• Title/Summary/Keyword: 테러통계

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A Research of Terrorist Attacks Risk in Soft Target (국내 다중이용시설 테러 위험도 분석)

  • Ahn, Kyewon;Oh, Hangil
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Disaster Information Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.141-142
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    • 2022
  • 세계무역센터를 대상으로 발생한 9.11.테러 이후 세계 테러 동향은 하드타겟에서 경성타겟으로 점차 변화하고 있다. 경성타겟으로 목표 변화는 테러리스트의 접근성, 대상의 상징성, 미디어 집중성을 고루 갖추고 있어, 테러리스트들의 의사 전달이 용이하기 때문이다. 경성타겟으로 변화와 함께 미디어를 활용한 테러 교육으로 자생테러(외로운 늑대)도 증가하고 있다. 2022년 7월 8일, 일본의 다중이용시설인 나라현 야마토사이다이지 역에서 총기테러 사건이 발생하였다. 야마가미 데스야가 자생테러범은 개조한 사제 총기를 일본 전 총리 아베를 향해 발포하여 과다출혈로 사망에 이르게 하였다. 위 사례는 세계 테러 동향의 변화를 반영한 사건으로, 경성타겟을 목표로 한 자생테러 형태를 보여주고 있다. 본 연구에서는 국내 다중이용시설 테러 발생 시 우선적으로 고려해야하는 고위험 테러유형을 도출하고자, 우리나라와 국가 경쟁력이 비슷한 G7국가의 다중이용시설을 대상으로 발생한 테러사례를 통계적으로 분석하여 테러유형별 위험도를 도출하였으며, 다중이용시설을 대상으로 자행되는 고위혐 테러유형의 위협을 차단하기 위한 테러안전관리 대책의 개선사항을 제언하고 있다.

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A Study of the Future Terrorism : Its Patterns and Perspectives (미래 국제 테러 유형과 전망에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Jin-Tai
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.15
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    • pp.337-358
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    • 2008
  • With the Japanese attacks on Pearl Harbor in 1941, approximately 2,500 people were killed. The terrorist attack on World Trade Center in the United States resulted in the heavy loss of people's lives, 2,749 in all. The 9.11 demonstrated that terrorist attack could be more serious problem than the war in our modern life. In addition, terrorist armed with new and high technologies have become more dangerous elements to the international community. Especially, the fact that the weapons of mass destruction are used by terrorist organizations is a matter of great concern. The strength of terrorist arsenal gives terrorist a decided advantage over us. The chances of success for terrorist have been increased due to the terrorist friendly environments. Terrorism has evolved without stopping from its birth, which is imposing a great burden on the authorities concerned. The counter-terrorism strategy and tactics used in the past have been useless in the fighting against new terrorism. To cope with the fast changing terrorism, comprehensive countermeasures should be developed. The purpose of this study is to know the enemy. To achieve the goal, the current situation on international terrorism as a whole is examined. Based on the result of the research, this paper also tried to give a perspectives on the future terrorism. At the same time, it provides a guidelines of the direction in the fighting against terrorism.

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How can the post-war reconstruction project be carried out in a stable manner? - terrorism prediction using a Bayesian hierarchical model (전후 재건사업을 안정적으로 진행하려면? - 베이지안 계층모형을 이용한 테러 예측)

  • Eom, Seunghyun;Jang, Woncheol
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.603-617
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    • 2022
  • Following the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, the United States declared war on terror and invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, winning quickly. However, interest in analyzing terrorist activities has developed as a result of a significant amount of time being spent on the post-war stabilization effort, which failed to minimize the number of terrorist activities that occurred later. Based on terrorist data from 2003 to 2010, this study utilized a Bayesian hierarchical model to forecast the terrorist threat in 2011. The model depicts spatiotemporal dependence with predictors such as population and religion by autonomous district. The military commander in charge of the region can utilize the forecast value based on the our model to prevent terrorism by deploying forces efficiently.

