• Title/Summary/Keyword: 통계적 신뢰도 검정

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Extracting the Risk Factor of Ground Excavation Construction and Confidence Analysis using Statistical Test Procedure (지반굴착공사 위험요소 도출 및 통계적 검정 방법을 통한 신뢰성 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Min;Kim, Woo-Seok;Baek, Yong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.11-17
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    • 2017
  • The case study on ground subsidence was conducted and the cause of ground subsidence was evaluated, main cause were insufficient site exploration, inaccurate strength parameters, defective temporary wall, insufficient reaction for boiling and heaving, excessive excavation and so on. Risk factors during excavation were identified from the cause of ground subsidence and risk factors were site exploration, selecting excavation method, structure analysis, measurement plan, excavation method construction, underground water level change, natural disaster and construction management. The survey of the experts on risk factors identified was conducted to evaluate the importance of risk factors, and confidence analysis was performed to evaluate the significance level between survey result and survey respondent using Chi-square Test.

A Verification of the validity for Technology/Credit Appraisal Model (기술신용평가모형의 타당성 검증)

  • Kim, Jae-Beom;Jo, Yong-Gon;Jo, Geun-Tae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.1068-1071
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    • 2005
  • 최근 들어 기술을 담보로 하는 신용금융의 역할이 증대되면서 자금지원 대상기업의 기술평가 시스템 구축이 중요한 과제가 되고 있다. 국내에서는 기업 보유의 기술경영성과를 측정하여 한정된 자원의 효율적 배분을 위한 민간 투, 융자를 위한 기술신용평가모형'이 제시되었다 본 연구에서는 기술신용평가모델의 평가항목 타당성을 실증 분석한다. 모형의 항목 분류가 적절하게 되었는지를 검증하기 위하여 구조적 타당성을 평가하며 통계적 유의성을 검증하여 신뢰성을 평가한다. 구조적 타당성 검정을 위해 확인 요인분석을 수행하며 평가모형의 신뢰성을 검증하기 위해서는 다변량 통계방법 중의 하나인 판별분석을 수행한다. 본 연구는 기술개발 성공 및 부실발생의 예측력을 갖는 기술신용평가 시스템 구축을 위한 기초 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Reliability Test of Maturity Questionnaire Selection Model Through KPA Rating Data Calibration (KPA rating 데이터 보정을 통한 성숙도 설문서(MQ) 선정 모델의 신뢰성 평가)

  • 김우송;이은서;이경환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.04c
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    • pp.43-45
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    • 2003
  • 소프트웨어 공학이 소프트웨어 시스템에 관한 방법론, 기술 및 툴 등의 유지보수와 개발에 중점을 두어 왔는데 최근에는 프로세스 개선과 프로세스 능력수준의 향상에 초점을 두는 방향으로 발전하면서 CMM 및 SPICE 활동이 증가하고 있다. 이와 같은 심사기법은 대규모의 회사에서 주로 시행되고 있어서 중소규모의 조직을 위한 간략한 심사기법의 도입이 요구되는 있는 상황이다. 본 논문에서 제시하는 심사기법은 CMM 심사를 위한 KPA 설문서의 rating 방법을 응용한 것으로서 SPICE 심사를 받은 국내 기업 중 일부 회사를 대상으로 하였다. 이 방법론에 대한 신뢰성의 평가는 아직 미흡한 상황이다. 이를 위해서 통계학적 접근방법을 도입하였는데 사용된 통계 기법은 상환계수를 통한 가설검정이다. 그 결과 성숙도 설문서(MQ) 선정모델의 적합성을 통계적 기법을 통해서 검증하였다.

