• Title/Summary/Keyword: 하천수 예측

Search Result 1,016, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

Modification of Hydro-BEAM Model for Flood Discharge Analysis (홍수유출해석을 위한 Hydro-BEAM모형의 개선)

  • Park, Jin-Hyeog;Yun, Ji-Heun;Chong, Koo-Yol;Sung, Young-Du
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.2179-2183
    • /
    • 2008
  • 지금까지 분포형 모형 개발에 대한 많은 노력이 있음에도 불구하고 여러 제약사항들에 의해 잠재력을 보여주는 정도로 활용되어 왔으나, 최근 급속도로 발전하는 컴퓨터의 계산능력, DEM 등 디지털정보의 구축이 진행되어 오고 있고, GIS 및 인공위성 영상기법의 발달로 공간적인 비균질성을 고려하여 유출과정에서 운동역학적인 이론을 기반으로 물의 흐름을 수리학적으로 추적해 나가는 물리적기반의 분포형 유출모형의 활용도가 높아지고 있다. 본 모형개발에 있어 이론적 배경이 된 모형은 1998년부터 일본 교토대학 방재연구소 코지리 연구실에서 개발 중인 Hydro-BEAM으로 유역 물순환의 건전성을 평가하기 위하여 장기간의 유역 내 유량, 수질을 시계열 및 공간적으로 파악하여 유역의 영향평가를 위해 개발된 물리적 기반의 격자구조를 가진 분포형 장기유출 모형이다. 유출량 계산은 유역내 수평 유출량산정 모듈로서 평면 분포형의 격자형을, 연직 분포형으로는 $A{\sim}B$층의 수평유출량은 하천으로 유입하고, C층은 하천유량에 영향을 미치지 않는 지하수층으로 가정하는 다층모형을 이용해서 A층, 지표 및 하도흐름은 운동파 법(kinematic wave)으로, $B{\sim}C$층의 유출량은 선형저류법으로 계산하는 모형이다. 본 연구에서는 격자흐름방향을 4방향에서 8방향으로 개선하였고, 모형의 각종 수문매개변수들을 GIS와 연계하여 직접 입력할 수 있도록 하였으며, 물리적기반의 침투과정을 모의할 수 있도록 Green & Ampt모듈을 추가하고, 향후 레이더 강우 및 수치예보강우의 홍수유출예측을 염두에 두고 격자강우량을 활용할 수 있도록 하는 등 홍수유출해석을 위한 분포형 강우-유출모형으로 개선 하였고, 이를 남강댐유역에 적용해 봄으로써 모형의 적용성을 검토해 보고자 하였다. 홍수기동안의 지표흐름과 지표하 흐름의 시간적 변화와 공간적 분포를 모의할 수 있었으며, 전처리과정으로서 ArcGIS 혹은 ArcView등의 GIS 프로그램을 이용하여 모형에 필요한 ASCII형태의 입력 매개 변수 자료들을 가공하였다. 또한 후처리과정으로서 모형의 수행결과인 유역내의 유출량 분포 등을 GIS상에서 나타낼 수 있도록 ASCII형태로 출력하도록 구성하였다. 남강댐유역을 대상으로 유역을 500m의 정방형 격자로 분할하고 수계망을 통하여 유역 출구까지 운동파이론에 의해 추적 계산하였으며, 수문곡선 비교결과 재현성 높은 결과를 보여주었다. 모형의 정확성 및 실용성에 대한 보다 정확한 평가를 위해서는 향후 다양한 강우 사상 혹은 다양한 크기의 유역에 대한 유출량의 재현성 및 매개변수 등에 검증이 이루어져야 할 것이다.

  • PDF

Seepage Behaviors of Enlargement Levee Containing Box Culvert Constructed on Soft Ground (연약지반에 설치된 배수통문을 포함하는 하천 보축제체의 수문 위치에 따른 침투 거동)

  • Yang, Hak-Young;Kim, Young-Muk
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.34 no.3
    • /
    • pp.29-41
    • /
    • 2018
  • In the case of the enlargement levee on the soft foundation, the existing levee and the enlargement levee connection can be damaged due to heterogeneous subsidence such as differential settlement at the joint of the box culvert passing through the levee. This study selected the downstream region of the Geum River and then confirmed the influence of the piping possibility on the levee by performing a 2D seepage analysis and analyzing the seepage tendency according to the position of the box culvert's gate. As a result, the flow velocity and the hydraulic gradient are larger in the upper breakage than the lower breakage, and the upper leak was more vulnerable to the piping than the lower leak. If leaks occur in the gate located on the riverside land, the risk of piping is increased when the water level rises and is maintained highly. In the case of the gate located on the inland, it could be predicted that the leakage could damage the stability of levee by increasing the water pressure inside the levee. As a result, if leakage occurs at any position in the box culvert, the pore water pressure is increased or decreased compared with the case when no leakage occurs. Therefore, if the pore water pressure is drastically reduced or increased compared with the normal case, leakage may occur. However, the result of this study is based on a 2D seepage analysis, and it is likely to be different from actual cases. Therefore, more detailed analysis by 3D analysis is recommended.

