• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통행시간모형

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Measuring Social Benefit of Mitigation of In-Vehicle Congestion Level in Intercity Buses (광역버스 차내혼잡도 완화의 경제적 편익측정에 관한 연구)

  • RYU, Sikyun;HAN, Siwon;YOU, Jaesang
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.523-534
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to develope a method for measuring social benefit by mitigating in-vehicle congestion level in intercity buses. Contingent valuation method and Tobit model are adopted for social benefit evaluation method. One thousand passengers were interviewed with 992 obtained valid samples. Tobit models with age, income level, and bus boarding times as explanatory variables are selected to estimate the willingness to pay for the mitigation of intercity bus in-vehicle congestion. Statistically and logically, two models with age or income level as explanatory variables are turned out to be valid. The intercity bus service supply status and usage are examined and the bus users who have willingness-to-pay for the intercity bus in-vehicle congestion mitigation have been identified. In case of the 'no standing' rules implemented to the intercity bus, the annual economic benefit from the service is estimated to be 14.7 billion won.

Line Planning Optimization Model for Intercity Railway (지역간 철도의 노선계획 최적화 모형)

  • Oh, Dongkyu;Kho, Seung-Young;Kang, Seungmo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.80-89
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this research is to optimize the line planning of the intercity passenger railway. In this study, the line planning problem has been formulated into a mixed integer programming by minimizing both user costs (passenger's total travel time) and operator costs (operation, maintenance and vehicle costs) with multiple train types. As a solution algorithm, the branch-and-bound method is used to solve this problem. The change of travel demand, train speed and the number of schedules have been tested through sensitivity analysis. The optimal stop-schedules and frequency as well as system split with respect to each train type have been found in the case study of Kyoung-bu railway line in Korea. The model and results of this research are useful to make a decision for railway operation strategy, to analyze the efficiency of new railway systems and to evaluate the social costs of users and operators.

The Development of Customer Satisfaction Model by Traffic Information Provision Media (교통정보 제공 매체별 이용자 만족도 모형 개발)

  • Hong, Ji-Yeon;Lee, Su-Beom;Im, Jun-Beom;Kim, Jang-Uk;Gang, Won-Ui
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.109-117
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of advanced traffic information system(ATIS) is to help drivers save time and energy in getting to their destinations by providing traffic information through variable message sign(VMS), internet, traffic broadcasting and mobile phones. ATIS does not just provide drivers with benefits in terms of time and energy, but it provides them with psychological benefit as well, i.e., the drivers can relieve their anxiety by getting provided with traffic information. In this study, the efficiency of traffic information system is evaluated and degree of satisfaction of drivers with the system is analyzed by building satisfaction models of various media of traffic information. Each medium has different factors for satisfaction and each factor has different degree of influence, but in general, the efficiency of traffic information in helping drivers choose routes and in providing drivers with peace of mind is considered to have the highest influence on satisfaction of drivers with the system.

Development of a neural-based model for forecating link travel times (신경망 이론에 의한 링크 통행시간 예측모형의 개발)

  • 박병규;노정현;정하욱
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.95-110
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    • 1995
  • n this research neural -based model was developed to forecast link travel times , And it is also compared wiht other time series forecasting models such as Box-Jenkins model, Kalman filter model. These models are validated to evaluate the accuracy of models with real time series data gathered by the license plate method. Neural network's convergency and generalization were investigated by modifying learning rate, momentum term and the number of hidden layer units. Through this experiment, the optimum configuration of the nerual network architecture was determined. Optimumlearining rate, momentum term and the number of hidden layer units hsow 0.3, 0.5, 13 respectively. It may be applied to DRGS(dynamic route guidance system) with a minor modification. The methods are suggested at the condlusion of this paper, And there is no doubt that this neural -based model can be applied to many other itme series forecating problem such as populationforecasting vehicel volume forecasting et .

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Signal Control Policies in Saturated Network (혼잡시 신호제어전략 연구)

  • 임용택
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 1998
  • 교통신호제어는 교타로상에서 유입 차량들을 관제할 뿐만 아니라 교통사고를 예방 하는 역할을 하고 있다. 또한 최근에는 네트워크의 최적화 도구로도 활용되는 추세에 있다. 1950년대 후반 신호제어에 대한 Webster의 제어전략이 발표된 이후 관련 학자들에 의해 몇 개의 신호제어 전략들이 발표되었지만, 이들 전략들은 대부분 비포화시를 반영하는 전략 들이었다. 그러나 최근의 도심 가로망들은 근포화나 과포화 등 극심한 교통혼잡을 겪고 있 기 때문에 이에 부합하는 새로운 신호제어전략이 요구되고 있다. 본 연구는 네트워크 차원 의 신호제어전략을 수립하기 위한 첫 번째 연구로서 혼잡시를 고려한 2가지의 새로운 교통 신호제어전략을 제시하였다. 첫 번째 신호전략은 과포화시 차량들의 대기행렬을 수용할 수 있는 접근로의 수용용량을 고려한 전략이며, 두 번째 전략은 overflow에 의한 차량들의 지 체시간을 최소화시키는 전략이다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 2개 신호전략과 새로운 전략들을 예제 가로망을 대상으로 서로 비교, 평가하였으며, 신호제어전략이 통행배정모형(traffic assignment)과 결합하는 경우 유일해(unique solution)가 존재하는지(monotonicity condition)도 검토하였다.

