• Title/Summary/Keyword: 최고기온

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Future precipitation changes in Jeju island based on CMIP6 models (CMIP6 모델을 기반으로 한 제주도 강수량의 미래 변화)

  • Kim, Sunghun;Seo, Miru;Lee, Taewon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.186-186
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) 6차 평가보고서(6th Assessment Report, AR6)에서 제시한 새로운 온실가스 경로(SSP, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways)에 따라 산출된 전지구 기후변화 시나리오를 이용하여 제주도의 미래 강수량 변화를 살펴보고자 한다. 기상청에서 운영하는 기후정보포털(http://www.climate.go.kr/)에서는 6가지 기상요소(평균기온, 최고기온, 최저기온, 강수량, 상대습도, 풍속 등)에 대하여 SSP 시나리오 자료를 제공하고 있다. SSP 시나리오는 SSP1-2.6 저탄소 시나리오(사회 불균형의 감소와 친환경 기술의 빠른 발달로 기후변화 완화, 적응능력이 좋은 지속성장가능 사회경제 구조)와 SSP5-8.5 고탄소 시나리오(기후정책 부재, 화석연료 기반 성장과 높은 인적 투자로 기후변화 적응능력은 좋지만 완화능력이 낮은 사회경제 구조)로 구분되어 제공되고 있다. 또한, 현재의 기후 상태를 모의하는 historical period (1850-2014) 자료와 미래의 기후상태를 모의한 future period (2015-2100) 자료가 있으며, 월별(momthly), 연간(yearly) 자료의 형태로 제공된다. 본 연구를 통하여 새로운 SSP 시나리오를 이용한 제주도 강수량의 미래 변화를 정량적으로 분석하였고, 기후변화에 능동적인 대책을 수립하는데 도움이 될 것으로 판단된다.

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Yearly Variation in Growth and Yield of Winter Hulless Barley at Iksan (익산지역에서 쌀보리의 생육 및 수량의 연차 간 변화)

  • Choi, Inbae;Kim, Hakshin;Hwang, Jaebok;Gu, Bonil;Bae, Huisu;Park, Taeseon;Park, Hongkyu;Lee, Geonhwi
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.171-183
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    • 2016
  • The effects of weather variations on winter hulless barley were analyzed using data obtained from winter crop situation test at Iksan from 1985 to 2015. The wintering stage in the 16 years from 2000 to 2015 has become colder and shorter than that in the previous 15 years from 1985 to 1999. This has resulted in an early sequence of regrowth date, heading date, and ripening date. Heading date of hulless barley was mostly influenced by regrowth date and period of stem elongation. Futher, the regrowth date and period of stem elongation were strongly negatively correlated with the average air temperature in February and the maximum air temperature in March, respectively. The number of spikes per $m^2$ and 1000-grain weight of Saechalssal cultivated from 2003 to 2015 showed strong positive correlations with yield. In early heading years, yield increased with extended ripening period and with increased 1000-grain weight. There was a strong negative correlation between 1000-grain weight and the average temperature during the ripening period. In the 15 years from 1985 to 1999, warm winters contributed to yield increase with increase in the number of spikes per $m^2$ and a long ripening period. In contrast, in the recent 16 years from 2000 to 2015, the large variability in air temperature during the wintering stage, the decreasing number of spikes per $m^2$ and the steadily increasing air temperature and decreasing precipitation during the ripening stage have caused high temperature stress and yield loss in late heading years.

Studies on Management of Effective Temperature and Humidity in Greenhouse at Summer Season (하절기 효율적인 하우스 온도 습도 관리에 관한 연구)

  • 우영회;남윤일;송천호;김형준;김동억
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.58-65
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    • 1994
  • It is necessary to effective temperature and humidity management for normal growth of crops in protected cultivation during the summer season. Because the highest temperature of vinyl house inhibit normal growth of crop and decrease of crop production or marketability in summer season. Finally, the vinyl house was impossible some crop cultivation in summer season. This study was conducted to investigate effective and economic method for temperature drop in protected cultivation during the summer season. 1. In medium size vinyl house(5$\times$13$\times$3m), the effect of temperature drop appeared the highest in treatment of shading with aluminium thermal curtain+fog system+ventilation with fan. The effect of temperature drop was about 1$0^{\circ}C$ lower than outer air temperature and about 4$^{\circ}C$ lower than outer soil temperature. 2. The effect of temperature drop according to shading with aluminium thermal curtain+fog system+ventilation with fan during the highest temperature of summer season Jul., 20 to Aug., 21 was appeared about 8$^{\circ}C$ lower than outdoor above ground(1.2m) and about 7$^{\circ}C$ lower than outdoor surface ground. 3. The changes of solar radiation during a day according to shading with aluminium thermal curtain+ventilation with fan and shading with black curtain+ventilation with fan treatments was appeared respectively about 29.3%, 32.5% of outdoor solar radiation a fine day and respectively about 27.4%, 31.8% of outdoor solar radiation a cloudy day.

