• Title/Summary/Keyword: 포아송모형

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Determination of Specimen Geometry for Identification of the Complex Modulus of Viscoelastic Materials (점탄성재료의 복소탄성계수 규명을 위한 시편 크기의 결정)

  • Kang, Kee-Ho;Sim, Song;Kim, Kwang-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1991.04a
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    • pp.133-138
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    • 1991
  • 일반적으로 고무를 비롯한 점탄성재료는 형상 및 크기를 적절히 조절함으로 써 한 방향 이상으로의 원하는 스프링상수를 얻을 수 있으며, 금속에 비하여 내부 마찰에 의한 에너지 발산이 매우 크기 때문에 강제 진동시의 진폭저감 및 충격에 따른 자유진동의 감쇠에 널리 이용되고 있다. 이와 같은 진동감쇠 에 점탄성재료를 효과적으로 사용하기 위해서는 복소탄성계수 즉, 탄성계수 와 손실계수를 정확하게 알아내는 것이 필요하다. 점탄성재료의 복소탄성계 수는 주파수, 온도 및 변형률등에 따라 변하므로 이와 같은 사용조건의 함수 로 구해야 한다. 복소탄성계수를 실험적으로 구하는 방법은 여러가지가 있으 며 실험의 용이성과 관심대상에 따라 적절한 방법을 선택하게 된다. 본 연구 에서는 주파수변화에 따른 복소탄성계수를 임피던스법으로 집중질량 모형을 이용하여 구하려고 할 때, 실험데이타로부터 보다 정확한 결과를 얻기 위하 여 적절한 시편의 크기를 결정하는 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위해서 시 편내의 파동전달효과와 포아송비와 관련된 양단제한효과 그리고 정하중시 압축변형에 대한 시편의 좌굴등을 고려하여 이론적으로 해석하였으며 실험 적으로도 검증하였다.

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Overdispersion in count data - a review (가산자료(count data)의 과산포 검색: 일반화 과정)

  • 김병수;오경주;박철용
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.147-161
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    • 1995
  • The primary objective of this paper is to review parametric models and test statistics related to overdspersion of count data. Poisson or binomial assumption often fails to explain overdispersion. We reviewed real examples of overdispersion in count data that occurred in toxicological or teratological experiments. We also reviewed several models that were suggested for implementing experiments. We also reviewed several models that were suggested for implementing the extra-binomial variation or hyper-Poisson variability, and we noted how these models were generalized and further developed. The approaches that have been suggested for the overdispersion fall into two broad categories. The one is to develop a parametric model for it, and the other is to assume a particular relationship between the variance and the mean of the response variable and to derive a score test staistics for detecting the overdispersion. Recently, Dean(1992) derived a general score test statistics for detecting overdispersion from the exponential family.

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Testing for Overdispersion in a Bivariate Negative Binomial Distribution Using Bootstrap Method (이변량 음이항 모형에서 붓스트랩 방법을 이용한 과대산포에 대한 검정)

  • Jhun, Myoung-Shic;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.341-353
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    • 2008
  • The bootstrap method for the score test statistic is proposed in a bivariate negative binomial distribution. The Monte Carlo study shows that the score test for testing overdispersion underestimates the nominal significance level, while the score test for "intrinsic correlation" overestimates the nominal one. To overcome this problem, we propose a bootstrap method for the score test. We find that bootstrap methods keep the significance level close to the nominal significance level for testing the hypothesis. An empirical example is provided to illustrate the results.

Ana1ysis of Unobservable Queueing Model with Arrival and Departure Points: LCFS (도착 및 이탈시점에 근거한 관측 불가능한 후입선출 대기행렬 모형의 분석)

  • Kim, Yun-Bae;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2007
  • Previous queue inference has been studied with some limits. Larson's inference engine, which is the basis for this paper, also processed with basic assumption that arrival process is poisson process. Our inference method, which relaxes the poisson process assumption, must be a useful tool for looking into unobservable inside of queueing systems, as well as calculating accurate system performance. This paper employs these inference methods and proves the validity. Then we apply this method to system analysis for more complicated models. At first, we suggest methods to system with known number of servers, then expand to unknown number of servers. For validating our inference approach, we run some simulation models and compare true values with our results.

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A Study on the Attribute Analysis of Software Reliability Model with Shape Parameter Change of Infinite Fault NHPP Lomax Life Distribution (무한고장 NHPP Lomax 수명분포의 형상모수 변화에 따른 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형의 속성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Min, Kyung-il
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.8
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    • pp.20-26
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the optimal shape parameter condition is presented after analyzing the attributes of the software reliability model according to the change of the shape parameter of Loma life distribution with infinite fault NHPP. In order to analyze the software failure phenomena, the parametric estimation method was applied to the Maximum Likelihood Estimation method, and the nonlinear equation was applied to the bisection method. As a result, it was found that when the attributes according to the change of the shape parameter are compared, the smaller the shape parameter is, the better the prediction ability of the true value, and reliability attributes are efficient. Through this study, it is expected that software developers can increase reliability by preliminarily grasping the type of software failure based on shape parameter, and can be used as basic information to improve the software reliability attributes.