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Developing the Linkage System Between Statistical Quality Control and ISO 9000 Series (통계적 품질관리와 ISO 9000 시리즈와의 연결시스템 개발)

  • 김형준;오성균
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.174-192
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    • 1998
  • These day in the Quality Assurance System, it required that computer system is able to utilize SQC and ISO 9000 series, just then. However. because SQC is necessary to special branch of statistical experience, it is very hard to use and have a bound in that apply to practical business. Therefor in this paper, we proposed the software system which is control, at the same time, SQC and ISO 9000 series, in addition to avail without statistical knowledge. For the shake of this point, the substance of this study is largely separated dual part that ISO 9000 system for which is limited to use design of basic system, test, experiment, tracking incongruent part, analysis condemned goofs, and SQC system for which is to limited to use control chart, estimate, statistical testing, design of experiment(DOE) which used to commonly in Quality Control System. Expected efficiency of this paper is to set Qualify Management System, transfer qualify consciousness, satisfy the customer, increase reliability, in particular, it is expected that it is very useful to minor enterprises of manufacturing-centered.

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Confidence Bounds following Adaptive Group Sequential Tests with Repeated Measures in Clinical Trials (반복측정자료를 가지는 적응적 집단축차검정에서의 신뢰구간 추정)

  • Joa, Sook Jung;Lee, Jae Won
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.581-594
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    • 2013
  • A group sequential design can end a clinical trial early if a confirmed efficacy or a futility of study medication is found during clinical trials. Adaptation can adjust the design of clinical trials based on accumulated data. The key to this methodology is considered to control the overall type 1 error rate while maintaining the integrity of clinical trials. The estimation would be more complex and the sample size calculation will be more difficult if the clinical trials have repeated measurement data. Lee et al. (2002) suggested a repeated observation case by using the independent increments properties of the interim test statistics and investigated the properties of the proposed confidence interval based on the stage-wise ordering. This study extend Lee et al. (2002) to adaptive group sequential design. We suggest test statistics for the adaptation as redesigning the second stage of clinical trials and induce the stage-wise confidence interval of parameter of interests. The simulation will help to confirm the suggested method.

An Experimental Study on Assessing Precision and Accuracy of Low-cost UAV-based Photogrammetry (저가형 UAV 사진측량의 정밀도 및 정확도 분석 실험에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Seonghyeon;Lee, Hungkyu;Choi, Woonggyu;Jeong, Woochul;Jo, Eonjeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2022
  • This research has been focused on accessing precision and accuracy of UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle)-derived 3-D surveying coordinates. To this end, a highly precise and accurate testing control network had been established by GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) campaign and its network adjustment. The coordinates of the ground control points and the check points were estimated within 1cm accuracy for 95% of the confidence level. FC330 camera mounted on DJI Phantom 4 repeatedly took aerial photos of an experimental area seven times, and then processed them by two widely used software packages. To evaluate the precision and accuracy of the aerial surveys, 3-D coordinates of the ten check points which automatically extracted by software were compared with GNSS solutions. For the 95% confidence level, the standard deviation of two software's result is within 1cm, 2cm, and 4cm for the north-south, east-west, and height direction, and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) is within 9cm and 8cm for the horizontal, vertical component, respectively. The interest is that the standard deviation is much smaller than RMSE. The F-ratio test was performed to confirm the statistical difference between the two software processing results. For the standard deviation and RMSE of most positional components, exception of RMSE of the height, the null hypothesis of the one-tailed tests was rejected. It indicates that the result of UAV photogrammetry can be different statistically based on the processing software.

Multi-objective Genetic Algorithm for Variable Selection in Linear Regression Model and Application (선형회귀모델의 변수선택을 위한 다중목적 유전 알고리즘과 응용)

