• 제목/요약/키워드: 태양 에너지 예측

검색결과 292건 처리시간 0.029초

단독주택 태양광 발전과 냉방수요를 반영한 전력 최적운용 전략 연구 (Study on Optimal Control Algorithm of Electricity Use in a Single Family House Model Reflecting PV Power Generation and Cooling Demand)

  • 서정아;신영기;이경호
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제28권10호
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    • pp.381-386
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    • 2016
  • An optimization algorithm is developed based on a simulation case of a single family house model equipped with PV arrays. To increase the nationwide use of PV power generation facilities, a market-competitive electricity price needs to be introduced, which is determined based on the time of use. In this study, quadratic programming optimization was applied to minimize the electricity bill while maintaining the indoor temperature within allowable error bounds. For optimization, it is assumed that the weather and electricity demand are predicted. An EnergyPlus-based house model was approximated by using an equivalent RC circuit model for application as a linear constraint to the optimization. Based on the RC model, model predictive control was applied to the management of the cooling load and electricity for the first week of August. The result shows that more than 25% of electricity consumed for cooling can be saved by allowing excursions of temperature error within an affordable range. In addition, profit can be made by reselling electricity to the main grid energy supplier during peak hours.

위성기반 태양광 발전가능량 산출기술 개발 동향 및 향후 전망 (Technology Trends and Future Prospects of Satellite-Based Photovoltaic Electricity Potential)

  • 한경수;김진수
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제32권6호
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    • pp.579-587
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    • 2016
  • 세계적으로 자국의 에너지 수급의 안정성을 도모함과 동시에 태양광 발전시스템의 효율적인 운영을 위한 위성기반 태양광 발전가능량 산출기술 개발이 중요한 관심사로 주목받고 있다. 본 연구는 위성기반 일사량 산출기술과 태양광 발전가능량 산출기술에 대한 동향을 분석하고 관련기술 개발 전략을 제시하는데 그 목적을 둔다. 동향 분석 결과, 우리나라의 태양광 발전가능량 산출에 대한 전반적인 기술 수준은 선진국 대비 30% 이하로 아주 미미한 수준이며 이는 태양광 자원지도 제작에 국한되어있다. 이러한 기술 수준을 단시간 내에 선진국과 대등하게 끌어올리는 것은 거의 불가능할 것이다. 따라서 집중적인 연구개발을 통해 선진국 대비 80% 수준의 기술 수준을 달성하여 주요한 정보를 제공하여야 만이 실제 현업에서의 태양광 발전소 운영에 기여할 수 있을 것이다. 즉 가능한 빠른 시간 내에 현재 운영되고 있는 COMS 뿐만 아니라 차세대 고해상도 정지궤도기상위성 자료를 이용한 수백 m 급 고정밀 일사량 상세화 기술과 단기 또는 중기 일사량 예측을 위한 핵심기술이 우선적으로 확보되어야하며, 이후 위성기반 태양광 발전가능량 산출기술을 개발함으로써 현업에서 활용될 수 있는 정보를 제공함이 현실적으로 타당한 기술개발 전략일 것이다.

ESS 최적화 및 안정적인 운영을 위한 배터리 잔량 산출 및 고장 예측 알고리즘 (Battery Level Calculation and Failure Prediction Algorithm for ESS Optimization and Stable Operation)

  • 주종율;이영재;박경욱;오재철
    • 한국전자통신학회논문지
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2020
  • 신재생에너지를 활용한 발전원의 경우, 날씨 등의 영향을 많이 받아 전력 생산량이 원활하지 않을 수 있다. 태양광 및 풍력 발전의 효율성을 높이기 위해 에너지 저장 장치(ESS·Energy Storage System)를 활용한다. ESS는 배터리 보호 시스템과 운영관리, 제어체제가 미흡하거나, 설치상의 부주의 등의 원인으로 인해 화재가 속출하고 있으며, 매우 큰 인명 피해와 경제적 손실로 이어지고 있어 ESS의 안정성 및 배터리 보호 시스템 운영관리 기술이 필수적으로 요구되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 ESS 최적화 및 안정적인 운영을 위한 배터리 잔량 산출 알고리즘과 고장 예측 알고리즘을 제시한다. 제시한 알고리즘은 배터리의 충전 및 방전 수행 시 실시간으로 전류량을 누적하여 정확한 배터리 잔량을 산출하며, 배터리 셀 간의 전압불균형 현상을 이용하여 배터리의 고장 유무를 산출한다. 제시된 알고리즘들은 ESS를 최적의 상태로 운영하는데 필요한 정확한 배터리 잔량과 고장 예측이 가능하다. 따라서 ESS의 배터리의 정확한 상태 정보를 측정하고 신뢰성 있게 모니터링 하여 대형 사고를 미연에 방지할 수 있다.

