• Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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• v.10 no.2 s.21
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• pp.81-88
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• 2004

We review the adaptation strategies of the 21st climate change in an application to sea level rise. For the development of appropriate adaptation strategies on the coast vulnerable to the sea level rise, we have to consider the issues such as where to adapt, how to adapt, and when to adapt. The coastal target needed adaptation can be found by the evaluation of adaptive capacity of the coastal zone which requires the understanding of impacts and adaptive potential of the natural and socioeconomic systems in the coastal zone. Planned adaptation options to sea level rise can be classified into three generic approaches as managed retreat, accommodation, and protection In practice, the implementation of the options requires the analysis of land use, degree of vulnerability, cost and benefit, etc, and may be combination of the options rather than one approach. In terms of the response timing, the adaptation can be grouped as anticipatory and reactive ones. Generally it is more effective to consider both anticipatory and reactive adaptations at the same time for the impacts of future sea level rise. Due to the scientific uncertainty of climate change issues including sea level rise, the adaptation processes have to be designed to deal with a series of processes such as information md awareness establishment, planning and design implementation, and monitoring and evaluation in continuity and long-term period.

• Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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• v.27 no.6
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• pp.757-764
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• 2013

This study was conducted to determine factors causing urban temperature rises in a mixed urban and rural city in Korea. The study site was Miryang City. For this study, temperature changes over a 36 year period from 1974 to 2010, as well as changes made in the urban environment of the city were examined. Changes in the urban environment included data pertaining to both urban development and changing land use, as well as the changing lifestyle patterns of the populace. The study showed that a rise in the average annual temperature and the average annual mean-maximum temperature were statistically significant and the greatest determining factor for the temperature rise was a corresponding decrease in arable land. The study also showed that the decrease in cultivated land was directly and significantly related to an expansion of regional urbanization. There is a direct relationship between the decrease in cultivated land and an increase in the annual-mean-maximum temperature compared with annual-mean temperature. This increase can be explained as arable land works as an "island" of cooler temperatures in the hottest times of the day. A decrease of $1km^2$ of arable land is expected to cause an increase of $0.08^{\circ}C$ of annual-maximum-mean temperature and $0.06^{\circ}C$ of annual-mean temperature.

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.222-237
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• 2022

This study was performed to predict change of forestland area in future to 2050 based on System Dynamics Model which is based on feedback loop by causal relationship. As forestland area change in the future depends on potential forestland conversion demands, each demand type of forestland conversion such as agricultural, industrial, public and residential/commercial use was modeled using annual GDP, population, number of household, household construction permission area (1981~2019). In results, all of conversion demands would have continuously decreased to 2050 while residential and commercial land would be reduced from 2034. Due to such shortage, eventually, total of forestland in South Korea would have decreased to 6.18 million ha when compared to current 6.29 million ha. Moreover, the forestland conversion to other use types must be occurred continuously in future because most of forestland is owned privately in South Korea. Such steady decrement of forestland area in future can contribute to the shortage of carbon sink and encumber achievement of national carbon-neutral goal to 2050. If forestland conversion would be occurred inevitably in future according to such change trends of all types, improved laws and polices related to forestland should be prepared for planned use and rational conservation in terms of whole territory management. Therefore, it is needed to offer sufficient incentive, such as tax reduction and payment of ecosystem service on excellent forestland protection and maintenance, to private owners for minimizing forestland conversion. Moreover, active afforestation policy and practice have to be implemented on idle land for reaching national goal 'Carbon Neutral to 2050' in South Korea.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2021.06a
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• pp.438-438
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• 2021

우리나라의 수질오염총량관리제도는 수계 내 모든 유역을 관리대상으로 동일 기준유량 조건에 동일한 대상물질로 관리하고 있지만, 본류는 지류의 영향을 받고 있으며 지류는 사람이 거주하는 지역 인근에 있어 본류 수질에 직접적인 영향을 미치고 있다. 이는 지류의 시급한 개선이 필요한 오염물질의 실질적인 관리가 어려워 이를 개선하기 위해 오염도가 높은 지류의 총량관리를 위한 지류총량제도의 추가 도입이 필요한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 지류총량제 시행에 따른 효과를 예측하기 위해 팔당수계 유역을 소유역 단위로 분할하고 HSPF 모형을 적용하여 팔당수계 소유역 지류에서의 수질 변화 양상이 본류에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 연구대상지역은 팔당수계 중권역 유역(남한강 하류 유역, 경안천 유역, 북한강 하류 유역)으로 구분하고 유역 유출 및 수질 모델링은 지류하천을 포함하는 57개 소유역을 대상으로 수행하였다. 입력자료는 공간자료(표고, 경사, 토지이용, 토양도 등)와 기상자료(춘천, 양평, 이천, 수원관측소)는 2008년~2018년의 강수량, 최고기온, 최저기온, 평균풍속, 평균습도 등의 시단위 자료를 사용하였다. 모의결과, BOD는 남한강 하류유역의 주요 지천 유역인 복하천, 양화천, 청미천 및 흑천 유역에서 0.54~0.56mg/L의 범위로 주변 유역보다 높게 나타났으며, 경안천 유역은 경안천 유역의 중·하류 유역에서 2.63~4.22mg/L의 범위로 높게 나타났고, 북한강 유역은 조종천 하류 및 북한강 상류 유역에서 1.36~3.31mg/L의 범위로 주변 유역보다 높게 나타났다. T-P는 남한강 하류 유역은 주요 지천 유역인 복하천, 양화천, 청미천 유역에서 0.07~0.19mg/L의 범위로 주변 유역보다 높게 나타났고, 남한강 하류 유역의 중간 지점 유역인 한강(E1, E2, E4, E6)에서 높게 나타났다. 경안천 유역은 중·하류 유역의 좌안측 유역인 경안(A4, A3, B2, B1, F9)에서 0.1~0.14mg/L의 범위로 높게 나타났으며, 북한강 유역은 전체 유역에서 0.06mg/L 이하로 남한강 하류 및 경안천 유역보다 전반적으로 낮게 나타났다. 이와 같이 지류총량관리에 HSPF 모형의 적용은 가능하였으나 HSPF 모형을 이용한 소유역 단위의 유량 및 수질 예측을 위해서는 기존의 유량 및 수질 관측망을 소유역 단위로 좀 더 정밀하게 계획하는 것이 필요하다고 판단된다.