  • Kim, Dong-Il;Park, Cheong-Sool;Baek, Jun-Geol;Kim, Sung-Shick
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to implement variable selection algorithm which helps construct a reliable linear regression model. If we use all candidate variables to construct a linear regression model, the significance of the model will be decreased and it will cause 'Curse of Dimensionality'. And if the number of data is less than the number of variables (dimension), we cannot construct the regression model. Due to these problems, we consider the variable selection problem as a combinatorial optimization problem, and apply GA (Genetic Algorithm) to the problem. Typical measures of estimating statistical significance are $R^2$, F-value of regression model, t-value of regression coefficients, and standard error of estimates. We design GA to solve multi-objective functions, because statistical significance of model is not to be estimated by a single measure. We perform experiments using simulation data, designed to consider various kinds of situations. As a result, it shows better performance than LARS (Least Angle Regression) which is an algorithm to solve variable selection problems. We modify algorithm to solve portfolio selection problem which construct portfolio by selecting stocks. We conclude that the algorithm is able to solve real problems.

Analysis of Spatial-temporal Variability of NOAA/AVHRR NDVI in Korea (NOAA/AVHRR 정규식생지수의 시공간 변화도 분석)

  • Kim, Gwangseob;Kim, Jong Pil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.295-303
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    • 2010
  • The variability of vegetation is strongly related to the variability of hydrometeorological factors such as precipitation, temperature, runoff and so on. Analysis of the variability of vegetation will aid to understand the regional impact of climate change. Thus we analyzed the spatial-temporal variability of NOAA(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)/AVHRR(Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index). In the results from Mann-Kendall test, there is no significant linear trend of annual NDVI from 1982 to 2006 in the most area except the downward trend on the significance level 90% in the Guem-river basin area. In addition, using EOF(Empirical Orthogonal Function) analysis, the variability of NDVI in the region of higher latitude and altitude is higher than that in the other region since the spatial variability of NDVI follows the latitudinal gradient. Also we could get higher NDVI in June, July, August and September. We had the highest NDVI in Han-river basin area and the lowest in Je-Ju island.

Statistical Methods for the Use of Infiltration and Inflow as Performance Index in Sewer Rehabilitation Works (하수관거정비사업에서 침입수.유입수 성과지표 활용을 위한 통계적 방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyung-Joon;Park, Kyoo-Hong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.617-628
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    • 2010
  • The operation performance of sewer rehabilitation projects conducted with Build-Transfer- Lease contract in Korea will be evaluated using the index of infiltration and inflow (I/I). Though I/I obtained at the fourth year should be initially evaluated based on the I/I values observed for the previous three years after the completion of sewer construction, the concrete methodology have not been proposed to rely on the so called 'performance evaluation committee'. This study suggests two statistical methodology to evaluate the I/I performance; the confidence interval method and the hypothesis-testing method. Assumed ten I/I values in each year for 20 years are used in this study. Two cases are analyzed and compared; case I to use as control data all I/I values for all years obtained before the evaluation year and case II to use I/I values for only 3 years before the evaluation year. As a result, case II tends to have relatively higher scores than case I, reflecting the low mean I/I values at the initial years.

Evaluations of the Accuracy and Reliability of Measurements Made on White Light Scanner-based Dental Digital Models (백색광 스캐너로 채득된 치과용 디지털모형의 정확도와 신뢰도 평가)

  • Kim, Ki-Baek;Kim, Jae-Hong
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.12 no.10
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    • pp.357-364
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    • 2012
  • Dental scanner-based dental digital models have been developed that have the potential to replace conventional stone model. The aim of this study was examine the accuracy and reliability of measurements made on digital models. A master model with the prepared upper full arch tooth was used. Stone model(N=10) were produced from master model, and on the other hands, digital models were made with the white light scanner(Identica, korea). One examiner individually measured 6 parameters on the conventional model and the digital models on two occasions. The student's t-test for paired samples and intra-class correlation coefficient(ICC) were used for statistical analysis. At the intra-examiner reliability of measurement, ICC at the stone and digital models were 0.75 and 0.87. The mean difference between measurements made directly on the stone models and those made on the digital models was 0.11-0.23mm, and was statistically significant(P<0.05). These in vitro studies show that accuracy of the digital model is similar to that of the stone model. These results will have to be confirmed in further clinical studies.