• Title/Summary/Keyword: 하천수 예측

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Estimation of the Flood Warning Rainfall with Backwater Effects in Urban Watersheds (도시 유역의 배수위 영향을 고려한홍수 경보 강우량 산정)

  • Kim, Eung-Seok;Lee, Seung-Hyun;Yoon, Ki-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.801-806
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    • 2015
  • The incidence of flood damage by global climate change has increased recently. Because of the increased frequency of flooding in Korea, the technology of flood prediction and prevalence has developed mainly for large river watersheds. On the other hand, there is a limit on predicting flooding through the most present flood forecasting systems because local floods in small watersheds rise quite quickly with little or no advance warning. Therefore, this study estimated the flood warning rainfall using a flood forecasting model at the two alarm trigger points in the Suamcheon basin, which is an urban basin with backwater effects. The flood warning rainfall was estimated to be 25.4mm/120min ~ 78.8mm/120min for the low water alarm, and 68.5mm/120min ~ 140.7mm/120min for the high water alarm. The frequency of the flood warning rainfall is 3-years for the low water alarm, and 80-years for the high water alarm. The results of this analysis are expected to provide a basic database in forecasting local floods in urban watersheds. Nevertheless, more tests and implementations using a large number of watersheds will be needed for a practical flood warning or alert system in the future.

Prediction Study on Major Movement Paths of Otters in the Ansim-wetland Using EN-Simulator (EN-Simulator를 활용한 안심습지 일원 수달의 주요 이동경로 예측 연구)

  • Shin, Gee-Hoon;Seo, Bo-Yong;Rho, Paikho;Kim, Ji-Young;Han, Sung-Yong
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we performed a Random Walker analysis to predict the Major Movement Paths of otters. The scope of the research was a simulation analysis with a radius of 7.5 km set as the final range centered on the Ansim-wetland in Daegu City, and a field survey was used to verify the model. The number of virtual otters was set to 1,000, the number of moving steps was set to 1,000 steps per grid, and simulations were performed on a total of 841 grids. As a result of the analysis, an average of 147.6 objects arrived at the boundary point under the condition of an interval of 50 m. As a result of the simulation verification, 8 points (13.1%) were found in the area where the movement probability was very high, and 9 points (14.8%) were found in the area where the movement probability was high. On the other hand, in areas with low movement paths probabilities, there were 8 points (13.1%) in low areas and 4 points (6.6%) in very low areas. Simulation verification results In areas with high otter values, the actual otter format probability was particularly high. In addition, as a result of investigating the correlation with the otter appearance point according to the unit area of the evaluation star of the movement probability, it seems that 6.8 traces were found per unit area in the area where the movement probability is the highest. In areas where the probability of movement is low, analysis was performed at 0.1 points. On the side where otters use the major movement paths of the river area, the normal level was exceeded, and as a result, in the area, 23 (63.9%), many form traces were found, along the major movement paths of the simulation. It turned out that the actual otter inhabits. The EN-Simulator analysis can predict how spatial properties affect the likelihood of major movement paths selection, and the analytical values are used to utilize additional habitats within the major movement paths. It is judged that it can be used as basic data such as to grasp the danger area of road kill in advance and prevent it.

Estimation of river discharge using satellite-derived flow signals and artificial neural network model: application to imjin river (Satellite-derived flow 시그널 및 인공신경망 모형을 활용한 임진강 유역 유출량 산정)

  • Li, Li;Kim, Hyunglok;Jun, Kyungsoo;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.7
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    • pp.589-597
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we investigated the use of satellite-derived flow (SDF) signals and a data-based model for the estimation of outflow for the river reach where in situ measurements are either completely unavailable or are difficult to access for hydraulic and hydrology analysis such as the upper basin of Imjin River. It has been demonstrated by many studies that the SDF signals can be used as the river width estimates and the correlation between SDF signals and river width is related to the shape of cross sections. To extract the nonlinear relationship between SDF signals and river outflow, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model with SDF signals as its inputs were applied for the computation of flow discharge at Imjin Bridge located in Imjin River. 15 pixels were considered to extract SDF signals and Partial Mutual Information (PMI) algorithm was applied to identify the most relevant input variables among 150 candidate SDF signals (including 0~10 day lagged observations). The estimated discharges by ANN model were compared with the measured ones at Imjin Bridge gauging station and correlation coefficients of the training and validation were 0.86 and 0.72, respectively. It was found that if the 1 day previous discharge at Imjin bridge is considered as an input variable for ANN model, the correlation coefficients were improved to 0.90 and 0.83, respectively. Based on the results in this study, SDF signals along with some local measured data can play an useful role in river flow estimation and especially in flood forecasting for data-scarce regions as it can simulate the peak discharge and peak time of flood events with satisfactory accuracy.

