• Title/Summary/Keyword: 지진전조현상

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Correlation analysis of domestic earthquake and hydro-environmental data (국내 지진과 수환경 자료의 상관성 분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Kyoung;Jo, Jun Won;Park, Seung Joo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.408-408
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    • 2021
  • 지진에 의한 변동과 전조 현상을 규명하기 위한 다양한 연구들이 진행되었으며, 기존 연구들에서는 지진 발생의 주요 원인은 주로 단층 운동에 의한 지각 반응을 중심으로 분석하고 그 결과들을 제시하였다. 지하층에서 지진이 발생하나 발생의 원인은 지각뿐만 아니라 수환경과 연계된 인자들까지 존재하여 매우 다양하다. 즉, 지각, 토양, 토질 등 지하의 변동과 연관성이 매우 높고 수 많은 수환경자료들(지하수위, 라돈, ph, 기타 수질 요소)을 통해서 지각운동에 따른 변화와 지진발생 가능성에 대한 상관관계를 규명할 수 있는 가능성이 매우 높다. 기존 지진이 나타나는 주요 원인은 주로 활성 단층 운동에 의한 지각 반응의 영향으로 지진 발생 이전에 지각의 팽창과 변형에 의해 지하수, 지하수 수질요소(라돈, 전기전도도, 수온 등)의 지화학적 변동이 일어날 수 있는 가능성이 존재하며, 이러한 수환경 빅데이터는 지진 발생 가능성 증대와 재현기간 및 규모 증대 등 상관성이 매우 큰 것으로 분석된다. 본 연구에서는 국내발생하는 지진에 대한 경향성 분석을 통하여 내륙에서 발생하는 지진과 바다에서 발생하는 지진의 경향성 및 연관성을 분석하고자 한다. 또한 지진 발생 지역에 대하여 수환경 빅데이터(지하수위, 라돈, 수온, 전기전도도, 강수량 등)와 지진발생과의 상관관계를 분석하여 주요 원인을 제시하고자 한다.

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Experiment on the Anomalous Animal Behaviors by Electric Field Effects for detecting Earthquake Precursors (지진전조현상 파악을 위한 전기장 효과에 의한 동물 이상 행동 실험)

  • 경재복;윤장근
    • Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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    • 2001.09a
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2001
  • There are some previous reports that some animals such as rats and birds move in a large group and act abnormally to avoid the large earthquake. This study is to experimentally testify what relations exist between the anomalous animal behavior and electric field effect, which is reported due to the piezoelectric effects in a basement rock before earthquake occurrences. When electric field is applied to the whole bottom of the cage, they show nervous behaviors such as grooming, washing their faces, standing on legs or running around in panic to avoid the electric field. When more strong electric field is applied, they jump with shrieking and mount on the electric line. The rat shows more sensitive anomalous behavior than the bird. Even though the current to the experimental birds and rats is just a few $\mu$A, they react in various ways. The anomalous animal behaviors under the small ground electric field may have some relations to the actual phenomena before great earthquake. This kind of study is quite worthy for the understanding of earthquake precursors.

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Monitoring Technique using Acoustic Emission and Microseismic Event (AE와 MS 이벤트를 이용한 계측기술)

  • Cheon, Dae-Sung;Jung, Yong-Bok;Park, Chul-Whan;Synn, Joong-Ho;Park, Eui-Seob
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • Acoustic emission (AE) and Microseimsic (MS) activities are law-energy seismic events associated with a sudden inelastic deformation such as the sudden movement of existing fractures, the generation of new fractures or the propagation of fractures. These events rapidly increase before major failure and happen within a given rock volume and radiate detectable seismic waves. The main difference between AE and MS signals is that the seismic motion frequencies of AE signals are higher than those of MS signals. As the failure of geotechnical structures usually happens as a high velocity and small displacement, it is nat easy ta determine the precursor and initiation stress level of failure in displacement detection method. To overcame this problem, AE/MS techniques far detection of structure failure and damage have recently adapt in civil engineering. This study deal with the basic theory of AE/MS and state of arts in monitoring technique using AE/MS.

