• Title/Summary/Keyword: 한반도 온난화

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The Study of Establishing the Multi-pass Eurasian Railroads (유라시아 철도의 다중경로 구축에 관한 연구)

  • Hahm, Beom-Hee;Huh, Nam-Kyun;Hurr, Hee-Young
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.137-170
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    • 2008
  • This study is presenting the logistics strategy in the international logistics markets which makes competition and corporation among north-east Asian countries to establishing the multi-pass Eurasian railroads. The countries located in north-east area of Eurasia like China, Japan, Russia and Korea are paying higher costs and disutility to the transportations and communications due to repeated conflicts and confrontations causes from the politic problems. They are being used surface transportation for most of all logistics between Europe and Asia except special merchandises because of characteristic of cargo to be air, the Silk Road remains vestige only which was main logistic passage to this area since BC. So far the Trans-Siberian Railway is being used by Russia mostly as north of Eurasian transport because of difficulties of service. The Trans-China Railway built in 1992 is not accomplishing as a international logistic passages. It is expected to take a long lead time because of characteristic of resource development and poor logistic infrastructure to the countries like Uzbekistan, double landlocked country, Mongolia and Azerbaijan, the countries do not be adjacent to the sea, even they have great economic jump-up plans through the development of their own resources. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization(SCO) start to sail officially in 2001 is constructed with China, Russia, Tadzhikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan as regular members of 6 countries and Mongolia, India, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iran as observers 5 countries. It is started as a military alliance to protect terror, but now, it is expended to cooperate with the traffic, transportation, trade and share of energies. The Russia is doing their best to activate TSR as a government target to developnorth area equivalently, and economic develop of far-east Siberia. And also it is agreed provisionally to improve and repair of rail road between Nahjin and Hassan to connect TSR and TKR( Trans-Korea Railroad) by Russia, North Korea and South Korea with Russian's aggressive efforts. The development plan of this area is over lapped with GTI(Greater Tumen Initiative) promoted by UNDP, and is a cooperated project by 5 countries of South Korea, Mongolia, China, Russia and North Korea, subject to review the appropriation of energy, tour, environment, rail road connection between Mongolia and China and establishing a ferry route to north-east Asia. It is Japanese situation to pay attention to Russia and China even they have been supplying large-scope of infrastructure in Mongol area without any charges, target to get East Asia Main Rail Road to connect Mongolia and Zalubino of Russia. In case of the program for the Denuclearization of North Korea is not creeping, it will be accelerated to connect the TKR and TSR, TKR and TCR by somehow attending United States, including developing program promoted by UN ESCAP. As the result, Korean peninsular will continue the central role of competition and cooperation as in the past, now and future of north-east Asia, as of geographical-economics and geographical-politics whether it is requested or not wanted by neighbor countries.

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Characteristics of Strong Wind Occurrence in the Southwestern Region of Korea (한반도 남서지역에서 발생한 강풍의 원인별 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Baek-Jo;Lee, Seong-Lo;Park, Gil-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2009
  • The characteristics of strong wind occurring over the southwestern part of the Korean peninsula are analyzed by using hourly mean wind data observed in Gusan, Mokpo, Yeosu and Wando from 1970 to 2008. The strong wind here is defined as wind speed of more than 13.9 m/s according to Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA)'s strong wind advisory. The causes of strong wind are classified into typhoon, monsoonal (wintertime continent polar air mass) and frontal (cyclone) winds. Typhoon wind is characterized by abrupt change of its speed and direction after and before landfall of typhoon and monsoonal wind by periodicity of wind speed. And frontal wind tend to be changed from southwesterly to northwesterly at observation site with location of frontal surface. Strong winds are mainly occurred in Yeosu by typhoon, Gusan and Mokpo by monsoonal wind, and Mokpo and Yeosu by frontal wind. In particular, in case of frontal wind, the frequency of strong wind in Mokpo decreases while in Yeosu it increases. Monthly frequency of strong wind is high in August in Mokpo and September in Yeosu by typhoon, January in Gusan and December in Mokpo by monsoonal wind, and in April in Mokpo and Yeosu by frontal wind. The duration less than 1 hour of strong wind is prominent in all stations.