• Land and Housing Review
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• v.12 no.3
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• pp.11-26
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• 2021

With the increasing demand for office space, there have been questions on how office rent distribution produces a change in the urban spatial structure in Seoul. The purpose of this paper is to investigate a relative price gradient and to present a time-series model that can quantitatively explain the dynamic changes in the urban spatial structure. The analysis was dealt with office rent above 3,306 m² for the past 10 years from 1Q 2010 to 4Q 2019 within Seoul. A modified repeat sales model was employed. The main findings are briefly summarized as follows. First, according to the estimates of the office price gradient in the three major urban centers of Seoul, the CBD remained at a certain level with little change, while those in the GBD and the YBD continued to increase. This result reveals that the urban form of Seoul has shifted from monocentric to polycentric. This shows that the spatial distribution of companies has gradually accelerated decentralized concentration implying that the business networks have become significant. Second, contrary to small and medium-sized office buildings that have undertaken no change in the gradient, large office buildings have seen an increase in the gradient. The relative price gradients in small and medium-sized buildings were inversely proportional among the CBD, the GBD, and the YBD, implying their heterogeneous submarkets by office rent movements. Presumably, those differences in the submarkets were attributed to investment attraction, industrial competition, and the credit and preference of tenants. The findings are consistent with the hierarchical system identified in the Seoul 2030 Plan as well as the literature about Seoul's urban form. This research claims that the proposed method, based on the modified repeat sales model, is useful in understanding temporal dynamic changes. Moreover, the findings can provide implications for urban growth strategies under rapidly changing market conditions.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.23 no.8 s.86
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• pp.101-111
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• 2005

Various urban transport policies have an effect on urban transit riderships and accessibility. This study reports variations of metropolitan subway travel patterns affected by an enormous change in bus routes and transfer discount fare policy between subway and bus mode conducted by Seoul city in July 1st of 2004. In an effort to see the difference between the before and the after policies, two data sets are prepared. Firstly, on a daily bassis. an origin-destination trip table of May of 2004 is used. Secondly, on a daily bassis, an origin-destination trip table of August-September of 2004 is used as a counter measure. Even if seasonal variation was not considered, Seoul metropolitan area have experienced increasing riderships and accessibility. Finally, the effects of accessibility in spatial interaction model by rall service changes such as random shocks were scrutinized and interpreted in detail.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2015.05a
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• pp.174-174
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• 2015

국내의 국지성 집중호우와 같은 기후변화와 토지피복율 증가 등 복합적인 원인으로 인한 표면 유출수의 증가로 도시에서의 내수침수가 매년 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 이러한 도심지 돌발홍수로 인한 피해에 대한 구조적인 대책으로 지하방수로가 효과적인 방안으로 대두되고 있으며, 현재 신월빗물저류배수시설이 설계단계에 있다. 그러나 미국, 일본 등의 국외의 기설치된 지하방수로에서 발생되는 Geyser 현상으로 인한 피해에 대한 연구는 국외에 비해 미비한 편이므로, 선행적으로 Geyser에 대한 물리기반의 동수역학적인 이해가 필요한 실정이다. Geyser는 홍수 시 급격한 유량의 유입으로 단파가 발생하여 지하방수로 내 공기의 압축이 발생하고 수직관을 통해 공기가 물과 함께 지상으로 분출되면서 발생된다. 따라서 공기와 물의 혼합 유동을 모의해야 하며 동시에 단파의 불연속성을 모의하기 위해서는 기존의 상용프로그램으로는 다소 어려움이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 지하방수로의 Geyser 현상의 발생 예측을 위해 1차원 Saint-Venant 방정식을 지배방정식으로 선정하였으며, 단파 발생을 수치적으로 안정적으로 모의하기 위해 Roe Approximate Riemann 수치기법을 사용하였다. 또한 공기의 압력항을 고려하기 위해서 수정된 형태의 Preissmann slot 모형을 적용하였다. Geyser 현상의 영향인자로서 지하방수로 수평관의 직경, 마찰계수, 바닥경사, 초기수위, 유입유량을 고려하였으며 상류에서 유입되는 유량에 의한 하류에서의 동수역학적 거동을 분석하였다. 5개의 영향인자의 변화에 따른 단파의 유입속도 및 공기부 압력의 변화를 관찰하여 Geyser 현상에 대한 동수역학적 검토를 수행하였다. 추후 본 연구결과를 적절히 활용한다면 지하방수로의 사용 안정성을 확보하고, 홍수발생 시 모니터링 인자도출에 도움이 될 것으로 예상된다.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.40 no.1 s.174
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• pp.11-24
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• 2007