복잡지형에 위치한 풍력발전단지의 연간발전량 예측 비교 연구 (AEP Prediction of a Wind Farm in Complex Terrain - WindPRO Vs. WindSim)

  • 우재균;김현기;김병민;권일한;백인수;유능수
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제32권6호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2012
  • The annual energy production of Gangwon wind farm was predicted for three consecutive years of 2007, 2008 and 2009 using commercial programs, WindPRO and WindSim which are known to be used the most for wind resource prediction in the world. The predictions from the linear code, WindPRO, were compared with both the actual energy prediction presented in the CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) monitoring report of the wind farm and also the predictions from the CFD code, WindSim. The results from WindPRO were close to the actual energy productions and the errors were within 11.8% unlike the expectation. The reason for the low prediction errors was found to be due to the fact that although the wind farm is located in highly complex terrain, the terrain steepness was smaller than a critical angle($21.8^{\circ}$) in front of the wind farm in the main wind direction. Therefore no flow separation was found to occur within the wind farm. The flow separation of the main wind was found to occur mostly behind the wind farm.

터어빈 회전차를 모델로하는 복합 히이트파이프의 전열특성에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Heat Transfer Characteristics in the Composite Heat Pipe as Modeling Turbine Rotor)

  • 권순석;장영석;유병욱
    • 태양에너지
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    • 제13권2_3호
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    • pp.120-132
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    • 1993
  • 본 연구의 목적은 터어빈 회전차를 모델로한 복합회전형 히이트파이프의 전열특성을 실험과 유한요소의 해석법에 의하여 연구한 것이다. 입열량과 회전수에 따른 Nu, Re, Pr 그리고 무차원 응축액막두께가 변수로 사용되었다. 해석과 실험치는 거의 유사한 경향으로 일치하였으며, 연구결과는 복합히이트파이프 성능예측을 하는데 도움을 주었다. 복합회전형 히이트파이프에서의 열저항은 응축액막두께가 감소함에 따라 응축부의 열전달은 급격히 증가하였고, 응축액막두께는 복합회전형 히이트파이프의 전열 특성에 가장 큰 영향을 주었다. 주어진 Pr에서 Re가 변화함에 따라 무차원 응축액막두께가 일정한값으로 나타났고,무차원 응축액막두께는 회전수의 역수의 제곱근에 비례하였다. 본 연구의 해석적 방법에 의해서 Nu=A$({\delta}({\omega}/v)^{-1/2}Re^B)$라는 식을 구했고, 이때 A=0.963, B=0.5025의 값을 얻었다.

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HadCM3를 이용한 서울 및 울산지역의 미래 냉.난방도일 예측 (The expectation of future cooling and heating degree day of the Seoul and Ulsan using HadCM3)

  • 이관호;유호천;노경환
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국태양에너지학회 2008년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.160-165
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    • 2008
  • The concern in energy reduction in the field of architecture which takes up a big weight in domestic energy consumption is gradually increasing. For this reason, a lot of research work on this matter is being carried out. Particularly, it is generally required that currently used system in a structure for energy reduction should be maximized in its efficiency. In addition, research on several energy reduction typed systems is underway. Such a research work should not only include the one in time of the present but also keep up with the trend for future-oriented research. This research paper forecasted and analyzed the trend for global warming and demand of a structure for energy in the future by applying climate scenarios to cooling degree-day and heating degree-day. Also, this research found out the decrease in heating degree-days and increase in cooling degree-days until this moment due to the progress of global warming. In addition, as for heating degree-days in the future forecasted on the basis of HadCM3, it is estimated that the range of decrease could be ever bigger starting 2040 in case of Seoul and also starting 2010 in case of Ulsan ever after respectively. In case of cooling degree-days, it is estimated that its increase range could be bigger abruptly starting 2050, and after 2080, its increase range would be much bigger.

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하수처리수를 이용한 소수력발전소 설계 및 성능예측 (Design and Performance Prediction of Small Hydropower Plant Using Treated Effluent in Wastewater Treatment Plant)

  • 이철형;박완순;김원경;김정연;채규정
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.78-83
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    • 2013
  • A methodology to predict the output performance of small hydro power plant using treated effluent in waste water treatment plant has been studied. Existing waste water treatment plant located in Kyunggi-Do were selected and the output performance characteristics for these plants were analyzed. .Based on the models developed in this study, the hydrologic performance characteristics for SHP sites have been analyzed. The results show that the flow duration characteristics of small hydropower plant for waste water treatment plant have quite differences compared with small hydropower plant for the river. As a result, it was found that the developed model in this study can be used to analyze the output characteristics for small hydro power in waste water treatment plant. Additionally, primary design specifications such as design flowrate, capacity, operational rate and annual electricity production were estimated and discussed. It was found that the models developed in this study can be used to decide the design performance of small hydropower plant for waste water treatment plant effectively.

