• Title/Summary/Keyword: 충격-반응 분석

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Factor augmentation for cryptocurrency return forecasting (암호화폐 수익률 예측력 향상을 위한 요인 강화)

  • Yeom, Yebin;Han, Yoojin;Lee, Jaehyun;Park, Seryeong;Lee, Jungwoo;Baek, Changryong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.189-201
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    • 2022
  • In this study, we propose factor augmentation to improve forecasting power of cryptocurrency return. We consider financial and economic variables as well as psychological aspect for possible factors. To be more specific, financial and economic factors are obtained by applying principal factor analysis. Psychological factor is summarized by news sentiment analysis. We also visualize such factors through impulse response analysis. In the modeling perspective, we consider ARIMAX as the classical model, and random forest and deep learning to accommodate nonlinear features. As a result, we show that factor augmentation reduces prediction error and the GRU performed the best amongst all models considered.

Impact of Fluctuations in Construction Business on Insolvency of Construction Company by Size (건설경기 변동이 규모별 건설기업 부실화에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Sanghyo
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.8
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed the impact of changes in the construction business on construction company insolvency according to their size using the vector error correction model. First, this study applied EDF (Expected Default Frequency), which was calculated by KMV (Kealhofer, McQuown and Vasicek) model, as a variable to indicate the insolvency of construction companies. This study set 30 construction companies listed to KOSPI/KOSDAQ for estimating the EDF by size and construction companies were divided into two groups according to their size. To examine the construction business cycles, the amount of construction orders according to the type-residential, non-residential, and civil work- was used as a variable. The serial data was retrieved from TS2000 established by the Korea Listed Companies Association (KLCA), Statistics Korea. The analysis period was between the second quarter of 2001 and fourth quarter of 2015. As a result of calculating the EDF of construction companies by size, as it is generally known, the large-sized construction companies showed lower levels of insolvency than relatively smaller-sized construction companies. On the other hand, impulse response analysis based on VECM confirmed that the level of insolvency of large-scaled companies is more sensitive to business fluctuations than relatively smaller-sized construction companies, particularly changes in the residential construction market. Hence it is a major factor affecting the changes in insolvency of large-sized construction companies.

A Study on Properties of Pb-free Solder Joints Combined Sn-Bi-Ag with Sn-Ag-Cu by Conditions of Reflow Soldering Processes (리플로우 솔더링 공정 조건에 따른 Sn-Bi-Ag와 Sn-Ag-Cu 복합 무연 솔더 접합부 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Jahyeon;Cheon, Gyeongyeong;Kim, Dongjin;Park, Young-Bae;Ko, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of the Microelectronics and Packaging Society
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2022
  • In this study, properties of Pb-free solder joints which were combined using Sn-3.0Ag-0.5Cu (SAC305) Pb-free solder with a mid-temperature type of melting temperature and Sn-57Bi-1Ag Pb-free solder with a low-temperature type of melting temperature were reported. Combined Pb-free solder joints were formed by reflow soldering processes with ball grid array (BGA) packages which have SAC305 solder balls and flame retardant-4 (FR-4) printed circuit boards (PCBs) which printed Sn-57Bi-1Ag solder paste. The reflow soldering processes were performed with two types of temperature profiles and interfacial properties of combined Pb-free solder joints such as interfacial reactions, formations of intermetallic compounds (IMCs), diffusion mechanisms of Bi, and so on were analyzed with the reflow process conditions. In order to compare reliability characteristics of combined Pb-free solder joints, we also conducted thermal shock test and analyzed changes of mechanical properties for joints from a shear test during the thermal shock test.

