• Title/Summary/Keyword: 프로젝트 위험관리

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Analysis of Container Shipping Market Using Multivariate Time Series Models (다변량 시계열 모형을 이용한 컨테이너선 시장 분석)

  • Ko, Byoung-Wook;Kim, Dae-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2019
  • In order to enhance the competitiveness of the container shipping industry and promote its development, based on the empirical analyses using multivariate time series models, this study aims to suggest a few strategies related to the dynamics of the container shipping market. It uses the vector autoregressive (VAR) and vector error correction (VEC) models as analytical methodologies. Additionally, it uses the annual trade volumes, fleets, and freight rates as the dataset. According to the empirical results, we can infer that the most exogenous variable, the trade volume, exerted the highest influence on the total dynamics of the container shipping market. Based on these empirical results, this study suggests some implications for ship investment, freight rate forecasting, and the strategies of shipping firms. Concerning ship investment, since the exogenous trade volume variable contributes most to the uncertainty of freight rates, corporate finance can be considered more appropriate for container ship investment than project finance. Concerning the freight rate forecasting, the VAR and VEC models use the past information and the cointegrating regression model assumes future information, and hence the former models are found better than the latter model. Finally, concerning the strategies of shipping firms, this study recommends the use of cycle-linked repayment scheme and services contract.

A Research on RC3(RMF-CMMC Common Compliance) meta-model development in preparation for Defense Cybersecurity (국방 사이버보안을 위한 RMF-CMMC 공통규정준수 메타모델 개발방안 연구)

  • Jae-yoon Hwang;Hyuk-jin Kwon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.123-136
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    • 2024
  • The U.S. Department of Defense, leading global cybersecurity policies, has two main cybersecurity frameworks: the Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification (CMMC) for external defense industry certification, and the Risk Management Framework (RMF) for internal organizational security assessments. For Republic of Korea military, starting from 2026, the Korean version of RMF (K-RMF) will be fully implemented. Domestic defense industry companies participating in projects commissioned by the U.S. Department of Defense must obtain CMMC certification by October 2025. In this paper, a new standard compliance meta-model (R3C) development methodology that can simultaneously support CMMC and RMF security audit readiness tasks is introduced, along with the implementation results of a compliance solution based on the R3C meta-model. This research is based on practical experience with the U.S. Department of Defense's cybersecurity regulations gained during the joint project by the South Korean and U.S. defense ministries' joint chiefs of staff since 2022. The developed compliance solution functions are being utilized in joint South Korean-U.S. military exercises. The compliance solution developed through this research is expected to be available for sale in the private sector and is anticipated to be highly valuable for domestic defense industry companies that need immediate CMMC certification.

Economic Assessment for Flood Control Infrastructure under Climate Change : A Case Study of Imjin River Basin (기후변화를 고려한 홍수방재시설물의 경제성분석 : 임진강 유역사례)

  • Kim, Kyeongseok;Oh, Seungik
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.81-90
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    • 2017
  • In Imjin River basin, three floods occurred between 1996 and 1999, causing many casualties and economic losses of 900 billion won. In Korea, flood damage is expected to increase in the future due to climate change. This study used the climate scenarios to estimate future flood damage costs and suggested a real options-based economic assessment method. Using proposed method, the flood control infrastructures in Imjin River basin were selected as a case study site to analyze the economic feasibility of the investment. Using RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) climate scenarios, the future flood damage costs were estimated through simulated rainfall data. This study analyzed the flood reduction benefits through investment in the flood control infrastructures. The volatility of flood damage reduction benefits were estimated assuming that the RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 climate scenarios would be realized in the future. In 2071, the project option value would be determined by applying an extension option to invest in an upgrading that would allow the project to adapt to the flood of the 200-year return period. The results of the option values show that the two investment scenarios are economically feasible and the project under RCP8.5 climate scenario has more flood damage reduction benefits than RCP4.5. This study will help government decision makers to consider the uncertainty of climate change in the economic assessment of flood control infrastructures using real options analysis. We also proposed a method to quantify climate risk factors into economic values by using rainfall data provided by climate scenarios.

