• Title/Summary/Keyword: 퍼센타일

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Development of Local Extreme Event Index by Rainfall Data Analysis - Focused on the PyeongChang River Basin (강우자료 분석을 통한 지역극한지수 개발 - 평창강 유역을 대상으로)

  • Choi, Sumin;Kim, Chang Hwan;Yeo, Chang Geon;Lee, Seung Oh
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.105-105
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    • 2011
  • 전 세계적으로 이상기후의 발생이 빈번해지고 있으며, 특히 6~9월에 강우가 집중되는 우리나라의 경우에는 예측하지 못한 강우의 발생 빈도가 점점 증가하고 있어 이로 인한 인명 및 재산 피해 또한 심각한 문제가 되고 있다. 이러한 피해를 최소화하기 위해서는, 일반적으로 발생한 강우사상이 아니라 극치의 확률로 발생한 강우사상에 대한 실질적인 연구가 우선으로 수행되어야 한다. 기존의 극한강우에 대한 연구 중 대부분은 정량적인 기준보다는 정성적인 기준을 제시하고 있으며, 최근 국외에서는 STARDEX(Goodess, 2005)와 같은 극한지수를 선정하여 경향성을 분석하는 연구도 수행되고 있다. 국내에서도 극한지수를 사용한 연구사례가 있으나(최영은, 2004, 김보경 외, 2009), 국외에서 제안된 극한지수를 우리나라에 그대로 적용한 것이며, 이외에도 확률모형을 이용한 극한기후사상의 발생빈도 분석에 관한 연구도 활발히 수행되고 있는 추세이다. 본 연구에서는 확률적으로 양적, 시간적, 공간적 측면이 동시에 극한의 값을 갖는 사상을 극치사상이라고 정의하여, 발생 가능한 강수량의 최대량으로 주로 사용되는 가능최대강수량(PMP)과는 다른 의미의 강수량으로 분석하였다. 극한강우사상의 정량적인 분석을 위해, 안성천 유역 강우관측소의 시계열 강우자료를 토대로 전체 강우사상에 대한 강우지속시간, 총 강우량 및 최대 시강우량의 95퍼센타일, 시간에 대한 누적 강우량의 25퍼센타일과 75퍼센타일의 증가율로 계산된 강우 증가율 등 4가지 요소를 제안하였다. 이 방법을 IHP 시험유역인 평창강 유역에 적용하여 그 적용성을 검토하였으며, 극치사상으로 분석된 강우사상은 각 유역별 주요하천의 상위 12개 장기 유출량의 발생일과 비교하였다. 분석 결과, 하천과의 거리가 먼 관측소일수록 최대 유출량의 발생일과 극한강우사상의 발생일에 차이가 발생했으며, 결측자료가 많은 관측소의 경우에는 인근 관측소의 자료로 보완하였을 때 높은 정확도로 분석되는 것으로 보아, 결측자료에 대한 영향과 강우 관측소와 하천과의 거리에 대한 영향이 큰 것으로 판단되었다. 향후 연구에서는 거리 및 지형에 대한 영향과 결측자료의 보완을 통해 더 정확한 분석을 수행하여, 홍수위험도의 개선 및 장기 유출분석에 기여할 수 있을 것이다.

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A Risk Assessment of Vibrio parahaemolyticus for Consumption of Shucked Raw Oyster in Korea

  • Lee, Jong-Kyung;Yoon, Ki-Sun;Lee, Hyang;Kim, Hyun-Jung
    • Journal of Food Hygiene and Safety
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.248-254
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    • 2018
  • To assess the risk of V. parahaemolyticus infection caused by consumption of raw oysters in Korea, contamination levels during the retail-to-table route of oysters was modeled to predict V. parahaemolyticus growth based on temperature and time. The consumed amount data of the KNHANES and the standard recipe of RDA were applied. A consumption scenario for exposure assessment was developed and combined with a Beta-Poisson dose-response model. The estimated probability of illness from consumption of pathogenic V. parahaemolyticus in raw oysters during three separate months (April, October, and November) was $5.71{\times}10^{-5}$ (within the 5th and 95th percentile ranges of $2.71{\times}10^{-8}$ to $1.03{\times}10^{-4}$). The results of the quantitative microbial-risk assessment indicated that the major factors affecting the probability of illness were the initial contamination level at the retailer, the consumed amount, the prevalence of pathogenic strains [tdh or trh genes], and exposure temperature and time.

