 위해 플로깅 매칭 시스템, 환경 실천 인증 SNS, 환경 퀴즈 등 환경 보호에 도움을 주는 기능들을 집합시킨 친환경 커뮤니티 플랫폼으로 개발하였다. 또한 이러한 활동을 할 때마다 사용자들에게 포인트를 지급하여 애플리케이션을 꾸준히 사용하도록 유도한다. 이를 통해 친환경에 대한 관심을 고취하고 결과적으로는 사용자로 하여 환경 보호를 자발적으로 지속하는 상태로 만드는 것을 목표로 한다.

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A Study on the Introduction of Impact Assessment System for Coastal Erosion (연안침식영향평가 제도 도입방안 연구)

  • Bum Shik Shin;Hyun Hwa Shin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.87-93
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the impact of climate change with sea levels rise, abnormal high waves, and continuous construction of artificial structures such as ports and harbors, has led to an increasing trend in coastal erosion. In this study, the scope and method of Environmental Impact Assessment, Utilization of Sea Areas, Disaster Impact Assessment, and Risk Assessment of Coastal Disasters System, which are carried out during development projects and erosion reduction projects carried out on the coast, are analyzed to identify each problem. , we proposed a plan to introduce the Impact Assessment System for Coastal Erosion, which can minimize the impact of coastal erosion by deriving improvement measures.

Satellite-altimeter-derived East Sea Surface Currents: Estimation, Description and Variability Pattern (인공위성 고도계 자료로 추정한 동해 표층해류와 공간분포 변동성)

  • Choi, Byoung-Ju;Byun, Do-Seong;Lee, Kang-Ho
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.225-242
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    • 2012
  • This is the first attempt to produce simultaneous surface current field from satellite altimeter data for the entire East Sea and to provide surface current information to users with formal description. It is possible to estimate surface geostrophic current field in near real-time because satellite altimeters and coastal tide gauges supply sea level data for the whole East Sea. Strength and location of the major currents and meso-scale eddies can be identified from the estimated surface geostrophic current field. The mean locations of major surface currents were explicated relative to topographic, ocean-surface and undersea features with schematic representation of surface circulation. In order to demonstrate the practical use of this surface current information, exemplary descriptions of annual, seasonal and monthly mean surface geostrophic current distributions were presented. In order to objectively classify surface circulation patterns in the East Sea, empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis was performed on the estimated 16-year (1993-2008) surface current data. The first mode was associated with intensification or weakening of the East Korea Warm Current (EKWC) flowing northward along the east coast of Korea and of the anti-cyclonic circulation southwest of Yamato Basin. The second mode was associated with meandering paths of the EKWC in the southern East Sea with wavelength of 300 km. The first and second modes had inter-annual variations. The East Sea surface circulation was classified as inertial boundary current pattern, Tsushima Warm Current pattern, meandering pattern, and Offshore Branch pattern by the time coefficient of the first two EOF modes.

An Efficient Interferometric Radar Altimeter (IRA) Signal Processing to Extract Precise Three-dimensional Ground Coordinates (정밀 3차원 지상좌표 추출을 위한 IRA의 효율적인 신호처리 기법)

  • Lee, Dong-Taek;Jung, Hyung-Sup;Yoon, Geun-Won
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.507-520
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    • 2011
  • Conventional radar altimeter system measured directly the distance between the satellite and the ocean surface and frequently used by aircraft for approach and landing. The radar altimeter is good at flat surface like sea whereas it is difficult to determine precise three dimensional ground coordinates because the ground surface, unlike ocean, is very indented. To overcome this drawback of the radar altimeter, we have developed and validated the interferometric radar altimeter signal processing which is combined with new synthetic aperture and interferometric signal processing algorithm to extract precise three-dimensional ground coordinates. The proposed algorithm can accurately measure the three dimensional ground coordinates using three antennas. In a set of 70 simulations, the averages of errors in x, y and z directions were approximately -0.40 m, -0.02 m and 4.22 m, respectively and the RMSEs were about 3.40 m, 0.30 m and 6.20 m, respectively. The overall results represent that the proposed algorithm is effective for accurate three dimensional ground positioning.

Paleoclimatic Implication of Cave Speleothems in the Submerged Parts of the Seongnyu Cave, Republic of Korea (성류굴 내 호수구간의 수중통로에서 발견되는 동굴생성물의 고기후적 의미)

  • Kim, Ryeon;Woo, Kyung-Sik;Kim, Bong-Hyeon;Park, Jae-Suk;Park, Hun-Young;Jeong, Hee-Jeong;Lee, Jong-Hee
    • The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 2010
  • Seongnyu Cave have developed along the NE-SW direction in carbonate rocks of the Joseon Supergroup. The cave mostly shows horizontal passages and contains three lakes. The main passage is about 330 m long with 540 m-long branches, thus the total length of the cave is about 870 m. Through cave diving, about 85 m-long new passages were discovered. Numerous speleothems such as soda straws, stalactites, stalagmites, columns, flowstones, rimstones, cave shields, cave corals, curtains (and bacon sheets), cave pearls, cave flowers, helictites and calcite rafts can be found in the cave. Especially, some speleothems which were believed to have grown in the past were discovered in the submerged passage, and a few stalactites, stalagmites, flowstones and columns were eroded (or corroded) by the cave stream that flowed on the floor. Because these speleothems only grow in subaerial environments within limestone caves, it appears that they grew when there was no lake in the cave and became submerged as the lake level rose in the cave. The presence of these speleothems in the lakes indicate that they only grew during glacial periods when sea-level was lower. Therefore, detailed investigation of these speleothems will provide invaluable information on paleoclimatic evolution around the Korean peninsula in the future.

