• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2004.05b
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• pp.486-488
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• 2004

Rayleigh signal fading phenomena due to multipath propagation in wireless communication can be simulated using the sum-of-sinusoids channel model. Jakes' fading model is very simple simulator based on the sum-of-sinusoids and has been widely used. However, It has some short-comings. Its time correlation properties based on the simulated waveform do not correspond to the statistical ones. In this paper, the difference between statistical and time properties of Jakes' fading channel model is examined and new simulator is proposed.

• Proceedings of the Korean Information Science Society Conference
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• 2006.10a
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• pp.113-118
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• 2006

고등학교 수학과 교육과정에서의 ‘확률과 통계'단원은 실제로 자료의 수집과 요약을 통하여 자료 분석방법을 배우고 사회와 자연현상을 인식하고 추론하는 능력을 기르는데 목표를 두고 있다. 추상적인 수학내용을 직접 시도하거나 학생들이 실제적인 자료를 수집하고 직접 자료를 해석하고 추론해 보는 경험과정은 수학실험과 시뮬레이션이라는 컴퓨터 학습을 통해 가능하고 개념학습의 전 단계에서 보다 구성적이고 탐구적인 활동을 강화할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 ‘확률과 통계'의 교수-학습과정에서 수학적 시뮬레이션을 활용한 웹 기반 학습모형을 제시하여 학습자들에게 수학적 내용과 관련된 구체적 매체를 조작하는 컴퓨터 실험 활동을 통하여 수학에서의 원리발견과 통계적 추론을 경험하고 유도할 수 있는 탐구적 학습 환경을 조성해 보고자 한다.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.47-61
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• 2000

차량추종모형은 차선변경모형과 함께 미시적 시뮬레이션 모형의 핵심 모형으로서 정확한 차량추종모형의 적용은 시뮬레이션 모형 분석결과의 신뢰성에 영향을 미친다. 기존의 차량추종모형은 대부분 가속상황과 감속상황에 동일한 모형을 적용하거나 자극부문과 민감도 부분은 거의 동일한 형태를 취하고 있으며, 가상자료를 토대로 모형이 개발되었다. 본 연구의 목적은 첫째, 모형을 추정하기 위한 연구체계를 구성하고, 둘째, 이러한 연구체계를 이용하여 신호교차로 미시적 시뮬레이션에 직접 적용이 가능한 차량추종모형을 정립하는 데 있다. 본연구에서는 이를 위해서 신호교차로에서 미시적 실측자료를 수집하였으며, 수집된 자료에서 통계적 기법을 통해서 모형 추정에 적합한 자료를 구축하였다. 현장에서 실측된 이산적인 원시자료는 차량추종모형 추정에 직접 이용할 수 없다. 따라서, 이산적 원시자료를 모형추정에 적합한 자료로 구성하기 위하여 비선형 곡선적합 알고리즘을 이용하여 연속적인 궤적함수를 구성하였고, 이를 통해서 모형추정에 필요한 선두차량과 후행차량의 현재시점과 반응시간 이후 시점에서의 위치, 순간 가속도와 순간속도 등을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서는 차량추종상황을 가속상황, 감속상황, 출발상황, 그리고 정지상황으로 구분하여 차량추종모형을 구축하였다. 가속상황과 감속상황에 대해서는 실측자료를 이용하여 모형을 추정하였으며, 출발상황과 정지상황에 대해서는 추정된 가/감속상황의 모형을 바탕으로 출발상황과 정지상황에서의 차량행태를 설명할 수 있는 모형을 구축하였다 또한, 민감도와 자극부분을 새롭게 정의하여 각 상황별로 미시적 실측자료를 이용하여 모형을 추정하였다. 이렇게 추정된 모형들 중에서 통계적 기법과 실측치와의 비교를 통해서 가장 적합한 모형을 선택하였다. 선택된 모형은 통계적 검정, 가상자료 그리고 실측치와의 비교를 통해서 분석하였으며, 분석결과 구축모형의 적용성은 우수한 것으로 분석되었다.

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.6 no.4 s.26
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• pp.80-90
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• 2005

Activity durations retain probabilistic and stochastic natures due to diverse factors causing the delay or acceleration of activity completion. These natures make the final project duration to be a random variable. These factors are the major source of financial risk. Extending the Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation system (SPSS) developed in previous research; this research presents a method to estimate how the final project duration behaves when activity durations change randomly. The final project cost is estimated by considering the fluctuation of indirect cost, which occurs due to the delay or acceleration of activity completion, along with direct cost assigned to an activity. The final project cost is estimated by considering how indirect cost behaves when activity duration change. The method quantifies the amount of contingency to cover the expected delay of project delivery. It is based on the quantitative analysis to obtain the descriptive statistics from the simulation outputs (final project durations). Existing deterministic scheduling method apply an arbitrary figures to the amount of delay contingency with uncertainty. However, the stochastic method developed in this research allows computing the amount of delay contingency with certainty and certain degree of confidence. An example project is used to illustrate the quantitative analysis method using simulation. When the statistical location and shape of probability distribution functions defining activity durations change, how the final project duration and cost behave are ascertained using automated sensitivity analysis method

• Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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• v.7 no.1 s.29
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• pp.73-79
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• 2006

Even though graphical simulation is very useful for construction planning, the application of graphical simulation has a limitation in dealing with objects without fixed form like earthmoving process. In this case, the mathematical/statistical simulation about the productivity of the whole processes based on the numerical data of working time, waiting time and working capacity of using equipment becomes effective. The mathematical/statistical simulation is not fully utilized in the field of construction due to the difficulties of creating process models and securing trust the numerically expressed results of simulation. In this research, the output of discrete-event simulation programs which are the most common mathematical/statistical simulation tool for construction processes were analyzed for the purpose of earthmoving process visualization. The purpose of this research is to develop a graphical simulation system that can help the construction planner select most suitable equipment and construction methods through the visualize the numerical simulation results of the working time, the queuing time as well as the amount resources etc.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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• v.15 no.8
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• pp.181-192
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• 2010

We develop a dispatching policy for stochastic scheduling simulation especially for a continuous manufacturing system with machine breakdowns. The proposed dispatching policy computes an urgency index with the consideration of re-heating, setup cost and remaining due date. Prioritized by the index, we execute swapping or reassigning material sequences so as to minimize the total penalty cost. To evaluate the performance of the proposed policy, a discrete event simulation is developed. With 200 data sets and 20 iterations, we compare the performance of the urgency policy with those of SPT (Shortest Processing Time) and FCFS (First Come First Serve) which are the most common policies. The result shows that the proposed policy consistently gives the lowest total costs by reducing the penalty costs for lateness.

• Economic and Environmental Geology
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.503-512
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• 1995

Groundwater flow in fracture networks is simulated using a discrete fracture (DF) model which assume that groundwater flows only through the fracture network. This assumption is available if the permeability of rock matrix is very low. It is almost impossible to describe fracture networks perfectly, so a stochastic approach is used. The stochastic approach assumes that the characteristic parameters in fracture network have special distribution patterns. The stochastic model generates fracture networks with some characteristic parameters. The finite element method is used to compute fracture flows. One-dimensional line element is the element type of the finite elements. The simulation results are shown by dominant flow paths in the fracture network. The dominant flow path can be found from the simulated groundwater flow field. The model developed in this study provides the tool to estimate the influences of characteristic parameters on groundwater flow in fracture networks. The influences of some characteristic parameters on the frcture flow are estimated by the Monte Carlo simulation based on 30 realizations.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.18 no.5
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• pp.256-264
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• 2018

This study performed statistical matching using population census microdata and financial panel data. It generated the national basic data for simulation including income and property. Using this data the basic old-age pension, which is one of the biggest benefits, simulation was performed by applying the micro simulation methodology. In addition, we verified the coherence of the analysis results by comparing simulation basic data and financial panel data, basic old-age pension pilot simulation analysis results and basic old&-age pension actual beneficiary data.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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• 2007.11a
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• pp.327-330
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• 2007

This paper verifies that the normality assumption that the simulation output data, Project Completion Times (PCTs), follow normal distribution is not always acceptable and the existing belief may lead to misleading results. A risk quantification method, which measures the effect caused by the assumption, relative to the probability distribution of PCTs is implemented as an algorithm in MATLAB. To validate the reliability of the quantification, several series of simulation experiments have been carried out to analyze a set of simulation output data which are obtained from different type of Probability Distribution Function (PDF) assigned to activities'duration in a network. The method facilitates to find the effect of PDF type and its parameters. The procedure necessary for performing the risk quantification method is described in detail along with the findings. This paper contributes to improving the reliability of simulation based scheduling method, as well as increasing the accuracy of analysis results.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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• 2007.12a
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• pp.81-83
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• 2007

항만이나 항로에서의 심층적인 선박운항 안전성 평가를 위한 목적으로 주로 선박운항 시뮬레이션 시스템이 사용되고 있다. 하지만, 실제해상에서 선박이 조우할 수 있는 환경 조건은 매우 다양한 반면, 비용이나 시간적인 제약으로 인하여 실시간 선박운항 시뮬레이션은 극히 한정 된 경우에 대해서만 수행되는 것이 일반적이다. 본 논문에서는, 이러한 실시간 시뮬레이션 실험 조건을 효과적이고 체계적으로 도출하기 위한 통계적 기법에 대하여 제안하고, 이 기법을 실제 선박 운항 안전성 평가를 위한 시뮬레이션 연구에 적용한 실증 분석 결과를 사례 연구로 기술하였다. 실증 분석에는 주성분을 이용한 종합 운항 난이도 산정 방법과 누적 확률분포 개념을 이용하여 선박 운항 난이도가 높은 실험 조건을 실시간 시뮬레이션 실험 조건으로 선택하는 기법을 제시하였다.