Groundwater Monitoring Network for Earthquake Surveillance and Prediction (국내 지진 감시·예측을 위한 지하수관측망의 활용 방안)

  • Lee, Hyun A;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Woo, Nam C.
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.50 no.5
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    • pp.401-414
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    • 2017
  • To prevent the damages from earthquakes, various researches have been conducted around the world focusing on earthquake prediction and forecasting for several decades. Among various precursory phenomena, changes in groundwater level and quality are considered to be reliable for estimating the time of earthquake occurrence and its magnitude. In effects, some countries impacted by frequent earthquakes have established and operated the groundwater monitoring network for earthquake surveillance and prediction. In Korea, recently researches have begun for using groundwater monitoring techniques for earthquake prediction. In this paper, the groundwater monitoring networks of China, Japan, and the United States were reviewed focusing on the facilities and results of researches to deduce the tasks for earthquake prediction researches using groundwater monitoring techniques in Korea. In results, research needs are suggested in the implementation of groundwater monitoring networks for specifically earthquake surveillance with the real-time monitoring and the measures to quantify the degrees of abnormal changes in the relationship of distance from the earthquake epicenter.

Trend Analysis of Earthquake Researches in the World (전세계의 지진 연구의 추세 분석)

  • Yun, Sul-Min;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Jeon, Hang-Tak;Cheong, Jae-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.76-87
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    • 2021
  • In this study, temporal trend of researches in earthquake with groundwater level, water quality, radon, remote sensing, electrical resistivity, gravity, and geomagnetism was searched from 2001 to 2020, using the journals indexed in Web of Science, and the number of articles published in international journals was counted in relation to the occurrences of earthquakes (≥Mw 5.0, ≥Mw 6.0, ≥Mw 7.0, ≥Mw 8.0, and ≥Mw 9.0). The number of articles shows an increasing trend over the studied period. This is explained by that studies on earthquake precursor and seismic monitoring becomes active in various fields with integrated data analysis through the development of remote sensing technology, progress of measurement equipment, and big data. According to Mann-Kendall and Sen's tests, gravity-related articles exhibit an increasing trend of 1.30 articles/yr, radon-related articles (0.60 articles/yr), groundwater-related articles (0.70 articles/yr), electrical resistivity-related articles (0.25 articles/yr), and remote-sensing-related articles (0.67 articles/yr). By cross-correlation analysis of the number of articles in each field with removing trend effect and the number of earthquakes of ≥Mw 5.0, ≥Mw 6.0, ≥Mw 7.0, ≥Mw 8.0, and ≥Mw 9.0, radon and remote sensing fields exhibit a high cross-correlation with a delay time of one year. In addition, large-scale earthquakes such as the 2004 and 2005 Sumatra earthquake, the 2008 Sichuan earthquake, the 2010 Haiti earthquake, and the 2010 Chile earthquake are estimated to be related with the increase in the number of articles in the corresponding periods.

A Study on the Change of Magma Activity from 2002 to 2009 at Mt. Baekdusan using Surface Displacement (지표변위를 활용한 백두산의 2002-2009년 마그마 활동 양상 변화 연구)

  • Yun, Sung-Hyo;Lee, Jeong-Hyun;Chang, Cheolwoo
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.34 no.6
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    • pp.470-478
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    • 2013
  • There have been a number of observed precursors of volcanic activities- such as volcanic earthquake, surface inflation, specific volcanic gas emission, temperature of hot spring- at Mt. Baekdusan since 2002. We identified the increase of the volume of magma chamber beneath Mt. Baekdusan as we observed an inflation trend of vertical and horizontal surface displacement around Cheonji caldera lake by using precise leveling data from 2002 to 2009. The surface displacement trend changed to deflation in 2010, and the trend changed to inflation again after a while. Utilizing the data of inflated surface (46.33 mm) on the northern slope of Mt. Baekdusan from 2002 to 2003, we calculated the volume change of magma chamber beneath the Mt. Baekdusan. The volume change was about 0.008 $km^3$ ($7.7-8.0{\times}10^6m^3$) from 2002 to 2003. It indicated that a new magma (0.008 $km^3$) injected to the magma chamber 5 km below Mt. Baekdusan.

