• Title/Summary/Keyword: 합리적 선정

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Correlation Analysis Between Online Public Opinion and Stock Price (SNS 여론과 주가지수의 상관관계 분석)

  • Hyun-Ji Kim;Sung-Ju Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.394-395
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    • 2023
  • "이성적이며 이상적인 합리적 인간"을 가정하는 기존 경제학의 이론이 항상 실제 상황과 일치하지는 않는 것으로 알려져 있다. 이의 대안으로 나온 행동경제학은, 인간의 경제적 의사결정에 심리, 인지, 감정, 사회문화적 배경 등이 영향을 미친다고 본다. 본 연구에서는 행동경제학에 의거하여, 개인의 감정과 경험이 경제적 의사결정에 영향을 미치는지 여부를 빅데이터 모델을 활용하여 분석하였다. SNS 여론으로는 Reddit, 주가지수로는 S&P 500 을 선정하였다. 수집한 텍스트 데이터를 전처리와 감정분석을 통해 독립변수 값으로 사용했고, 주가지수 등락의 방향성을 종속변수로 사용하여 로지스틱 모형을 구성했다. 모델을 활용하여 분석한 결과 Public sentiment 와 Market sentiment 간 양의 상관관계를 확인할 수 있었다. 또한, lag 를 설정하는 모델이 정확도가 더욱 높음을 확인해, 기존 경제학의 EMH 와 대립되는 바를 확인할 수 있었다. 하지만 최적의 lag 산정을 위해, 더 광범위한 데이터를 바탕으로 한 후속연구가 필요하다.

Emotion and Sensibility Engineering Appraisal Methodology for Selecting FormFactor in Early Mobile Phone Design (휴대전화 초기설계에서 형태인자 선정에 대한 감성공학 평가방법론)

  • Cha Sung-Woon;Lee Kyung-Soo;Cho Hyun-Seung;Kim Min-Soo
    • Science of Emotion and Sensibility
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2006
  • In the planning stage of mobile phone development, one of the most important considerations is to select a FormFactor properly to determine the strategy and Purpose of a Product. Up to now, the FormFactor has been selected only by intuitional and qualitative methods. In this study, the Appraisal Methodology using Sensibility Adjectives of Emotion and Sensibility Engineering was presented to suggest the systematic and rational framework in the field of FormFactor selection. First, we verified the conceptual FormFactors with Axiomatic Design and classified the Sensibility Adjectives into the verified FormFactors. When the FormFactor and classified Design Parameters (DP) were given to a designer, the designer implemented the preliminary designs and they were assessed and analyzed by the survey. With these processes, we were able to select the proper designs for FormFactors which were fit for the purpose of a product. This was caused by connecting the Axiomatic Design and tile Sensibility Adjectives. This study gave the possibilities that can be spread to the selection factors, except for the FormFactor, from now on.

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A preliminary study on the use of analytic hierarchy process for selecting a optimum trenchless excavation method (최적의 비개착공법 선정을 위한 계층분석법의 적용에 관한 기초연구)

  • Kang, Tae-Ho;Chang, Soo-Ho;Choi, Soon-Wook;Lee, Chulho;Cho, Jinwoo
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.685-693
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    • 2015
  • There have been high demands for urban underground structures. However, they should be rapidly constructed while maintaining the functions of adjacent structures and road systems especially in urban areas. In this respect, trenchless excavation methods are considered to very effective in minimizing ground displacements during excavation works. A variety of field conditions such as economic, technical and environmental aspects should be taken into consideration when an optimum trechless excavation method is to be chosen in a given condition. Therefore, this study aims to carry out a fundamental study to select an optimum trenchless excavation method by the decision making technique. Especially, AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) which is a kind of a multiple attribute decision making process is adopted to consider the opinions of experts and to derive reliable decision criteria. As a result, the weights of key factors and the most effective trenchless methods for different ground conditions were proposed in this study.

An Analysis on Determinants of the Capesize Freight Rate and Forecasting Models (케이프선 시장 운임의 결정요인 및 운임예측 모형 분석)

  • Lim, Sang-Seop;Yun, Hee-Sung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.539-545
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    • 2018
  • In recent years, research on shipping market forecasting with the employment of non-linear AI models has attracted significant interest. In previous studies, input variables were selected with reference to past papers or by relying on the intuitions of the researchers. This paper attempts to address this issue by applying the stepwise regression model and the random forest model to the Cape-size bulk carrier market. The Cape market was selected due to the simplicity of its supply and demand structure. The preliminary selection of the determinants resulted in 16 variables. In the next stage, 8 features from the stepwise regression model and 10 features from the random forest model were screened as important determinants. The chosen variables were used to test both models. Based on the analysis of the models, it was observed that the random forest model outperforms the stepwise regression model. This research is significant because it provides a scientific basis which can be used to find the determinants in shipping market forecasting, and utilize a machine-learning model in the process. The results of this research can be used to enhance the decisions of chartering desks by offering a guideline for market analysis.