A Possibility Analysis of Domestic Terrorism in South Korea by Focusing on Afghanistan under the Taliban Forces (탈레반의 아프가니스탄 장악에 따른 국내 테러 발생 가능성 분석)

  • Oh, Hangil;Ahn, Kyewon;Bae, Byunggul
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.848-863
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: On August 16, 2021, the Taliban established the Taliban regime after conquering capital Kabul of the Afghan by using the strong alliance of international terrorist organizations. The Taliban carried out terrorism targeting the Korean people, including the kidnapping of Kim Seon-il in 2004, the abduction of a member of the Saemmul Church in 2007, and the attack on Korean Provincial Reconstruction Team in 2009. Therefore, this research has shown the possibility of Taliban terrorism in Korea. Method: Based on the statistical data on terrorism that occurred in Afghanistan, Taliban's various terrorist activities such as tactics, strategies, and weapons are examined. Consequently, the target facilities and the type of terrorist attacks are analyzed. Result: The Taliban are targeting the Afghan government as their main target of attack, and IS and the Taliban differ in their selection of targets for terrorism. Conclusion: From the result of this research, we recommend Korea need to reinforce the counter terrorism system in soft targets. Because If the Taliban, which has seized control of Afghanistan, and IS, which has established a worldwide terrorism network, cooperate to threaten domestic multi-use facilities with bombing, the Republic of Korea may face a terrorist crisis with insufficient resources and counter-terrorism related countermeasures.

An analysis of Changes of International Terrorisms of IS (IS테러를 중심으로 한 국제테러의 변화양상 분석)

  • Oh, Seiyouen
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.429-435
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzes the changes of international terrorisms which are caused by IS through literature investigation, statistics and case analysis, and gives an understanding about recent trend of the terrorisms and aggressive method. Moreover, this study is for presenting a basic standard about an effective counterplan of the terrorisms. The results of this study are summarized as follows. First of all, there is a change of terrorism that homegrown terrorism grows into wolf-pack terrorism. Second, the terrorists show psychological terror by expanding their targets and using brutal and indiscriminate terrorism attacks. Third, the terrorists use networks of internet and SNS as a resource and as a tool for publicity activities of their groups. Forth, the terrorists have form of global organization through ties of other terrorists like middle-east or Africa.

A quantitative study on patterns of terrorist bombing incidents (계량분석을 통한 폭탄테러사건의 패턴분석)

  • Yun, Min-Woo
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.36
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    • pp.317-347
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    • 2013
  • This study focuses on the characteristics of terrorist bombing incidents and causal factors on terrorist bombing incidents and number of casualty per incident in Afghanistan though statistical quantitative analysis. For doing so, the bombing data from GTD(Global Terrorism Database) of START program occurred from January 1st 2002 until December 31st 2011 was used. By using descriptive analysis, chi-square, and logistic regression analysis, characteristics of bombing incidents and causal factors on the frequency of incidents and the number of casualty were identified. According to the analysis results, a clear pattern was appeared in terrorist bombing incidents. This result suggests that terrorists rationally and strategically calculate bombing operations and therefore terrorist bombing incidents and number of casualty per incident are conditioned or affected by time, season, Pashtun tribal entity, production level of drugs, the characteristics of targets.

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An investigation on the relationship between religion and supports for suicide attacks among citizens in Egypt, Pakistan, and Morocco (종교와 자살테러에 대한 지지의 관계분석: 이집트, 파키스탄, 모로코의 사회조사데이터를 근거로)