A Study on the Psychopharmacological Actions of Panax ginseng in Animals (인삼의 향정신작용에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Sa-Ack;Kim, Myeong-Seok;Jang, Hyeon-Gap
    • Journal of Ginseng Research
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.33-50
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    • 1976
  • As a continuation of series of works on the pharmacological actions of Panax ginseng. three kinds of behavioral experiments were carried out using rats and mice. The occurrence of component Posterns of general behavioral activity in rat was examined by visual scanning using the ting sample method in the ad lib. And he hunger deprivated situation. In normal ad lib. situation, the eating behavior of rat treated with 100mg/kg of ginseng saponin was significantly more frequent than that of saline control at the night and throughout the 24 hr period. But grooming was less frequent than the control at the same period. In the hunger situation followed by 90~120 hrs of feed deprivation, the locomotive activity and rearing awe significantly more often and sleeping was less frequent in the two dosage g roups of ginseng saponin (10 and 100 mg/kg) than in the saline group though out the observation period. Training of avoidance conditioning in rats was done in a two-way shuttle box. The number of conditioned response (CR) in which the animal avoided sucessfully an electric shock by running in to the other compartment of the hex was regarded as an index of learning performance. Ginseng saponin in doses of 2.5 mg/kg Produced a significantly increased CR in total avoidance tria1s compared with the control. Although other dosage groups of ginseng saponin (5.0, 50mg and 100 mg/kg) showed no significant statistical difference from the normal control, it tended to increase in CR in the ginseng groups than in the control. An aggressive behavior in mice was observed in n shock-generating fighting box. The occurrence of reflexive fighting between two animals induced by an electric shock applied to the feet war checked as an index of aggression. The occurrence of reciprocal fighting episode immediately after the onset. Of the shock was significantly decreased in the dosage group of 400 mg/kg ginseng saponin, but it did net differ in the 100 mg/kg group of ginseng saponin from the control group. The dose, 400 mg/kg of ginseng saponin, inhibited fighting behavior in more than 80% of the Pairs. but 100 mg/kg of ginseng did inhibit it in less than 20% of the pairs.

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Preparation and Properties of Flame Retardant Epoxy Resins Containing Phosphorous/Silicone Components (인/실리콘 함유 난연성 에폭시 수지의 제조 및 물성)

  • Kim, Chang-Heon;Ha, Do-Young;Lee, Young Hee;Lee, Dong-Jin;Kim, Han-Do
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.378-387
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    • 2017
  • To obtain epoxy resin with permanently attached flame-retardant groups, phosphorus compound containing di-hydroxyl group [10-(2,5-dihydroxyphenyl)-9,10-dihydro-9-oxa-10-phospha phenanthrene-10-oxide, DOPO-HQ] and silicone compound containing di-hydroxyl group (polydimethylsiloxane, hydroxyl terminated, PDMS) were reacted with uncured epoxy prepolymer (diglycidyl ether of bisphenol A, DGEBA) and then cured using 4,4-diaminodiphenylmethane (DDM) as a crosslinking agent. The properties of the resulting epoxy materials were characterized using Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectrometer, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), limiting oxygen index (LOI) test/vertical burning test (UL 94-V test), tensile properties test and impact test. This study examined the effect of phosphorus/silicone compound contents on the thermal/mechanical properties and flame retardancy of cured epoxy resins containing phosphorus and silicone compounds. It was found that the thermal/mechanical properties of epoxy resins containing phosphorus and silicone components were higher than those of simple epoxy resin. The flame-retardancy (LOI: 29.9 ~ 31.8% and UL 94-V: V-0) of all samples containing phosphorus compound and phosphrous compound/silicone compound was found to be passed the flame-retardant requirements (LOI: > 30%, UL 94-V: V-0) of LOI and vertical burning tests. However, the flame-retardancy (LOI: 21.4% and UL 94-V: no rating) of simple epoxy resin was found to be failed the flame-retardant requirements.

Cellular responses and proteomic analysis of hemolytic Bacillus cereus MH-2 exposed to epigallocatechin gallate (EGCG) (Epigallocatechin Gallate (EGCG)에 노출된 용혈성 Bacillus cereus MH-2의 세포 반응 및 프로테옴 분석)