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Pacific Sea Level Variability associated with Climate Variability from Altimetry and Sea Level Reconstruction Data (위성 고도계와 해수면 재구성 자료를 이용한 기후변동성에 따른 태평양 해수면 변화)

  • Cha, Sang-Chul;Moon, Jae-Hong
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2018
  • Previous studies have indicated a great regional difference in Sea Level Rise (SLR) in the Pacific and it has been suggested that this is linked to climate variability over the past two decades. In this study, we seek to identify the possible linkage between regional sea level and Pacific climate variability from altimetry-based sea level data (1993-2012) and further investigate how the Pacific sea level has changed spatially and temporally over the past 60 years from long-term sea level reconstruction data (1953-2008). Based on the same method as Zhang and Church (2012), the Inter-annual Climate Index (ICI) associated with the El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o-Southern$ Oscillation (ENSO) and the Decadal Climate Index (DCI) associated with Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) are defined and then the multiple variable linear regression is used to analyze quantitatively the impact of inter-annual and decadal climate variability on the regional sea levels in the Pacific. During the altimeter period, the ICI that represents ENSO influence on inter-annual time scales strongly impacts in a striking east-west "see-saw mode" on sea levels across the tropical Pacific. On the other hand, the decadal sea level pattern that is linked to the DCI has a broad meridional structure that is roughly symmetric in the equator with its North Pacific expression being similar to the PDO, which largely contributes to a positive SLR trend in the western Pacific and a negative trend in the eastern Pacific over the two most recent decades. Using long-term sea level reconstruction data, we found that the Pacific sea levels have fluctuated in the past over inter-annual and decadal time scales and that strong regional differences are presented. Of particular interest is that the SLR reveals a decadal shift and presents an opposite trend before and after the mid-1980s; i.e., a declining (rising) trend in the western (eastern) Pacific before the mid-1980s, followed by a rising (declining) trend from the mid-1980s onward in the western (eastern) Pacific. This result indicates that the recent SLR patterns revealed from the altimeters have been persistent at least since the mid-1980s.

Late Quaternary Seismic Stratigraphy and Sedimentation of the Southeastern Continental Shelf, Korea Strait (한국 남동해역(대한해협) 대륙붕지역의 후 제4기 탄성파 층서 및 퇴적작용)

  • Yoo Dong-Geun;Lee Chi-Won;Min Gun-Hong;Lee Ho-Young;Choi Joung-Gyu;Park Soo-Chul
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.201-206
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    • 2005
  • Interpretation of high-resolution seismic profiles from the southeastern continental shelf of Korea reveals that the sedimentary deposits consist of seven seismic units formed during the late Quaternary. These units comprise lowstand, transgressive, and highstand systems tracts. The lowstand systems tract consists of a lowstand prograding wedge (SU1) and a mass flow deposit (SU2) including slumps and slides. The transgressive systems tract contains four seismic units: an ancient beach/shoreface deposit (SU3), a channel-fill deposit (SU4), a transgressive sand layer (SU5), and a transgressive sand ridge (SU6). The highstand systems tract consists of an inner-shelf mud deposit (SU7) derived from the Nakdong and Seomjin rivers during the last 6 ka when sea level was close to the present level.

An Approach for the Antarctic Polar Front Detection and an Analysis for itsVariability (남극 극 전선 탐지를 위한 접근법과 변동성에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Jinku;Kim, Hyun-cheol;Hwang, Jihyun;Bae, Dukwon;Jo, Young-Heon
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_2
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    • pp.1179-1192
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    • 2018
  • In order to detect the Antarctic Polar Front (PF) among the main fronts in the Southern Ocean, this study is based on the combinations of satellite-based sea surface temperature (SST) and height (SSH) observations. For accurate PF detection, we classified the signals as front or non-front grids based on the Bayesian decision theory from daily SST and SSH datasets, and then spatio-temporal synthesis has been performed to remove primary noises and to supplement geographical connectivity of the front grids. In addition, sea ice and coastal masking were employed in order to remove the noise that still remains even after performing the processes and morphology operations. Finally, we selected only the southernmost grids, which can be considered as fronts and determined as the monthly PF by a linear smoothing spline optimization method. The mean positions of PF in this study are very similar to those of the PFs reported by the previous studies, and it is likely to be well represents PF formation along the bottom topography known as one of the major influences of the PF maintenance. The seasonal variation in the positions of PF is high in the Ross Sea sector (${\sim}180^{\circ}W$), and Australia sector ($120^{\circ}E-140^{\circ}E$), and these variations are quite similar to the previous studies. Therefore, it is expected that the detection approach for the PF position applied in this study and the final composite have a value that can be used in related research to be carried out on the long term time-scale.