• Title/Summary/Keyword: 폭염 연구

Search Result 212, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

Comparison of Disaster Vulnerability Analysis and Risk Evaluation of Heat Wave Disasters (폭염재해의 재해취약성분석 및 리스크 평가 비교)

  • Yu-Jeong SEOL;Ho-Yong KIM
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.132-144
    • /
    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of heat waves due to the increase in climate change temperature are increasing. Therefore, this study tried to compare the evaluation process and evaluation results of the heat wave disaster evaluation, which is the government's analysis of the heat wave disaster vulnerability and the risk evaluation method recently emphasized by the IPCC. The analysis of climate change disaster vulnerability is evaluated based on manuals and guidelines prepared by the government. Risk evaluation can be evaluated as the product of the possibility of a disaster and its impact, and it is evaluated using the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation based on Bayesian estimation method, which uses prior information to infer posterior probability. As a result of the analysis, the two evaluation results for Busan Metropolitan City differed slightly in the spatial distribution of areas vulnerable to heat waves. In order to properly evaluate disaster vulnerable areas due to climate change, the process and results of climate change disaster vulnerability analysis and risk assessment must be reviewed, and consider each methodology and countermeasures must be prepared.

Prediction of Temperature and Heat Wave Occurrence for Summer Season Using Machine Learning (기계학습을 활용한 하절기 기온 및 폭염발생여부 예측)

  • Kim, Young In;Kim, DongHyun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.27-38
    • /
    • 2020
  • Climate variations have become worse and diversified recently, which caused catastrophic disasters for our communities and ecosystem including economic property damages in Korea. Heat wave of summer season is one of causes for such damages of which outbreak tends to increase recently. Related short-term forecasting information has been provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration based on results from numerical forecasting model. As the study area, the ◯◯ province was selected because of the highest mortality rate in Korea for the past 15 years (1998~2012). When comparing the forecasted temperatures with field measurements, it showed RMSE of 1.57℃ and RMSE of 1.96℃ was calculated when only comparing the data corresponding to the observed value of 33℃ or higher. The forecasting process would take at least about 3~4 hours to provide the 4 hours advanced forecasting information. Therefore, this study proposes a methodology for temperature prediction using LSTM considering the short prediction time and the adequate accuracy. As a result of 4 hour temperature prediction using this approach, RMSE of 1.71℃ was occurred. When comparing only the observed value of 33℃ or higher, RMSE of 1.39℃ was obtained. Even the numerical prediction model of the whole range of errors is relatively smaller, but the accuracy of prediction of the machine learning model is higher for above 33℃. In addition, it took an average of 9 minutes and 26 seconds to provide temperature information using this approach. It would be necessary to study for wider spatial range or different province with proper data set in near future.

Changes of Yield and Quality in Potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) by Heat Treatment (폭염처리에 의한 감자의 수량성과 품질 변화)

  • Lee, Gyu-Bin;Choi, Jang-Gyu;Park, Young-Eun;Jung, Gun-Ho;Kwon, Do-Hee;Jo, Kwang-Ryong;Cheon, Chung-Gi;Chang, Dong Chil;Jin, Yong-Ik
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
    • /
    • v.24 no.3
    • /
    • pp.145-154
    • /
    • 2022
  • Due to abnormal weather conditions caused by climate change, natural disasters and damages are gradually increasing around the world. Global climate change as accompanied by warming is projected to exert adverse impact on production of potato, which is known as cool season crop. Even though, role of potato as a food security crop is expected to increase in the future, the climate change impacts on potato and adaption strategies are not sufficiently established. Therefore, this study was conducted to analyze the damage pattern of potatoes due to high temperature treatment and to evaluate the response of cultivars. T he high temperature treatment (35~38℃) induced heat stress by sealing the plastic house in midsummer (July), and the quantity and quality characteristics of potatoes were compared with the control group. T otal yield, marketable yield (>80 g) and the number of tubers per plants decreased when heat treatment was performed, and statistical significance was evident. In the heat treatment, 'Jayoung' cultivar suffered a high heat damage with an 84% reduction in yield of >80 g compared to the control group. However, in Jopung cultivar, the decrease was relatively small at 26%. Tuber physiological disturbances (Secondary growth, Tuber cracking, Malformation) tended to increase in the heat stress. Under heat conditions, the tubers were elongated overall, which means that the marketability of potatoes was lowered. T he tuber firmness and dry matter content tended to decrease significantly in the heat-treated group. T herefore, the yield and quality of tubers were damaged when growing potatoes in heat conditions. T he cultivar with high heat adaptability was 'Jopung'. T his result can be used as basic data for potato growers and breeding of heat-resistant cultivars.