  • Kim, Dong-Min;Park, Sang-Kook;Oh, Kye-Heon
    • Korean Journal of Microbiology
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    • v.52 no.3
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    • pp.260-268
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    • 2016
  • The aim of this work was to investigate the cellular responses and proteomic analysis of Bacillus cereus MH-2 exposed to EGCG. Strain MH-2 was isolated from commercial Ssamjang and has the hemolytic activity. Survival of the MH-2 strain with time in the presence of different concentrations of EGCG under sublethal conditions was monitored. The amount of alginate from MH-2 strain decreased depending on the increasing concentrations of EGCG and increased depending on the exposure time at any particular EGCG concentration. Analysis of SDS-PAGE and Western blot using anti-DnaK and anti-GroEL revealed that two stress shock proteins, 70 kDa DnaK and 60 kDa GroEL were found to decrease in proportion to the EGCG concentration in exponentially growing cultures. Scanning electron microscopic analysis demonstrated the presence of protrusions and fused rod forms on the cells treated with EGCG. 2-DE of soluble protein fractions from MH-2 cultures showed 20 protein spots changed by EGCG exposure. These proteins involved in enterotoxins (hemolysin BL lytic component L1 and hemolysin BL-binding protein), chaperons (DnaK and GroEL), cell defense (peptidase M4 family proteins), and various biosynthesis and energy metabolism were identified by peptide mass fingerprinting using MALDI-TOF. These results provide clues for understanding the mechanism of EGCG-induced stress and cytotoxicity on B. cereus MH-2.

Experimental Study on the Agglomeration Characteristics of Coal and Silica Sand by addition of KOH (KOH 첨가에 의한 석탄 및 유동사의 응집특성에 대한 실험적 연구)

  • Cho, Cheonhyeon;Gil, Eunji;Lee, Uendo;Lee, Yongwoon;Kim, Seongil;Yang, Won;Moon, Jihwan;Ahn, Seokgi;Jung, Sungmook;Jeong, Soohwa
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.46-53
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    • 2022
  • The agglomeration characteristics of coal and silica sand were investigated under various conditions using mixed samples consisting of coal, silica sand, and potassium hydroxide, which is an agglomeration accelerator. The samples were prepared by either physically mixing or using aqueous solutions. The experiments using the physically mixed powder samples were performed with a two hour reaction time. The results showed that the number of aggregates generated increased as the reaction temperature and the total potassium content increased. The experiments using aqueous solutions were performed at 880 ℃, which is the operating temperature of a fluidized bed boiler, and at 980 ℃, which assumes a local hot spot. The amount of agglomeration generated as the reaction time increased and the total potassium content increased was identified. In the experiment performed at 880 ℃, the amount of aggregate generated clearly increased with the reaction time, and in the experiment performed at 980 ℃, assuming a local hot spot, a large amount of aggregate was generated in a relatively short time. The aggregates became harder as the potassium content increased. When the total potassium content was less than 1.37 wt.%, the aggregates were weak at both temperatures and collapsed even with a slight impact. Additionally, the surface characteristics of the silica sand and ash aggregates were observed by SEM-EDS analysis. The analysis revealed a large amount of potassium at the bonding sites. This result indicates that there is a high possibility of aggregation in the form of a eutectic compound when the alkali component is increased.

Hydrogen explosion effects at a containment building following a severe accident (중대사고시 수소폭발이 격납건물에 미치는 영향)

  • Ryu, Myeong-Rok;Park, Kweon-Ha
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.165-173
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    • 2016
  • On March 11, 2011, a massive earthquake measuring 9.0 on the Richter scale and subsequent 10-.14 m waves struck the Fukushima Daiichi (FD) Nuclear Power Plant. The main and backup electric power was damaged preventing the cooling system from functioning. Fuel rods overheated and led to hydrogen explosions. If heat in the fuel rods is not dissipated, the nuclear fuel coating material (e.g., Zircaloy) reacts with water vapor to generate hydrogen at high temperatures. This hydrogen is released into the containment area. If the released hydrogen burns, the stability of the containment area is significantly impacted. In this study, researchers performed an explosion analysis in a high-risk explosion area, analyzing the hydrogen distribution in a containment building [1] and the effects of a hydrogen explosion on containment safety. Results indicated that a hydrogen explosion was possible throughout the containment building except the middle area. If an explosion occurs at the top of the containment building with more than 40% of the hydrogen collected or in the bottom right or left side of the of containment building, safety of the containment building could be threatened.