Prediction Model of Pine Forests' Distribution Change according to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 소나무림 분포변화 예측모델)

  • Kim, Tae-Geun;Cho, Youngho;Oh, Jang-Geun
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.229-237
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to offer basic data to effectively preserve and manage pine forests using more precise pine forests' distribution status. In this regard, this study predicts the geographical distribution change of pine forests growing in South Korea, due to climate change, and evaluates the spatial distribution characteristics of pine forests by age. To this end, this study predicts the potential distribution change of pine forests by applying the MaxEnt model useful for species distribution change to the present and future climate change scenarios, and analyzes the effects of bioclimatic variables on the distribution area and change by age. Concerning the potential distribution regions of pine forests, the pine forests, aged 10 to 30 years in South Korea, relatively decreased more. As the area of the region suitable for pine forest by age was bigger, the decreased regions tend to become bigger, and the expanded regions tend to become smaller. Such phenomena is conjectured to be derived from changing of the interaction of pine forests by age from mutual promotional relations to competitive relations in the similar climate environment, while the regions suitable for pine forests' growth are mostly overlap regions. This study has found that precipitation affects more on the distribution of pine forests, compared to temperature change, and that pine trees' geographical distribution change is more affected by climate's extremities including precipitation of driest season and temperature of the coldest season than average climate characteristics. Especially, the effects of precipitation during the driest season on the distribution change of pine forests are irrelevant of pine forest's age class. Such results are expected to result in a reduction of the pine forest as the regions with the increase of moisture deficiency, where climate environment influencing growth and physiological responses related with drought is shaped, gradually increase according to future temperature rise. The findings in this study can be applied as a useful method for the prediction of geographical change according to climate change by using various biological resources information already accumulated. In addition, those findings are expected to be utilized as basic data for the establishment of climate change adaptation policies related to forest vegetation preservation in the natural ecosystem field.

Concept and Application of Groundwater's Platform Concurrency and Digital Twin (지하수의 플랫폼 동시성과 Digital Twin의 개념과 적용)

  • Doo Houng Choi;Byung-woo Kim;E Jae Kwon;Hwa-young Kim;Cheol Seo Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.13-13
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    • 2023
  • 디지털 기술은 오늘날 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈의 기술도입을 통해 현실 세계를 네트워크와 가상세계와의 연결이 통합되어진 가상 현실 세계의 입문 도약이다. 현실에서 가상현실의 사이의 디지털 전환(digital transformation)에는 디지털 기술과 솔루션을 비즈니스의 모든 영역에 통합하는 것이 포함된다. 이러한 디지털 전환의 핵심은 데이터에 관한 것이며, 데이터를 활용하여 가치를 창출하고 고객경험과 비즈니스 영역을 극대화하는 방식을 제공한다. 최적의 데이터를 제공하기 위한 플랫폼과 가상 현실세계 구현을 위한 디지털 트윈의 상호연계 관한 기본 개념은 데이터 수집, 데이터 분석, 데이터 시각화 및 데이터 보고와 같은 데이터 비즈니스이다. 현장 데이터는 디지털 양식을 통해 수집, 기록, 저장된다. 현장 IoT 기반 데이터(사진 및 비디오 매체 등)는 지속적으로 수집되고 종종 다른 데이터베이스에 저장되지만 지리 공간적 위치에 연결되지 않는다. 모든 디지털 발전을 조화시키고 지하수 데이터에서 더 빠른 이해를 도출하기 위해서는 디지털 트윈이 시작되어야 한다. 단일 지하수플랫폼에서 현장 조건을 시각화하고 실시간 데이터를 스트리밍하며, 과거 3D 데이터와 상호작용하여지질 또는 지화학 데이터를 선택적 사용을 위해 지하수 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈이 연계되어야 한다. 데이터를 디지털 정보모델과 연결하면 디지털 트윈에 생명을 불어넣을 수 있지만 디지털 트윈의 가치를 극대화하려면 여전히 데이터 플랫폼 서비스와 전달 방식을 선택해야 한다. 지하수 플랫폼동시성을 갖는 디지털 트윈은 정적 및 동적 데이터를 저장하는 데이터베이스 또는 크라우드 서비스에서 데이터를 가져오는 API(애플리케이션 프로그래밍 인터레이스), 디지털 트윈을 위한 호스팅 공간, 디지털 대상을 구축하는 소프트웨어, 구성 요소 간 읽기/쓰기를 위한 스크립트, chatGPT 및 API를 활용할 수 있다. 이를 통해 수집된 데이터의 실시간 양방향 통신기술인 지하수 플랫폼 기술을 활용하여 디지털 트윈을 적용하고 완성할 수 있고, 이를 지하수 분야에도 그대로 적용할 수 있다. 지하수 분야의 디지털 트윈 기술의 근간은 지하수 모니터링을 위한 관측장치와 이를 활용한 지하수 플랫폼의 구축 및 양방향 자료전송을 통한 분석 및 예측기술이다. 특히 낙동강과 같이 유역면적이 넓고 유역 내 지자체가 많아 이해관계가 다양하며, 가뭄과 홍수/태풍 등 기후위기에 따른 극한 기상이변가 자주 발생하고, 또한 보 및 하굿둑 개방 등 정부정책 이행에 따른 민원이 다수 발생하는 지역의 경우 하천과 유역에 대한 지하수 플랫폼과 디지털 트윈의 동시성 기술적용 시 지하수 데이터에 대한 고려가 반드시 수반되어야 한다.