There exist various difficulties in runoff analysis due to many ungauged basins in Korea and the runoff phenomena is also more and more complicated by the change of geologic characteristics due to the urbanization. So, we use GIS technique which is widely used in hydrologic field and cell runoff concept for the fast and effective runoff simulation. This study uses the observations of 6 stage stations in Wi-Cheon watershed and simulates the watershed parameters by using WMS model. We construct DEM by the grids which are consisted based on the criteria of minimum area according to land use. The cell runoff is estimated by an average weighted method using mean annual streamflow and mean maximum daily streamflow obtained from six stage stations. The runoff ratio at arbitrary site is estimated by conducting the direction analysis of streamflow and by removing sinkhole. We compare the simulated and observed runoffs and know that the simulated runoff shows the valid results. So, we could use the geographical information and cell runoff concept for more fast and effective runoff simulation studies.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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• v.51 no.5
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• pp.30-43
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• 2023

Green infrastructure(GI) is considered a key strategy in establishing sustainable communities. However, research on GI from the perspective of urban system dynamics and resilience lacks depth, as does its integration with physical design. This research addresses two primary causes. First, there is a gap in methods between existing GI planning, which considers static variables, and urban modeling research, which addresses dynamic variables. Second, there is a gap in information between landscape design and urban modeling research. To address these issues, this study proposes an integrated modeling approach in consideration of design decision-making. By combining the LEAM model and MCDA model, this study evaluates the relationship between GI services and socioeconomic growth, while spatially forecasting the geographies of GI demand in 2050. The resulting information reveals a potential degradation in ecosystem services over the region due to Chicago's sub-urbanization. This indicates that there would be a spatial shift in GI demand, emphasizing the need for comprehensive, dynamic GI strategies. This study further discusses the applications of evidence-based design in a studio environment. This study aims to contribute to the GeoDesign literature in terms of the creation of a more resilient urban environment by facilitating efficient evidence-based decision-making.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2017.05a
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• pp.48-48
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• 2017

도시지역에서는 이상강우, 돌발홍수와 더불어 급속한 도시화에 따라 침수 발생의 위험성이 증가하고 있다. 지자체에서는 빗물펌프장, 지하저류조 등을 이용하여 적극적으로 침수대책을 강구하고 있지만, 저지대 침수피해는 계속적으로 발생하고 있다. 2013년 7월 서울 경기북부 강원영서에 발생한 집중호우로 1명이 사망하고 피해액은 94,036백만원이 발생하였다. 춘천시 효자동 저지대지역의 주택침수는 인근 하천의 수위가 높아져 내수배제 및 하수도 처리 능력이 부족하여 침수가 발생하였다. 2014년 8월 경남지역에 발생한 집중호우로 2명 사망하였고, 피해액은 134,158백만원에 이르렀으며, 도시화 토지피복변화로 인한 홍수량이 증가하여 피해가 가중되었다. 이에 따라 도시 내 정확한 도시유출 및 침수해석을 통하여 과거 침수양상을 재현하고 앞으로 발생할 수 있는 침수피해를 방지할 수 있도록 침수 예 경보 시스템을 개발하여 도시침수에 대비하고 도시주민들의 인명과 재산피해를 경감하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 도시지역의 관망해석에 적합한 모형을 선택하여야 하며, 그 모형의 매개변수를 결정하여야 한다. 도시유출해석 및 관망해석을 위하여 SWMM 모형을 선정해서 유역분할조건, 매개변수에 대한 최적 검정과정을 제시하여, 1D-2D 연계모형을 통해서 침수지역예측의 정확도를 증대시키고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 서울시 강남역 주변 일대의 5개 배수분구을 대상으로 도시유출해석을 위한 최적화 모의를 위하여 1D-2D모형의 연계해석하였다. 실제 강우사상을 적용하여 매개변수와 소유역 개수를 달리하여 자동최적화기법인 PEST를 이용하여 최적인자를 도출하여, 실제 배수맨홀의 수위관측 자료를 이용하여 비교 보정을 하였다. 도시유출해석뿐만 아니라 내수침수시의 최적인자 도출을 위해 2차원 범람해석을 통하여 NDMS 자료를 이용하여 비교 보정을 한 뒤 다른 강우사상을 이용하여 검증을 하여 도시침수 해석의 정확도를 개선을 위한 최적인자들을 검토하였다.