• Title/Summary/Keyword: 하락 원인

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Estimating the Investment Value of Fuel Cell Power Plant Under Dual Price Uncertainties Based on Real Options Methodology (이중 가격 불확실성하에서 실물옵션 모형기반 연료전지 발전소 경제적 가치 분석)

  • Sunho Kim;Wooyoung Jeon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.645-668
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    • 2022
  • Hydrogen energy is emerging as an important means of carbon neutrality in the various sectors including power, transportation, storage, and industrial processes. Fuel cell power plants are the fastest spreading in the hydrogen ecosystem and are one of the key power sources among means of implementing carbon neutrality in 2050. However, high volatility in system marginal price (SMP) and renewable energy certificate (REC) prices, which affect the profits of fuel cell power plants, delay the investment timing and deployment. This study applied the real option methodology to analyze how the dual uncertainties in both SMP and REC prices affect the investment trigger price level in the irreversible investment decision of fuel cell power plants. The analysis is summarized into the following three. First, under the current Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS), dual price uncertainties passed on to plant owners has significantly increased the investment trigger price relative to one under the deterministic price case. Second, reducing the volatility of REC price by half of the current level caused a significant drop in investment trigger prices and its investment trigger price is similar to one caused by offering one additional REC multiplier. Third, investment trigger price based on gray hydrogen and green hydrogen were analyzed along with the existing byproduct hydrogen-based fuel cells, and in the case of gray hydrogen, economic feasibility were narrowed significantly with green hydrogen when carbon costs were applied. The results of this study suggest that the current RPS system works as an obstacle to the deployment of fuel cell power plants, and policy that provides more stable revenue to plants is needed to build a more cost-effective and stable hydrogen ecosystem.

Analysis of the Ripple Effect of COVID-19 on Art Auction Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망 모형을 활용한 미술품 경매에 대한 COVID-19의 파급효과 분석)

  • Lee, Ji In;Song, Jeong Seok
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.533-543
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    • 2023
  • This study explores the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Korean art market and contrasts the classic hedonic method of art price prediction with the Artificial Neural Network technique. The empirical analysis of this paper utilizes 14,639 observations of Korean art auction data from 2015 to 2021. There are three types of variables in this study: artist-related, artwork-related, and sales-related. Previous studies have suggested that these three types of variables influence art prices. The empirical findings in this research are in twofold. First, in terms of RMSE and R2, the Artificial Neural Network outperforms the hedonic model. Both techniques discover that sales and artwork variables have a greater impact than artist-related attributes. Second, when the primary factors of art price are controlled, Korean art prices are found to fall dramatically in 2020, shortly following the onset of COVID-19, but to rebound in 2021. The main lesson in this study is that the Artificial Neural Network enhances art price prediction and reduces information asymmetry in the Korean art market even in the face of unanticipated turmoil such as the COVID-19 outbreak.

A Study on the case of Application of Women's Personnel in the Australian Defence Force (호주군 여성인력의 활용과 우리군에 주는 시사점)

  • In-Chan Kim;Jong-Hoon Kim;Jun-Hak Sim;Kang-Hee Lee;Sang-Keun Cho;Sang-Hyuk Park;Myung-Sook Hong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.269-273
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    • 2023
  • After participating in the Second Boer War in 1899, the Australian Army participated in world wars such as World War I, World War II, the Korean War, and the Vietnam War. To overcome the decline in the social recognition of soldiers and the continuous shortage of troops caused by the protracted war, the status and role of female personnel were expanded. The use of female manpower, which started as medical support during the Second Boer War, expanded to combat support missions such as communications, maintenance, driving, secret document management, and radar surveillance during World War II. After the Vietnam War, the Chiefs of Staff of the Australian Army, Navy and Air Force established a committee to expand women's participation in the military, improved service conditions for female personnel and supplemented regulations so that they were treated as soldiers, not women, and reached a turning point in expanding the role of female personnel in the Australian military. As a result, all combat positions, including special forces, were opened to women in 2014, and a plan was established to increase the proportion of women in each service by 2030. As a result, all combat positions, including special forces, were opened to women in 2014, and the Australian Armed Forces set a plan to increase the proportion of women by 2030. Like the Australian military, South Korea is also experiencing a demographic cliff and shortage of troops due to the continuing low birthrate problem. Through the history and current state of the use of female personnel in the Australian military, we would like to draw implications for the direction our military should go.

