• Title/Summary/Keyword: 평균회귀

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The anti-diabetic effect of propolis using Hedges' standardized mean difference (헤지의 표준화된 평균차를 이용한 프로폴리스의 항-당뇨 효과)

  • Kim, Mi-Jin;Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.447-459
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    • 2010
  • The present study was carried out to summarize the effect of propolis in the diabetic rats by meta-analysis related studies. The association measure to test effect of propolis was Hedges's standardized mean difference between group of rats induced streptozotocin(STZ) or alloxan and group of rats induced STZ or alloxan treated with propolis about the considered 4 effect factors. In this particular fixed-effect model, blood glucose, Cholesterol, Triglyceride were significantly reduce. The case of heterogenous variable such as body weight, blood glucose, cholesterol, triglyceride, random-effect model was applied. In this model, blood glucose, triglyceride were decreased significantly in propolis treated group. According to the meta-regression analysis, period of injection was significant for body weight and blood glucose, cholesterol.

A Study on Performance Evaluation of HM-Net Adaptation System Using the State Level Sharing (상태레벨 공유를 이용한 HM-Net 적응화 시스템의 성능평가에 관한 연구)

  • 오세진;김광동;노덕규;황철준;김범국;김광수;성우창;정현열
    • Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.397-400
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 KM-Net(Hidden Markov Network)을 다양한 태스크에의 적용과 화자의 특성을 효과적으로 나타내기 위해 HM-Net 음성인식 시스템에 MLLR(Maximum Likelihood Linear Regression) 적응방법을 도입하였으며, HM-Net 학습 알고리즘을 개량하여 회귀클래스 생성방법을 제안한다. 제안방법은 PDT-SSS(Phonetic Decision Tree-based Successive State Splitting) 알고리즘의 문맥방향 상태분할에 의한 상태레벨 공유를 이용한 방법으로 새로운 화자로부터 문맥정보와 적응화 데이터의 발성 양에 의존하여 결정된 많은 적응 파라미터들을(평균, 분산) 자유롭게 제어할 수 있게 된다. 제안방법의 유효성을 확인하기 위해 국어공학센터(KLE) 452 음성 데이터와 항공편 예약관련 연속음성을 대상으로 인식실험을 수행한 결과, 전체적으로 음소인식의 경우 평균 34-37%, 단어인식의 경우 평균 9%, 연속음성인식의 경우 평균 7-8%의 인식성능 향상을 각각 보였다. 또한 적응화 데이터의 양에 따른 인식성능 비교에서, 제안방법을 적용한 인식 시스템이 적응 데이터의 양이 적은 경우에도 향상된 인식률을 보였으며. 잡음을 부가한 음성에 대한 적응화 실험에서도 향상된 인식성능을 보여 MLLR 적응방법의 특성을 만족하였다. 따라서 MLLR 적응방법을 도입한 HM-Net 음성인식 시스템에 제안한 회귀클래스 생성방법이 유효함을 확인한 수 있었다.

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Identification of Uncertainty in Fitting Rating Curve with Bayesian Regression (베이지안 회귀분석을 이용한 수위-유량 관계곡선의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Sang-Ug;Lee, Kil-Seong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.943-958
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    • 2008
  • This study employs Bayesian regression analysis for fitting discharge rating curves. The parameter estimates using the Bayesian regression analysis were compared to ordinary least square method using the t-distribution. In these comparisons, the mean values from the t-distribution and the Bayesian regression are not significantly different. However, the difference between upper and lower limits are remarkably reduced with the Bayesian regression. Therefore, from the point of view of uncertainty analysis, the Bayesian regression is more attractive than the conventional method based on a t-distribution because the data size at the site of interest is typically insufficient to estimate the parameters in rating curve. The merits and demerits of the two types of estimation methods are analyzed through the statistical simulation considering heteroscedasticity. The validation of the Bayesian regression is also performed using real stage-discharge data which were observed at 5 gauges on the Anyangcheon basin. Because the true parameters at 5 gauges are unknown, the quantitative accuracy of the Bayesian regression can not be assessed. However, it can be suggested that the uncertainty in rating curves at 5 gauges be reduced by Bayesian regression.

Generalization of modified systematic sampling and regression estimation for population with a linear trend (선형추세를 갖는 모집단에 대한 변형계통표집의 일반화와 회귀추정법)

  • Kim, Hyuk-Joo;Kim, Jeong-Hyeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1103-1118
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    • 2009
  • When we wish to estimate the mean or total of a finite population, the numbering of the population units is of importance. In this paper, we have proposed two methods for estimating the mean or total of a population having a linear trend, for the case when the reciprocal of the sampling fraction is an even number and the sample size is an odd number. The first method involves drawing a sample by using a method which is a generalization of Singh et al's (1968) modified systematic sampling, and using interpolation in determining the estimator. The second method involves selecting a sample by modified systematic sampling, and estimating the population parameters by the regression estimation method. Under the criterion of the expected mean square error based on Cochran's (1946) infinite superpopulation model, the proposed methods have been compared with existing methods. We have also made a comparison between the two proposed methods.