  • Kim, Eun-Young
    • Korean Security Journal
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    • no.43
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    • pp.37-65
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    • 2015
  • There has been discussions and investigation on the nexus between religion and citizen's supports for suicide attacks and terrorist groups conducting such acts. In terms of the relationship, there were two potent hypotheses attempting to explain the process and mechanism of the relationship: religious belief hypothesis and coalitional commitment hypothesis. previous studies examined these hypotheses have been carried out across different cultural, religious, and political contexts. Until today, however, there are still lack of concrete evidence, which is generated from empirical studies, supportive evidence for any of these hypotheses. Therefor this study aims to investigate the association between religion and popular support for suicide attacks by using a survey data collected from three middle east countries, Egypt, Morocco, and Pakistan. In analysis, a step-wised regression analysis conducted with a set of variety of variables considered to be related with the association. This study found that variables reflecting religious belief hypothesis, such as prayer to God, religious devotion were unrelated to support for suicide attacks. Yet, prayer time predicted reduced supports for suicide attacks. Further, attendance at religious services, thought to enhance coalitional commitment, predicted support for suicide attacks. Yet, it showed negative association with support for suicide attacks. These findings suggest that regular attendance at religious services and regular prayer have combined effects reducing on the willing to support for suicide martyrdom. However, this study findings affirmatively support for neigher religious belief hypothesis nor coalitional commitment hypothesis. Instead, it suggests the needs for further research examination on the relationship as well as corrections of these hypotheses. Finally, Implications for the research findings for preventing suicide attacks are discussed.

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A Study on the Realtime Integrated Management System for the Detection Malware (악성코드 탐지를 위한 실시간 통합관리 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hyo-Nam
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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    • 2013.07a
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    • pp.317-318
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    • 2013
  • 최근에 발생한 3.20 사이버테러와 6.25 사이버테러와 같이 특정 방송사와 금융권 전산망을 마비시키고 임직원 시스템을 망가뜨려 못쓰게 만드는 피해 유형이 발생되고 있다. 이런 사이버 공격에 사용되는 악성코드에 대해서 탐지에서 분석 그리고 검증 단계를 통합적으로 모니터링하고 필터를 통해 악성코드를 추출하고 차단하는 시스템 개발이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 실시간으로 악성코드를 탐지하는 엔진들의 분석 및 검증 현황을 확인하고 실시간 통계 모듈에서 수집한 자료들을 바탕으로 향후 보안 정책 방향 및 미래 예측을 계획할 수 있는 실시간 악성코드 분석 통합 관리 시스템을 제안한다.

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철도종합안전시스템 구현을 위한 소고

  • 구정서;권태수
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2003
  • 21세기의 사회적 환경변화는 크게 개도국의 인구증가, 선진국 인구감소, 인구의 노령화(2025년 전세계 인구의 20%가 65세 이상)와 연관된 인구통계의 변화와 경제발전으로 인한 세계화, 도시화(현재 전세계 인구의 45%가 도시지역에 생활하고 있으나, 2025년에는 60%로 증가) 등의 문제가 나타날 것으로 예측되며, 이로 인해 유동인구 및 물동량의 증가로 수송시스템에 대한 수요가 급격하게 증가할 것으로 예상된다. 특히 철도는 안전성, 정시성, 환경친화성, 대량수송성, 경제성 등에 장점을 바탕으로 국가교통의 핵심수단으로 확대되고 있다. 그러나, 미래사회는 각종 재해, 테러 등 다양한 위험원의 증가에 노출되면서, 안전에 대한 사회적 요구도 또한 증대될 것이다. (중략)

Effect of Choice of Overseas Travel on Fear of risk in Overseas (해외에서 발생한 위험에 대한 두려움이 해외여행 선택에 미치는 영향)

  • Shin, Jaehun;Kim, Sangwooon
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.198-205
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study was conducted and analyzed using statistical techniques to examine the impact of fear of risk committed by risk committed overseas on people who are about to travel abroad. Method: In the event of a risk, fear of a risk occurs, and fear of a risk adversely affects people's daily lives, and in the event of a decline in daily life, affecting the economy and social activities of the area, a small risk often has a huge impact on society. In particular, the fear of risk committed abroad has an impact on overseas activities as overseas travel has been activated in time for the global era. Result and Conclusion: Therefore, according to the research, the fear of crimes committed overseas has a negative effect on the choice of overseas travel.