Detection of Decay Leaf Using High-Resolution Satellite Data (고해상도 위성자료를 활용한 마른 잎 탐지)

  • Sim, Suyoung;Jin, Donghyun;Seong, Noh-hun;Lee, Kyeong-sang;Seo, Minji;Choi, Sungwon;Jung, Daeseong;Han, Kyung-soo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.401-410
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    • 2020
  • Recently, many studies have been conducted on the changing phenology on the Korean Peninsula due to global warming. However, because of the geographical characteristics, research on plant season in autumn, which is difficult to measure compared to spring season, is insufficient. In this study, all leaves that maple and fallen leaves were defined as 'Decay leaves' and decay leaf detection was performed based on the Landsat-8 satellite image. The first threshold value of decay leaves was calculated by using NDVI and the secondary threshold value of decay leaves was calculated using by NDWI and the difference of spectral characteristics with green leaves. POD, FAR values were used to verify accuracy of the dry leaf detection algorithm in this study, and the results showed high accuracy with POD of 98.619 and FAR of 1.203.

Estimation and Comparison of Benefits of Disaster Prevention Facilities at the Masan Port with CVM and MD-FDA (조건부가치추정법과 다차원홍수피해산정법을 이용한 마산항 재해방지시설의 편익산정 비교)

  • Seo, Inho;Shin, Seungsik
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.289-323
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    • 2013
  • This study set out to estimate and compare benefits of damage in case of storm surge at the Masan Port by using two of the most representative methodologies used to estimate benefits in port disaster prevention facility construction, namely CVM(contingent valuation method), which estimates the values of non-market goods, and MD-FDA(multi-dimensional flood damage analysis), which had usually been implemented in flood or dam projects. The benefit estimation for 30 years of costs was 2.5689 trillion won for CVM and 2.9596 trillion won for MD-FDA, which indicates that there was no big difference in benefits among disaster prevention facilities. However, in-depth testing should follow to figure out whether MD-FDA can replace CVM, which has been tested with non-market goods, when estimating the benefits of disaster prevention facilities based on those findings.

Development of an Integrated Inundation Analysis Model for Urban Flood Inundation Analysis (도시지역의 침수해석을 위한 통합침수해석모형의 개발)