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Estimating Departure-based Mode Choice by Spatial logistic Models (공간로지스틱 모형을 이용한 이용자 출발지 기준 수단선택 확률추정 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki;Moon, Dae-Seop;Park, Man-Sik;Heo, Tae-Young
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.813-821
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    • 2009
  • In general, the analysis of travelers' mode choice behavior is accomplished by developing the utility functions which reflect individual's preference of mode choice according to their demographic and travel characteristics. In this paper, we propose a methodology that takes the spatial effects of individuals' departure locations into account in the mode choice model. The proposed methodology allows us to estimate mode shares by departure places even though the survey does not cover all areas. This will help transportation agencies to evaluate how the difference of individuals' departure places such as residential, retail, and commercial area affects on mode choice behaviors.

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A Study on The New Level of Service for Rural Two-Lane Highways (지방부 2차로도로의 새로운 서비스수준 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Je-Jin;Ha, Tae-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2008
  • Two-Lane Highway of Korea is important, Because it has the largeest portion of all roads of Korea. But it has only one lane for one direction. So, If Delays are happened by low-speed vehicles, high-speed vehicles should over-take through the other side of the road. This over-takings can generate the high possibility of traffic accidents and the severity of traffic accidents by over-takings is very high. Because it generates a head-on collision. But the level of Service that indicates the operation states of Two-Lane Highway is defined as a conception that explains the operation conditions of traffic safety etc. Whencalculating the Level of service. It is considered by only delays. So, in this paper, first, this author wants to present the calculation of delay-time by Total-Delay Rate. Second, by multiplying this delay-time by the costs of delays wants to present the method of calulates the total delay costs. Third, to consider the traffic accidents, After predicting the number of traffic accidents, As multipling this by the average of costs of traffic accidents. want to present the method to calculate Total traffic accidents costs. Forth, present the operation costs.

Comparative Study on the Departure Area for a Day's Tour Trip in Due Consideration of the Circular Trip among Tourist Attractions - Focused on Geoje-si Tourist before and after the Opening of BG Fixed Link - (관광지간 회유(回遊)행동을 고려한 당일관광통행 출발권역 비교연구 - 거가대로 개통 전후 거제 방문관광객을 대상으로 -)

  • Song, Ki-Wook;Jung, Hun-Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.1103-1110
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    • 2015
  • Ratio of a day's tour for Geoje-si, 22.6 percent, has increased to 48.6 percent since the opening of Busan-Geoje fixed link. Eight cities of Yeungnam area including Busan-Ulsan and Daegu-Gyeongbuk has been directly affected by the changed route from GJ Bridge to BG Bridge. In order to compare the range of departure area for a one-day trip in Geoje tourist attractions before and after the new fixed link, duration variation of visitors is described as individual difference by normal distribution function. One-day tour trip model based on a circular trip is also suggested under comparatively simple supposition. Since average area after the opening is equal to maximum area before as minimum area after is equal to average area before, the effect of access improvement by the new bridge is revealed definitely. In addition, the effect of cities located in the middle and long distance is greater. Although cities proximity to Geoje are not influenced significantly, every citizen is capable of taking a one-day trip anywhere.

A Study on Prototype Model for Mesoscopic Evacuation Using Cube Avenue Simulation Model (Cube Avenue 시뮬레이션 모델을 이용한 중규모 재난대피 프로토타입 모델 연구)

  • Sin, Heung Gweon;Joo, Yong Jin
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.33-41
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the number of disasters has been seriously increasing. The total damages by the natural or man-made disasters during the past years resulted in tremendous fatalities and recovery costs. It is necessary to have efficient emergency evacuation management which is concerned with identifying evacuation route, and the estimation of evacuation and clearance times. An emergency evacuation model is important in identifying critical locations, and developing various evacuation strategies. In that existing evacuation models have focused on route analysis for indoor evacuation, there are only a few models for areawide emergency evacuation analysis. Therefore, we developed a mesoscopic model by using Cube Avenue and performed evacuation simulation, targeting road network in City of Fargo, North Dakota. Consequently, a mesoscopic model developed in this study is used to carry out dynamic analysis using network and input variable of existing travel demand model. The results of this study show that the model is an appropriate tool for areawide emergency evacuation analysis to save time and cost. Henceforth, the results of this study can be applied to develop a disaster evacuation model which can be used for a variety of disaster simulation and evaluation based on scenarios in the local metropolitan area.

Long-Term Arrival Time Estimation Model Based on Service Time (버스의 정차시간을 고려한 장기 도착시간 예측 모델)

  • Park, Chul Young;Kim, Hong Geun;Shin, Chang Sun;Cho, Yong Yun;Park, Jang Woo
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.6 no.7
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    • pp.297-306
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    • 2017
  • Citizens want more accurate forecast information using Bus Information System. However, most bus information systems that use an average based short-term prediction algorithm include many errors because they do not consider the effects of the traffic flow, signal period, and halting time. In this paper, we try to improve the precision of forecast information by analyzing the influencing factors of the error, thereby making the convenience of the citizens. We analyzed the influence factors of the error using BIS data. It is shown in the analyzed data that the effects of the time characteristics and geographical conditions are mixed, and that effects on halting time and passes speed is different. Therefore, the halt time is constructed using Generalized Additive Model with explanatory variable such as hour, GPS coordinate and number of routes, and we used Hidden Markov Model to construct a pattern considering the influence of traffic flow on the unit section. As a result of the pattern construction, accurate real-time forecasting and long-term prediction of route travel time were possible. Finally, it is shown that this model is suitable for travel time prediction through statistical test between observed data and predicted data. As a result of this paper, we can provide more precise forecast information to the citizens, and we think that long-term forecasting can play an important role in decision making such as route scheduling.