A Study on Prediction of EPB shield TBM Advance Rate using Machine Learning Technique and TBM Construction Information (머신러닝 기법과 TBM 시공정보를 활용한 토압식 쉴드TBM 굴진율 예측 연구)

  • Kang, Tae-Ho;Choi, Soon-Wook;Lee, Chulho;Chang, Soo-Ho
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
    • /
    • v.30 no.6
    • /
    • pp.540-550
    • /
    • 2020
  • Machine learning has been actively used in the field of automation due to the development and establishment of AI technology. The important thing in utilizing machine learning is that appropriate algorithms exist depending on data characteristics, and it is needed to analysis the datasets for applying machine learning techniques. In this study, advance rate is predicted using geotechnical and machine data of TBM tunnel section passing through the soil ground below the stream. Although there were no problems of application of statistical technology in the linear regression model, the coefficient of determination was 0.76. While, the ensemble model and support vector machine showed the predicted performance of 0.88 or higher. it is indicating that the model suitable for predicting advance rate of the EPB Shield TBM was the support vector machine in the analyzed dataset. As a result, it is judged that the suitability of the prediction model using data including mechanical data and ground information is high. In addition, research is needed to increase the diversity of ground conditions and the amount of data.

Research on Real-time Flow Rate Measurement and Flood Forecast System Based on Radar Sensors (레이다 센서 기반 실시간 유량 측정 및 홍수 예측 시스템 연구)

  • Lee, Young-Woo;Seok, Hyuk-Jun;Jung, Kee-Heon;Na, Kuk-Jin;Lee, Seung-Kyu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
    • /
    • 2022.05a
    • /
    • pp.288-290
    • /
    • 2022
  • As part of the SOC digitization for smart water management and flood prevention, the government reported that automatic and remote control system for drainage facilities (180 billion won) to 57% of national rivers and established a real-time monitoring system (30 billion won). In addition, they were also planning to establish a smart dam safety management system (15 billion won) based on big data at 11 regions. Therefore, research is needed for smart water management and flood prevention system that can accurately calculate the flow rate through real-time flow rate measurement of rivers. In particular, the most important thing to improve the system implementation and accuracy is to ensure the accuracy of real-time flow rate measurements. To this end, radar sensors for measuring the flow rate of electromagnetic waves in the United States and Europe have been introduced and applied to the system in Korea, but demand for improvement of the system continues due to high price range and performance. Consequently, we would like to propose an improved flow rate measurement and flood forecast system by developing a radar sensor for measuring the electromagnetic surface current meter for real-time flow rate measurement.

  • PDF

Water resources planning for the Sesan and Srepok river basin in Vietnam using DSS-2S based on MIKE Hydro Basin (MIKE Hydro Basin 기반 DSS-2S를 활용한 베트남 Sesan 및 Srepok 강 유역 수자원 계획 수립)