  • Kim, Dong-Il;Son, Ah-Long;Son, In-Ho;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.135-135
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    • 2011
  • 지구온난화와 이상기후에 따라 최근 우리나라를 둘러싼 기후패턴의 변화가 가속화되고 있으며 한반도는 장마기간이 소강상태를 보이는 반면, 장마 후 국지성 집중호우가 증가하고 태풍이 내습하는 현상이 빈번해짐으로써 홍수에 대한 위험과 피해규모도 증가하고 있다. 특히 도시지역에서는 강우규모가 배수시스템의 용량을 초과하거나, 하천수위 상승으로 관로 내에 역류가 발생하는 등 우수 배제 기능을 제대로 수행하지 못할 경우 발생하는 지표침수로 인해 심각한 인명 및 재산피해가 발생하고 있다. 실제로 현재 홍수해석 및 홍수위험지도 작성시 내수시스템을 반영하지 않아 침수면적 및 범위의 오차가 존재하며 홍수위험지도 작성시 내수범람과 외수범람을 따로 고려하는 문제점이 있다. 따라서 도시 침수 해석시 내수시스템을 반영한 정확한 침수심 및 침수면적계산뿐만 아니라 이상기후에 대비한 복합적 요인으로 인한 침수해석이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 하천해석을 위해 1차원 하천 해석 모형인 FLDWAV모형을 적용하고 가상의 제방 파제 시나리오를 통하여 외수범람 영향을 구하였으며, 배수시스템의 SWMM모형과 제내지에서 내수와 외수범람의 영향을 고려한 DEM기반의 2차원 범람해석을 연계한 Dual-Drainage모형에 대하여 외수범람 영향에 따른 흐름의 양상, 침수심, 침수위 등을 분석하였다. 개발한 모형에 대한 적용성을 검토하기 위하여 대구 신암5동 유역을 선정하였고 대상유역의 수치지도를 활용하여 정형 격자 20m 크기로 지형자료를 구성하였으며, 건물의 영향도 고려하기 위해 DEM에 건물자료를 합성하였다. 침수해석 결과 내수시스템의 영향을 고려하지 않을 때가 고려하였을 때 보다 Node(맨홀)에서의 재유입의 영향으로 인하여 최대 침수심이 더 높게 나왔으며 침수면적도 넓게 나타나는 것을 확인하였고, 기존의 홍수위험지도 작성시 외수침수와 내수침수를 구분하여 해석하였던 것을 본 연구에서 통합하여 외수범람의 영향을 고려한 통합침수해석을 실시하여 내수에서 발생할 수 있는 유출량과 내수시스템의 월류량 등에 대한 고려가 없는 외수침수만 해석시 보다 최대침수심이 더 높게 나타났으며 침수면적 또한 넓게 나타남을 알 수 있었다. 본 연구를 통해서 도시홍수, 돌발홍수 등의 발생시 정확한 도시 침수 해석이 가능하며 도시침수구역에 대한 적절한 예 경보 및 피난대책 수립에 활용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다. 또한 국내의 홍수위험지도나 도시 침수해석과 연계하여 선행시간을 확보한 정확도 높은 홍수정보시스템 구축에 크게 기여할 것으로 판단된다.

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A Study on Estimation of Design Tidal level Considering Sea Level Change in the Korean Peninsula (한반도의 해수면 상승을 고려한 설계조위 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Choo, Tai Ho;Sim, Su Yong;Yang, Da Un;Park, Sang Jin;Kwak, Kil Sin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.464-473
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    • 2016
  • The air temperatures of the coast and inland are rising due to an increase in carbon dioxide emissions and abnormal climate phenomena caused by global warming, El Nino, La Nina and so on. The sea levels of the Earth are rising by approximately 2.0 mm per year (global average value) due to the thermal expansion of sea water, melting of glaciers and other causes by global warming. On the other hand, when it comes to designing a hydraulic structure or coastal hydraulic structure, the standard of the design water level is decided by analyzing four largeness tide values and a harmonic constant with the observed tidal water level or simulating numerical model. Therefore, the design tidal water level needs to consider an increasing speed of the seawater level, which corresponds to the design frequency. In the present study, the observed tidal water levels targeting 46 tidal stations operated by the Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Administration (KHOA) from the beginning of observations to 2015 per hour were collected. The variation of the monthly and yearly and increasing ratio were performed and divided into 7 seas, such as east and west part of the Southern Sea, south part and middle of the East Sea, south part and middle of the Western Sea, and Jeju Sea. The current study could be used to determine the cause of local seawater rises and reflect the design tidal water level as basic data.