한국인 운전자의 성별, 체형, 신체 치수를 고려한 내수용 승용차 규격 개선에관한 연구

  • 신원경;박민용
    • Proceedings of the ESK Conference
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    • 1998.04a
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    • pp.25-30
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    • 1998
  • 본 연구는 점점 다양해지고있는 사용자들의 성별, 체형, 신체치수를 고려한 내수용 승용차 규격 개선 을 위한 기초연구로서 기존의 승용차 연구에서 특별히 고려되지 않은 여성 운전자를 대상으로 기초 연 구를 한 후 여러 운전자 체형에 맞는 승용차 규격을 제안하고자 한다. 본 논문에서는 우선 여성 운전자 들이 부적합한 자동차 규격으로 느끼는 여러 불편 사항을 설문조사를 통해 조사하여 규격 개선의 방향 을 분석한 후, 한국인 인체 치수자료를 이용하여 각 퍼센타일을 통합한 여성 운전자를 3차원 인체 모델 링 도구를 이용하여 모델링 한 후 주요 내수용 승용차의 실제규격과의 비교를 통한 비적합성 여부를 파 악한다. 그 결과에 의하여 한국인 운전자의 성별과 체형을 다양하게 고려한 내수용 승용차의 규격 개선 을 제안하고자 한다.

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An Estimation of Comfort on the Automobile Driver Seat Korean Anthropometric Experiment (한국인 인체측정 실험에 의한 자동차 운전석의 안락감 평가)

  • 이영신;이석기;박세진
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, the driver seat comfort of eight automobiles was studied. The joint angles and anthropometric data of eleven subjects sitting on the seating buck were investigated using the instrument devices such as scale, goniometer, vernier calipers, protractor, Martin set. The joint angles of the most comfort posture were found by experiment and compared with previous studies. The anthropometric data of Korean(1992 year surveys) and American(1970∼1974 year) were applied to evaluate the driver seat layout of Korean automobile. The joint angles of the most comfort posture for eleven subjects were obtained with experimental results. The joint angles were agreed with reference angles. The driver seat layout was not suited to seat length and acceleratorseatpan forward distance in 5 percentiles female, pedal separation and seatpan-roof height in 95 percentiles male. Korean automobiles were not suited to seatpan length and steering wheelseatpan clearance, floor-roof height for American 95 percentiles male. The driver anthropometric dimensions were more suitable to middle size than small size automobiles.

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Future Projection of Changes in Extreme Temperatures using High Resolution Regional Climate Change Scenario in the Republic of Korea (고해상도 지역기후변화 시나리오를 이용한 한국의 미래 기온극값 변화 전망)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Mi;Baek, Hee-Jeong;Park, Su-Hee;Kang, Hyun-Suk;Cho, Chun-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.208-225
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    • 2012
  • The spatial characteristics of changes in extreme temperature indices for 2070-2099 relative to 1971-2000 in the Republic of Korea were investigated using daily maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperature data from a regional climate model (HadGEM3-RA) based on the IPCC RCP4.5/8.5 at 12.5km grid spacing and observations. Six temperature-based indices were selected to consider the frequency and intensity of extreme temperature events. For validation during the reference period (1971-2000), the simulated Tmax and Tmin distributions reasonably reproduce annual and seasonal characteristics not only for the relative probability but also the variation range. In the future (2070-2099), the occurrence of summer days (SD) and tropical nights (TR) is projected to be more frequent in the entire region while the occurrence of ice days (ID) and frost days (FD) is likely to decrease. The increase of averaged Tmax above 95th percentile (TX95) and Tmin below 5th percentile (TN5) is also projected. These changes are more pronounced under RCP8.5 scenario than RCP4.5. The changes in extreme temperature indices except for FD show significant correlations with altitude, and the changes in ID, TR, and TN5 also show significant correlations with latitude. The mountainous regions are projected to be more influenced by an increase of low extreme temperature than low altitude while the southern coast is likely to be more influenced by an increase of tropical nights.

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Assessing the Applicability of Hysteresis Indices for the Interpretation of Suspended Sediment Dynamics in a Forested Catchment (산림유역의 부유토사 동태 해석을 위한 이력현상 지수의 적용성 평가)

  • Ki-Dae Kim;Su-Jin Jang;Soo-Youn Nam;Jae-Uk Lee;Suk-Woo Kim
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.178-188
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    • 2024
  • The dynamics of suspended sediment (SS) in forested catchments vary depending upon human or natural disturbances, including land use change, forestry activity, forest fires, and landslides. Understanding the dynamics of SS originating from the potential sources within a forested catchment is crucial for establishing an effective water quality management strategy. Therefore, to suggest a systematic method for interpreting SS dynamics, we evaluated the performance and applicability of ten methods for calculating the hysteresis index based on observed hydrological data and two calculation models (Lawler's method and Lloyd's method) with five sampling intervals (50th, 25th, 10th, 5th, and 1st percentiles). Our results showed that Lloyd's method, which used a sampling interval at the 1st percentile, had the largest number of analyzable runoff events and exhibited the best performance. The results of this study can contribute to quantifying the hysteresis in the relationship between discharge and SS and provide useful information for interpreting SS dynamics.