A study on the Rationalization of Safety Management through the Analysis of Accident Cause and Occurrence Principles for Safety Accidents in the Construction Industry -Focused on Burial, Conflagration, Explosion, Burn- (건설업 안전사고의 원인과 사고발생원리의 분석을 통한 안전관리 합리화 방안의 고찰 -매몰(埋沒), 화사(火事), 폭렬(爆裂), 화상(火傷)을 대상으로-)

  • Kim, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.99-111
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    • 2010
  • In recent years, the number of high-rise building construction projects has grown, and the number of construction safety accidents has also been increasing. Therefore, the objective of this study is to propose plans to prevent accidents by systematically organizing accident principles and developing a tree diagram for the process of safety accidents that occur in the construction industry. This study aims to show the diverse characteristics of construction accidents based on KOSHA's annual reports on safety accidents(burial, conflagration, explosion, burn) from 1993 to 2009. To achieve these objectives, in this study we first examined the risk factors for burial, conflagration, explosion, and burn. We then systematically organized the classification viewpoint of accident causes, and suggested a methodology for the rationalization of safety management through an analysis of the primary causes of accidents by work type. The results of this study based on this methodology can be divided into three areas: 1)the types of facilities were divided into 43 categories by analyzing the information of KOSHA's annual reports; 2)the causes of burial, conflagration, explosion, and burn were divided into 63types; 3)the types of work were divided into 29 categories.

Predicting Default of Construction Companies Using Bayesian Probabilistic Approach (베이지안 확률적 접근법을 이용한 건설업체 부도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Sungmoon;Hwang, Jaeyeon;Kwon, Taewhan;Kim, Juhyung;Kim, Jaejun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2016
  • Insolvency of construction companies that play the role of main contractors can lead to clients' losses due to non-fulfillment of construction contracts, and it can have negative effects on the financial soundness of construction companies and suppliers. The construction industry has the cash flow financial characteristic of receiving a project and getting payment based on the progress of the construction. As such, insolvency during project progress can lead to financial losses, which is why the prediction of construction companies is so important. The prediction of insolvency of Korean construction companies are often made through the KMV model from the KMV (Kealhofer McQuown and Vasicek) Company developed in the U.S. during the early 90s, but this model is insufficient in predicting construction companies because it was developed based on credit risk assessment of general companies and banks. In addition, the predictive performance of KMV value's insolvency probability is continuously being questioned due to lack of number of analyzed companies and data. Therefore, in order to resolve such issues, the Bayesian Probabilistic Approach is to be combined with the existing insolvency predictive probability model. This is because if the Prior Probability of Bayesian statistics can be appropriately predicted, reliable Posterior Probability can be predicted through ensured conditionality on the evidence despite the lack of data. Thus, this study is to measure the Expected Default Frequency (EDF) by utilizing the Bayesian Probabilistic Approach with the existing insolvency predictive probability model and predict the accuracy by comparing the result with the EDF of the existing model.

Performance Evaluation of Premier Global Construction Engineer Training Program (글로벌 건설 엔지니어링 고급인력 양성사업의 성과평가)

  • Park, Hyeon;Park, Inseok
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.97-104
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    • 2018
  • This paper aims to evaluate the performance of S University's Premier Global Construction Engineer Training Program. The net impact of the program is evaluated through a quasi-experiment design approach. The competency level of an individual participant is compared with that of a non-participating expert with similar professional background. The results show that the training program contributed to a significant improvement in the professional competencies of the participating students. The competency level was regressed on the subjects of curriculum. The achievements are attributable to a group of subjects focused on the skills for project development such as PPP, feasibility study, and project financing. Another group of subjects found to have significantly contributed to the improved competencies can be categorized as subjects focused on nurturing global perspectives. The paper shows it is possible to quantify the contribution of the program and the results provide a set of information that can be useful in designing and operating similar programs.