수직평행채널의 벽면에 부착된 단일모듈로부터의 3차원 자연대류 열전달 (Three-Dimensional Natural Convection from a Single Module on the Wall of a Vertical Parallel-Plate Channel)

  • 유갑종;이진호;김현우
    • 태양에너지
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    • 제19권3호
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 1999
  • 본 연구에서는 돌출된 단일 모듈이 부착된 수직 채널내의 3차원 자연대류 특성을 실험적으로 조사하였으며, 특히 모듈로부터 대류에 의한 열에너지 제거에 초점을 두었다. 채널내의 유동장은 smoke-method를 이용하여 가시화 하였다. 또한 채널내부, 수직벽면 및 모듈표면의 국소온도를 열전대와 열플럭스 센서를 이용하여 측정하여 복사와 전도에의한 열손실량을 계산하였다. 실험결과 대류열전달은 모듈 하부의 모서리 부근에서 가장 활발히 일어나고, 모듈 상부에서의 재순환영역은 열전달을 감소시킴을 알 수 있으며 임계 채널간격비를 예측할 수 있는 상관식을 레일리히수의 함수로 구하였다. 또한 $8.28{\times}10^3<Ra^*_c<3.48{\times}10^6$의 범위에서 수정 채널 레일리히수의 함수로써 평균 누셀트수와의 상관식을 구하였다.

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상용 CFD 프로그램을 이용한 복잡지형에서의 풍속 예측 (Wind Speed Prediction in Complex Terrain Using a Commercial CFD Code)

  • 우재균;김현기;백인수;유능수;남윤수
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제31권6호
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    • pp.8-22
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    • 2011
  • Investigations on modeling methods of a CFD wind resource prediction program, WindSim for a ccurate predictions of wind speeds were performed with the field measurements. Meteorological Masts having heights of 40m and 50m were installed at two different sites in complex terrain. The wind speeds and direction were monitored from sensors installed on the masts and recorded for one year. Modeling parameters of WindSim input variables for accurate predictions of wind speeds were investigated by performing cross predictions of wind speeds at the masts using the measured data. Four parameters that most affect the wind speed prediction in WindSim including the size of a topographical map, cell sizes in x and y direction, height distribution factors, and the roughness lengths were studied to find out more suitable input parameters for better wind speed predictions. The parameters were then applied to WindSim to predict the wind speed of another location in complex terrain in Korea for validation. The predicted annual wind speeds were compared with the averaged measured data for one year from meteorological masts installed for this study, and the errors were within 6.9%. The results of the proposed practical study are believed to be very useful to give guidelines to wind engineers for more accurate prediction results and time-saving in predicting wind speed of complex terrain that will be used to predict annual energy production of a virtual wind farm in complex terrain.

부산지역에 적합한 시간당 수평면 전일사량 산출모델의 비교분석 (Comparison Analysis of Estimation Models of Hourly Horizontal Global Solar Radiation for Busan, Korea)

  • 김기한;오기환
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.9-17
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    • 2013
  • Hourly horizontal global solar radiation has been used as one of significant parameters in a weather file for building energy simulations, which determines the quality of building thermal performance. However, as about twenty two weather stations in Korea have actually measured the horizontal global sola radiation, the weather files collected in other stations requires solar data simulation from the other meteorological parameters. Thus, finding the reliable complicated method that can be used in various weather conditions in Korea is critically important. In this paper, three solar simulation models were selected and evaluated through the reliability test with the simulated hourly horizontal global solar radiation against the actually measured solar data to find the most suitable model for the south east area of Korea. Three selected simulation models were CRM, ZHM, and MRM. The first two models are regression type models using site-fitted coefficients which are derived from the correlation between measured solar data and local meteorological parameters from the previous years, and the last model is a mechanistic type model using the meteorological data to calculate conditions of atmospheric constituents that cause absorption and scattering of the extraterrestrial radiation on the way to the surface on the Earth. The evaluation results show that ZHM is the most reliable model in this area, yet a complicated hybrid simulation methods applying the advantages of each simulation method with the monthly-based weather data is needed.