  • Choi, Byung Man;Ko, Ick Hwan;Kim, Jeongkon;Pi, Wan Seop;Oh, Yoon Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.43-43
    • /
    • 2021
  • Sesan강과 Srepok강은 베트남, 캄보디아, 라오스가 공유하는 3S강 유역 (Sesan강, Srepok강, Sekong강)의 일부로 국제 공유하천으로 관리되고 있다. 3S강 유역은 Mekong강의 중요한 지류이며 Mekong강 유역의 상당 부분을 구성한다(Mekong강 유역 면적의 10%, 연간 총 유출량의 20%). 베트남에 속해 있는 Sesan강 유역면적은 11,255km2, Srepok강 유역면적은 18,162km2이다. Sesan강과 Srepok강의 상류는 베트남 중부 고원의 긴 산맥에 위치하고 있으며, 하류는 캄보디아에 위치해 있어 상·하류간 긴밀한 협력이 필요하다. Sesan강과 Srepok강 유역은 기후변화에 따른 홍수, 가뭄, 수력발전소 건설로 인한 유출량 변동에 따른 상·하류 분쟁, 사면침식 및 퇴적 등 많은 문제와 도전에 직면할 것으로 예측되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 World Bank의 "Viet Nam Mekong Integrated Water Resources Management (M-IWRM) Project의 일환으로 베트남 정부 차원에서 처음으로 구축한 수자원관리 의사결정지원시스템인 "DSS-2S"를 활용하여, Sesan-Srepok강 유역의 수자원 계획을 수립하였다. DSS-2S는 MIKE Hydro Basin을 기반으로 SWAT모델 등과 연계 하여 구축되었다. DSS-2S는 2S 유역의 모든 주요 하천과 지류를 반영하였으며. 여기에는 17개의 수력발전 댐과 주요 지류에서 용량이 3백만 m3 이상인 기타 저수지가 포함되었다. 이 보다 작은 용량의 저수지는 대표적인 저수지로 그룹화 되어 반영되었다. 기후변화 및 사회-경제적 발전계획 등을 반영하여, 2030년과 2050년을 목표연도로 생활, 공업, 농업, 관광, 유지용수 등 용수 수요를 추정하였다. 50% 및 85% 빈도의 공급 가능성을 고려하여 물 배분은 물 수요를 충족하고 지하수 개발 최소화를 기준으로 고려되었다. 분석 결과에 의하면 2S강 유역의 총 수자원은 32.2억 m3으로 그중 지표수자원은 29.2억 m3, 안정적으로 이용 가능한 지하수자원은 2.97억 m3으로 분석 되었으며, 지표수와 지하수 연계를 고려하면 전체 2S 강 유역에 물 부족하지는 않으나, 개별 공급 지점을 고려할 때 4월과 5월에 일부 지역에서 물 부족이 나타날 것으로 예측 된다. 장래 물 부족 해결을 위한 대안들을 제시하였으며, 본 성과는 베트남 중앙 정부의 장기수자원 종합계획 수립의 기본 자료로 활용 될 예정이다.

  • PDF

Numerical Simulations of Cellular Secondary Currents in Open-Channel Flows using Non-linear k-ε Model (비선형 k-ε 모형을 이용한 개수로 흐름에서의 격자형 이차흐름 구조 수치모의)

  • Kang, Hyeongsik;Choi, Sung-Uk;Park, Moonhyeong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.28 no.6B
    • /
    • pp.643-651
    • /
    • 2008
  • In the present paper, turbulent open-channel flows over longitudinal bedforms are numerically simulated. The Reynolds- averaged Navier-Stokes equations in curvilinear coordinates are solved with the non-linear $k-{\varepsilon}$ model by Speziale( 1987). First, the developed model is applied to rectangular open channel flows for purposes of model validation and parameter sensitivity studies. It is found that the parameters $C_D$ and $C_E$ are important to the intensity of secondary currents and the level of turbulent anisotropy, respectively. It is found that the non-linear $k-{\varepsilon}$ model can hardly reproduce the turbulence anisotropy near the free surface. However, the overall pattern of the secondary currents by the present model is seen to coincide with measured data. Then, numerical simulations of turbulent flows over longitudinal bedforms are performed, and the simulated results are compared with the experimental data in the literature. The simulated secondary currents clearly show upflows and downflows over the ridges and troughs, respectively. The numerical results of secondary currents, streamwise mean velocity, and turbulence structures compare favorably with the measured data. However, it is observed that the secondary currents towards the troughs were significantly weak compared with the measured data.

Modeling Study of Turbid Water in the Stratified Reservoir using linkage of HSPF and CE-QUAL-W2 (HSPF와 CE-QUAL-W2 모델의 연계 적용을 이용한 용담댐 저수지 탁수현상의 모델 연구)

  • Yi, Hye-Suk;Jeong, Sun-A;Park, Sang-Young;Lee, Yo-Sang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.69-78
    • /
    • 2008
  • An integration study of watershed model(HSPF, Hydological Simulation program-Fortran) and reservoir water quality model (CE-QUAL-W2) was performed for the evaluation of turbid water management in Yongdam reservoir. The watershed model was calibrated and analyzed for flow and suspended solid concentration variation during rainy period, their results were inputted for reservoir water quality model as time-variable water temperature and turbidity. Results of the watershed model showed a good agreement with the field measurements of flow and suspended solid. Also, results of the reservoir water quality model showed a good agreement with the filed measurements of water balance, water temperature and turbidity using linkage of the watershed model results. Integration of watershed and reservoir model is an important in turbid water management because flow and turbidity in stream and high turbidity layer in reservoir could be predicted and analyzed. In this study, the integration of HSPF and CE-QUAL-W2 was applied for the turbid water management in Yongdam reservoir, where it is evaluated to be appliable and important.

