• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균 자승 오차 최소법

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Performance Comparison of Data Mining Approaches for Prediction Models of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Data (근적외선 분광 데이터 예측 모형을 위한 데이터 마이닝 기법의 성능비교)

  • Baek, Seung Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.311-315
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    • 2013
  • 본 논문에서는 주성분 회귀법과 부분최소자승 회귀법을 비교하여 보여준다. 이 비교의 목적은 선형형태를 보유한 근적외선 분광 데이터의 분석에 사용할 수 있는 적합한 예측 방법을 찾기 위해서이다. 두 가지 데이터 마이닝 방법론인 주성분 회귀법과 부분최소자승 회귀법이 비교되어 질 것이다. 본 논문에서는 부분최소자승 회귀법은 주성분 회귀법과 비교했을 때 약간 나은 예측능력을 가진 결과를 보여준다. 주성분 회귀법에서 50개의 주성분이 모델을 생성하기 위해서 사용지만 부분최소자승 회귀법에서는 12개의 잠재요소가 사용되었다. 평균제곱오차가 예측능력을 측정하는 도구로 사용되었다. 본 논문의 근적외선 분광데이터 분석에 따르면 부분최소자승회귀법이 선형경향을 가진 데이터의 예측에 가장 적합한 모델로 판명되었다.

The Compensation Algorithm for Localization Using the Least-Squares Method in NLOS Environment (NLOS환경에서의 최소자승법을 적용한 위치인식 보정 알고리즘)

  • Jung, Moo-Kyung;Choi, Chang-Yong;Lee, Dong-Myung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.37 no.4B
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    • pp.309-316
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    • 2012
  • The compensation algorithm for localization using the least-squires method in NLOS(Non Line of Sight) environment is suggested and the performance of the algorithm is analyzed in this paper. In order to improve the localization correction rate of the moving node, 1) the distance value of the moving node that is moving as an constant speed is measured by SDS-TWR(Symmetric Double-Sided Two-Way Ranging); 2) the location of the moving node is measured using the triangulation scheme; 3) the location of the moving node measured in 2) is compensated using the least-squares method. By the experiments in NLOS environment, it is confirmed that the average localization error rates are measured to ${\pm}1m$, ${\pm}0.2m$ and ${\pm}0.1m$ by the triangulation scheme, the Kalman filter and the least-squires method respectively. As a result, we can see that the localization error rate of the suggested algorithm is higher than that of the triangulation as average 86.0% and the Kalman filter as average 16.0% respectively.

Comparison of Active Sonar Target Positioning Performance and Optimal Sensor Arrangement (능동 소나 위치 추정 성능 비교 및 최적 수신망 배치)

  • 박치현;홍우영;고한석;김인익
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.224-232
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, efficient deployment method of sensors and target positioning performance with respect to measurement error are dealt with. Active sonar can be categorized into Monostatic, Bistatic, Multistatic sonar, and characteristics of respective sonar are different. Assuming that each sensor can receive range and angular information, we compare the performance of Monostatic, Bistatic, and Multistatic systems. And we suggest Weighted least square (WLS) which gives the weight to former case, LS. In particular. adopting suggested method we investigate the target positioning performance according to number of sensor, distance from transmitter to receiver, and propose efficient arrangement rule for Multistatic sonar configurations. According to the experimental results, RMSE of Multistatic sonar is found to be superior to Monostatic and Bistatic by 35.98%. 37.45% respectively, and WLS is superior to LS approximately by 7.4% in average. Furthermore, as the difference of respective sensor's variance is large, it is observed that the improvement ratio of target positioning performance is increased.