Impact Analysis of Abolition of Royalty on Non-fungible Tokens Market (로열티 폐지가 대체 불가능 토큰 시장에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Eun Mi Lee
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.365-370
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    • 2023
  • Royalty contributed to the development of the non-fungible token (NFT) ecosystem as a reward system that pays a portion of the sales to the creator whenever transactions occur. This study quantitatively analyzes the impact of the abolition of royalties, which is being expanded by some NFT marketplaces, on the NFT market, and qualitatively analyzes the results of the impact. The analysis results are as follows. First, the number of NFT mints is decreasing by causing creators to leave the NFT market and reducing new entry. Second, major NFT projects have refused to trade with marketplaces that have abolished royalties, leading to a decrease in the number of transactions. Third, the abolition of royalties has undermined the motivation of NFT creators to continue to develop their projects, leading to a drop in NFT floor prices. This study is expected to contribute to reducing the current negative impact in the short term by suggesting how the NFT community provides incentives to owners who voluntarily pay royalties independently of the policy of the NFT marketplace. In addition, it suggests that in the long run, fundamental solutions to the problem of abolishing royalties require improvements in technology related to royalty payments, cooperation between NFT marketplaces and NFT creators, and institutional support related to royalties.

A Reflection of Aging Society in Online Communities: An Exploratory Study on Changes in Conversation Style and Language Usage (온라인 커뮤니티에서 보여지는 노령화 사회의 단면: 대화 방식과 사용 언어의 변화에 대한 탐색적 연구)

  • Jung Lee;Jinyoung Han;Juyeon Ham
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.51-68
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    • 2023
  • With the emergence of the internet and the increasing use of online communities for over 20 years, the age range of users has also been rising. This study explores the linguistic changes that have occurred as the user age in online communities has increased. To do this, data was collected and analyzed from an online community that has been actively operating, despite new member registrations being closed nine years ago. By comparing the posts over an 11-year period from 2012 to 2022, changes such as an increase in average comments, a decrease in interrogative sentences, and a decrease in imperative statements were observed. The study also proposed loneliness due to aging and a decline in curiosity and confidence as potential causes of these changes. In South Korea, which is rapidly entering an aging society unprecedentedly fast on a global scale, the increase in single-person households has evolved loneliness from a personal issue to a social problem, manifested in an increase in solitary deaths and reclusive individuals. This research sheds light on one aspect of these social phenomena through the analysis of data from a large online community.

A study on the improvements to revitalize short selling from the perspective of protecting the interests of individual investors (개인투자자 이익보호의 관점에서 본 공매도 활성화를 위한 개선방안 연구)

  • Se-Dong Yang;Jae-Yeon Sim
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2024
  • Recently, the Korean financial market has implemented a ban on unleveraged short selling, and leveraged short selling, which involves selling borrowed securities, is called general short selling. This study sought to come up with improvement measures to revitalize short selling from the perspective of individual investors. Short selling refers to selling stocks you do not own in the stock market, predicting that the stock price of the stock will fall, and borrowing stocks to sell them. Based on the results of this study, the short selling market's growth and improvement plans are as follows. First, a plan must be developed to expand short selling opportunities for individual investors. In the domestic short selling market, including KOSPI and KOSDAQ, foreign and institutional participants account for more than 95% of the market, and individual investors are very small. Therefore, its expansion is inevitable. Second, monitoring and punishment for unfair short selling transactions must be strengthened. Representative improvement measures that can minimize the side effects of short selling include strengthening monitoring of unfair trading and short selling, and raising the level of punishment. In addition, measures must be taken to further increase the level of punishment for short selling related to unfair transactions. Third, the short selling reporting and disclosure system needs to be improved. In the case of Korea, short selling transactions are not yet as active as in developed countries, but there is a need to expand the disclosure system to strengthen market transparency in preparation for future short selling transactions becoming more active. In conclusion, it is reported that if short selling regulations are excessively strengthened, losses may occur in terms of price efficiency and market liquidity, which may ultimately have a negative impact on the market. Therefore, policies related to short selling must be made while taking into account the positive aspects of regulatory effects and the negative impact on the market.

Effect of Shading on Japanese Apricot Fruit Yield and Quality (차광이 매실의 수량 및 품질에 미치는 영향)

  • Jung Gun Cho;Sung Ku Kang;Seung Heui Kim;Sang Kun Park;Yong Bum Kwack
    • Journal of Practical Agriculture & Fisheries Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 2024
  • Light is an important component among which plays a crucial role in determining the production and quality of fruit trees. Since the disturbance of light directly leads to reduced photosynthetic efficiency, their damage can be increased especially in fruit trees such as Japanese apricots with a short growing time. In this study, we investigated how the effects of shading condition can affect the production and quality of Japanese apricots according to increased damages by light disturbance in the main orchard complex. The average photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) level in Japanese apricots was rapidly dropped as the shading time was increased compared to the control (304 μmol/m2/s) and the PAR level decreased to 142 μmol/m2/s after shaded for eight hours. The maximum photosynthetic efficiency, with a PAR value of 900 to 1,000 μmol/m2/s, corresponds to the time period without shading and the time period with 2 hours of shading, and these times range from 11 a.m. to 3 p.m. And the time period for shading for 4 hours was from 1:00 p.m. to 2:00 p.m., and under conditions of shading for 6 and 8 hours, the effect was a low amount of light. There was no difference in the weight of Japanese apricots during 2 hours shading time, however, it was significantly reduced as shading time were increased. The difference of the acid content and L/D ratio was not significant on shading time, but the SSC was decreased as times going on. In conclusion, our results indicate that the shading for more than 2 hours make negative effects to decrease the weight and SSC and the yield and affects directly to drop in fruit quality.