A Case Study of Delay Analysis for E.P.B Shield TBM Method in Construction Site (E.P.B(Earth Pressure Balance) Shield TBM 공사의 공기지연 사례연구)

  • Kwak, Jun-Hwan;Park, Hyung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.6D
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    • pp.737-743
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    • 2009
  • Shield TBM, since it was employed for Suyoungman Bay riverbed tunnel of Busan Subway in 2000,has been increasingly adopted in Korea, and in line with growing popularity, the study on Shield TBM has been expanded. However the studies mostly focus on ground condition in a bid to estimate the advancement rate and develop the model for calculating the excavation efficiency, whereas the efforts to analyze the cause of delay and to develop the improvement measures have been neglected. Thus the studies were mostly intended to analyze the schedule slippage focusing on ground conditions, while the study on schedule behind due to equipment itself and related facilities have yet to be attempted in earnest. This study hence was aimed at evaluating the troubles and schedule slippage caused by mechanical elements such as shield TBM equipment and tools and ground conditions, making use of FMEA approach so as to analyze the risk of schedule delay by such elements, thereby proposing the preventive measures to deal with high-risk factors. So, this study suggest the solution to highly ranked trouble factor for the purpose of enhance the efficiency on Shield TBM.

IPv6 기반의 정보 공유 P2P 개발

  • 이재준;김유정;안철현;이영로
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2003
  • 분산컴퓨팅, 다자간 협업, 대용량 고품질의 컨텐츠 교환을 지원하는 P2P는 차세대 인터넷의 핵심 어플리케이션이 될 것이다. 본래 인터넷의 근본이었던 IP 라우팅도 P2P 방식이었다. 장비가 다양해지고, PC가 증가하게 됨에 따라 동적 IP를 사용하거나, 하나의 IP를 여러 사람이 공유하여 사용하는 복잡한 방식을 취하기 시작했다. 그러나 새로운 IP 주소들이 충분히 공급될 수 있다면, 하나의 장치 당 하나의 주소 체제가 다시 각광을 받게 될 것이고, 지금처럼 불규칙적인 동적 IP 주소를 활용하지 않아도 될 것이다. 그런 의미에서 IPv6는 풍부한 주소자원을 각 단말에 부여할 수 있어, IPv16 기반의 P2P 구축은 P2P의 성능을 최적화하는 방법이 될 것이다. 현재 P2P는 콘텐츠 공유 및 전달, 네트워크/장치(하드디스크, CPU) 리소스 공유, 다자간 원격협업, 검색, 호스팅 및 프로젝트 관리 등 다양한 방법으로 활용되고 있다. 2000년경부터 대두되기 시작한 P2P 애플리케이션은 지난 2년 동안 급속하게 늘어났으며, 특히 인터넷 사용자들은 컨텐츠를 공유/전달할 목적으로 P2P를 많이 사용하고있다. 그러나 컨텐츠의 공유에 있어 MP3, 동영상, 이미지의 전달 및 공유에 그치고 있어, P2P를 기업 환경에서 지식공유 및 전달을 위한 시스템으로 활용하는 경우는 아직 미약하다. 그러므로 본 논문에서는 조직 내에서 정보활용 능력을 제고하기 위한 방안으로 P2P 시스템을 정보 공유 시스템으로 팔용하고, P2P의 성능을 최적화 할 수 있는 IPv6 기반의 개발 방안을 제안하고자 한다. 본 IPv6 기반의 정보 공유 P2P는 IPv6 전문가 그룹을 통해 시범적으로 적응하는 것으로 시작해, 학교 및 연구소를 통한 정보지식 공유 그리고 기업 정보화 솔루션으로 활용 될 수 있다.을 제시한다. 이렇게 함으로써 최대한 고객 납기를 만족하도록 계획을 수립할 수 있게 된다. 본 논문에서 제시하는 계획 모델을 사용함으로써 고객 주문에 대한 대응력을 높일 수 있고, 계획의 투명성으로 인한 전체 공급망의Bullwhip effect를 감소시킬 수 있는 장점이 있다. 동시에 이것은 향후 e-Business 시스템 구축을 위한 기본 인프라 역할을 수행할 수 있게 된다. 많았고 년도에 따른 변화는 보이지 않았다. 스키손상의 발생빈도는 초기에 비하여 점차 감소하는 경향을 보였으며, 손상의 특성도 부위별, 연령별로 다양한 변화를 나타내었다.해가능성을 가진 균이 상당수 검출되므로 원료의 수송, 김치의 제조 및 유통과정에서 병원균에 대한 오염방지에 유의하여야 할 것이다. 확인할 수 있었다. 이상의 결과에 의하면 고농도의 유기물이 함유된 음식물쓰레기는 Hybrid Anaerobic Reactor (HAR)를 이용하여 HRT 30일 정도에서 충분히 직접 혐기성처리가 가능하며, 이때 발생된 $CH_{4}$를 회수하여 이용하면 대체에너지원으로 활용 가치가 높은 것으로 판단된다./207), $99.2\%$(238/240), $98.5\%$(133/135) 및 $100\%$ (313)였다. 각각 두 개의 요골동맥과 우내흉동맥에서 부분협착이나 경쟁혈류가 관찰되었다. 결론: 동맥 도관만을 이용한 Off pump CABG를 시행하여 감염의 위험성을 증가시키지 않으면서 영구적인 신경학적 합병증을 일으키지 않았고 좋은 혈관 개존율을 보여주었다. 따라서 동맥 도관을 이용한 Off pump CABG는 관상동맥의 협착의 정도에 따라 효율적으로 시행 시 좋은 임상결과를 얻을 수 있을 것으로 생각된다.였다. 그러나 심근 기능이나