A Study on the Efficient Utilization of Spatial Data for Heat Mapping with Remote Sensing and Simulation (원격탐사 및 시뮬레이션의 열지도 구축을 위한 공간정보 활용 효율화 연구)

  • Cho, Young-Il;Yoon, Donghyeon;Lim, Youngshin;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.36 no.6_1
    • /
    • pp.1421-1434
    • /
    • 2020
  • The frequency and intensity of heatwaves have been increasing due to climate change. Since urban areas are more severely damaged by heatwaves as they act in combination with the urban heat island phenomenon, every possible preparation for such heat threats is required. Many overseas local governments build heat maps using a variety of spatial information to prepare for and counteract heatwaves, and prepare heatwave measures suitable for each region with different spatial characteristics within a relevant city. Building a heat map is a first and important step to prepare for heatwaves. The cases of heat map construction and thermal environment analysis involve various area distributions from urban units with a large area to local units with a small area. The method of constructing a heat map varies from a method utilizing remote sensing to a method using simulation, but there is no standard for using differentiated spatial information according to spatial scale, so each researcher constructs a heat map and analyzes the thermal environment based on different methods. For the above reason, spatial information standards required for building a heat map according to the analysis scale should be established. To this end, this study examined spatial information, analysis methodology, and final findings related to Korean and oversea analysis studies of heatwaves and urban thermal environments to suggest ways to improve the utilization efficiency of spatial information used to build urban heat maps. As a result of the analysis, it was found that spatial, temporal, and spectral resolutions, as basic resolutions, are necessary to construct a heat map using remote sensing in the use of spatial information. In the use of simulations, it was found that the type of weather data and spatial resolution, which are input condition information for simulation implementation, differ according to the size of analysis target areas. Therefore, when constructing a heat map using remote sensing, spatial, spectral, and temporal resolution should be considered; and in the case of using simulations, the spatial resolution, which is an input condition for simulation implementation, and the conditions of weather information to be inputted, should be considered in advance. As a result of understanding the types of monitoring elements for heatwave analysis, 19 types of elements were identified such as land cover, urban spatial characteristics, buildings, topography, vegetation, and shadows, and it was found that there are differences in the types of the elements by spatial scale. This study is expected to help give direction to relevant studies in terms of the use of spatial information suitable for the size of target areas, and setting monitoring elements, when analyzing heatwaves.

Analysis on the Characteristics of Heat Wave Vulnerable Areas Using Landsat 8 Data and Vulnerability Assessment Analysis (Landsat 8 영상과 취약성 분석을 활용한 폭염재해 취약지역의 특성분석)

  • KIM, Ji-Sook;KIM, Ho-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-14
    • /
    • 2020
  • Cities are highly susceptible to disasters due to concentration of population and infrastructure and intensive land use, and there are various factors that affect vulnerability according to regional characteristics. This study analyzed the vulnerability of the heat wave and the surface temperature extracted from Landsat 8 satellite data. Areas with high surface temperature and with high vulnerability did not match. This study overlaid the results of vulnerability analysis and the land surface temperature(LST) in order to identify causes of vulnerability. The results showed that some areas within high-density commercial and semi-residential areas were the most vulnerable, with climate exposure factors, the ratio of the vulnerable populations and residential defective areas being the main causes. Accordingly, alternatives such as green space and residential environmental improvement could be suggested. Various policies for reducing and adapting to heat wave have been established and implemented. However, it is necessary to examine the regional and spatial characteristics of the city, to accurately diagnose the cause of the heat wave, and to prepare appropriate long-term alternatives accordingly.

Assessment of Surface Temperature Mitigation Effects of Wetlands During Heat and Cold Waves Using Daytime and Nighttime MODIS Land Surface Temperature (Terra/Aqua MODIS LST를 이용한 폭염 및 한파기간 동안 습지의 지면온도 완화효과 분석)

  • Chung, Jeehun;Lee, Yonggwan;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
    • /
    • v.21 no.spc
    • /
    • pp.123-133
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the surface temperature mitigation effect of wetlands during cold waves (below -12℃ from January to February) and heat waves (above 33℃ from July to August) in 2018. We used Terra/Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Daytime and Nighttime Land Surface Temperature (LST) product, and the maximum and minimum air temperature observed at 86 stations of Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). For the cold wave analysis, the LST of Terra MODIS nighttime was the highest at forest area with -12.7℃, followed by upland crop and wetland areas of -12.9℃ and -13.0℃ respectively. The urban area showed the lowest value of -14.4℃. During the heat wave, the urban area was the highest with + 34.6℃ in Aqua MODIS LST daytime. The wetland area was + 33.0℃ showing - 1.6℃ decrease comparing with urban area.

