• Title/Summary/Keyword: 추정남

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A Comparison Study of Model Parameter Estimation Methods for Prognostics (건전성 예측을 위한 모델변수 추정방법의 비교)

  • An, Dawn;Kim, Nam Ho;Choi, Joo Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.355-362
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    • 2012
  • Remaining useful life(RUL) prediction of a system is important in the prognostics field since it is directly linked with safety and maintenance scheduling. In the physics-based prognostics, accurately estimated model parameters can predict the remaining useful life exactly. It, however, is not a simple task to estimate the model parameters because most real system have multivariate model parameters, also they are correlated each other. This paper presents representative methods to estimate model parameters in the physics-based prognostics and discusses the difference between three methods; the particle filter method(PF), the overall Bayesian method(OBM), and the sequential Bayesian method(SBM). The three methods are based on the same theoretical background, the Bayesian estimation technique, but the methods are distinguished from each other in the sampling methods or uncertainty analysis process. Therefore, a simple physical model as an easy task and the Paris model for crack growth problem are used to discuss the difference between the three methods, and the performance of each method evaluated by using established prognostics metrics is compared.

Estimation of Drought Damage Based on Agricultural and Domestic Water Use (농업 및 생활용수 부문에 대한 가뭄피해액 산정)

  • Seo, Soon-Seok;Kim, Duck-Gil;Lee, Keon-Haeng;Kim, Hung-Soo;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2009
  • Drought has different characteristics from other disasters. Say, drought effect can be prolonged according to drought duration and so the estimation of drought damage can be difficult. Therefore this study suggested and applied the proper drought damage estimation method developed based on previous methods. The suggested method was used for the drought damage estimations considering agricultural aspect and domestic water use which the data are available. We estimated drought damages on Gimhae-si, Namhae-gun, Uiryeong-gun, Changnyeong-gun, and Changwon-si in Gyungsang Nam-do from 2006 to 2008. As a result, in agricultural aspect, the damage on rice was about 195million won in Uiryeong-gun and on rice was about 67million won in Changnyeong-gun. In domestic water use, the damage was about 21billion won on 4 towns of Namhae-gun when we assumed the expense for sufferance is 400,000 won. We may need develope the method in the direction of the best use of present data for the improvement of the suggested method in agricultural aspect. In the case of the estimation of drought damage about domestic water use, we could suggest more realistic method if we consider the weights for the expense for sufferance and water use.

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Analysis of characteristics of natural resins using organic residue analysis organic materials attached on wooden coffins from Singok-dong Site, Uijeongbu (유기잔존물 분석을 활용한 천연 수지 특성 분석 - 의정부 신곡동 유적 출토 목관 부착 유기물을 중심으로 -)

  • YUN, Eunyoung
    • Korean Journal of Heritage: History & Science
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    • v.54 no.4
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    • pp.78-89
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    • 2021
  • Organic residues analysis is an analysis method that reveals the types of organic material samples by using the characteristic that main components constituting substances are different depending on the species of animals and plants. In this study, scientific analysis of the organic residues attached to wood coffins in the Joseon Dynasty Hoemyo excavated from the site of Singok-dong, Uijeongbu was used to identify the types of remnants and to use them as information to restore the uses of organic materials and the way they lived in the past. As a result of FT-IR analysis of the residue attached to the inside of the wood, it was estimated to be a natural plant resin material. In addition, as a result of analysis by GC-MS to confirm the characteristic factors of natural resins, diterpenoids (abietane) and pimaran (pimarane), such as dehydroabietic acid and pimaric acid (diterpenoid) compounds, and saturated and unsaturated fatty acid components were detected together. Diterpenoid compounds are components mainly found in Pinaceae resins. It is confirmed in the literature that rosin, a representative material of Pinaceae resin, was used as an adhesive material. Considering the situation where an organic material remained at the joint of the wood, the organic material attached to the wood is judged to be an adhesive material made of Pinaceae resin. In addition, the fatty acid component detected together is a component derived from plant oil, and it is presumed to be made by mixing rosin and oil as recorded in previous studies. This study confirms that organic residues remain in the burial environment without losing their characteristics. It is expected that scientific analysis of organic residues will be conducted in the future to accumulate information necessary for the interpretation of past living culture.