Load Forecasting for Holidays using Fuzzy Least-Squares Linear Regression Algorithm (퍼지 최소자승 선형회귀분석 알고리즘을 이용한 특수일 전력수요예측)

  • Ku, Bon-Suk;Baek, Young-Sik;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2001.11b
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    • pp.51-53
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    • 2001
  • 전력 수요 예측은 전력 수급 안정과 양질의 전력을 공급하기 위한 필수 기법이며 경쟁적인 전력시장에서 전력요금과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 그러므로, 경쟁적인 전력시장 구조하의 시장 참여자에게 있어서 전력 수요 예측은 매우 관심 있는 사항이다. 최근의 전력 수요 예측 기법으로 예측한 오차율을 살펴보면 평일과는 다르게 특수일의 전력 수요예측은 평균 5%를 상회하는 수준으로 예측의 정확도가 평일 예측에 비해 크게 낮은데 이유는 특수일이 평일에 비하여 부하의 크기가 다소 낮게 나타나고 특수일 마다 계절적인 차이가 있으며 각각의 특수일 마다 고유한 부하의 특성이 있으므로 과거 데이터를 이용할 때 동일 특수일을 이용하게 되며 따라서 평일과는 다르게 일년 단위로 과거 데이터 값들이 취득되므로 오차율이 커진다. 따라서 데이터들을 퍼지화하여 선형계획법을 수행하여 평균 $2{\sim}3%$ 정도의 우수한 결과를 도출한 바 있다. 본 논문에서는 퍼지 선형회귀분석법을 이용한 예측 기법에 최소자승법을 도입하여 특수일 전력 수요예측의 정확도를 개선하였다.

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Determination of Design Width for Medium Streams in the Han River Basin (한강유역의 중소하천에 대한 계획하폭 산정)

  • Jeon, Se-Jin;An, Tae-Jin;Park, Jeong-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.675-684
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the empirical formulas for determining the design-width for medium rivers in the Han river basin. The design flood, the watershed ares, and the channel slope of 216 medium rivers in the Han river basin are collected. the design width formulas are then determined by 1) the least squares (LS) method, 2)the least median squares (LMS) method, and 3) the reweighted least squares method based on the LMS (RLS). The six types of formulas are considered to determine the acceptable type for medium streams in the Han river basin. The root mean squared errors (RMSE), the absolute mean (AME) errors, and the mean errors (ME) are computed to test the formulas derived by three regression methods. It si found that the equation related stream width to the watershed area and the channel slope is acceptable for determining the design width for medium streams in the Han river basin. It is expected that the equations proposed by this study be used an index for determining the design-width for medium streams in the Han river basin.

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A Study on Optimum Cam Profile Extraction Considering Dynamic Characteristics of a Cam-Valve System (밸브 기구의 동특성을 고려한 캠 형상 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 박경조;전혁수;박윤식
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 1989
  • In this work, a numerical and experimental study was done to get an optimum cam profile considering dynamic characteristics of a cam-valve system. First of all, a four degree of freedom dynamic model was set up for an OHV type cam-valve acceleration while not modifying original cam shape greatly. Also another optimization which aims to enlarge the valve displacement area while reducing the peak valve acceleration, was tried. The optimized cam profile was tested experimentally and found that the measured valve displacement and pushrod force show only very small error from the analytically predicted model simulation results.

Comparison of Different Multiple Linear Regression Models for Real-time Flood Stage Forecasting (실시간 수위 예측을 위한 다중선형회귀 모형의 비교)

  • Choi, Seung Yong;Han, Kun Yeun;Kim, Byung Hyun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.1B
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 2012
  • Recently to overcome limitations of conceptual, hydrological and physics based models for flood stage forecasting, multiple linear regression model as one of data-driven models have been widely adopted for forecasting flood streamflow(stage). The objectives of this study are to compare performance of different multiple linear regression models according to regression coefficient estimation methods and determine most effective multiple linear regression flood stage forecasting models. To do this, the time scale was determined through the autocorrelation analysis of input data and different flood stage forecasting models developed using regression coefficient estimation methods such as LS(least square), WLS(weighted least square), SPW(stepwise) was applied to flood events in Jungrang stream. To evaluate performance of established models, fours statistical indices were used, namely; Root mean square error(RMSE), Nash Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSEC), mean absolute error (MAE), adjusted coefficient of determination($R^{*2}$). The results show that the flood stage forecasting model using SPW(stepwise) parameter estimation can carry out the river flood stage prediction better in comparison with others, and the flood stage forecasting model using LS(least square) parameter estimation is also found to be slightly better than the flood stage forecasting model using WLS(weighted least square) parameter estimation.