Monitoring of Crop Water Stress with Temperature Conditions Using MTCI and CCI (가뭄과 폭염 조건에서 MTCI와 CCI를 이용한 수분 스트레스 평가)

  • Kyeong-Min Kim;Hyun-Dong Moon;Euni Jo;Bo-Kyeong Kim;Subin Choi;Yuhyeon Lee;Yuna Lee;Hoejeong Jeong;Jae-Hyun Ryu;Hoyong Ahn;Seongtae Lee;Jaeil Cho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.39 no.6_1
    • /
    • pp.1225-1234
    • /
    • 2023
  • The intensity of crop water stress caused by moisture deficit is affected by growth and heat conditions. For more accurate detection of crop water stress state using remote sensing techniques, it is necessary to select vegetation indices sensitive to crop response and to understand their changes considering not only soil moisture deficit but also heat conditions. In this study, we measured the MERIS terrestrial chlorophyll index (MTCI) and chlorophyll/carotenoid index (CCI) under drought and heat wave conditions. The MTCI, sensitive to chlorophyll concentration, sensitively decreased on non-irrigation conditions and the degree was larger with heat waves. On the other hand, the CCI, correlated with photosynthesis efficiency, showed less sensitivity to water deficit but had decreased significantly with heat waves. After re-irrigation, the MTCI was increased than before damage and CCI became more sensitive to heat stress. These results are expected to contribute to evaluating the intensity of crop water stress through remote sensing techniques.

Study on the Characteristics of Spatial Relationship between Heat Concentration and Heat-deepening Factors Using MODIS Based Heat Distribution Map (MODIS 기반의 열 분포도를 활용한 열 집중지역과 폭염 심화요인 간의 공간관계 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Boeun;Lee, Mihee;Lee, Dalgeun;Kim, Jinyoung
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
    • /
    • v.36 no.5_4
    • /
    • pp.1153-1166
    • /
    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the spatial correlation between the heat distribution map of the satellite imaging base and the factors that deepen the heat wave, and to explore the heat concentration area and the space where the risk of future heat wave may increase. The global Moran's I of population, land use, and buildings, which are the causes of heat concentration and heat wave deepening, is found to be high and concentrated in specific spaces. According to the analysis results of local Moran's I, heat concentration areas appeared mainly in large cities such as metropolitan and metropolitan areas, and forests were dominant in areas with relatively low temperatures. Areas with high population growth rates were distributed in the surrounding areas of Gyeonggi-do, Daejeon, and Busan, and the use of land and buildings were concentrated in the metropolitan area and large cities. Analysis by Bivarate Local Moran's I has shown that population growth is high in heat-intensive areas, and that artificial and urban building environments and land use take place. The results of this research can lead to the ranking of heat concentration areas and explore areas with environments where heat concentration is concentrated nationwide and deepens it, so ultimately it is considered to contribute to the establishment of preemptive measures to deal with extreme heat.

A study on the use of fire hydrants as a heat wave reduction facility through hydraulic analysis of water supply network (상수관망 수리해석을 통한 폭염 저감 시설로써의 소화전 활용방안연구)

  • Hong, Sung Jin;Choi, Doo Yong;Yoo, Do Guen
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.54 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1215-1222
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, a study on how to use a fire hydrant as a heat wave reduction facility through hydraulic analysis of the water supply pipe network was conducted. Assuming that the fire hydrant installation point is open for heat wave reduction, the water pressure at each point was derived. And the reduction rate of the temperature according to the hydrant watering was compared with the watering area according to the operation of the watering truck. The watering area according to the opening of the fire hydrant was calculated by deriving the pressure value at the node where the fire hydrant was installed through hydraulic analysis of the water pipe network, and then using the watering radius relational expression according to the pressure value. As a result of applying the proposed methodology to two real city areas, the temperature reduction effect of the watering method by a fire hydrant can be derived lower than the watering method by a watering truck according to the difference in the absolute watering area. However, unlike a watering truck, a fire hydrant does not have a relative restriction on the amount of water supply and is expected to allows continuous divided spraying of the same area.

Review of the Weather Hazard Research: Focused on Typhoon, Heavy Rain, Drought, Heat Wave, Cold Surge, Heavy Snow, and Strong Gust (위험기상 분야의 지난 연구를 뒤돌아보며: 태풍, 집중호우, 가뭄, 폭염, 한파, 강설, 강풍을 중심으로)

  • Chang-Hoi Ho;Byung-Gon Kim;Baek-Min Kim;Doo-Sun R. Park;Chang-Kyun Park;Seok-Woo Son;Jee-Hoon Jeong;Dong-Hyun Cha
    • Atmosphere
    • /
    • v.33 no.2
    • /
    • pp.223-246
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper summarized the research papers on weather extremes that occurred in the Republic of Korea, which were published in the domestic and foreign journals during 1963~2022. Weather extreme is defined as a weather phenomenon that causes serious casualty and property loss; here, it includes typhoon, heavy rain, drought, heat wave, cold surge, heavy snow, and strong gust. Based on the 2011~2020 statistics in Korea, above 80% of property loss due to all natural disasters were caused by typhoons and heavy rainfalls. However, the impact of the other weather extremes can be underestimated rather than we have actually experienced; the property loss caused by the other extremes is hard to be quantitatively counted. Particularly, as global warming becomes serious, the influence of drought and heat wave has been increasing. The damages caused by cold surges, heavy snow, and strong gust occurred over relatively local areas on short-term time scales compared to other weather hazards. In particularly, strong gust accompanied with drought may result in severe forest fires over mountainous regions. We hope that the present review paper may remind us of the importance of weather extremes that directly affect our lives.