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The Relationship between Climate and Food Incidents in Korea (식품안전 사건 사고와 기후요소와의 관련성)

  • Lee, Jong-Hwa;Kim, Young-Soo;Baek, Hee-Jung;Chung, Myung-Sub
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.297-307
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates relation of food safety incidents with climate. Therefore food safety incidents and climate data during 1999 to 2009 have been analyzed. In situ observations of monthly mean temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity in 60 observation stations of Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) have been used in this study. Food safety incidents data have been constructed by searching media reports following Park's method (2009) during the same period. According to the Park's method, 729 events were collected. To analyze its relations, food safety incidents data have been classified into chemical, biological, and physical hazards. Pearson product-moment correlation coefficients have been applied to analyze the relations. The correlation of food safety incidents has negative one with precipitation (-0.48), and positive one with minimum temperature(0.45). Precipitation has been correlated with biological and physical hazards more than chemical hazard. Temperatures (mean temperature, maximum temperature, and minimum temperature) have been correlated closely with chemical hazard than others. Food safety incidents data has been interblended with human behavior factor through decision-making processes in food manufacturing, processing, and consumption phases of "farm-totable" food processing. Act in the preventing damage will be obvious if the hazard were apparent. Therefore abnormal condition could be more dangerous than that of apparent extreme events because apparent events or extreme events become one of alarm over hazards. Therefore, human behavior should be considered as one of the important factors for analysis of food safety incidents. The result of this study can be used as a better case study for food safety researches related to climate change.

Changes in Amylose Content and Alkali Digestibility Value of Rice Grain During Ripening Period (성숙기간중 미입내 Amylose함량과 Alkali 붕괴성의 변이)

  • 음문회;박순직;서학수
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 1979
  • Amylose content and alkali digestibility value of rice grain were tested from 10days after flowering up to maturity. Both amylooe content and alkali digestibility value showed slightly lower at earliest stage, but they reached maximum value by 20 days after flowering, and then they maintained the value until maturity. Both amylose content and alkali digestibility value showed negative correlations to air temperature, though they were not significant statistically except in case of amylose content and maximum temperature, which showed significant correlation in some year.

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Abnormal air temperature prediction of South Korea using multiple linear regression model and Terra/Aqua MODIS LST (다중 선형회귀모형과 Terra/Aqua MODIS 지표면온도를 활용한 우리나라 이상기온 예측)

  • Chung, Jeehun;Lee, Yonggwan;Lee, Jiwan;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.139-139
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    • 2019
  • 지구 온난화 및 기후변화로 인해 비롯된 전 지구적인 기온 상승은 가뭄, 폭염, 한파 등의 이상 기후 현상을 야기하여 인류의 생존을 위협하는 환경 문제로 대두되고 있다. 이와 같은 기후변화 및 이상기후 현상을 이해하고 파악하기 위해서는 정확하고 상세한 기온 정보가 필수적이다. 우리나라는 기상청에서 전국 590개소의 기상관측장비로 기온 정보를 생산하고 있지만 산림이 약 70%를 차지하는 복잡한 지형을 가지고 있어 지상관측밀도의 공간적 제약이 발생해 상세하고 균일한 기온 정보 생산에 제약이 있다. 이러한 단점을 극복하기 위해 본 연구에서는 위성으로 측정한 지표면 온도(Land Surface Temperature, LST) 자료와 다중선형회귀모형(Multiple Linear Regression Model)을 활용해 두 자료간의 상관관계를 파악하고 지상기온을 예측하고자 한다. 위성자료로 Terra 및 Aqua MODIS 위성의 1000m 공간해상도를 가진 일별 LST자료 MOD11A1, MYD11A1의 Daytime 자료를 각각 2000년부터 2018년까지 총 19년의 기간에 대해 구축하였으며, 전국 92개의 기상청 관측소로부터 최고, 최저 기온 자료를 동 기간에 대해 구축하였다. LST를 이용한 이상기온 예측 알고리즘은 python을 이용해 구현하였으며 예측 결과는 실제 기온 자료를 통해 검증하였다. 또한, 예측 기온 자료의 연대별, 순별(상, 중, 하순) 분석을 실시하고, 2018년 극한 폭염 및 한파(2017년 12월~2018년 2월)의 예측 가능성을 검토하여 연구 결과에 대한 다양한 활용방안을 제시하고자 한다.

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Relationship between Weather factors and Water Temperatures, Salinities in the West Sea of Korea (한국 서해에서 기상인자와 수온, 염분과의 관계)

  • Lee Jong Hee;Kim Dong Sun
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.181-185
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    • 2003
  • the effect if atmosphere is more important in the West sea of Korea than in other seas because of shallow water and heat storage if the water. The serial oceanographic observation data and coastal station data from NFRID, and the atmosphere data from KMA were used in order to find out the relationship between them The highest water temperature, salinity and weather factor were recorded in Aug, and the lowest of them in Feb. As the water deepens, the maximum time leg in water temperature and the minimum time leg in salinity. Water temperature have the maximum in Oct, the minimum in Apr at 75m of the 311-07 station with 100m depth water temperature (WT)-air temperature, WT-precipitation (Preci.) and salinity (Sal)-wind speed (WS) were in direct proportion, but WT-WS, Sal-AT and Sal-Preci in inverse proportion Water temperature and salinity I-ave time leg at the same depth the maximum had more the delay of $2\~4$ months at a depth if 20 meters than at the surface in all stations except for salinity at 307-05.