Taxonomy and Ecological Implications of Stonefly (Order: Plecoptera) Nymphs from the Late Triassic Amisan Formation in the Boryeong region, Korea (보령 지역의 후기 트라이아스기 아미산층에서 산출된 화석 강도래 (Plecoptera) 유충의 분류와 생태학적 의미)

  • Nam, Kye Soo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.293-302
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    • 2017
  • A large number of stonefly nymph fossils were discovered from the Late Triassic Amisan Formation in the Boryeong region, Korea. These Plecoptera were classified as Platyperlidae, Baleyopterygidae, and Siberioperlidae based on their external morphologies. The Baleyopterygidae were most abundant among the fossils. This suggests that the plecopteran has already been widely distributed in the Northeast Asian region including Russia, Mongolia and China during the Mesozoic. The fossils of these stoneflies imply that benthic habitats of flowing and fresh waters may have existed, given the fact that they are similar with the biology of extant species. These Plecoptera were found together with Ephemeroptera and Conchostraca and thus, they were presumed to be preying on these insects.

Study on Damage Detection Method using Meta Model (메타모델을 이용한 손상추정 기법 연구)

  • Min, Cheon-Hong;Cho, Su-Gil;Oh, Jae-Won;Kim, Hyung-Woo;Hong, Sup;Nam, Bo-Woo
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.351-358
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents an effective damage detection method using a meta model. A meta model is an approximation model that uses the relations between the design and response variables. It eliminates the need for repetitive analyses of computationally expensive models during the optimization process. In this study, a response surface model was employed as the meta model. The surface model was estimated using the correlation of the stiffness and natural frequencies of the structures. The locations and values of the damages were identified using a meta model-based damage detection method. Two numerical examples (a cantilever beam and jacket structure) were considered to verify the performance of the proposed method. As a result, the damages to the structures were accurately detected.

An Analysis of the Software defect density based on components size (소프트웨어 컴포넌트 규모에 의한 소프트웨어 결함 밀도의 평가)

  • 이재기;남상식;김창봉
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.69-78
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we estimated the exact software defect density to build up a suitable model that is closely related to the size of module in the probability model proposed by MD (Malaiya and Denton). To put it concretely, we predict that the software defect density using some practical data sets that are the outcomes from the system test performed our three projects for the types of distribution (exponential and geometric), per a unit of module, and the size of source line that have been recommended by KLOC(kilo-line-of-code). Then, we make comparison between our proposed defect density model and those examined real data.

Use of Cs-137 Redistribution in Estimating Deposition at The Sansu Reservoir (Cs-137 분포를 이용한 저수지의 퇴적 양상 추정)

  • Kim, Kye-Hoon
    • Applied Biological Chemistry
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 1995
  • A reservoir located at Chollanam-do province was selected to estimate annual deposition rate, volume of annually deposited material, and annual soil loss from the watershed using Cs-137 redistribution. Sediment profiles of the reservoir indicated an average annual deposition rate of 1.56 cm $yr^{-1}$ and the total deposited volume of $166530\;m^3$ since 1963/64. Annual soil loss from the watershed was 25 ton $ha^{-1}$. Particle size analysis showed that most of the particles were silt-sized ones.

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Water balance analysis for water supply at small watershed area (중소하천유역 용수공급을 위한 물수지분석)