반도체 및 디스플레이 세정 공정용 $CO_2$ 클러스터 장비의 클러스터 발생 특성 분석

  • Choe, Hu-Mi;Jo, Yu-Jin;Lee, Jong-U;Kim, Tae-Seong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Vacuum Society Conference
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    • 2013.02a
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    • pp.303-303
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    • 2013
  • 표면에 부착된 나노/마이크로 입자는 다양한 분야에서 오염물질로 작용한다. 특히 형상이 미세하고 공정 단계가 복잡한 반도체 및 디스플레이 등의 전자 소자 공정에서 미치는 영향이 크다. 따라서 입자상 오염물질의 제거에 관하여 상용화된 습식 세정 방법이 다양하게 존재하지만 표면 손상, 화학 반응, 부산물, 세정 효율 등 여러 가지 문제점이 있어 새로운 세정 방법이 요구된다. 이에 건식 세정 방법, 그 중에서도 입자의 충돌을 통해 제거하는 방법인 에어로졸 세정, 필렛 세정 등이 개발되었으나 마이크로 크기로 생성되는 입자로 인하여 형상의 손상이 크다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 나노 단위로 기체/고체 혼합물만 생성하여 세정하는 가스 클러스터 세정 방법을 이용하여 이러한 문제점을 해결하고자 하였다. 클러스터 세정 장비를 이용한 표면 처리는 충돌에 의한 제거에 기반한다. 따라서 생성 및 가속되는 클러스터로부터 대상으로 전달되는 운동량의 정도가 세정 특성에 영향을 미치며 이는 생성되는 클러스터의 크기에 종속적이다. 생성 클러스터의 크기 분포는 분사 거리, 유량, 분사 각도, 노즐 냉각 온도 등의 변수에 관한 함수이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 $CO_2$ 클러스터를 이용한 세정 특성을 정의 및 제어하기 위하여 생성되는 클러스터 특성에 관하여 이론적, 수치 해석적, 실험적 연구를 수행하였다. 먼저, $CO_2$의 물리적 특성 및 이를 이용한 특정 크기 오염 물질을 제거하는데 요구되는 임계 클러스터 크기 계산을 이론적으로 구하였다. 이는 오염물질의 부착력과 클러스터의 운동량 전달에 의한 제거력의 비교를 통해 이루어졌다. 두 번째로 클러스터 크기분포를 수치 해석적으로 예측하기 위하여 각 조건에 대하여 유동해석을 수행하고 이를 통해 구해진 노즐 내 기체의 냉각 속도를 GDE (General Dynamic Equation) 계산에 대입하여 구하였다. 마지막으로 PBMS(Particle Beam Mass Spectrometer)를 이용하여 실험적으로 클러스터 크기분포를 각 조건에 대하여 구할 수 있었다. 또한 크기 분포 경향에 대한 간접적 확인을 위하여 포토레지스트가 코팅된 웨이퍼에 클러스터의 충격으로 생성된 크레이터 크기의 경향을 분석하였다. 이와 같은 방법에 의하여 생성되는 클러스터는 노즐의 유량 증가, 온도 상승에 각각 비례하여 작아지는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

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The Impacts of Speculative Trading on Commodity Prices After the Global Financial Crisis (금융위기 이후 투기 거래가 원자재 가격에 미친 영향)

  • Kim, Hwa-Nyeon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.179-185
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    • 2016
  • This study verifies whether speculative trading in commodity markets acted as the primary cause of the increase in commodity prices after the global financial crisis using the Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model. The effects of speculative trading on commodity prices increased by a factor of 3 to 6 after the crisis compared to those before the crisis. Although the demand related variables, such as industrial production, affected commodity prices significantly before the crisis, their effects decreased after the crisis. Consequently, the rebound of commodity prices after the crisis was mainly caused by the increase in speculative money, fortified by the expansion of the global liquidity supply. The global liquidity may well increase in the future, because the U.S. Federal Reserve Board is likely to continue to increase its interest rate. This study claims that when global liquidity shrinks as a result of a change in the Fed's monetary policy stance, speculative trading will slow down, leading to a decline in commodity prices.