소아고혈압 - 정의 및 진단평가

  • 이종국
    • The Korean Chronic Disease News
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    • no.143
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    • pp.5-7
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    • 1992
  • 소아에서 혈압측정의 중요성이 강조되고 있기 때문에 일반소아를 다루는 의사들이나 학교신체검사에서 혈압측정을 반드시 포함시켜야 할것이다. 3세 이상이 되면 적어도 1년에 한번씩은 혈압측정을 받도록 권장되고 있다. 혈압측정시 정확한 낭대를 사용하도록 해야하며 시간간격을 두고 반복해서 3번이상 95퍼센타일이상의 혈압이 기록되면 고혈압이라 진단할수 있으며 소아고혈압의 감별진단을 위한 검사는 소아의 연령, 혈압의 심한정도등을 고려하여 단계별로 시행하여야 할것이다.

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A Study on Variability of Extreme Precipitation by Basin in South Korea (한국의 유역별 호우변화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Kim, Eun-Kyung;Heo, In-Hye
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.505-520
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    • 2011
  • This study is aimed to examine the change on extreme precipitation events in South Korea. The country is divided into six basins, and seven extreme precipitation indices-related to heavy rainfall are analyzed at sixty weather stations. The increasing trend in amount of heavy rainfall is more stable than that in days of heavy rainfall. The increasing trend is the most stable when days of rainfall are more than 50 mm, or rainfall is over the 95th percentile. The precipitation indices-related to heavy rainfall was mostly increasing during analysis period. Especially, basins of the Han river, the upper Nakdong river, and the Eastern coast show significantly increasing trends compared to the other basins. However, the increasing trends of the Geum river and the Seomjin river are not statistically significant. Heavy rainfall events had stably increased in the Han and the Nakdong rivers since the mid-1970s. However, the number of stably increasing regions has decreased since the mid-2000s. It means that the frequency and intensity of the recent heavy rainfall become more irregular.

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Troposhperic Ozone Pollutions in Korea during 1998-2002 Using Two Ozone Indices for Vegetation Protection (식생보호를 위한 한계농도 누적 지표로 본 1998-2002년도의 우리나라 대기권 오존 오염)

  • 윤성철;김보선
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.38-48
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    • 2004
  • Tropospheric ozone data in Korea for 1998-2002 were analyzed to assess the impact on vegetation. SUM06(sum of hourly concentrations at or above 0.06 ppm) and AOT40(accumulated exposure over a threshold of 40 ppb), widely used as ozone indices in the U.S. and Europe, were calculated based on hourly ozone concentration in 612 areas during 1998-2002 in Korea. SUM06 of the highest 30 areas were 5-12 ppm/hr which were almost the same levels of the U.S. average, and a crop loss of 5% would be expected. Ozone pollution in Seoul during 1998-2002 had decreased compared to that for 1990-97 except in the Northern area; however, ozone pollution in Kyunggi during 1998-2002 had been increased twice compare to the previous 5 years. Korea was divided into four regions: Seoul Metropolitan area, Jungbu, Honam, and Youngnam. Ozone pollution in the Seoul Metropolitan area was much higher during 1998-2000 than the other areas, but ozone pollution during 2001-2002 was almost the same in all four regions. Chunnam-Kwangyang na Kyungbuk-Gumi, famous industrial complexes in southern Korea, were significant ozone pollution areas. However, other industrial complexes, such as Incheon, Ulsan, and Kyunggi-Sihwa, were not polluted compared to their neighbors. Comparing all ozone indices, SUM06(yr), SUM06(3mon), AOT40(yr), AOT40(3mon), number of hours exceeding 100 ppb, 95 percentile, 99 percentile, and maximum concentration, it was determined reasonable to use SUM06(3mon), AOT40(3mon) and number of hours exceeding 100 ppb for evaluation of the chronic impact of ozone on vegetation.

Fidelity in Core Principles of Ayres Sensory Integration$^{(R)}$ Intervention: In Clinical Practice (Ayres의 감각통합중재 중심원리에 따른 치료사의 치료수행도 조사)

  • Hong, Eun-Kyoung;Kim, Kyeong-Mi;Chang, Moon-Young
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Sensory Integration
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2011
  • Purpose : In this study, we tried to know that how the occupational therapists applied the core principles of Ayres's sensory integration(ASI) intervention for clients by using the method of self-assessment. Methods : The study period was from May 2010 to June 2010. The subjects were therapists who use a sensory integration intervention. We letted them to do self-assessment about degree of performing the treatment according to the core principles of ASI by using a questionnaire. Total 66 questionnaires were collected. SPSS for Windows version 15.0 was statistically analyzed. Results : There wasn't anybody without considering the 10 core principles of ASI interventions for children. Therapist's answer(more than 90%) was sometimes, often, always except for the guide self-organization in the 10 core principles of ASI intervention. On the basis of total average score of raw score of 10 core principles of ASI intervention, provide sensory opportunities, provide just-right challenges, collaborate on activity choice, maximize child's success, ensure physical safety, and foster therapeutic alliance showed more than 50 points(T value). The guide self-organization, support optimal arousal, create play context, and arrange room to engage child showed less than 50 points T value. Conclusion : The most effective interventions for sensory integration is the treatment based on the core principles of ASI intervention. According to core principle of ASI intervention, checking the quality of care and increasing the quality of care is needed through performing self-assessment.

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