  • Lee, Soo-Heyng;Park, Ki-Bum;Kim, Sung-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1293-1297
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    • 2010
  • 최근 10년 들어 가뭄과 홍수가 빈번하게 반복되면서 용수공급에 어려움이 많은 것이 사실이다. 특히나 농촌지역, 군, 면단위 지역의 용수공급 문제는 시간이 지날수록 개선이 이루어지고 있으나 시간적으로 공간적으로 개선속도가 늦게 진행되고 있다. 새로운 취수원의 변경, 댐건설 등으로 인하여 새로운 용수공급량의 추정과 용수공급의 배분문제는 아주 중요하다고 할 수 있다. 중소하천유역에서의 물수지 분석은 해당 지역에 대한 안정된 용수를 공급하기 위해 유역내의 장래 용수수요를 산정하고 공급기준년의 자연유량을 비교하여 유역내의 물수지를 예측하고, 공급기준년의 물부족량을 공급하기 위해 필수적으로 선행되어야 하는 요소이다. 갈수시의 물수지 분석은 유역 내에서 발생하는 용수수요의 총량 및 장래수요 증가량과 불규칙한 자연유하량을 비교 검토하여 물 부족 여부를 검토하는 것으로 갈수시에도 하천의 정상적인 기능을 유지하기 위한 수자원의 확보방안을 강구하기 위해 행하는 것이다. 본 연구에서는 증가하는 용수수요와 취수원 변경에 따른 영주시 수자원의 효율적인 이용과 체계적인 용수공급 계획을 수립하기 위하여 지방 2급 하천인 서천상류(죽계천, 남원천,서천)유역 일원에 대한 용수이용현황을 조사하고 장래 용수수요를 추정하여 물수지 분석을 실시하였다.

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Performance Analysis of Frequency Synchronization for HDR-WPAN System (HDR-WPAN 시스템을 위한 주파수 동기 성능분석)

  • Park, Ji-Woo;Kang, Hee-Gok;Kim, Jae-Young;Oh, Chang-Heon
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.163-168
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose a frequency synchronization algorithm using characteristic of CAZAC sequence for HDR-WPAN and analyze the performance by signal constellation and EVM(error vector magnitude). The proposed frequency offset technique estimated each sample phase error of two sequences among 12 CAZAC sequences which have excellent autocorrelated characteristic. Estimated phase error is multiplied to each sample of next sequence for compensating the frequency offset. The remaining frequency offset after compensating it with two sequences has maximum 0.002 offsest ranges at each sample. The computer simulation proved that the permission of EVM value had satisfied in the case of DQPSK at 20[dB].

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Estimation of Water Surface and Available Water for Agricultural Reservoirs using Sentinel-2 Satellite Imagery (Sentinel-2 위성영상을 활용한 농업용 저수지 수표면 및 가용수량 추정)

  • Lee, Hee-Jin;Nam, Won-Ho;Yoon, Dong-Hyun;Jang, Min-Won;Kim, Dae-Eui
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.163-163
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    • 2020
  • 전 세계적으로 기후변화에 따른 온난화 현상으로 인하여 농업에 직접적인 영향을 주는 기상 및 환경요인의 변화가 급격하게 진행되고 있다. 2017년에는 전국의 봄철 강수량이 평년 대비 60% 수준으로 물 부족 현상을 야기하여 극심한 가뭄이 발생하였다. 최근 지역적인 강수량 부족으로 인한 국소적인 가뭄 발생 및 발생빈도가 높아지고 있는 추세이며, 특히 농업가뭄은 농업용수의 주요한 용수공급시설인 농업용 저수지 및 용수공급시설의 지역적 편중 등으로 농업용수 부족 상황이 발생할 위험이 커지고 있다. 따라서, 시기별 저수지의 가용용수능력을 평가하는 것이 중요하며, 이러한 판단을 위하여 위성영상을 이용한 저수지 수표면적 및 용수능력판단이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄시기의 저수지 수표면적 및 용수능력판단을 위하여 Sentinel-2 위성영상을 활용하여 2016년부터 2018년까지 충청남도 서산 지역의 농업용 저수지를 대상으로 정규수분지수(Normalized Difference Water Index, NDWI)을 산정하였다. NDWI는 위성영상의 파장 정보를 활용하여 지표면의 수분함유량과 관계를 나타내며, 하천, 호수, 습지 등 수분을 다량으로 함유한 지형지물을 탐지하기 위하여 사용된다. NDWI와 수위-내용적 자료와의 관계로부터 저수지 수표면적을 산출하였으며, 이에 따른 상관성 분석을 통하여 위성영상을 활용한 농업용 저수지의 가용수량 추정방법을 제시하고자 한다.

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