Comparison of Partial Least Squares and Support Vector Machine for the Autoignition Temperature Prediction of Organic Compounds (유기물의 자연발화점 예측을 위한 부분최소자승법과 SVM의 비교)

  • Lee, Gi-Baek
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2012
  • The autoignition temperature is one of the most important physical properties used to determine the flammability characteristics of chemical substances. Despite the needs of the experimental autoignition temperature data for the design of chemical plants, it is not easy to get the data. This study have built and compared partial least squares (PLS) and support vector machine (SVM) models to predict the autoignition temperatures of 503 organic compounds out of DIPPR 801. As the independent variables of the models, 59 functional groups were chosen based on the group contribution method. The prediction errors calculated from cross-validation were employed to determine the optimal parameters of two models. And, particle swarm optimization was used to get three parameters of SVM model. The PLS and SVM results of the average absolute errors for the whole data range from 58.59K and 29.11K, respectively, indicating that the predictive ability of the SVM is much superior than PLS.

Trajectory-based Localization to overcome Radio Shadow Area in Port Logistics Environments (항만 환경의 음영지역 극복을 위한 동선 정보 기반의 측위 기법)

  • Jin, Young-Woo;Son, Sang-Hyun;Choi, Hoon;Baek, Yun-Ju
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2010.06b
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    • pp.446-450
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    • 2010
  • 다변측량법은 위치가 알려진 3개 이상의 지점으로부터 대상까지의 거리 정보를 바탕으로 대상의 위치를 계산하는 기법이다. Real Time Locating Systems (RTLS) 에서는 대상의 위치를 파악하기 위해 다변측량 기법을 주로 사용하는데, 이를 위해서는 리더와 대상과의 거리 정보가 3개 이상 필요하다. 그러나 항만 환경처럼 시설물 설치가 어렵고 장애물도 많은 넓은 지역에서는 음영지역이 다수 존재하여 이러한 조건을 항상 만족시키기 어렵다. 본 논문에서는 다변측량이 불가능한 적은 수의 거리 정보만으로 대상의 위치를 파악할 수 있도록 대상의 동선 정보를 이용하는 동선 정보 기반의 측위 기법을 제안한다. 성능 평가 결과 최소자승법만을 사용했을 때보다 평균 측위 오차가 약 3m, 표준 편차가 6m 줄었으며, 측위 성공률이 4.6 배 이상 높아졌다.

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A Study on the Measurements of Sub-surface Residual Stress in the Field of Linear Stress Gradient (선형구배 응력장에서 표층의 잔류응력 측정에 관한 연구)

  • 최병길;전상윤;이택순
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.1632-1642
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    • 1992
  • When a blind hole of small diameter is drilled in the field of residual stress, strain relieved around the hole is function of magnitude of stress, patterns of stress distribution and hole geometry of diameter and depth. Relieved strain coefficients can be calculated from FEM analysis of relieved strain and actual stress. These relieved strain coefficients make it possible to measure residual stress which vary along the depth in the subsurface of stressed material. In this study, the calibration tests of residual stress measurement are carried out by drilling a hole incrementally on the cantilever or on the tensile test bar. Residual stresses can be determined from measured strains around a shallow hole by application of power series method. For the sake of reliable measurement of residual stress, much efforts should be done to measure relieved strains and hole depth more accurately comparing with conventional procedures of gage subject to the external load. Otherwise linear equations converting strains into stresses may yield erratic residual stresses because of ill-conditions of linear equations. With accurate measurements of relieved strains, residual stress even if varying along the depth can be measured. It is also possible to measure residual stress in the thin film of material by drilling a shallow hole.