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Climate change effect analysis through meteorological data in the Han river basin (기상자료를 통한 한강 유역의 기후 변화 영향 분석)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Kim, Il-Hwan;Kim, Nam-Ki
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.352-356
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 최근 우리나라 4대강 중 한강의 기후변화로 인한 온도, 상대습도, 강우량의 관측자료를 통해 과거와 최근의 변동특성에 대해서 파악하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 기상청의 관측자료를 활용하였으며 한강의 상, 중, 하류로 나눠서 3개 지점에 대해 선정하였다. 선정 기준은 인위적인 영향을 많이 받는 도시지역을 제외한 도서 지역에 위치한 관측소를 기준으로 선정하였다. 분석을 실시한 항목으로는 최고, 최저, 평균기온 및 상대습도, 연강우량, 일 최고 강우량, 강우 집중률이 있으며 강우 집중률은 강우량에 의한 강우강도의 변동 특성을 파악하기 위해 분석하였다. 과거(~1994)와 최근(1995~2011)의 변동성을 파악하기 위해 각 항목별로 비모수적 검정을 실시하고, 상위 10개를 선정한 자료를 이용하여 분석하였다. 비모수적 검정으로는 Mann-Kendall, Hotelling-Pabst, Sen's Trend Test를 이용하였고, 표준정규변량을 통해 과거와 최근의 경향성을 비교하였다. 연구 지점 중 양평의 평균 기온은 상위 10개 중 9개가 최근 자료에서 선정되었고 경향성의 유의수준도 더 높게 나타났다. 최저 상대습도는 과거에 비해 최근에 더 높은 유의수준의 하강하는 경향성을 가지는 것으로 나타나, 기후변화로 인한 지구온난화가 진행되고 있다는 것을 보여주고 있다. 연강수량은 최근 자료에 상위 8개가 나타났고, 표준정규변량 또한 높은 유의수준을 가지며 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 일 최고 강수량, 강우집중률 또한 상위 10개 관측자료 중 1995년 이후 7개가 관측되었고, 이는 강우강도가 증가하는 것으로 판단할 수 있다. 상대습도의 경우 평균 및 최소 상대습도에서 2개가 관측 되어 기온은 상승하고 강우는 집중되는 반면 상대습도는 온도의 영향 이외에도 낮아지는 경향을 보여 오난해지는 가운데 건조해지는 경향을 보임을 알 수 있었다.

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A New Look at the Statistical Method for Remote Sensing of Daily Maximum Air Temperature (위성자료를 이용한 일최고온도 산출의 통계적 접근에 관한 고찰)

  • 변민정;한경수;김영섭
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2004
  • This study aims to estimate daily maximum air temperature estimated using satellite-derived surface temperature and Elevation Derivative Database (EDD). The analysis is focused on the establishment of a semi-empirical estimation technique of daily maximum air temperature through the multiple regression analysis. This tests the contribution of EDD in the air temperature estimation when it is added into regression model as an independent variable. The better correlation is shown with the EDD data as compared with the correlation without this data set. In order to provide a progressive estimation technique, we propose and compare three approaches: 1) seasonal estimation non-considering landcover, 2) seasonal estimation considering landcover, and 3) estimation according to landcover type and non-considering season. The last method shows the best fit with the root-mean-square error between 0.56$^{\circ}C$ and 3.14$^{\circ}C$. A cross-validation procedure is performed for third method to valid the estimated values for two major landcover types (cropland and forest). For both landcover types, the validation results show reasonable agreement with estimation results. Therefore it is considered that the estimation technique proposed may be applicable to most parts of South Korea.

Spatial assessment of heat wave and river water quality (폭염과 하천 수질의 공간적 평가)

  • Lee, Jiwan;Kim, Sehoon;Han, Daeyoung;Shin, Hyungjin;Lim, Hyeokjin;Kim, Seongjoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.693-704
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the relationship between heat wave and river water quality. The daily maximum air temperature (Tmax) of 91 meteorological stations of the Korea Meteorological Administration and 13 river water quality factors (DO, BOD, COD, TOC, TN, DTN, NH4-N, NO2-N, NO3-N, TP, DTP, PO4-P, Chl-a) of Ministry of Environment were analyzed. The correlation analysis was performed on Tmax and water quality factors, and the determination coefficients (R2) of DO, Chl-a, and TN with Tmax showed high values of 0.782, 0.609, and 0.691 respectively. To analyze the spatial impact between heat waves and water quality factors, the heat wave intensity (HWI) and heat wave duration (HWD) were calculated using the Tmax. The hotspot and spatial statistical analyses were applied for spatial impact evaluation. As a result of hotspot analysis, the heat wave index (HWD, HWI) showed high spatial pattern in the downstream of Nakdong River basin, and Chl-a and TN showed the same pattern. In case of spatial statistical analysis for water quality due to heat wave, the most obvious spatial variability was DO.