A Method for Selecting AI Innovation Projects in the Enterprise: Case Study of HR part (기업의 혁신 프로젝트 선정을 위한 모폴로지-AHP-TOPSIS 모형: HR 분야 사례 연구)

  • Chung Doohee;Lee Jaeyun;Kim Taehee
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.159-174
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we proposed a methodology to effectively determine the selection and prioritization of new business and innovation projects using AI technology. AI technology is a technology that can upgrade the business of companies in various industries and increase the added value of the entire industry. However, there are various constraints and difficulties in the decision-making process of selecting and implementing AI projects in the enterprise. In this paper, we propose a new methodology for prioritizing AI projects using Morphology, AHP, and TOPSIS. The proposed methodology helps prioritize AI projects by simultaneously considering the technical feasibility of AI technology and real-world user requirements. In this study, we applied the proposal methodology to a real enterprise that wanted to prioritize multiple AI projects in the HR field and evaluated the results. The results confirm the practical applicability of the methodology and suggest ways to use it to help companies make decisions about AI projects. The significance of the methodology proposed in this study is that it is a framework for prioritizing multiple AI projects considered by a company in the most reasonable way by considering both business and technical factors at the same time.

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Analysis of Numerical Unstable Factors in Channel Routing Model (하도추적모형의 수치적 불안정성 요인 분석)

  • Lee, Eul-Rae;Lee, Geun-Sang;Kim, Young-Sung;Hwang, Eui-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.775-779
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    • 2009
  • 최근 이상기후 및 국지성 돌발호우 등 여러 가지 형태의 예기치 못한 기상이변으로 인하여 매년 수재해는 빈번히 발생하고 있으며, 이를 위해 하천에서 실시간으로 신속하고 안정성있는 수리학적 하도추적모형의 구축은 지속적으로 연구해야 할 사항이다. 현재 주요 수계 홍수통제소에서는 홍수예보를 위해 주로 수리학적 및 수문학적 모형이 병행되어 적용되고 있으나, 한강과 금강하류를 제외한 나머지 수계에서는 아직까지 개념적 수문학적 모형만을 이용하여 홍수예보를 수행하고 있는 실정이다. 그러나, 신속하고 안정적인 수문학적 모형이 가지고 있는 몇가지 장점에도 불구하고, 실시간 분석 및 신속한 상황대처를 위해서는 정교한 하천흐름해석 기술인 수리학적분석이 반드시 필요하다. 그러나, 대부분의 모형운영자가 직면하게 되는 수리학적 하도추적모형에서 발생하는 수치적 불안정성인 발산의 문제점은 상당한 어려움으로 작용하고 있다. 이는 다양한 원인들이 있을 수 있으나, 대표적으로 단면의 불규칙성을 고려할 수 있다. 실제단면들을 모형에 반영할 때 수치계산의 과정 중에 급확대/급축소/특이단면에 따른 잦은 발산이 발생하게 되며, 이를 방지하기 위해서 단면의 보간 및 평활화 작업 등을 수행하게 된다. 이때 단면의 형상을 최대한 반영한 보간 및 평활화 작업이 되지 않으면, 물리적 개념이 무시된 비합리적인 계산이 수행될 수 있다. 발산의 요인을 제거한 최적의 단면형태를 선정하는 것은 모형의 안정성을 확보하는 데 중요한 요인이 된다. 또한 모형수행에 있어 발산의 요인으로서 하구와 만나게 되는 지점에서의 경계조건으로서 조위영향이 있다. 수리학적 하도추적모형의 중요한 요인인 하구에서의 흐름을 조위와 연계하여 가장 합리적인 하류 경계조건을 제시하는 것이 모형의 발산 방지 및 정확도를 향상시키는데 중요한 인자로 작용하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 수리학적 하도추적모형의 안정성 검증을 위하여, 아직까지 수리학적 하도추적모형이 구축되어 있지 않는, 금강상류구간인 용담댐$^{\sim}$대청댐구간을 설정하여 수리학적 모형의 입력자료를 구축하고, 그에 따른 영향검토를 지속적으로 추진할 계획이다. 대상구간에서 향후 검증될 다양한 수리학적 안정화 기술은 향후 타 수계에서 적용시, 신속하고 합리적인 입력자료 구축에 많은 도움을 줄것이며, 현재 하천에서 발생하는 계산의 불안정성을 빠르게 수정하는 것이 가능하다.