Study of Analysis of Vegetation Structure and Species Diversity for Vegetation Management on Shrine Forest of Miwhang-sa, Korea (식생구조 관리를 위한 한국 미황사 사찰림의 식생구조 및 종다양성 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Sung-Je;Ohno, Keiichi;Ahn, Young-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.540-561
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    • 2011
  • We carried out a study for ecological management and ideal vegetation structure selection on the shrine forest of 'Miwhang-sa' considering the species diversity and the vegetation structure analysis associated with global warming. We carried out the analyses of phytosociological vegetation structure, correlation between vegetation units and environmental variables, life form, species diversity, and species evenness. This study identified the vegetation units as 3 communities. The identified vegetation units are as follows: Quercus acuta community(DQ), Quercus serrata-Quercus variabilis community(QQ) and Celtis sinensis community(CS). According to the basis on the environmental variables; Ca, Mg and P, Celtis sinensis community and other communities were classified. Quecus serrata-Quercus variabilis comm. and Quercus acuta comm. were classified, according to the basis on the environmental variables; organic matter(OM), Ni and Zn. Sasa borealis as life form R1-2, dominated the herb layer and will dominate the herb and shrub layers. Species simplification is formed on herb layer and will be formed on shrub layer. The species diversity of Quercus serrata-Quercus variabilis community is higher than the one of Quercus acuta community, and the species diversity of shrine forest around Miwhang-sa was higher than the shrine forest around Nameun-sa where evergreen broad-leaved forests dominate. It is essential that the long-term vegetation management considering the vegetation units by phytosociological analysis, the species simplification problem of low layers by S. borealis and the species diversity and evenness in the shrine forest, Miwhang-sa.

A Study on the Long-Term Variations of Annual Maximum Surge Heights at Sokcho and Mukho Harbors (속초와 묵호항의 연간 최대해일고의 장기간 변동성에 대한 고찰)

  • Kwon, Seok-Jae;Moon, Il-Ju;Lee, Eun-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.564-574
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    • 2008
  • This study investigates a long-term variation of annual maximum surge heights(AMSH) and main characteristics of high surge events, which is influenced by the global warming and intensifying typhoons, using sea level data at Sokcho and Mukho tidal stations over 34 years ($1974{\sim}2007$). It is found that the there is a longterm uptrend of the AMSH at Sokcho (8.3 cm/34yrs) and at Mukho (8.7 cm/34yrs), which is significant within 95% confidence level based on the linear regression. The statistical analysis reveals that 53% of the AMSH occurs during typhoon's event in both tidal stations and the highest surge records are mostly produced by the typhoon. It is concluded that the uptrend in the AMSH is attributed by the increasing typhoon activities globally as well as locally in Korea due to the increased sea surface temperature in tropical oceans. The continuous efforts monitering and predicting the extreme surge events in the future warm environments are required to prevent the growing storm surge damage by the intensified typhoon.

Applicability Analysis of Flood Forecasting in Nakdong River Basin using Neuro-Fuzzy Model (Neuro-Fuzzy 모형에 의한 낙동강유역의 홍수예측 적용성 분석)