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Plant Species Richness in Korea Utilizing Integrated Biological Survey Data (생물기초조사 통합자료를 활용한 우리나라 식물종 풍부도 분석)

  • Seungbum Hong;Jieun Oh;Jaegyu Cha;Kyungeun Lee
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.363-374
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    • 2023
  • The limitation in deriving the species richness representing the entire country of South Korea lies in its relatively short history of species field observations and the scattered observation data, which has been collected by various organizations in different fields. In this study, a comprehensive compilation of the observation data for plants held by agencies under the Ministry of Environment was conducted, enabling the construction of a time series dataset spanning over 100 years. The data integration was carried out using minimal criteria such as species name, observed location, and time (year) followed by data verification and correction processes. Based on the integrated plant species data, the comprehensive collection of plant species in South Korea has occurred predominantly since 2000, and the number of plant species explored through these surveys appears to be converging recently. The collection of species survey data necessary for deriving national-level biodiversity information has recently begun to meet the necessary conditions. Applying the Chao 2 method, the species richness of indigenous plants estimated at 3,182.6 for the 70-year period since 1951. A minimum cumulative period of 7 years is required for this estimation. This plant species richness from this study can be a baseline to study future changes in species richness in South Korea. Moreover, the integrated data with the estimation method for species richness used in this study appears to be applicable to derive regional biodiversity indices such as for local government units as well.

Large eddy simulation of a steady hydraulic jump at Fr = 7.3 (Fr = 7.3의 정상도수 큰와모의)

  • Paik, Joongcheol;Kim, Byungjoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.spc1
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    • pp.1049-1058
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    • 2023
  • The flow passing through river-crossing structures such as weirs and low-fall dams is dominated by rapidly varied flow including hydraulic jump. The intense unsteadiness of flow velocity and free surface profile affects the stability of such hydraulic structures. In particular, the steady hydraulic jump generated at high Froude number conditions includes remarkably air entrainment, making the flow characteristics more complicated. In this study, a large-eddy simulation was performed for turbulence effect and the hybrid VoF technique to simulate the steady hydraulic jump at the Froude number of 7.3 and the Reynolds number of 15,700. The results of the numerical simulation showed that the instantaneous maximum pressure and time-average pressure distribution calculated on the bottom surface downstream of the structure could be reasonably well reproduced being in good agreement with the experimental values. However, the instantaneous minimum pressure distribution in the direct downstream of the structure shows the opposite pattern to the target experimental measurement value. However, the numerical simulation performed in this study is considered to reasonably predict the minimum pressure distributions observed in various experiments conducted at similar conditions. The vertical distributions of flow velocity and air concentration computed in the center of the hydraulic jump were found to be in good agreement with the experimental results measured under similar conditions, showing self-similarity. These results show that the large eddy simulation and hybrid VoF techniques applied in this study can reproduce the hydraulic jump with strong air entrainment and the resulting intense free surface and pressure fluctuations at high Froude number conditions.

Metal Speciation in the Lagoon Sediment Interstitial Water from the Northeast Coast, Korea (동해안 석호 퇴적물의 간극수에 함유된 금속류의 화학종 분포)