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Risk-based Decision Model to Estimate the Contingency for Large Construction Projects (리스크 분석에 기초한 대형건설공사의 예비비 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Du-Yon;Han Goo-Soo;Han Seung-Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.485-490
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    • 2003
  • Nowadays the rapid change in construction environment getting more globalized and complicated has caused lots of unexpected risks from inside and out of the country, so more sophisticated construction management strategies are being strongly needed. This paper suggests a risk management model with which we can estimate the appropriate contingency by quantifying the amount of probable risks immanent in large construction projects, which have a high degree of uncertainty in the anticipation of the total construction cost. To develop the model, the risk factors that make cost variations are elicited based on the real data of the contingencies assigned to the past projects. Furthermore, the influential relationship of risk factors is structured by applying the CRM(Cost Risk Model) which is the synthetic model of Monte Carlo Simulation, Influence Diagram and Decision Tree. The ultimate outcome of this research can by validated by tile case study with a large construction project performed.

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Open Market Sales Trend Analysis System Using Online Shopping Mall Data (온라인 쇼핑몰 데이터를 활용한 판매동향 분석 시스템)

  • Cha, Seung-yeon;Kim, Kang-ryeol;Shrestha, Labina;Kim, Yeong-ju;Choi, Jongmyung
    • Journal of Internet of Things and Convergence
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.7-13
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    • 2019
  • As online shopping is activated by the development of the Internet, consumers' purchase form is changing from the traditional face-to-face purchase method to online purchase method. Many sellers have flowed into shopping malls, and competition among sellers is very intense. Therefore, sellers in shopping malls need to establish rational marketing strategies by analyzing consumer purchase patterns and product sales trends. In this paper, we analyzed the purchase price of consumers by analyzing the product price, rating, and sales quantity of competitors who sell the same product in open shopping malls by time zone. In addition, the collected information was visualized in a chart so that the company's and competitors' sales trends could be easily compared. Using the above system, it is possible to predict the sales volume through the analyzed purchasing pattern and to select the reasonable price of the product by grasping the sales trend.

The Study on Design of Business Paper Editing Product in Ubiquitous Environment (유비쿼터스 환경에서의 비즈니스 문서 편집 기기 디자인에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Su-Min;Park, Ji-Hye;Song, Ji-Won
    • 한국HCI학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.02b
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    • pp.424-429
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this research is to suggest a competitive design by producing functions and elements needed to users based on a research about device use and needs according to user behavior. We proceeded to the research aiming a design smart document-editing device design which can be used for business regardless of place (at office or home), targeting reasonable and individualistic users from twenties to thirties. By some ways for that, first, we selected target users and based on user interviews to get enough understanding for them. Second, we produced user needs by some troubles after establishing persona and deciding target users on the basis of the research. Third, we designed form-factor visualizing work, organized design spec by the produced concept, and we developed interaction design on the basis of this scenario. Fourth, we made paper prototype and conducted user test. As a result, our final design emphasizes mobile ability and simplicity to be suitable for reasonable individualism and is able to efficiently work input, editing, and output without complicated procedure. We could also prove the validity of the design through usability test.

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Analysis on Productivity of Logistics Providers - Focusing on the Warehouses Industry - (글로벌 물류기업의 경영 생산성 분석 -물류창고를 중심으로-)

  • Ohh, Won-Gewn
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.113-128
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    • 2012
  • By strengthening the market control and expanding the networks, providers of global logistics are expanding their service scope. Warehouses connects networks to between internal and external warehouses worldwide by using employees. The paper focuses on analyzing the efficiency of the top forty Global Logistics Providers. Therefore, the study classifies the factors which specify the efficiency of a total logistics industry and verified its firmness. Furthermore, the most recent published reports by Logistics Quarterly and Armstrong Association in 2012 was used in order to guarantee credibility of the study. For scope period for analysis, this study utilizes three years of materials, from 2007 to 2010. By applying the DEA Window model and Malmquist, the trend in efficiency and stableness was analyzed. Consequently, the main purpose of the paper is evaluating the efficiency. Also, analyzing its determinants and illustrating a long-term relationship between the annual turnover and the number of Industry Focus/Key Customers was used as output measures. In addition, the number of warehouses worldwide and employees worldwide, of Logistics Providers were used as input measures.