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An estimation method based on autocovariance in the simple linear regression model (단순 선형회귀 모형에서 자기공분산에 근거한 최적 추정 방법)

  • Park, Cheol-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.251-260
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we propose a new estimation method based on autocovariance for selecting optimal estimators of the regression coefficients in the simple linear regression model. Although this method does not seem to be intuitively attractive, these estimators are unbiased for the corresponding regression coefficients. When the exploratory variable takes the equally spaced values between 0 and 1, under mild conditions which are satisfied when errors follow an autoregressive moving average model, we show that these estimators have asymptotically the same distributions as the least squares estimators. Additionally, under the same conditions as before, we provide a self-contained proof that these estimators converge in probability to the corresponding regression coefficients.

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Comparison of estimation methods for expectile regression (평률 회귀분석을 위한 추정 방법의 비교)

  • Kim, Jong Min;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.343-352
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    • 2018
  • We can use quantile regression and expectile regression analysis to estimate trends in extreme regions as well as the average trends of response variables in given explanatory variables. In this paper, we compare the performance between the parametric and nonparametric methods for expectile regression. We introduce each estimation method and analyze through various simulations and the application to real data. The nonparametric model showed better results if the model is complex and difficult to deduce the relationship between variables. The use of nonparametric methods can be recommended in terms of the difficulty of assuming a parametric model in expectile regression.

Autocovariance based estimation in the linear regression model (선형회귀 모형에서 자기공분산 기반 추정)

  • Park, Cheol-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.839-847
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    • 2011
  • In this study, we derive an estimator based on autocovariance for the regression coefficients vector in the multiple linear regression model. This method is suggested by Park (2009), and although this method does not seem to be intuitively attractive, this estimator is unbiased for the regression coefficients vector. When the vectors of exploratory variables satisfy some regularity conditions, under mild conditions which are satisfied when errors are from autoregressive and moving average models, this estimator has asymptotically the same distribution as the least squares estimator and also converges in probability to the regression coefficients vector. Finally we provide a simulation study that the forementioned theoretical results hold for small sample cases.

Directional conditionally autoregressive models (방향성을 고려한 공간적 조건부 자기회귀 모형)

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.835-847
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    • 2016
  • To analyze lattice or areal data, a conditionally autoregressive (CAR) model has been widely used in the eld of spatial analysis. The spatial neighborhoods within CAR model are generally formed using only inter-distance or boundaries between regions. Kyung and Ghosh (2010) proposed a new class of models to accommodate spatial variations that may depend on directions. The proposed model, a directional conditionally autoregressive (DCAR) model, generalized the usual CAR model by accounting for spatial anisotropy. Properties of maximum likelihood estimators of a Gaussian DCAR are discussed. The method is illustrated using a data set of median property prices across Greater Glasgow, Scotland, in 2008.

Bayesian analysis of directional conditionally autoregressive models (방향성 공간적 조건부 자기회귀 모형의 베이즈 분석 방법)

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1133-1146
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    • 2016
  • Counts or averages over arbitrary regions are often analyzed using conditionally autoregressive (CAR) models. The spatial neighborhoods within CAR model are generally formed using only the inter-distance or boundaries between the sub-regions. Kyung and Ghosh (2009) proposed a new class of models to accommodate spatial variations that may depend on directions, using different weights given to neighbors in different directions. The proposed model, directional conditionally autoregressive (DCAR) model, generalized the usual CAR model by accounting for spatial anisotropy. Bayesian inference method is discussed based on efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of the posterior distributions of the parameters. The method is illustrated using a data set of median property prices across Greater Glasgow, Scotland, in 2008.

Applying regional regression analysis of the hydrologic model parameters for assessing climate change impacts in the ungaged watershed (미계측 유역의 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 수문모형 매개변수의 지역회귀분석 적용)

  • Kim, Youngil;Seo, Seung Beom;Kim, Sung Jin;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.219-219
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    • 2017
  • 상대적으로 유역의 관측 자료가 충분하지 못하거나 검증되지 않았을 경우 미계측 유역으로 정의되며 수문모형의 매개변수 검정을 할 수 없으므로 다른 방법을 고안해야 한다. 이를 위해 기존 연구에서는 지역적 특성을 고려한 지역회기분석을 통해 미계측 유역의 유량을 산정하였는데, 대부분 유역의 특성과 연 평균 유출량 자료의 관계를 이용한 회귀식으로 실시간 유량의 변화를 고려하기 어려웠다. 본 연구에서는 개념적 강우-유출모형으로 많이 사용되고 있는 개념적 수문모형인 GR4J의 매개변수에 대해 미계측 유역의 특성을 고려한 변수들을 이용하여 회귀식을 구하고 그 적용성을 평가하였다. 이를 통해 미계측 유역의 유량 시계열 자료를 생성할 수 있었다. 또한 IPCC에서 발간한 AR5의 RCP 4.5 시나리오를 적용하여 미래 유출량을 산정하였다. 우선 지역회귀분석을 적용하기 위해 수문모형을 이용한 계측 유역의 유출량을 구하였으며 22개의 전국 댐 상류 지점을 기준으로 SCE 알고리즘을 이용하여 GR4J의 최적 매개변수를 구하고 각 유역별로 물리적, 지형적, 기상학적 특성을 고려하여 11개의 변수를 선택하였다. 각 변수간 다중공선성(Multicollinearity)를 고려하기 위해 VIF(Variation Inflation Factor) test를 적용하여 최종 7개의 변수를 선정하고 단계별 회귀방법(Stepwise regression)을 이용하여 GR4J의 매개변수별 회귀식을 생성하였다.

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