  • Kim, Dong-Jin;Kim, Min-Chul;Yoo, Jin-Yull;Kwon, Sang-Yong;Seo, Yong-Chan;Yang, Jae-E.;Oh, Seung-Yoon;Ok, Yong-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.30 no.7
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    • pp.712-720
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    • 2008
  • Sediment and interstitial water samples from ten lagoons in the Northeastern coastal part of South Korea were analyzed to obtain the concentrations of metals and inorganic ligand. These data, coupled with pH and ionic strength, were used to compute the aqueous speciation of the metals in the interstitial water using the MINTEQA2 equilibrium program. The K and Na were almost entirely present as the free aqua ions, but Co, Cd, Ni, Pb and Zn were existed as various metal-ligand complexes. Metals such as Al, As, and Cr formed 3$\sim$4 metal-ligand complexes. In the interstitial water with high chloride concentrations, almost all of the metals were dominated by free aqua ions. Metals of Cd, Co, Ni, Pb and Zn were bound as chloride-metal complexes of the type M$^{x+}$ + xCl$^-$, and Fe, Mn and Mg were dominated by sulfate equilibria(M$^{2+}$ + SO$_4{^{2-}}$). Hg(II) was speciated as HgCl$_2$(aq), HgCl$_3{^-}$ and HgCl$_4{^-}$. However, in the interstitial water with low chloride concentrations, Hg(II) and Cd(II) were existed as chloride-metal complexes, metals of Cu, Mg, Mn, Ni, Pb and Zn were dominated by sulfate equilibria, and the speciation of Fe(II) was bound as Fe(OH)$_2{^+}$, Fe(OH)$_3$(aq). However, Al, As and Cr were dominated by hydroxy-metal and oxide-metal species in nearly all of the lagoons.

Distribution and Species Prediction of Epilithic Diatom in the Geum River Basin, South Korea (금강권역 주요 하천의 돌 부착돌말류 분포 및 출현예측)

  • Cho, In-Hwan;Kim, Ha-Kyung;Choi, Man-Young;Kwon, Yong-Su;Hwang, Soon-Jin;Kim, Sang-Hoon;Kim, Baik-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.153-167
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    • 2015
  • In order to understand the relationship between the distribution of epilithic diatoms and the habitual environments, land-use, water qualities, and epilithic diatoms were studied at 141 sampling sites in the midwestern stream of Korean peninsula (Geum river, Mangyeong river, Dongjin river, and Sapgyo river). The total 183 diatom taxa was appeared in the study, while the dominant species were found to be Nitzschia palea (10.9%) and Achnanthes convergens (8.4%). Based on the abundance of epilithic diatoms, a cluster analysis results indicate that the sampling sites divided the sampling sites into 4 groups (G) at the 25% level. In term of geographic and aquatic environments, G-I and -II accounted for the upper and mid streams of the Geum river, and had large forest areas and good in water quality. G-III accounted for farmland and urban, and high concentration nutrient levels (TN and TP) and electric conductivity. G-IV accounted for mostly farmland, and high levels in turbidity, BOD, nutrient and electric conductivity. CCA results showed that the saproxenous taxa Meridion circulare was the indicator species of G-I, which strongly influenced by altitude and forests. In G-II, the indifferent taxa Navicula cryptocephala was influenced by Chl-a, AFDM, and DO. In G-III and -IV, the indifferent taxa Fragilaria elliptica and saprophilous taxa Aulacoseira ambigua were influenced by electric conductivity, turbidity, and nutrient counts. Meanwhile, random forest results showed that the predicting factor of indicator species appearance in G-I, -II, and -III was found to be electric conductivity whereas in G-IV it was found to be turbidity. Collectively, the distribution of diatoms in the midwestern of Korean peninsula was found to depend more on the land-use and its subsequent water qualities than the inherent characteristics of the aquatic environment.

A Study on Development of a GIS based Post-processing System of the EFDC Model for Supporting Water Quality Management (수질관리 지원을 위한 GIS기반의 EFDC 모델 후처리 시스템 개발 연구)

  • Lee, Geon Hwi;Kim, Kye Hyun;Park, Yong Gil;Lee, Sung Joo
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.39-47
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    • 2014
  • The Yeongsan river estuary has a serious water quality problem due to the water stagnation and it is imperative to predict the changes of water quality for mitigating water pollution. EFDC(Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code) model was mainly utilized to predict the changes of water quality for the estuary. The EFDC modeling normally accompanies the large volume of modeling output. For checking the spatial distribution of the modeling results, post-processing for converting of the output is prerequisite and mainly post-processing program is EFDC_Explorer. However, EFDC_Explorer only shows the spatial distribution of the time series and this doesn't support overlay function with other thematic maps. This means the impossible to the connection analysis with a various GIS data and high dimensional analysis. Therefore, this study aims to develop a post-processing system of a EFDC output to use them as GIS layers. For achieving this purpose, a editing module for main input files, and a module for converting binary format into an ASCII format, and a module for converting it into a layer format to use in a GIS based environment, and a module for visualizing the reconfigured model result efficiently were developed. Using the developed system, result file is possible to automatically convert the GIS based layer and it is possible to utilize for water quality management.