A Study on the Development of GIS based Integrated Information System for Water Quality Management of Yeongsan River Estuary (영산강 하구역 수질환경 관리를 위한 GIS기반 통합정보시스템 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sung Joo;Kim, Kye Hyun;Park, Young Gil;Lee, Geon Hwi;Yoo, Jea Hyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.16 no.1
    • /
    • pp.73-83
    • /
    • 2014
  • The government has recently carried out monitoring to attain a better understanding of the current situation and model for prediction of future events pertaining to water quality in the estuarine area of Yeongsan River. But many users have noted difficulties to understand and utilize the results because most monitoring and model data consist of figures and text. The aim of this study is to develop a GIS-based integrated information system to support the understanding of the current situation and prediction of future events about water quality in the estuarine area of Yeongsan River. To achieve this, a monitoring DB is assembled, a linkages model is defined, a GUI is composed, and the system development environment and system composition are defined. The monitoring data consisted of observation data from 2010 ~ 2012 in the estuarine area of Yeongsan River. The models used in the study are HSPF (Hydrological Simulation Program-Fortran) for simulation of the basin and EFDC (Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code) for simulation of the estuary and river. Ultimately, a GIS based system was presented for utilization and expression using monitoring and model data. The system supports prediction of the estuarine area ecological environment quantitatively and displays document type model simulation results in a map-based environment to enhance the user's spatial understanding. In future study, the system will be updated to include a decision making support system that is capable of handling estuary environment issues and support environmental assessment and development of related policies.

Application of Automatic Stormwater Monitoring System and SWMM Model for Estimation of Urban Pollutant Loading During Storm Events (빗물 자동모니터링장치와 SWMM 모델을 이용한 강우시 도시지역 오염부하량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Dongil;Fang, Tiehu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
    • /
    • v.34 no.6
    • /
    • pp.373-381
    • /
    • 2012
  • An automatic flow and water quality monitoring system was applied to estimate pollutant loads to an urban stream during storm events in DTV (Daeduk Techno Valley), Daejeon, Korea. The monitoring system consists of rainfall gage, ultrasonic water level meter, water quality sensors for DO, temperature, pH, conductivity, turbidity and automatic water sampler for further laboratory analysis. All data are transmitted through on-line system and the monitoring system is designed to be controlled manually in the field and remotely from laboratory computer. Flow rates were verified with field measurements during storm events and showed good agreements. Automatic sampler was used to collect real time samples and analyzed for BOD, COD, TN, TP, SS and other pollutant concentrations in the laboratory. SWMM (Storm Water Management Model) urban watershed model was applied and calibrated using the observed flow and water quality data for the study area. While flow modeling results showed good agreement for all events, water quality modeling results showed variable levels of agreement. These results indicate that current options in the SWMM model to predict pollutant build up and wash-off effects are not sufficient to satisfy modeling of all the rainfall events under study and thus need further modification. This study showed the automatic monitoring system can be used to provide data to assist further refinement of modeling accuracy. This automatic stormwater monitoring and modeling system can be used to develop basin scale water quality management strategies of urban streams in storm events.

Development of technology to predict the impact of urban inundation due to climate change on urban transportation networks (기후변화에 따른 도시침수가 도시교통네트워크에 미치는 영향 예측 기술 개발)

  • Jeung, Se Jin;Hur, Dasom;Kim, Byung Sik
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.55 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1091-1104
    • /
    • 2022
  • Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and intensity of rainfall worldwide, and the pattern is changing due to inundation damage in urban areas due to rapid urbanization and industrialization. Accordingly, the impact assessment of climate change is mentioned as a very important factor in urban planning, and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) is emphasizing the need for an impact forecast that considers the social and economic impacts that may arise from meteorological phenomena. In particular, in terms of traffic, the degradation of transport systems due to urban flooding is the most detrimental factor to society and is estimated to be around £100k per hour per major road affected. However, in the case of Korea, even if accurate forecasts and special warnings on the occurrence of meteorological disasters are currently provided, the effects are not properly conveyed. Therefore, in this study, high-resolution analysis and hydrological factors of each area are reflected in order to suggest the depth of flooding of urban floods and to cope with the damage that may affect vehicles, and the degree of flooding caused by rainfall and its effect on vehicle operation are investigated. decided it was necessary. Therefore, the calculation formula of rainfall-immersion depth-vehicle speed is presented using various machine learning techniques rather than simple linear regression. In addition, by applying the climate change scenario to the rainfall-inundation depth-vehicle speed calculation formula, it predicts the flooding of urban rivers during heavy rain, and evaluates possible traffic network disturbances due to road inundation considering the impact of future climate change. We want to develop technology for use in traffic flow planning.