A Study on the Characteristics of Academic Achievement in Problem Solving and Inquiry Tasks of Korean Fourth Graders in TIMSS 2019 (TIMSS 2019 문제해결 및 탐구 과제에 대한 우리나라 초등학교 4학년 학생들의 학업성취 특성 분석)

  • Jeom-Rae Kwon
    • Journal of Science Education
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.31-46
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    • 2024
  • This study analyzes the academic achievement characteristics of Korean fourth graders on the problem solving and inquiry tasks (PSIs) introduced in TIMSS 2019. TIMSS 2019 conducted a computer-based assessment in addition to the traditional paper-based assessment. The PSIs were included only in the computer-based assessment, so 30 countries participated in the PSIs of the computer-based assessment. PSIs consist of integrating multiple content and cognitive domains, including 10 or fewer items. Most of the items are constructed in an open-ended format rather than multiple-choice. The analysis results showed that there were differences in student achievement across countries depending on the inclusion of PSIs. Korea's average achievement score decreased by 1 point. The analysis of individual items showed that students' achievement was somewhat low, and the correct answer rate for male students was generally higher than that for female students in many items. Furthermore, item-by-item analysis revealed that there were items where countries such as England and Finland had higher correct answer rates than traditional high-achieving countries, i.e. Singapore, Taiwan, and Korea. Considering the recent emphasis on integrated education, it seems necessary to review the use of PSIs in assessments in Korea as well.

A Spatial-Temporal Correlation Analysis of Housing Prices in Busan Using SpVAR and GSTAR (SpVAR(공간적 벡터자기회귀모델)과 GSTAR(일반화 시공간자기회귀모델)를 이용한 부산지역 주택가격의 시공간적 상관성 분석)

  • Kwon, Youngwoo;Choi, Yeol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.245-256
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    • 2024
  • Since 2020, quantitative easing and easy money policies have been implemented for the purpose of economic stimulus. As a result, real estate prices have skyrocketed. In this study, the relationship between sales and rental prices by housing type during the period of soaring real estate prices in Busan was analyzed spatio-temporally. Based on the actual transaction price data, housing type, transaction type, and monthly data of district units were constructed. Among the spatio-temporal analysis models, the SpVAR, which is used to understand the temporal and spatial effects of variables, and the GSTAR, which is used to understand the effects of each region on those variables, were used. As a result, the sales price of apartment had positive effect on the sale price of apartment, row house, and detached house in the surrounding area, including the target area. On the other hand, it was confirmed that demand was converted to apartment rental due to an increase in apartment sales prices, and the sale price fell again over time. The spatio-temporal spillover effect of apartments was positive, but the positive effect of row house and detached house were concentrated in the original downtown area.

Analysis of Price Fluctuation Factors in the Vessel Demolition Market : Focusing on India & Bangladesh (선박 해체시장 가격 변동 요인 분석 : 인디아, 방글라데시를 중심으로)

  • Lee ChongWoo;Jang Chul-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2023
  • This study investigates the factors contributing to price fluctuations in the shipscrapping market, the final stage in a vessel's life cycle. Shipping companies make decisions on ship dismantling based on factors such as declining freight rates, increasing vessel age leading to higher costs, or compliance with new environmental regulations. Utilizing the FMOLS (Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares) and VECM (Vector Error Correction Model) methodologies, the research explores the long-term elasticities of factors influencing shipscrapping prices and examines short-term causal relationships. Using a time series dataset spanning from December 2015 to April 2023, covering a total of 90 months, the study focuses on the shipscrapping prices of Capesize vessels in India and Bangladesh, which constitute a significant portion of the shipbreaking market. The findings indicate that, in the long term, shipscrapping prices are closely related to global scrap prices, 20-year-old secondhand Capesize vessel prices, newbuilding prices, and exchange rates. In terms of short-term causal relationships, an increase in global scrap prices induces a rise in shipscrapping prices, while the remaining variables do not contribute to such increases. Specifically, an escalation in shipscrapping prices is associated with increased prices of 20-year-old secondhand vessels, newbuilding prices, and exchange rates. However, the other variables do not show a significant influence on short-term increases in shipscrapping prices.