The Comparative Study of NHPP Software Reliability Model Based on Exponential and Inverse Exponential Distribution (지수 및 역지수 분포를 이용한 NHPP 소프트웨어 무한고장 신뢰도 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.133-140
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    • 2016
  • Software reliability in the software development process is an important issue. Software process improvement helps in finishing with reliable software product. Infinite failure NHPP software reliability models presented in the literature exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, we were proposed the reliability model with the exponential and inverse exponential distribution, which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of efficient model, were employed. Analysis of failure, using real data set for the sake of proposing the exponential and inverse exponential distribution, was employed. This analysis of failure data compared with the exponential and inverse exponential distribution property. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In this study, the inverse exponential distribution model is also efficient in terms of reliability because it (the coefficient of determination is 80% or more) in the field of the conventional model can be used as an alternative could be confirmed. From this paper, the software developers have to consider life distribution by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can be able to help.

Development of the Expected Safety Performance Models for Rural Highway Segments (지방부 국도의 사고예측모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Ju-Taek;Kim, Do-Hoon;Lee, Dong-Min
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 2012
  • The past researches on roadway segment safety estimation focused on intersections, which are the primary traffic accident regions. The past researches on roadway segments, However, analyzed the effects of certain factors on the traffic accident occurrence rate by organizing the individual geometric structures of the roads, and there is still a dearth of researches on the development of a traffic accident estimation model for rural roadway segments. Therefore, this research focused on rural two-lane and multilane roadway segments and developed traffic accident estimation models through the application of statistical techniques. This is required to explain such high frequency of zero counts in the traffic accident data. In this research, it was found that the Hurdle model is more suitable than the Poisson or negative binomial-regression model for explaining the excess zeros case. In addition, main variables were chosen to estimate their effects on traffic accident occurrence at rural roadway segments, and the safety at such rural roadway segments was estimated. In this research, it was assumed that there are different factors that affect the safety at two-way lane and multilane roadway segments, and a traffic accident estimation model was developed by dividing the two-way lane and multilane roadway segments.

The Study of Infinite NHPP Software Reliability Model from the Intercept Parameter using Linear Hazard Rate Distribution (선형위험률분포의 절편모수에 근거한 무한고장 NHPP 소프트웨어 신뢰모형에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.278-284
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    • 2016
  • Software reliability in the software development process is an important issue. In infinite failure NHPP software reliability models, the fault occurrence rates may have constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing pattern. In this paper, infinite failures NHPP models that the situation was reflected for the fault occurs in the repair time, were presented about comparing property. Commonly, the software model of the infinite failures using the linear hazard rate distribution software reliability based on intercept parameter was used in business economics and actuarial modeling, was presented for comparison problem. The result is that a relatively large intercept parameter was appeared effectively form. The parameters estimation using maximum likelihood estimation was conducted and model selection was performed using the mean square error and the coefficient of determination. The linear hazard rate distribution model is also efficient in terms of reliability because it (the coefficient of determination is 90% or more) in the field of the conventional model can be used as an alternative model could be confirmed. From this paper, the software developers have to consider intercept parameter of life distribution by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can be able to help.

Safety Impacts of Red Light Enforcement on Signalized Intersections (교차로 신호위반 단속카메라 설치가 차량사고에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Lee, Yong Doo;Do, Myung Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.93-102
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    • 2012
  • The frequency and severity of traffic accidents related to signalized intersections in urban areas have been more serious than those in both arterial segments and crosswalks. Especially, traffic accidents involved with injuries and fatalities have caused by traffic signal violations within intersections. Therefore, many countries including Korea have installed the red light enforcement camera (RLE) to reduce traffic accidents associated with the traffic signal violation. Meanwhile, many methodologies have been studied in terms of safety impacts estimation of red light enforcement, which, however, cannot be easy to conduct. In this study, safety impacts was estimated for intersections of Chicago downtown area using SPF models and EB approach. As a result, for all crash types and target traffic accident types such as "angle", "rear end", "sideswipe in the same and other directions", "turn", and "head on", fatal crashes were reduced by 26% and 38%. However, RLE may increase property-demage-only-crashes by 3.23% and 1.16%, respectively.

A Guideline for the Location of Bus Stop Type considering the Interval Distance of Bus Stops and Crosswalks at Mid-Block (Mid-Block상의 버스정류장과 횡단보도 이격거리를 고려한 버스정류장 배치형태 기준 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Beom;Gang, Tae-Uk;Gang, Dong-Su;Kim, Jang-Uk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.123-133
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    • 2010
  • The national standards for the installation of pedestrian crosswalks prohibits installation of crosswalks within 200 meters of nearby overpasses, underpasses, or crosswalks. In case the exceptional installation is required, the feasibility study is to be thoroughly conducted by the local police agency. However, it is an undeniable fact that the specific installation standards for optimal types and locations of crosswalks are not yet to be established. This paper examines the development of traffic accident prediction model applicable to different types and locations of bus stops(type A and type B) at mid-block intersections. Furthermore, it develops the poisson regression model which sets the "number of traffic accidents" and "traffic accident severity" as dependent variables, while using "traffic volumes", "pedestrian traffic volumes" and "the distance between crosswalks and bus stops" as independent variables. According to the traffic accident prediction model applicable to the type A bus stop location, the traffic accident severity increases relative to the number of traffic volumes, the number of pedestrian traffic volumes, and the distance between crosswalks and bus stops. In case of the type B bus stop model, the further the bus stop is from crosswalks, the number of traffic accidents decreases while it increases when traffic volumes and pedestrian traffic volumes increase. Therefore, it is reasonable to state that the bus stop design which minimizes the traffic accidents is the type C design, which is the one in combination of type A and type B, and the optimal distance is found to be 65 meters. In case of the type A design and the type B design, the optimal distances are found to be within range 60~70meters.