  • Rho, Hong-Sik;Kim, Tae-Hyung;Kim, Pan-Gu;Han, Kun-Yeun;Choi, Seung-Yong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.642-642
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    • 2012
  • 최근에 들어 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화의 영향으로 국지성 집중호우와 돌발성 호우가 한반도 뿐 아니라 전 세계적으로도 많이 나타나고 있고, 그로 인한 이상홍수의 발생이 우리나라의 인명 및 재산피해를 날로 증가시키고 있는 추세이다. 그러나 현재 국내의 홍수방어시스템은 정확도 및 선행시간 확보 등의 측면에서 국민들의 요구수준까지는 그 역할을 수행하지 못하고 있는 실정이다. 또한 최근 4대강 살리기 사업을 통해 수행된 보 설치 및 하도 준설로 인해 하천환경의 변화가 크게 발생하여, 보다 정확하고 신속한 홍수위 예측기법이 요구되고 있는 실정이다. 이에 따라 현재 4대강 홍수통제소에서는 정확한 홍수위예측을 위해 4대강 본류 및 주요 지류에 대해 수리모형을 구축하고 있고, 기존의 저류함수모형에 의한 강우-유출 해석기법을 적용하여 주요 지류에 대한 유입량을 산정하기 위한 모형을 구축중에 있다. 국내 홍수방어 시스템에 현재까지 사용되어 오고 있는 저류함수모형 및 수위-유량 관계식을 이용한 방법은 물리적 기반의 홍수예측모형으로 유역의 지형학적 인자와 그에 따른 여러 변수를 포함하기 때문에 하천환경의 변화로 인해 각각의 추적과정에서 오차들이 발생하여 해석결과에 영향을 미치는 단점이 있다. 이에 반해 데이터 기반 모형은 강우-유출 모형에서 사용되는 많은 수문학적 자료 및 매개변수들의 사용 없이 오직 수위 및 강우측정 자료만을 이용하여 홍수를 예측하는 모형이다. 본 연구에서는 낙동강 유역에 대해 보다 정확한 홍수위 예측을 위해 현재 낙동강홍수통제소에서 구축중인 낙동강 본류의 수리모형의 주요 지류의 유입량 산정을 위해 기존의 물리적 기반 모형이 아닌 뉴로-퍼지(Neuro-Fuzzy) 모형을 이용한 data 기반 모형을 적용해 기존 물리적 기반 모형과 비교 분석 하고자 하였다. 낙동강의 주요지류인 감천, 금호강, 남강, 내성천, 밀양강, 반변천, 위천, 황강을 적용유역으로 선정하여 유역별로 티센망을 구축하였고, 각 지류별로 수위관측소를 선정하여 최근 10년동안 낙동강유역의 홍수예 경보가 발령되었거나 많은 비가 온 사상을 선정해 모형을 검증하였다. 모형은 실시간 수위측정 자료와 강우자료 및 해당유역 댐의 방류량 자료를 이용해 유역별 최적 입력자료 조합을 선정하여 간단하게 구축할 수 있었다. 또한 10분 단위 및 30분 단위의 입출력 자료로 모형을 구축하여 비교하였다. 이번 연구에서 수행한 낙동강유역에서의 뉴로-퍼지(Neuro-Fuzzy) 모형을 이용한 홍수예측기법을 통해 몇가지 data만으로 유역의 주요지점에 대한 홍수위와 홍수량을 예측할 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었다. 모의 결과는 실측치와 비교해 정확도 면에서 우수함을 보여 주었으나 예측시간이 길어질수록 실측치의 경향을 벗어나는 결과를 보였다. 그러나 실시간 홍수예 경보에 있어서는 만족할만한 선행시간을 확보할 수 있었다. 구축된 Data 기반 모형이 물리적 기반 모형과 더불어 낙동강 홍수예 경보를 위한 모형으로 사용될 수 있다면 보다 효율적인 예 경보 체계 구축에 도움을 줄 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Estimation of Typhoon Center Using Satellite SAR Imagery (인공위성 SAR 영상 기반 태풍 중심 산정)

  • Jung, Jun-Beom;Park, Kyung-Ae;Byun, Do-Seong;Jeong, Kwang-Yeong;Lee, Eunil
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.502-517
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    • 2019
  • Global warming and rapid climate change have long affected the characteristics of typhoons in the Northwest Pacific, which has induced increasing devastating disasters along the coastal regions of the Korean peninsula. Synthetic Aperature Radar (SAR), as one of the microwave sensors, makes it possible to produce high-resolution sea surface wind field around the typhoon under cloudy atmospheric conditions, which has been impossible to obtain the winds from satellite optical and infrared sensors. The Geophysical Model Functions (GMFs) for sea surface wind retrieval from SAR data requires the input of wind direction, which should be based on the accurate estimation of the center of the typhoon. This study estimated the typhoon centers using Sentinel-1A images to improve the problem of typhoon center detection method and to reflect it in retrieving the sea surface wind. The results were validated by comparing with the typhoon best track data provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), and also by using infrared images of Himawari-8 satellite. The initial center position of the typhoon was determined by using VH polarization, thereby reducing the possibility of error. The detected center showed a difference of 23.76 km on average with the best track data of the four typhoons provided by the KMA and JMA. Compared to the typhoon center estimated by Himawari-8 satellite, the results showed an average spatial variation of 11.80 km except one typhoon located near land with a large difference of 58.73 km. This result suggests that high-resolution SAR images can be used to estimate the center and retrieve sea surface wind around typhoons.