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A case study of the habitat expansion of the Asiatic black bear (Ursus thibetanus ussuricus) (반달가슴곰의 서식지 확대 사례)

  • Kim, Jeong-Jin;Kim, Tae-Wook;Choi, Ju-Yeol;Park, Seok-Ho;Han, Sang-Hyun;Lee, Sa-Hyun;Oh, Hong-Shik
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.196-203
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    • 2019
  • Habitat loss by industrialization, urbanization, and poaching reduced the population of Asiatic black bear (Ursus thibetabus ussuricus) population in South Korea in the late 20th Century. In the early 2000s, the Korean Government had begun a restoration project of Asiatic black bear. In 2017, a bear was found in Mt. Sudosan, Gimcheon, Gyeongsangbuk-do, approximately 80 km from Mt. Jirisan where the bear was first released. Genetic analysis confirmed that this bear was one of the Jirisan bear population, estimating that this bear escaped from its habitat. After trapping this bear in Mt. Sudosan, it was rereleased again in Mt. Jirisan, but this bear moved again to Mt. Sudosan. After 2nd trapping and releasing, this bear came back to Mt. Sudosan. In Mt. Sudosan, this bear covered a greater distance and moved more as compared to other Asiatic black bear in Mt. Jirisan. Today, this bear has its home range within Mt. Sudosan area after the third release, estimating that this bear is stable and active in this area. Our findings are the first case showing the interesting pattern of repetitive disperse activities and habitat expansion of Asiatic black bear. The results of this case are valuable information that can be used for wildlife conservation and restoration of endangered wildlife.

Disaster Prevention Service Design Framework (방재서비스디자인 프레임워크 연구)

  • Ha, Kwang Soo;Pan, Younghwan
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2016
  • Many hidden aspects of society around the world that has been lurking as risk factors have been ultimately connected to disasters. Such connection did not just stop with massive damages to properties and loss of lives but became a serious social issue. Especially in the case for Korea, because the country has gone through abrupt economic growth which has resulted in rapid urbanization and expansion of economic scale, Korea has been caught in a vicious cycle of experiencing human and social calamities repeatedly. Due to the seriousness of such problem, there's been continued research in various fields for managing disasters, and the domain of knowledge has been expanding with complexity. The following study went beyond the perspectives of disaster prevention study, disaster prevention engineering and social sciences suggested from previous research directions in disaster and disaster prevention, and attempted an alternative research method by approaching from a service design perspective. During the process, the paper looked over the summary on disaster and service design. By applying it on disaster prevention projects, the research sets forth and discusses effective and practical disaster prevention service design. Through specific case studies, the research methodology applied was verified, and the purpose of the study was carried out in the perspective of real world applications different from textbook type discussions. It is expected that through the disaster prevention service design process and platform that were discovered during the research result, defining and understanding disaster prevention service design will be made apparent. Additionally, the research is expected to be used as a basic building block for building a visualized plan for tangible and intangible factors related to disasters before the disaster process through such proposed disaster prevention service design.