An Analysis of Anomalous Radon Variation Caused by M5.8 Gyeong-ju Earthquake (규모 5.8 경주 지진에 의한 토양 내 라돈농도의 이상변화 분석)

  • Kim, Jin-seop;Kim, Minjun;Kim, Sunwoong;Lee, Hyomin
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2018
  • The radon concentration in soil varies with environmental factors such as atmospheric temperature and pressure, rainfall and soil temperature. The effects of these factors, therefore, should be differentiate in order to analyzed the anomalous radon variation caused by earthquake events. For these reasons, a comparative analysis between the radon variations with environmental factors and the anomalous variations caused by Gyeong-ju earthquake occurred in September 12, 2016 has been conducted. Radon concentration in soil and environmental factors were continuously measured at a monitoring ste located in 58Km away from earthquake epicenter from January 01, 2014 to May 31, 2017. The co-relationships between radon concentration and environmental factors were analyzed. The seasonal average radon concentration(n) and the standard variation(${\rho}$) was calculated, and the regions of ${\pm}1{\rho}$ and ${\pm}2{\rho}$ deviations from seasonal average concentration were investigated to find the anomalous radon variation related to Gyeong-ju earthquake. Earthquake effectiveness and q-factor were also calculated. The radon concentration indicated the seasonal variation pattern, showing high in summer and low in winter. It increases with increasing air temperature and soil temperature, and has the positive co-relationships of $R^2=0.9136$ and $R^2=0.8496$, respectively. The radon concentration decreases with increasing atmospheric pressure, and has the negative co-relationships of $R^2=0.7825$. Four regions of ${\pm}2{\rho}$ deviation from average seasonal concentration (A1: 7/3~7/5, A2: 7/18, A3: 8/4~8/5, A4: 10/17~10/20) were detected before and after Gyeong-ju earthquake. A1, A2, A3 were determined as the anomalous radon variation caused by the earthquake from co-relationship analyses with environmental factors, earthquake effectiveness and q-factor. During the period of anomalous radon variation, correlation coefficients between radon concentration and environmental factors were significantly lowered compared to other periods such as air temperature ($R^2=0.2314$), soil temperature ($R^2=0.1138$) and atmospheric pressure ($R^2=0.0475$). Annual average radon concentration was also highest at 2016, the year of Gyeong-ju earthquake.

Analysis of Unrest Signs of Activity at the Baegdusan Volcano (백두산 화산의 전조활동 분석 연구)

  • Yun, Sung-Hyo;Lee, Jeong-Hyun
    • The Journal of the Petrological Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2012
  • The Baegdusan volcano is one of the most active volcanoes in northeastern Asia, and the 10th century eruption was the most voluminous eruption in the world in recent 2,000 years. During the period from 2002 to 2005, volcanic earthquakes and abnormal surface distortions by suspected subsurface magma intrusion beneath the volcano were observed in the Baegdusan area. Seismic activity has gradually increased with earthquake swarms during 2002-2003 and hundreds of seismic event in a day, especially annual peak of 2,100 in 2003. Then the number of seismic activity has declined since 2006 to the background level in 1999-2001. According to the typical frequency of volcanic earthquakes in the Baegdusan volcano, the frequency distribution of typical volcanic earthquakes between 2002 and 2005 indicates that all the main frequency of the earthquakes basically falls down less than 5 Hz and 5-10 Hz. These events are all the VT-B and LP events caused by the shallow localized fracture and intrusion of magma. The horizontal displacement measurement by GPS during the period from 2000 to 2007 of the Baegdusan stratovolcano area indicates that an inflated process has been centered at the summit caldera since 2002. The displacement between 2002 and 2003 reached at a maximum value of 4 cm. After 2003, the deformation rate of the volcano continued to decrease with unusual variation during the period from 2006 to 2007. After 2003 the vertical displacement uplift rate falls down gradually but still keeps in an uplift trend in northern slope. It is generally believed that when $^3He/^4He(R)$ in a gas sample from a hot spring exceeds $^3He/^4He(R)$ in the atmosphere, it can be concluded that mantle-source. And temperatures of hot springs are rising steadily to $83^{\circ}C$. It is unrest signals at the Baegdusan, which is potentially active. The Baegdusan volcano is now in unrest status, there is eruption threat in the near future. Intensified monitoring and emergency response plan for volcanic risk mitigation are urgent for the volcano.

Characteristics on Volcanoes Monitoring and Disaster System of Japan (일본의 화산감시 및 분화대응 특성)

  • Jang, Eun Suk
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.02a
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    • pp.188-188
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    • 2011
  • 작년 아이슬란드에서의 화산폭발로 발생된 화산재가 대기 중으로 이동하면서 유럽 공항 곳곳의 항공기 수천 편이 운항 중지되기도 하였다. 한반도내의 백두산은 약 1000전(서기 946년~947년 경) 대규모로 분화하였고, 서기 1903년, 소규모 분화한 후, 앞으로 수년~수십 년 사이에 폭발적인 분화를 재개할 가능성이 제기되고 있으며, 백두산 분화 시, 아이슬란드 화산폭발 때보다 훨씬 심각한 피해가 예상되고 있다. 따라서 백두산 화산에 대한 현지 자료의 수집과 꾸준한 모니터링(감시, 관측) 자료의 분석과 재해 예상 범위 및 대응 방안의 모색이 필요한 시점이다. 본 연구에서는 지리적으로 가까이 있으며 108개 활화산의 화산재해 방재에 관하여 꾸준히 활동하고 있는 일본에서의 화산감시 및 분화대응 시스템을 파악하고, 우리나라의 화산재해대책을 수립하기위한 시사점들을 고찰하였다. 화산의 평균적인 분화 간격은 풍수해나 지진 등 다른 재해에 비해 길기 때문에 일본 기상청에서는 과거1만년 이내에 분화한 증거가 있는 화산이 활화산으로서 인정되고 있다. 백두산은 약 1000년 전에 분화한 뒤 최근 분화의 전조현상을 보이고 있으며, 중국과 북한에 인접하여 있으므로 우리나라에 직접적인 피해는 예상되지 않으나, 우리나라에 일본과 같은 활화산이 존재하지 않기 때문에 생소하였던 화산재해란 어떠한 것이며, 향후 잠재적인 분화 가능성을 가지고 있는 백두산폭발로 인한 재해의 종류를 미리 예상하고 준비할 필요가 있다. 일본의 경우 계속적인 감시와 관측을 통한 분화예보, 경보를 발령하고 분화 시 즉각적인 방재정보를 전달, 지역주민들이 빠르게 인지, 주의하도록 화산재해 대책 시스템이 갖추어져 있다. 우리나라는 아직 중국과 북한에 인접한 백두산에 대한 관측 자료가 거의 없고, 연구를 위한 접근 또한 쉽지 않은 상황이다. 분화로 인한 직접적인 영향권에서는 벗어난다할지라도 계절적인 기상장의 영향 및 아직 예측 불가능한 백두산의 잠재적인 폭발규모에 따라 간접적인 영향을 받을 경우에 대비하여야 할 필요성이 있다고 사료된다. 또한 우리나라의 화산재해 방재력을 향상시키기 위하여 백두산 폭발로 인한 재해위험범위를 가시화하고, 분화 시에 대한 구체적인 가상시나리오를 작성하여, 화산재 및 대기오염물질의 확산시뮬레이션, 기후변화에 끼치는 영향 등을 포함하는 화산재해대책을 미리 세워 피해를 저감시킬 수 있는 방재대책을 수립해야 할 것이다.

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Development of the Wind Wave Damage Estimation Functions based on Annual Disaster Reports : Focused on the Western Coastal Zone (재해연보기반 풍랑피해예측함수 개발 : 서해연안지역)

  • Choo, Tai-Ho;Cho, Hyoun-Min;Shim, Sang-Bo;Park, Sang-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.154-163
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    • 2018
  • Not only South Korea but also Global world show that the frequency and damages of large-scale natural disaster due to the rise of heavy rain event and typhoon or hurricane intensity are increasing. Natural disasters such as typhoon, flood, heavy rain, strong wind, wind wave, tidal wave, tide, heavy snow, drought, earthquake, yellow dust and so on, are difficult to estimate the scale of damage and spot. Also, there are many difficulties to take action because natural disasters don't appear precursor phenomena However, if scale of damage can be estimated, damages would be mitigated through the initial damage action. In the present study, therefore, wind wave damage estimation functions for the western coastal zone are developed based on annual disaster reports which were published by the Ministry of Public Safety and Security. The wind wave damage estimation functions were distinguished by regional groups and facilities and NRMSE (Normalized Root Mean Square Error) was analyzed from 1.94% to 26.07%. The damage could be mitigated if scale of damage can be estimated through developed functions and the proper response is taken.